[image: Tweet +01-JPM less convinced on ASEAN (06peb2012).gif]

JP Morgan baru saja merilis update ASEAN Strategy pada awal perdagangan
pekan ini. Posisi JP Morgan terhadap ASEAN pada prinsipnya:

After a year of significant outperformance relative to APXJ and EM, the
Emerging ASEAN markets *began the year with a bout of underperformance in
January*. A key dynamic here, in our view, is the decline in inflation in
EM and change in monetary policy to support growth, with *ASEAN economies
benefiting*
*less*.

Further, a fall in global risk premiums fueled by liquidity is *likely
to benefit cheap, larger markets* initially following ASEAN’s
historical outperformance, and *the premium on domestic-led growth is
likely to fall as external fundamentals improve*. Given these changes, *we
are less convinced about ASEAN outperformance in the near term*.
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