Washington Post
Powell Agonistes
By Jim Hoagland
April 25, 2004

PARIS -- What did the secretary of state know about the decision to go
to war in Iraq and when did he know it?

Bob Woodward's latest Washington political storm in book form recasts
the historic question that Howard Baker asked about Richard Nixon and
the Watergate cover-up, Woodward's initial investigative success. But it
may not be the right question in the convoluted case of Colin Powell.

Powell has denied that the decision was made in November 2002 and that
he was left out of the loop by President Bush, as Woodward writes. There
is circumstantial evidence to support Powell's public attestation. But
that does not mean that the views of the secretary of state got very far
or that he is being entirely candid about his role even now.

As late as mid-January 2003, Powell was still telling foreign colleagues
that "I have a war to stop," as he put it to British Foreign Secretary
Jack Straw. Powell gave the clear impression that he hoped to enlist
Straw -- who also was skeptical about going to war -- and other foreign
leaders in his effort to dissuade President Bush from attacking Iraq.

This presents an even more agonizing and consequential question for the
year-after spate of controversy and post-mortem: How far should a
Cabinet member go in fighting his president or prime minister? Should
British diplomats, Saudi princes and U.N. civil servants be encouraged
to influence internal U.S. policy debates? Some senior U.S. officials
concluded, as the debate in the winter of 2003 wore on, that Powell was
doing just that.

Also in mid-January 2003, Dominique de Villepin, then France's foreign
minister, told a foreign visitor that he was convinced the United States
would not go to war. The context of de Villepin's remarks, comments from
other French officials and similar remarks by German officials at that
time strongly suggest that Powell was telling other key Europeans that
-- as Powell says now -- Bush had not made his final decision and in
fact might still be dissuaded.

"What is truly dramatic about the long run-up to the war is that you had
Powell and Straw -- the top diplomats in each government -- working
together trying to undermine the clear determination of their bosses to
go to war," a senior official with direct knowledge of the U.S.-British
conversations in early 2003 said some months ago. The full story, if and
when historians can get it, will be worth telling.

The Powell statement to Straw -- and the foreign secretary's echoing
back to Powell the sense of sharing a mission to avoid war -- was
reiterated in several of their regular telephone chats, which often
occurred on Sunday after Powell came home from church, according to a
second official aware of the conversations at the time.

But after a disastrous U.N. Security Council meeting on Jan. 20, when
Powell felt de Villepin ambushed him on Iraq, the "chatter" that
outsiders could pick up about Powell's dissonance died down. He
delivered a compelling case for war at the United Nations on Feb. 5,
though he edged away from his presentation in a Post interview some
months ago and now seems to be racing away from it in the account given
by Woodward.

As far as I can determine, Powell avoided any encouragement of foreign
lobbying on the war policy after Feb. 5. Straw put aside his
reservations, risked his career in strongly backing Blair and has not
told tales out of school. But it is impossible to know what was in
either man's soul, which makes it possible for them to deny any
outsider's account of their motivation.

In the suspicions he engendered in the White House and Pentagon, Powell
actually emerges as more forceful in his dissidence than he appears in
Woodward's account or in the recent tut-tutting New York Times editorial
triggered by Woodward's book. The Times scolded Powell post facto for
not resigning to manifest his opposition to the president who appointed him.

But Powell's telling the full tale might have renewed the long-standing
Washington questioning of the ex-general's loyalty to the political
authorities for whom he ostensibly works. That questioning began after
Woodward's 1991 book, "The Commanders," made it appear that Powell, then
chairman of the Joint Chiefs, had revealed to Woodward doubts about the
war that he had not disclosed to the first President Bush.

What was it that Karl Marx said? Washington history does repeat itself.
The first time it is tragedy, the second time it is a bestseller.

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� 2004 The Washington Post Company





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