SALAM CUAN,
 
IHSG akan di bawa ke 3500
 
SALAM
YAN WONG

Hey

--- Pada Sen, 19/9/11, heru <[email protected]> menulis:


Dari: heru <[email protected]>
Judul: Re: [saham] arsip Re: Goldman Sachs Update (June 13): ASII - reiterate 
SELL rating
Kepada: "Saham" <[email protected]>
Tanggal: Senin, 19 September, 2011, 11:15 PM


  



Belanda masih jauh, tebakannya masih lebih presisi YW :p


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From: positif01 <[email protected]> 
Sender: [email protected] 
Date: Tue, 20 Sep 2011 10:10:30 +0700
ReplyTo: [email protected] 
Subject: [saham] arsip Re: Goldman Sachs Update (June 13): ASII - reiterate 
SELL rating

  

Arsip Juni 2011.


Sentiment-wise, lebih dekat ke Rp50.000 atau Rp80.000. Tidak perlu menunggu 52 
week, cukup 'within'?


Bagaimana? Rp86,500 by Deutsche Bank?:d


'+'

On Tue, Jun 14, 2011 at 2:46 PM, positif01 <[email protected]> wrote:

June 13: ASII: reiterate Sell rating


Relevant excerpt:



ASEAN: Conglomerates: Indonesia: Prefer commodities to consumer



Stock outperformance depends on growth and catalysts
Given what we see as fair 2011E P/Es (14X-15X) for our Indonesia conglomerate 
coverage, we expect only
stocks with superior growth and strong catalysts to outperform. We rate Astra 
International a Sell, as while it enjoys
strong end automobile demand today, it is increasingly subject to negative 
risks like higher interest rates and
potential fuel subsidy removal.



Astra: Sell - Negative risks have been delayed but not diminished
We expect Astra to underperform as it faces slower growth and lower returns 
through 2012, yet trades above
historical peak cycle valuations. We view its recent share price outperformance 
as unjustified, as while some
of the negative 4W-related risks have indeed been delayed, these risks have not 
in fact diminished. We
maintain our 4W forecasts, but slightly raise our 2W forecasts given the 
stronger-than-expected ytd demand.
Our 2011-13E auto-only earnings forecasts (key investor focus) for Astra remain 
below consensus (6% lower
on avg). We reiterate our Sell rating.


'+'





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