Mengawali perdagangan pekan ketiga 2011 yang pada akhir pekan kemarin
ditandai dengan realisasi penurunan peringkat utang Perancis dari triple-A
dikuti 8 negara Euro lainnya minus Jerman, J.P. Morgan (JPM) dan Goldman
Sacs (GS) merilis catatan khusus 16 Januari 2012:

*JPM*: Pertimbangkan *surprise* Selasa dari Cina.

"We expect Tue's China data dump (Dec IP, fixed investment, retail sales
and 4Q GDP) to show moderate growth going into year-end. Through the noise,
China's overall growth appears to have ended 2011 with some modest positive
momentum, *lending some upside risk* to our downbeat 8.1%oya estimate for
4Q GDP (cons. 8.7). Note that *we continue to expect an RRR cut before next
Monday's holiday*."

*GS*: Confirm Growth Markets (BRICs + Next 11*) ke depan tetap menjadi tema
investasi utama

"For first time since the global financial crisis, the GS Global ECS
Research team has updated the long-term projections which have been the
basis for our structural views of the world since 2003. The revised numbers
confirm that *all these themes [BRICS + Next 11 (N-11)] are largely
intact*. The
BRICs are still set to become the top five largest economies by 2050,
together with the US. In 2050 the N-11 as a group is still projected to be
larger than the US and almost twice the size of the
Euro area. The ten most populous African countries could, on aggregate,
grow to over 15 times their current size by 2050, falling somewhere between
Brazil and the Euro area."

*The Next 11 (N-11) countries include Mexico, Korea, Indonesia, Turkey,
Iran, Egypt, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Philippines, and Vietnam.
-- 
'+'

Follow positif01indo on Twitter: https://twitter.com/#!/positif01indo

Persetujuan *request followers* baru diberikan hanya satu kali tiap akhir
kuartal maks 500 *request */ diskresi kami.

Kirim email ke