Fw: cost of subsidizing a prodigal son

2002-12-10 Thread Alypius Skinner






  In my opinion, here is another fine 
  example of domestic political expedience triumphing over economic 
  rationality. Of course, money isn't everything, but one also has to ask: 
  what will we ultimately have to show for our national "investment?" And why do 
  our politicians persist in throwing good money after bad when it is so 
  obviously counterproductive? Might this be an example of the special interest 
  influence we were discussing a few days ago in the "median voter" 
  thread?
  
  ~Alypius
  http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/1209/p16s01-wmgn.htmlSince 1973, Israel has cost the United States about 
  $1.6 trillion By David R. Francis | 
  Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor Since 1973, Israel has 
  cost the United States about $1.6 trillion. If divided by today's population, 
  that is more than $5,700 per person. This is an estimate by Thomas 
  Stauffer, a consulting economist in Washington. For decades, his analyses of 
  the Middle East scene have made him a frequent thorn in the side of the Israel 
  lobby.For the first time in many years, Mr. Stauffer has tallied the 
  total cost to the US of its backing of Israel in its drawn-out, violent 
  dispute with the Palestinians. So far, he figures, the bill adds up to more 
  than twice the cost of the Vietnam War.And now Israel wants more. In a 
  meeting at the White House late last month, Israeli officials made a pitch for 
  $4 billion in additional military aid to defray the rising costs of dealing 
  with the intifada and suicide bombings. They also asked for more than $8 
  billion in loan guarantees to help the country's recession-bound 
  economy.Considering Israel's deep economic troubles, Stauffer doubts 
  the Israel bonds covered by the loan guarantees will ever be repaid. The bonds 
  are likely to be structured so they don't pay interest until they reach 
  maturity. If Stauffer is right, the US would end up paying both principal and 
  interest, perhaps 10 years out.Israel's request could be part of a 
  supplemental spending bill that's likely to be passed early next year, perhaps 
  wrapped in with the cost of a war with Iraq.Israel is the largest 
  recipient of US foreign aid. It is already due to get $2.04 billion in 
  military assistance and $720 million in economic aid in fiscal 2003. It has 
  been getting $3 billion a year for years.Adjusting the official aid to 
  2001 dollars in purchasing power, Israel has been given $240 billion since 
  1973, Stauffer reckons. In addition, the US has given Egypt $117 billion and 
  Jordan $22 billion in foreign aid in return for signing peace treaties with 
  Israel."Consequently, politically, if not administratively, those 
  outlays are part of the total package of support for Israel," argues Stauffer 
  in a lecture on the total costs of US Middle East policy, commissioned by the 
  US Army War College, for a recent conference at the University of 
  Maine.These foreign-aid costs are well known. Many Americans would 
  probably say it is money well spent to support a beleagured democracy of some 
  strategic interest. But Stauffer wonders if Americans are aware of the full 
  bill for supporting Israel since some costs, if not hidden, are little 
  known.One huge cost is not secret. It is the higher cost of oil and 
  other economic damage to the US after Israel-Arab wars.In 1973, for 
  instance, Arab nations attacked Israel in an attempt to win back territories 
  Israel had conquered in the 1967 war. President Nixon resupplied Israel with 
  US arms, triggering the Arab oil embargo against the US.That shortfall 
  in oil deliveries kicked off a deep recession. The US lost $420 billion (in 
  2001 dollars) of output as a result, Stauffer calculates. And a boost in oil 
  prices cost another $450 billion.Afraid that Arab nations might use their 
  oil clout again, the US set up a Strategic Petroleum Reserve. That has 
  since cost, conservatively, $134 billion, Stauffer reckons.Other US help 
  includes:• US Jewish charities and organizations have remitted grants 
  or bought Israel bonds worth $50 billion to $60 billion. Though private in 
  origin, the money is "a net drain" on the United States economy, says 
  Stauffer.• The US has already guaranteed $10 billion in commercial 
  loans to Israel, and $600 billion in "housing loans." Stauffer expects the US 
  Treasury to cover these.• The US has given $2.5 billion to support 
  Israel's Lavi fighter and Arrow missile projects.• Israel buys 
  discounted, serviceable "excess" US military equipment. Stauffer says these 
  discounts amount to "several billion dollars" over recent years.• 
  Israel uses roughly 40 percent of its $1.8 billion per year in military aid, 
  ostensibly earmarked for purchase of US weapons, to buy Israeli-made hardware. 
  It also has won the right to require the Defense Department or US defense 
  contractors to buy Israeli-made equipment or subsystems, paying 50 to 60 cents 
  

RE: cost of subsidizing a prodigal son

2002-12-10 Thread Pinczewski-Lee, Joe (LRC)





  And why do our politicians persist in 
throwing good money after bad when it is so obviously 
counterproductive?  Is NOT intuitively obvious. As a Zionist, 
albeit a supporter of the Oslo Process, I would ask why the support of 
Israel is so obviously counter-productive? Can you name 
any ARAB/African nation that has supported the US consistently for the last 
54 years? Various REGIMES have, until their overthrow, but almost no 
nations, Somalia under Barre, but not his predecessor, Ethiopia under Haile 
Selassee (sp.), but not Mengistu, Egypt under Farouk, but not after Nasser, 
Iraq in the 1950's but not after the Ba'ath Revolution. All of which 
points out that Israel represents a functioning, liberal democracy, with 
strong human rights guarantees for ALL its citizens, unlike its 
neighbors. So, why is it so obviously counterproductive to provide 
support for Israel?
 The story highlight the connection between 
domestic politics and international relations, to an extent. Israel's 
biggest supporters, in the last 15-20 years have been REPUBLICANS, though 
Jews tend to vote overwhelmingly for Democrats, so even this is not amenable 
to a simplistic Marxian Dance with the one what brung you 
analysis.
-Original Message-From: 
Alypius Skinner [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]Sent: Tuesday, 
December 10, 2002 1:14 PMTo: [EMAIL PROTECTED]Subject: 
Fw: cost of subsidizing a prodigal son



In my opinion, here is another fine 
example of domestic political expedience triumphing over economic 
rationality. Of course, money isn't everything, but one also has 
to ask: what will we ultimately have to show for our national 
investment? And why do our politicians persist in throwing 
good money after bad when it is so obviously counterproductive? Might 
this be an example of the special interest influence we were discussing 
a few days ago in the median voter thread?

~Alypius
http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/1209/p16s01-wmgn.htmlSince 1973, Israel has cost the United States 
about $1.6 trillion By 
David R. 
Francis | Staff writer 
of The Christian Science Monitor Since 1973, Israel has cost the 
United States about $1.6 trillion. If divided by today's population, 
that is more than $5,700 per person. This is an estimate by 
Thomas Stauffer, a consulting economist in Washington. For decades, his 
analyses of the Middle East scene have made him a frequent thorn in the 
side of the Israel lobby.For the first time in many years, Mr. 
Stauffer has tallied the total cost to the US of its backing of Israel 
in its drawn-out, violent dispute with the Palestinians. So far, he 
figures, the bill adds up to more than twice the cost of the Vietnam 
War.And now Israel wants more. In a meeting at the White House 
late last month, Israeli officials made a pitch for $4 billion in 
additional military aid to defray the rising costs of dealing with the 
intifada and suicide bombings. They also asked for more than $8 billion 
in loan guarantees to help the country's recession-bound 
economy.Considering Israel's deep economic troubles, Stauffer 
doubts the Israel bonds covered by the loan guarantees will ever be 
repaid. The bonds are likely to be structured so they don't pay interest 
until they reach maturity. If Stauffer is right, the US would end up 
paying both principal and interest, perhaps 10 years 
out.Israel's request could be part of a supplemental spending 
bill that's likely to be passed early next year, perhaps wrapped in with 
the cost of a war with Iraq.Israel is the largest recipient of US 
foreign aid. It is already due to get $2.04 billion in military 
assistance and $720 million in economic aid in fiscal 2003. It has been 
getting $3 billion a year for years.Adjusting the official aid 
to 2001 dollars in purchasing power, Israel has been given $240 billion 
since 1973, Stauffer reckons. In addition, the US has given Egypt $117 
billion and Jordan $22 billion in foreign aid in return for signing 
peace treaties with Israel.Consequently, politically, if 
not administratively, those outlays are part of the total package of 
support for Israel, argues Stauffer in a lecture on the total 
costs of US Middle East policy, commissioned by the US Army War College, 
for a recent conference at the University of Maine.These 
foreign-aid costs are well known. Many Americans would probably say it 
is money well spent to support a beleagured democracy of some strategic 
interest. But Stauffer wonders if Americans are aware of 

RE: cost of subsidizing a prodigal son

2002-12-10 Thread Driessnack, John









.obviously counterproductive?
Why? You see NO benefits at all from these expenditures, is not one the
fall of the Soviet Union? We countered each effort of the Soviet Union to expand in the cold
war. So funds spent back as far as 1973 helped in that
effort. Is fall of USSR a benefit that was worth paying? Was it worth stopping
Soviet Expansion and supporting a democratic society in the Middle East? Do we not benefit
from the more free market societies around the world post USSR? We can argue on the
value, but to imply we got nothing is a little one sided. Along with
other benefits do they counterbalance the costs? Does more
investment increase those benefits or assure continuation of prior benefits?




The article is very one sides. Talks
to lost jobs by Israel block of weapons purchase by Saudi Arabia but doesnt
recognize jobs from weapons sales to Israel. Blame the oil embargo on Israel. Scherers
book on industries has a good chapter on oil industry and the embargos that
never mentions Israel. I think appropriately so. 



jdd





John D Driessnack, PMP, CCE/A

Professor, Defense Acquisition University





-Original Message-
From: Alypius Skinner
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] 
Sent: Tuesday,
 December 10, 2002 1:14 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Fw: cost of subsidizing a
prodigal son





















In my
opinion, here is another fine example of domestic political expedience
triumphing over economic rationality. Of course, money isn't everything,
but one also has to ask: what will we ultimately have to show for our national
investment? And why do our politicians persist in throwing good
money after bad when it is so obviously counterproductive? Might this be an
example of the special interest influence we were discussing a few days ago in
the median voter thread?











~Alypius






http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/1209/p16s01-wmgn.html

Since 1973, Israel has cost the United States about $1.6 trillion 

By David R. Francis | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor 

Since 1973, Israel has cost the United States about $1.6 trillion. If divided
by today's population, that is more than $5,700 per person. 

This is an estimate by Thomas Stauffer, a consulting economist in Washington.
For decades, his analyses of the Middle East scene have made him a frequent
thorn in the side of the Israel lobby.

For the first time in many years, Mr. Stauffer has tallied the total cost to
the US of its backing of Israel in its drawn-out, violent dispute with the
Palestinians. So far, he figures, the bill adds up to more than twice the cost
of the Vietnam War.

And now Israel wants more. In a meeting at the White House late last month,
Israeli officials made a pitch for $4 billion in additional military aid to
defray the rising costs of dealing with the intifada and suicide bombings. They
also asked for more than $8 billion in loan guarantees to help the country's
recession-bound economy.

Considering Israel's deep economic troubles, Stauffer doubts the Israel bonds
covered by the loan guarantees will ever be repaid. The bonds are likely to be
structured so they don't pay interest until they reach maturity. If Stauffer is
right, the US would end up paying both principal and interest, perhaps 10 years
out.

Israel's request could be part of a supplemental spending bill that's likely to
be passed early next year, perhaps wrapped in with the cost of a war with Iraq.
Israel is the largest recipient of US foreign aid. It is already due to get
$2.04 billion in military assistance and $720 million in economic aid in fiscal
2003. It has been getting $3 billion a year for years.

Adjusting the official aid to 2001 dollars in purchasing power, Israel has been
given $240 billion since 1973, Stauffer reckons. In addition, the US has given
Egypt $117 billion and Jordan $22 billion in foreign aid in return for signing
peace treaties with Israel.

Consequently, politically, if not administratively, those outlays are
part of the total package of support for Israel, argues Stauffer in a
lecture on the total costs of US Middle East policy, commissioned by the US
Army War College, for a recent conference at the University of Maine.

These foreign-aid costs are well known. Many Americans would probably say it is
money well spent to support a beleagured democracy of some strategic interest.
But Stauffer wonders if Americans are aware of the full bill for supporting
Israel since some costs, if not hidden, are little known.

One huge cost is not secret. It is the higher cost of oil and other economic
damage to the US after Israel-Arab wars.

In 1973, for instance, Arab nations attacked Israel in an attempt to win back
territories Israel had conquered in the 1967 war. President Nixon resupplied
Israel with US arms, triggering the Arab oil embargo against the US.

That shortfall in oil deliveries kicked off a deep recession. The US lost $420
billion (in 2001 dollars) of output as a result, Stauffer calculates. And