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August 5, 2011
 
Indonesia's GDP Tops Forecast
 
Indonesia's economic expansion accelerated in the second quarter, beating 
analyst expectations as investment and export growth lifted the country's 
output.
 
By Farida Husna And I Made Sentana 
 


JAKARTA—Indonesia's economic expansion accelerated in the second quarter, 
beating analyst expectations as investment and export growth lifted the 
country's output. 

Analysts say the robust figures suggest full-year growth may exceed the 
government's target of 6.5% despite the fear of a possible global slowdown that 
has pummeled investor sentiment. 

Indonesia's gross domestic product grew 6.49% in the second quarter from a year 
earlier, accelerating slightly from 6.47% in the first quarter, the official 
Central Statistics Agency said Friday. 

The economy, Southeast Asia's largest, grew 2.9% from the previous quarter, 
almost doubling from the first quarter's 1.5% expansion. 

For the first half, economic output grew 6.5% from a year earlier, the agency 
said. The figures aren't seasonally adjusted. 

The second-quarter performance was slightly stronger than what analysts had 
been expecting: Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires had given a median 
forecast of 6.47% on-year growth and 2.82% on-quarter expansion. 

"Things are still looking up for Indonesia, and we expect the economy to 
sustain its current pace of growth," OCBC economist Gundy Cahyadi said after 
the data release. He added that it is probable that full-year growth would 
exceed 6.5%. 

"Certainly, the strength of the global economy is a risk to reckon with, but 
the prevailing capacity seen in the domestic economy is likely to form the 
underlying support for growth prospect going into 2012," Mr. Cahyadi said, 
referring to the country's strong consumption power and investment projects. 

Mandiri Sekuritas economist Aldian Taloputra said his firm will raise its 
full-year growth forecast to 6.5% from 6.4%, citing continued strong 
investments and exports. 

The statistics agency's deputy chairman, Slamet Sutomo, was even more bullish, 
predicting growth of 6.7% this year compared with 6.1% in 2010. 

Economists said the robust growth would continue to attract investments, a key 
driver of the economy that according to the statistics agency accounted for 32% 
of GDP. 

Investments rose 9.2% from a year earlier during the April-June period, picking 
up from 7.3% in the previous quarter, the agency said.

Funds have been flowing into Indonesia in recent years thanks to an improving 
political climate, as security concerns ebb and on government efforts to cut 
the red tape investors must face when opening businesses. Interest continues to 
be damped, however, by the country's chaotic infrastructure. 

Exports, the other sector that propelled the economy in the second quarter, 
climbed 17.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 12.3% growth in the first 
quarter. 

Household consumption, the biggest component of the economy accounting for 54% 
of total output, grew a tad faster, rising 4.6% from a year earlier compared 
with 4.5% in the previous quarter. 

Government spending, meantime, grew 4.5% from a year earlier after having risen 
3% in the January-March period. 

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