The New York Sun
March 12, 2003
Blind to Saddam's 9-11 Role
By LAURIE MYLROIE

A retired American general, close to Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld, once
explained that the single, most important element in the war against
terrorism was "situational awareness" - understanding what is going on as
correctly and precisely as possible. That may seem incontrovertible, but it
is lacking as America goes to war with Iraq. The reasons for the war have
not been explained properly,and the public is ignorant of the dangers, even
as this is a war that must be fought.

Iraq, along with Al Qaeda, was most probably involved in the September 11
attacks, and President Bush understands that. Already on September 17, six
days later, Mr. Bush affirmed, "I believe Iraq was involved, but I'm not
going to strike them now," as Bob Woodward's "Bush at War" discloses.
Indeed, at Thursday's press conference, Mr. Bush said that Iraq has financed
and trained Al Qaeda and similar terrorist groups.

That is why Mr. Bush is willing to take the risk entailed in war against
Iraq. Saddam may well try to hurt us badly, and that includes biological
terrorism, which could kill many people.Tens of thousands is a modest
estimate.

Yet Mr. Bush is inhibited from clearly linking Iraq and Al Qaeda, let alone
tying Iraq to September 11, because every time a senior official suggests
such a link, leaks to the contrary, mostly anonymous, flow from those in the
bureaucracies who made the mistakes that led to the deaths of nearly 3,000
Americans in two hours on what was otherwise a beautiful fall morning.

The last war with Iraq caused an ugly resurgence of anti-Semitism; the same
is happening again. It is not rational; haters rarely are. Last time the
anti-Semitism disappeared when the war proved a stunning success (except for
the decision to end the war with Saddam still in power). What will happen
this time, if things go awry and there are many casualties on American soil?

American Jews, one would think, would have every interest in helping to
ensure the war is understood properly.The war is not being fought for
Israel, which would actually prefer America fight Iran. Rather, it is being
fought, in the first place, to promote the safety and well-being of all
American citizens,just as the president has repeatedly said, even if in the
short term there could be substantial casualties.

To understand that, however, one has to understand Iraq's decade-long
involvement with Islamic militants in carrying out terrorist attacks against
America. Here the American Jewish leadership falls very short.

The lion's share of responsibility for this blunder lies with the Clinton
administration, which, starting with the 1993 bombing of the World Trade
Center, promoted the notion that a new kind of terrorism had emerged that
did not involve states, but was carried out by "loose networks" of militant
Muslims. Every other intelligence service was dependent on America for that
judgment. Every Western intelligence agency accepted it, and then became
professionally attached to that assessment. Admiral Hyman Rickover, father
of the nuclear submarine, famously cautioned against loving one's opinion
like one's children, but that is an all too human failing, and perhaps it is
particularly strong in the intelligence agencies.After all, they have more,
and presumably better, information than anyone else, so how could they know
less?

In Israel, the issue became further confused with the quasi-messianic
expectations accompanying the "peace process." A key premise of that
ill-fated diplomacy was that a clear division existed between the Islamic
militants and entities like Syria and the PLO. Figures like Hafiz al-Assad
and Yasser Arafat, it was said, had little choice but to negotiate with
Israel, given America's demonstrated strength, after its victory in the Cold
War and the 1991 Gulf War. Only irrational parties, like Islamic extremists,
did not recognize and act upon this new reality.

That was wrong, as Israelis have painfully learned.The PLO and Hamas can be
strategic rivals, but also tactical allies. And Iraq can work with Al Qaeda,
as it in fact has.

Yet "agendas" developed in the 1990s. These were issues promoted by the
major Jewish organizations, based on the flawed understanding of the Middle
East that emerged a decade ago, when Yitzhak Rabin was prime minister. Above
all, these agendas focused on Iran and Islamic militants. Iraq was
forgotten, reflecting a major Israeli error.

Many Israelis, like Americans, are supportive of the war yet do not
understand why America is going to war with Iraq. A friend of mine, retired
from a high position in Israel's military intelligence, who maintains
contacts with senior officials, recently asserted that the principal reason
for the war is to change the Iraqi regime and make the Middle East a better,
more democratic place. That is among the reasons, but the least of them. Mr.
Bush is not endangering the lives of Americans, at least in the short run,
to make the Middle East more hospitable to Israel. And there is no reason
for Israelis, or American Jews, to bear that burden, if things go wrong.

Regrettably, American Jewish organizations have seemed close-minded about
Iraq's role in September 11. Not more so than the rest of the American
"elite," to be sure. But that is a low standard, given the enormity of the
blunder and the dangers still ahead.

It is not enough to support the president in this war. One also needs
"situational awareness" and that requires a rethinking of the agendas of the
1990s and the erroneous assumptions upon which they were based.

Ms. Mylroie is the author of "The War Against America: Saddam Hussein and
the World Trade Center Attacks."

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