nanti,kalo udah dimark down ke 2500 On 10/27/11, [email protected] <[email protected]> wrote: > Oww dr doom ke Indonesia yah, kapan sih? > > Sent from my AXIS Worry Free BlackBerry® smartphone > > -----Original Message----- > From: ZFQ <[email protected]> > Sender: [email protected] > Date: Thu, 27 Oct 2011 08:39:42 > To: saham<[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; > junior_trader<[email protected]> > Reply-To: [email protected] > Subject: [saham] Roubini: Goodbye China, hello Indonesia > > Roubini: Goodbye China, hello Indonesia > October 25, 2011 6:00 am by Anthony DeutschIf economist Nouriel Roubini was > a betting man, he’d be cashing out of China and doubling down on > Indonesia. > > On his first trip to south-east Asia’s largest economy, Roubini argued the > case for countries with growth models like Indonesia, where nearly > two-thirds of GDP is domestic consumption, rather than China, at roughly > one > third and, > > as he has previously warned , “could be headed toward a hard landing.” > > Indonesia has low inflation, low debt (at about 26 per cent of GDP), young > demographics and accelerating growth. China he said, is slowing and has a > debt-to-GDP ratio of closer to 80 per cent (though China’s official figure > is just 18 per cent). > > “Some countries in the region are better positioned for long-term, even > growth – countries like Indonesia or India, with 50 – 60 per cent of GDP > coming from domestic consumption,” he said. > > Indonesia learned a hard lesson during the 1997-1998 financial crisis, when > GDP shrank 13 per cent in a year, capital flooded out and the rupiah > collapsed. Now, along with most of its south-east Asian neighbours, it has > built up “massive reserves” and is in healthy shape. > > On the other hand, ”China needs to move away from the growth model and find > balanced growth of the other emerging markets, like Indonesia, India and > Brazil,” he said. > > “It is the time of rising power of the emerging markets and emerging Asia > is > the fastest growing region in the world. Indonesia is a country that can be > very important in the global economy. By the end of the decade it will be > the 10th largest economy and by 2030, it could be the 6th.” > >
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