<< A new argument is brewing within the administration over rescinding or
modifying the coalition's "de-Baathification" decree, which bars many former
party members from the government jobs and other privileges they held under
Saddam Hussein. The Sunnis almost exclusively would benefit from a rollback,
which they would no doubt credit to the pressure being exerted on Bush by
Sunni Arab rulers and their friends in office in Washington. Thus are
delusions fostered. Liberalizing the decree to make exemptions easier is to
be expected at some point. But it must be preceded by new signs of Sunni
acceptance of a democratic Iraq and, more importantly, a rejection of the
terrorists in their midst. >>

The Washington Post
The Sunnis' Choice
By Jim Hoagland
Thursday, December 18, 2003
Don't go wobbly on the Sunnis now, George.

Margaret Thatcher's famous words of advice to George W. Bush's father about
the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990 bear updating in the wake of Saddam
Hussein's capture. The dictator's surrender does help open the way to
national reconciliation. But it could also lead to misjudgments about how
best to accomplish that noble goal while winning a guerrilla war.

Politics involves the manipulation of symbols in all complex societies, and
Iraq is more complex than most. Hussein behind bars, seemingly waiting to be
sent to the gallows by Iraqis he once tortured, is both a sign of and a
catalyst for change in Arab and Iraqi politics.

The Bush administration has a golden opportunity -- actually, a clear
need -- to accelerate the granting of significant new authority and power to
an interim Iraqi government in advance of the formal transfer of sovereignty
next June. Failure to empower Iraqis now to deal with the dictator's fate
will make the occupation even more unpopular and difficult to manage.
Saddam's trial, which should be carried out in multiple phases and perhaps
several different venues, must also at some point be a trial of the Baathist
system and ideology that sustained and sought to justify his atrocities --
atrocities that went undenounced by many who now profess shock that Iraqis
might want to exercise sovereignty by having a death penalty.

The dictator's arrest was a direct result of a change in tactics by the U.S.
military, and an indirect result of a change of heart by administration
decision-makers about the strategy for terminating an occupation that seemed
to be bogging down only a few months ago.

The change in tactics was visible. Saddam was tracked down as part of an
escalating military roundup of his kin and other Baathist fugitives who had
previously moved with impunity in the Sunni heartland around Baghdad. The
get-tougher tactics replaced CIA-inspired efforts to buy off or otherwise
co-opt Sunni influentials and tribes, who took the money but never
delivered.

The Sunni Arabs make up less than 20 percent of Iraq's 25 million people,
but they have for a millennium monopolized privilege and power in the
territory of Mesopotamia, lording it over a Shiite Arab majority based in
the south and a Kurdish Sunni minority in the north.

Less apparent was the dawning realization in Washington that the Sunni
strategy favored by the intelligence and diplomatic bureaucracies was
bringing no results but was increasingly alienating the Shiite majority,
which had acquiesced to or supported the coalition occupation.

"In the summer it became clear that if we lost the Shiites we would lose the
country," says one U.S. official. "The priority became understanding and
trying to respond to their political needs rather than winning hearts and
minds in the Sunni Triangle. That's important. But this was important and
urgent."

The change in attitude cleared the way for Washington to set a firm deadline
for transferring sovereignty back to Iraqis and to overhaul the coalition
transition plan. An interim executive would exist alongside an interim
parliament that would inevitably reflect a Shiite majority. This new
thinking also brought authorization for the tougher tactics in the Sunni
heartland that led to Hussein's capture.

The Sunnis now have a fundamental choice. They can come to terms with a
democratic Iraq in which other groups will also wield power. Or they can
continue to tolerate or even shield the Baathist remnants and foreign
terrorists responsible for appalling carnage in their country. The pressure
on the Sunni community to make the right choice should not be relaxed.

A new argument is brewing within the administration over rescinding or
modifying the coalition's "de-Baathification" decree, which bars many former
party members from the government jobs and other privileges they held under
Saddam Hussein. The Sunnis almost exclusively would benefit from a rollback,
which they would no doubt credit to the pressure being exerted on Bush by
Sunni Arab rulers and their friends in office in Washington. Thus are
delusions fostered. Liberalizing the decree to make exemptions easier is to
be expected at some point. But it must be preceded by new signs of Sunni
acceptance of a democratic Iraq and, more importantly, a rejection of the
terrorists in their midst.

More than 80 percent of the country's population has not joined an
insurgency that is at this stage little more than a reactionary attempt to
regain power and privilege. Ending the occupation sooner and letting Iraqis
determine Hussein's fate will help inspire the shared sense of destiny that
all Iraqis need to overcome a tragic and humiliating past.

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