Re: Life Expectancy and Immigration

2002-01-28 Thread jim horsman




 At some point there must be a cross-over point.  If I live in Third
 Worldzania for 60 years, exposed to Typhus, Typhoid, Dengue Fever,
malaria,
 Plague, TB, and have been mal-nourished, THEN I move to the US I doubt my
 life expectancy, AS COMPARED TO AMERICANS, will be  all that great,
whereas
 if my parents bring me to the US when I'm 2 then my life expectancy really
 ought to be that of the average American of my socio-economic class.

what do you mean ought??
it is an empirical question and there is no reason to suppose that anomalies
pop up when the data is looked at.
i saw a study recently that makes my point.
there was a bad famine in the netherlands that ended in may of 1945.
babies born before may had  a low probabiliy of being fat.
those born 3 months after may, had a very great chance of being fat.  The
genes are the same, but what happened in the womb affects each of our lives.







Re: Life Expectancy and Immigration

2002-01-25 Thread jim horsman




 Life expectancy varies widely between countries.  When someone moves to
 a new country, what best predicts their lifespan?  Country of origin?
 Or country of destination?
 --
The country is not the determining factor for life expectancy.  Some
immigrants live like the country of origin and presumably they would have
life expectancies similar to said country.  Some immigrants live like the
host country and should have similar life expectancies.
2 caveats
1- genes matter
2- what happens in the womb is enormously important and must be taken into
consideration.




Re: Taliban Tipping Game

2001-11-14 Thread jim horsman

i have nothing to add, but a reading suggestion
tullock's war and revolution ca 1974
just an amazing book that talks about all of these issues.  


- Original Message - 
From: fabio guillermo rojas [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, November 14, 2001 6:40 PM
Subject: Taliban Tipping Game


 
 Armchair game theory: Does anybody here think that the war
 in Afghanistan can be characterized as a tipping game?
 Conscripted Taliban soldiers and residents of Taliban
 controlled areas could either support the Taliban or not,
 and are waiting for somebody else to move first. The first
 victory last week was signalled Taliban weakness, leading
 to a chain of defections and the eventual collapse of the 
 regime. 
 
 Any other game theoretic interpretations of this
 weeks events?
 
 Fabio
 




No Subject

2001-10-20 Thread jim horsman



Prof Cawley purports to show that white women 65 lbs. 
overweight earn 7% less than those that are of average white. This is 
equilvalent to 1 year of college or 2 years of continuous employment. The 
relation did not hold for blacks or Asians.
I would think that health factors may account for this 7%, 
though so many things affect one's income that 7% doesn't seem that 
much.

www.news.cornell.edu/releases/Oct01/weight.income.ssl.html



Re: Handicapping the 2001 Noble Prize in Economics

2001-09-21 Thread jim horsman



 Not to be picky, (I guess I am) but, isn't Tullock a lawyer by primary
 credential and training

sure, but we can define an economist as one who publishes in economic
journals.  Not too many more prolific than Gordon.




Re: Excessive drinking

2001-09-13 Thread jim horsman


Subject: Re: Excessive drinking


 When a good is made illegal consumers react by squeezing more
consumption into a shorter period of time in order to minimize the chances
of getting caught per unit of pleasure.  Thus, it is a common observation
that adults drink more often than teenagers but
 in less quantity (Thus, I have a glass of wine two to three times a week.
Even binge teenager drinkers probably binge only once a week.)  This idea is
the consumer side equivalent to the observation that prohibition increases
the incentives of seller's to push
 harder drugs (more dollar per oz thus reducing the chances of being
caught).

 Alex
 This general principle is correct, but with respect to teenage drinking  I
suspect it is misapplied.
The probability of legal action against teenage drinking is so small, I
can't imagine any teenager even thinking drinking is illegal.