MS Ngajakin SELL/SHORT BUMI gak ??? Hehehehe.... Hahahah.....



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From: positif 01 <[email protected]>
To: 
Sent: Thursday, August 11, 2011 8:15 AM
Subject: [saham] Morgan Stanley - Summary Update: PGAS Reiterate SELL: Margin 
Pressure Imminent (August 10)


  
We expect an imminent increase in input gas prices for PGAS.

This should occur via either: 1) by policy action; or 2) PGAS buying gas 
expensively. Hence we see distribution gross margin returning from the current 
high levels of US$4/mmbtu to the normalized US$3.2/mmbtu.

Distribution margins: Regulator can’t force a gas price increase so PGAS will 
try to maintain margins. Management believes that PGAS’ contracts with E&P 
players have no clauses that involve the government; hence BPMIGAS cannot force 
a gas price increase for PGAS. The liability of supplying gas at the contracted 
price lies with the E&P supplier.

PGAS is open to making slight changes in the contract and reducing its margins 
if it gets security of supply from the existing contracts and secured 
additional volumes.

'+'
 

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