Hi Alex,

See my response to Yarick for some results from a binary
classification.  I reran both the three-way and binary classification
with SVC, though, with similar results:

cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(bin_labels)
pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", SVC(kernel="linear"))])
print cross_val_score(pipe, bin_X, bin_y, cv=cv).mean()
for train, test in cv:
  pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", SVC(kernel="linear"))])
  print histogram(pipe.fit(bin_X[train],
bin_y[train]).predict(bin_X[test]), 2)[0]

0.496377606851
[ 0 68]
[ 0 70]
[ 0 67]
[ 0 69]

cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(tri_labels)
pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", SVC(kernel="linear"))])
print cross_val_score(pipe, tri_X, tri_y, cv=cv).mean()
for train, test in cv:
  pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", SVC(kernel="linear"))])
  print histogram(pipe.fit(tri_X[train],
tri_y[train]).predict(tri_X[test]), 3)[0]

0.386755821732
[20  0 48]
[29  1 40]
[ 2  0 65]
[ 0 69  0]

On Sun, Jan 29, 2012 at 12:38 PM, Alexandre Gramfort
<[email protected]> wrote:
> ok
>
> some more suggestions:
>
> - do you observe the same behavior with SVC which uses a different
> multiclass strategy?
> - what do you see when you inspect results obtained with binary
> predictions (keeping 2 classes at a time)?
>
> Alex
>
> On Sun, Jan 29, 2012 at 4:59 PM, Michael Waskom <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Hi Alex,
>>
>> No, each subject has four runs so I'm doing leave-one-run-out cross
>> validation in the original case. I'm estimating separate models within
>> each subject (as is common in fmri) so all my example code here would
>> be from within a for subject in subjects: loop, but this pattern of
>> weirdness is happening in every subject I've looked at so far.
>>
>> Michael
>>
>> On Sun, Jan 29, 2012 at 5:34 AM, Alexandre Gramfort
>> <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> hi,
>>>
>>> just a thought. You seem to be doing inter-subject prediction. In this case
>>> a 5 fold mixes subjects. A hint is that you may have a subject effect that
>>> acts as a confound.
>>>
>>> again just a thought ready the email quickly
>>>
>>> Alex
>>>
>>> On Sun, Jan 29, 2012 at 5:39 AM, Michael Waskom <[email protected]> 
>>> wrote:
>>>> Hi Yarick, thanks for chiming in! I thought about spamming the pymvpa
>>>> list, but figured one at a time :)
>>>>
>>>> The scikit-learn LogisticRegression class uses one-vs-all in a
>>>> multiclass setting, although I also tried it with their one-vs-one
>>>> metaclassifier with similar "weird" results.
>>>>
>>>> Interestingly, though, I think the multiclass setting is a red
>>>> herring.  For this dataset we also have a two-class condition (you can
>>>> think of the paradigm as a 3x2 design, although we're analyzing them
>>>> separately), which has the same thing happening:
>>>>
>>>> cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(labels)
>>>> print cross_val_score(pipe, X, y, cv=cv).mean()
>>>> for train, test in cv:
>>>>   pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", 
>>>> LogisticRegression())])
>>>>   print histogram(pipe.fit(X[train], y[train]).predict(X[test]), 2)[0]
>>>>
>>>> 0.496377606851
>>>> [ 0 68]
>>>> [ 0 70]
>>>> [ 0 67]
>>>> [ 0 69]
>>>>
>>>> cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(np.random.permutation(labels))
>>>> pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", LogisticRegression())])
>>>> print cross_val_score(pipe, X, y, cv=cv).mean()
>>>> for train, test in cv:
>>>>   print histogram(pipe.fit(X[train], y[train]).predict(X[test]), 2)[0]
>>>>
>>>> 0.532455733754
>>>> [40 28]
>>>> [36 34]
>>>> [33 34]
>>>> [31 38]
>>>>
>>>> Best,
>>>> Michael
>>>>
>>>> On Sat, Jan 28, 2012 at 6:09 PM, Yaroslav Halchenko <[email protected]> 
>>>> wrote:
>>>>> just to educate myself -- how sklearn does multiclass decisions in this
>>>>> case?  if it is all pairs classification + voting, then the answer is
>>>>> simple -- ties, and the "first one in order" would take all those.
>>>>>
>>>>> but if there is no ties involved then, theoretically (since not sure if 
>>>>> it is
>>>>> applicable to your data) it is easy to come up with non-linear scenarios 
>>>>> for
>>>>> binary classification where 1 class would be better classified than the 
>>>>> other
>>>>> one with a linear classifier...  e.g. here is an example (sorry -- 
>>>>> pymvpa) with
>>>>> an embedded normal (i.e. both classes mean at the same spot but have
>>>>> significantly different variances)
>>>>>
>>>>>    from mvpa2.suite import *
>>>>>    ns, nf = 100, 10
>>>>>    ds = dataset_wizard(
>>>>>        np.vstack((
>>>>>            np.random.normal(size=(ns, nf)),
>>>>>            10*np.random.normal(size=(ns, nf)))),
>>>>>        targets=['narrow']*ns + ['wide']*ns,
>>>>>        chunks=[0,1]*ns)
>>>>>    cv = CrossValidation(LinearCSVMC(), NFoldPartitioner(),
>>>>>                         enable_ca=['stats'])
>>>>>    cv(ds).samples
>>>>>    print cv.ca.stats
>>>>>
>>>>> yields
>>>>>
>>>>>    ----------.
>>>>>    predictions\targets  narrow   wide
>>>>>                `------  ------  ------  P'  N' FP FN  PPV  NPV  TPR  SPC  
>>>>> FDR  MCC  AUC
>>>>>           narrow         100      74   174  26 74  0 0.57   1    1  0.26 
>>>>> 0.43 0.39 0.41
>>>>>            wide           0       26    26 174  0 74   1  0.57 0.26   1   
>>>>>  0  0.39 0.41
>>>>>    Per target:          ------  ------
>>>>>             P            100     100
>>>>>             N            100     100
>>>>>             TP           100      26
>>>>>             TN            26     100
>>>>>    Summary \ Means:     ------  ------ 100 100 37 37 0.79 0.79 0.63 0.63 
>>>>> 0.21 0.39 0.41
>>>>>           CHI^2         123.04 p=1.7e-26
>>>>>            ACC           0.63
>>>>>            ACC%           63
>>>>>         # of sets         2
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> I bet with a bit of creativity, classifier-dependent cases of similar
>>>>> cases could be found for linear underlying models.
>>>>>
>>>>> Cheers,
>>>>>
>>>>> On Sat, 28 Jan 2012, Michael Waskom wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Hi Folks,
>>>>>
>>>>>> I hope you don't mind a question that's a mix of general machine
>>>>>> learning and scikit-learn. I'm happy to kick it over to metaoptimize,
>>>>>> but I'm not 100% sure I'm doing everything "right" from a scikit-learn
>>>>>> perspective so I thought it best to ask here first.
>>>>>
>>>>>> I'm doing classification of fMRI data using logistic regression.  I've
>>>>>> been playing around with things for the past couple days and was
>>>>>> getting accuracies right around or slightly above chance, which was
>>>>>> disappointing.
>>>>>> Initially, my code looked a bit like this:
>>>>>
>>>>>> pipeline = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", 
>>>>>> LogisticRegression())])
>>>>>> cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(labels)
>>>>>> acc = cross_val_score(pipeline, X, y, cv=cv).mean()
>>>>>> print acc
>>>>>
>>>>>> 0.358599857854
>>>>>
>>>>>> Labels are an int in [1, 4] specifying which fmri run each sample came
>>>>>> from, and y has three classes.
>>>>>
>>>>>> When I went to inspect the predictions being made, though, I realized
>>>>>> in each split one class was almost completely dominating:
>>>>>
>>>>>> cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(labels)
>>>>>> for train, test in cv:
>>>>>>     pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", 
>>>>>> LogisticRegression())])
>>>>>>     print histogram(pipe.fit(X[train], y[train]).predict(X[test]), 3)[0]
>>>>>
>>>>>> [58  0 11]
>>>>>> [67  0  3]
>>>>>> [ 0 70  0]
>>>>>> [ 0 67  0]
>>>>>
>>>>>> Which doesn't seem right at all.  I realized that if I disregard the
>>>>>> labels and just run 5-fold cross validation, though, the balance of
>>>>>> predictions looks much more like what I would expect:
>>>>>
>>>>>> cv = KFold(len(y), 5)
>>>>>> for train, test in cv:
>>>>>>     pipe = Pipeline([("scale", Scaler()), ("classify", 
>>>>>> LogisticRegression())])
>>>>>>     print histogram(pipe.fit(X[train], y[train]).predict(X[test]), 3)[0]
>>>>>
>>>>>> [22 16 17]
>>>>>> [25 14 16]
>>>>>> [17 25 13]
>>>>>> [36  6 13]
>>>>>> [37  9 10]
>>>>>
>>>>>> (Although note the still relative dominance of the first class).  When
>>>>>> I go back and run the full analysis this way, I get accuracies more in
>>>>>> line with what I would have expected from previous fMRI studies in
>>>>>> this domain.
>>>>>
>>>>>> My design is slow event-related, so my samples should be independent
>>>>>> at least as far as HRF-blurring is considered.
>>>>>
>>>>>> I'm not considering error trials so the number of samples for each
>>>>>> class is not perfectly balanced, but participants are near ceiling and
>>>>>> thus they are very close:
>>>>>
>>>>>> cv = LeaveOneLabelOut(labels)
>>>>>> for train, test in cv:
>>>>>>     print histogram(y[train], 3)[0]
>>>>>
>>>>>> [71 67 69]
>>>>>> [71 68 67]
>>>>>> [70 69 67]
>>>>>> [70 69 70]
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>> Apologies for the long explanation.  Two questions, really:
>>>>>
>>>>>> 1) Does it look like I'm doing anything obviously wrong?
>>>>>
>>>>>> 2) If not, can you help me build some intuition about why this is
>>>>>> happening and what it means? Or suggest things I could look  at in my
>>>>>> data/code to identify the source of the problem?
>>>>>
>>>>>> I really appreciate it!  Aside from this befuddling issue, I've found
>>>>>> scikit-learn an absolute delight to use!
>>>>>
>>>>>> Best,
>>>>>> Michael
>>>>> --
>>>>> =------------------------------------------------------------------=
>>>>> Keep in touch                                     www.onerussian.com
>>>>> Yaroslav Halchenko                 www.ohloh.net/accounts/yarikoptic
>>>>>
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