the wealth effect

2002-08-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

Monetary policy is said to influence aggregate demand via:
1) the wealth effect regarding consumer spending
2) the interest rate effect, as a lower price level increases savings
3) the exchange rate effect.

Keynesians claim that the wealth effect is small, because money holdings are
a minor part of household wealth.
The exchange-rate effect is minor.
Therefore the interest rate effect is the greatest of the three and thus the
most important cause of the downward-sloping aggregate demand as the price
level drops and output rises.

But, contra Keynesianism, it seems to me that the wealth effect on households
is the greatest of these, since what matters is MV, not money holdings at
some moment in time.  With lower prices, the flow of income MV buys more
stuff, and that should swamp the interest rate effect.

If Keynesians are correct, I'd be interested in an explanation.

Fred Foldvary

=
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Re: North on ideology

2002-08-16 Thread john hull

--- Kevin Carson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
One neocon recently argued that anyone who does not
support Isreael is, by definition, an antisemite,
because Israel is the Jewish national homeland.

Which is ironic in that Arabs are Semitic as well. 
Picking sides in the conflict is not anti- or
pro-Semitic, any more than hating the Scots and loving
the Welsh is anti-British.  Go figure.

-jsh


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AD and the wealth eff

2002-08-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

The aggregate demand curve, plotting price level against output, is said to
slope down because of the wealth effect on households, the interest rate on
investment, and the exchange-rate effect on exports.

Keynesians claim the interest rate effect - savings rising when prices fall -
is more important than the household wealth effect because money holdings are
a small part of hh wealth.

But, contra Keynesians, it seems to me that what matters for household wealth
is MV as a flow, not money stocks at some moment.  As households buy more
stuff at lower prices, the share of income going to them, hence the money
flow (M times velocity), would seem to matter more than the minor amount of
extra purchasing power saved.  So the hh wealth effect should be greater than
the added investment due to lower interest rates. 

If anyone thinks the Keynesians are correct, I'd be interested in the
explanation of why my argument is not.

Fred Foldvary

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RE: how to eliminate unemployement

2002-08-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

--- Kevin Carson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I know Georgists support land taxes (or community collection of rent, if
 you prefer) to fund services.  That is one of my central points of
 disagreement.
 
 Ideally, taxes should be eliminated altogether.

In which case you yourself are 80% Georgist, because if taxes there be not,
then landowners will bear the major cost of infrastructure now paid for by
the taxation of labor and capital.  That will deflate their land value, now
puffed up by the capitalization of neighborhood benefits they don't pay for.
The rent would be collected by the private providers, but such rent-based
public finance is Georgist nonetheless.  This is how condominiums, homeowner
associations, hotels, and other real-estate complexes operate today, so this
is not just hypothetical.

 I suspect that there are very 
 few (if any) true public goods, that cannot be internalized and paid
 for entirely by those who use them.

Agreed.  Everything, including government itself, can be privatized or
voluntarized.  A purely privatized world would be much closer to Georgism
than today's world.  Indeed, the most feasible reform towards Georgism is the
privatization of civic governance.  Presumably you do not disagree with the
central aim of Georgism, free trade.

Fred Foldvary 


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Re: Nations as Corporations--how to price?

2002-08-16 Thread john hull

Suppose, for the sake of argument, that you wish to
speculate in U.S. Citizenship Stocks, UCS for
short--pronounced yuks.  By low  sell high, and all
that sort of thing.

Assume that:
1. An individual is free to own many UCS
2. Non-human legal entities may own UCS
3. There is no legally recognized disenfranchised
class, in line w/ Mr. Hanson's affirmation that one
may be stopped and asked for proof of citizenship. 
Anyone without at least one UCS who cannot be deported
is shot on sight.  Fatally.

As a speculator in UCS, how would you go about
estimating a fair price?  Do you think taking the
break-up value of the States gives the fair price?

Recall that one must be able to go somewhere after
selling; no foreign visa, no sale.

Terminally curious,
jsh


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Breakup value WAS Nations as Corporations

2002-08-16 Thread Michael Etchison

Eric Crampton:

The break-up value shouldn't be less than the value of the assets in
the country

Only if the New Institutionlaists are all wet about asset specificity.
Me, I think that the value of individual assets is _embedded_ in
specific locations, relations, uses, contracts, plans, etc.

Michael

Michael E. Etchison
Texas Wholesale Power Report
MLE Consulting
www.mleconsulting.com
1423 Jackson Road
Kerrville, TX 78028
(830) 895-4005





Re: Savings Rates

2002-08-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

 Hence the
 rise in the value of a painting is zero-sum for society. 
 
 can't 
 the same can't be said of the appreciation in any tangible asset, such as 
 real estate?
 David

Yes.

The point is to differentiate a change in net worth due to appreciation from
a change of net worth due to saving income.

Fred Foldvary 


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Accounting data

2002-08-16 Thread Tim James

I was wondering if anybody knew of work relating to the reliability of
accounts data given the recent cases of alleged corporate
mismanagement/fraud.  I am a bit of a novice in the area so if there is even
anything that is old that would be helpful too.

Tim James.






Re: Savings Rates

2002-08-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

--- William Dickens [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Economic income is consumption plus the change in net worth 
 
 Not in national income and product accounts.

Right.  National income accounts track *accounting* income, not
*economic* income.

The economic meaning of income is the Haig-Simmons meaning,
consumption plus the change in wealth.

 Further, if you want savings to be equal to the flow of investment in the
 NIPA then you can't include change in asset value in your income
 calculation.

Right.  For the economy, a change in asset value is not income, because the
increase in income to the owner is offset by a liability for the rest of
society, since the next buyer will have to give up more assets to acquire the
appreciated asset.

Fred Foldvary

=
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RE: how to eliminate unemployement

2002-08-16 Thread Jacob W Braestrup

Kevin Carson wrote

By funding services out of general 
 revenue, we break the market price system's feedback link that tells 
the 
 consumer the real cost of what he consumes, and lets him adjust his 
level of 
 consumption on the basis of the price signal.  I suspect that there 
are very 
 few (if any) true public goods, that cannot be internalized and 
paid for 
 entirely by those who use them.
 

Many of the (good) features of the market could be restored to the 
payment of government, if the collection of taxes were kept as local as 
possible. That way, people would be (more) able to vote with their feet.
This could also allow communities to experiment with different kinds of 
taxes, allowing e.g. the georgists to prove the superiority (if any) of 
their system of land value taxation.

In some sense, local tax collecting communities would then act as 
competing corporations – to link this thread with the other topic 
floating around on the list

- jacob braestrup






Re: Nations as Corporations

2002-08-16 Thread rhanson

Hi.  I'm on vacation, and can't respond to this thread much now, but 
will when I get back in a week and a half.  But for now let me confirm 
that we can think of this discussion in two steps.   One, assuming that 
a CEO maximized share value of a nation, what would they do wrong or 
right.  And two, what institutions could get them to maximize share 
value.  The first question is interesting even if we don't know the 
answer to the second question. 

Robin D. Hanson, Asst Prof Economics, hanson.gmu.edu  
MSN 1D3, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA 22030
 
 --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I feel fairly confident in believing, however, that
 he did not mean that the financial incentives would
 produce CEOs with a militaristic or glory-seeking
 bent.
 
 So do i.




Re: how to eliminate unemployement

2002-08-16 Thread AdmrlLocke


In a message dated 8/16/02 11:50:09 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 In some sense, local tax collecting communities would then act as 

competing corporations – to link this thread with the other topic 

floating around on the list


- jacob braestrup 

In some sense they do already.  New York City, for instance, imposes a local 
income tax, and more people flee to the suburbs.  On the flip side, you find 
Iowa, Tennessee and Massachusetts (or some other state) offering tax 
reduction or elimination to a large corporation that will build a new plant 
in their state.  Some of the locals may object to a newcomer paying lower 
taxes than the locals do already, and in some cases this may lead people to 
moving to states where the tax for the average joe (or business) is lower 
than in the state granting the special exemptions.  

Still there are other considerations besides tax rates, like crime rates, 
weather, ranking of the government-monopoly school system versus other 
government-monopoly school systems, proximity to family, and locale 
prejudices.  Having lived in Chicago, Denver, Iowa City and now Fairfax, 
Virginia  I've found that people have very strong prejudices about some 
places.  When I moved to Denver many family and friends in Chicago treated me 
as a traitor.  Nonetheless many family and friends came to visit me in 
Denver, which has the reputation of being a cool place.  (Note: you can 
tell that people consider a place cool if it's featured in beer commercials.) 
 I found that in Denver people came to visit me whether I wanted them to or 
not.  When I moved to Iowa, I got ribbed incessantly at first about whether 
they had flush toilets (they do) and a John Deere dealership on the corner 
(actually it was two corners away) etc.  In Iowa City I came to know many 
families after whom streets were named--the Danes, the Gilpins, etc--whom I 
couldn't see moving regardless of what taxes anyone imposed on them.

I confess I don't have a clue what any of that means.  ;-)

David