Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-15 Thread debacker

So there maybe physical limits on certain technologies, but are there 
limits on human creativity in creating new technologies?  We may fill 
the capacity of a silicon chip, but what about a chip made of something 
organic? or some other yet unthought of way to store info?  Certain 
ideas may have finite limits, but is the number of idea finite?

Jason





Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-15 Thread Fred Foldvary

 So there maybe physical limits on certain technologies, but are there 
 limits on human creativity in creating new technologies?  We may fill 
 the capacity of a silicon chip, but what about a chip made of something 
 organic? or some other yet unthought of way to store info?  Certain 
 ideas may have finite limits, but is the number of idea finite?
 Jason

There are ultimate physical limits on the speed of data processing, but I
don't see why there are any limits on computer programs, and thus no limit to
software technology, even given hardware constraints.

Fred Foldvary

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Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-15 Thread Jon Cast


 There are ultimate physical limits on the speed of data processing,

Are there?  I mean, there are limits on how fast silicon can go, but
are there real limits on how fast /any/ material can go?

 but I don't see why there are any limits on computer programs, and
 thus no limit to software technology, even given hardware
 constraints.

Actually, there are hard limits on certain software technologies, same
as for hardware.  Comparison-based sorting can't use less than O(n
log(n)) comparisons, for example.

Of course, there are other algorithms that may or may not be faster in
your particular case, but specific technologies do possess hard limits.

Jon Cast
CS Student




Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-15 Thread Anton Sherwood

Fred Foldvary wrote
  There are ultimate physical limits on the speed of data processing,

Jon Cast wrote:
 Are there?  I mean, there are limits on how fast silicon can go,
 but are there real limits on how fast /any/ material can go?

Divide the diameter of a neutron by the speed of light:
you probably can't make a gate flip in less time than that.


  but I don't see why there are any limits on computer programs,
  and thus no limit to software technology, even given hardware
  constraints.
 
 Actually, there are hard limits on certain software technologies,
 same as for hardware.  Comparison-based sorting can't use less
 than O(n log(n)) comparisons, for example.  [...]

Quantum computing will break some of the rules, but it won't remove all
limits.


-- 
Anton Sherwood, http://www.ogre.nu/



Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-13 Thread Anton Sherwood

 --- Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Economic activity can't increase indefinitely,
 because eventually we'll have improved our technologies
 to the limits imposed by physics

Fred Foldvary wrote:
 I don't see why physics limits all technological progress.
 For example, someone could write improved software, and that
 would have nothing to do with physical limitations.  Engineering
 improvements can also be made within current knowledge of physics.
 ...

There are physical limits on the speed and energy-efficiency of
processors and on the capacity of data storage, and thus on the
complexity and efficiency of software.  Such limits have not yet been
approached, of course, but they're not infinitely far away.

The Tipler time-machine, if memory serves, is an example of a device
that ought to work if it could be built, but cannot be built because the
forces involved are (necessarily) great enough to break any possible
material.

-- 
Anton Sherwood, http://www.ogre.nu/



Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-10 Thread Fred Foldvary

--- Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Economic activity can't increase indefinitely, because eventually we'll
 have improved our technologies to the limits imposed by physics

I don't see why physics limits all technological progress.
For example, someone could write improved software, and that would have
nothing to do with physical limitations.  Engineering improvements can also
be made within current knowledge of physics.  Similar propositions apply to
biological knowledge.  New genetic combinations can be invented within the
current knowledge of basic biology.  Generally, it seems to me that
applications of a science can advance even if the science does not.

Fred Foldvary

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Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-09 Thread Anton Sherwood

John Perich wrote:
 . . . here's a thought: in six billion years, the sun will burn out,
 making all research into sustainability and environmental / resource
 economics a waste of time. . . .

Not a complete waste; the study will be useful toward
setting up ecosystems elsewhere.

-- 
Anton Sherwood, http://www.ogre.nu/



RE: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-09 Thread Hentrich, Steffen


JP wrote:
Actually, no, here's a thought: in six billion years, the sun will burn
out, 
making all research into stainability and environmental / resource 
economics a waste of time.  There's an obvious connection to entropy right

there.

-JP

As long as environmental and resource economics take a direct influence on
economic policy, productivity and welfare like other economic research you
could your thought give an extension: ...making all research in economics a
waste of time.

Probably you don't know, but the connection of entropy and economy is still,
obviously without relevance, a common concept in so called ecological
economics, a field of research with huge influence in environmental policy,
especially in Germany. Because I don't agree with that, I'm looking for
profound arguments against that costly influence. Your comment is right, but
for my audience probably not convincing.

Steffen  

-Original Message-
From: John Perich [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Monday, April 08, 2002 6:04 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: entropy and sustainability


Well, Fred beat me to the punch here on the smart-aleck response.  Unless 
you mean entropy as something other than the standard accepted definition 
- namely, a decrease in ordered energy on a thermodynamic level - then we 
can't help you.

Actually, no, here's a thought: in six billion years, the sun will burn out,

making all research into sustainability and environmental / resource 
economics a waste of time.  There's an obvious connection to entropy right 
there.

-JP


From: Fred Foldvary [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: entropy and sustainability
Date: Mon, 8 Apr 2002 08:10:59 -0700 (PDT)

  Dear armchairs,
  who among you knows something new about the consequence of entropy on
  sustainability and environmental/ressource economics (books, papers, 
etc.)?
  Steffen

I know something: any article on economics with the word entropy is 
likely
to be nonsense, unless it itself declares such articles nonsense.

Entropy says a closed system will dissipate into unavailable energy.
But the earth is not a closed system.  It keeps getting solar energy, and
therefore the biomass and economic activity can increase indefinitely, so
long as the sun continues to shine.

Fred Foldvary


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RE: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-09 Thread john hull

 Because I don't agree with
 that, I'm looking for
 profound arguments against that costly influence.



From Jean Bricmont's essay Science of Chaos or Chaos
in Science in _The Flight From Science and Reason_,
ed. Paul Gross, et al:

As discussed in Penrose [R. Penrose, 'The Emperor's
New Mind' and 'On the Second Law of Thermodynamics'],
the earth does not gain energy from the sun (that
energy is reradiated by the earth), but low entropy;
the sun sends (relatively) few high-energy photons,
and the earth reradiates more low-energy photons (in
such a way that the total energy is concerved). 
Expressed in terms of 'phase space,' the numerous
low-energy photons occupy a much bigger volume than
the incoming high-energy ones.  So the solar system,
as a whole, moves towards a larger part of its phase
space while the sun burns its fuel.

Nice, but is there a meaningful amount to cover all
human uses?  I turn to The Skeptical
Environmentalist by Bjorn Lomborg (though, since
environmentalists have equated him with holocoust
sympathizers, you will want to go to his source
material and avoid using his name), and look at figure
73 on page 133 (in the chapter on energy).  It shows,
inter alia, total annual [human] energy consumption
(400EJ), total plant photosynthesis (1,260EJ), and
ANNUAL solar radiation (2,895,000EJ).  

Taking that surplus of solar energy (2,895,000 -
1,260) and asking a physcist or chemist to interpret
that surplus in terms of entropy (if that's possible
or even meaningful), I think you will be able to show
that there is plenty of low entropy out there for
human consumption for a long time to come.  

Also, though not directly related, if you seek
discussions of entropy in lay-man's terms, you might
try turning to the creationist/evolution debate in the
States.  Creationists love to claim that evolution
violates entropy, so scientists have spent alot of
time explaining entropy in simple terms.  You could
try www.infidels.org and go to their library section,
also www.talkorigins.org has pages somewhere in their
site that discuss entropy.

Good luck!
jsh

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Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-09 Thread Wei Dai

On Mon, Apr 08, 2002 at 08:10:59AM -0700, Fred Foldvary wrote:
 Entropy says a closed system will dissipate into unavailable energy.

Entropy applies to open systems too. The way it works is, a given energy
source (the sun) and heat sink (outer space) allows you to remove so many
bits of entropy per second from your system, so that limits your
activities to producing no more than that many bits of entropy per second. 

 But the earth is not a closed system.  It keeps getting solar energy, and
 therefore the biomass and economic activity can increase indefinitely, so
 long as the sun continues to shine.

Economic activity can't increase indefinitely, because eventually we'll
have improved our technologies to the limits imposed by physics, and used
up every square inch of sunlight. At that point thermodynamics will
determine the ultimate limit on the rate of economic activity on Earth.

On Tue, Apr 09, 2002 at 11:35:31AM +0200, Hentrich, Steffen wrote:
 Probably you don't know, but the connection of entropy and economy is still,
 obviously without relevance, a common concept in so called ecological
 economics, a field of research with huge influence in environmental policy,
 especially in Germany. Because I don't agree with that, I'm looking for
 profound arguments against that costly influence. Your comment is right, but
 for my audience probably not convincing.

Can you cite a paper from this literature? Without knowing more it's hard
to tell if the concept of entropy is being used correctly or not.



Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-08 Thread Fred Foldvary

 Dear armchairs,
 who among you knows something new about the consequence of entropy on
 sustainability and environmental/ressource economics (books, papers, etc.)?
 Steffen

I know something: any article on economics with the word entropy is likely
to be nonsense, unless it itself declares such articles nonsense.

Entropy says a closed system will dissipate into unavailable energy.
But the earth is not a closed system.  It keeps getting solar energy, and
therefore the biomass and economic activity can increase indefinitely, so
long as the sun continues to shine.

Fred Foldvary


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Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-08 Thread John Perich

Well, Fred beat me to the punch here on the smart-aleck response.  Unless 
you mean entropy as something other than the standard accepted definition 
- namely, a decrease in ordered energy on a thermodynamic level - then we 
can't help you.

Actually, no, here's a thought: in six billion years, the sun will burn out, 
making all research into sustainability and environmental / resource 
economics a waste of time.  There's an obvious connection to entropy right 
there.

-JP


From: Fred Foldvary [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: entropy and sustainability
Date: Mon, 8 Apr 2002 08:10:59 -0700 (PDT)

  Dear armchairs,
  who among you knows something new about the consequence of entropy on
  sustainability and environmental/ressource economics (books, papers, 
etc.)?
  Steffen

I know something: any article on economics with the word entropy is 
likely
to be nonsense, unless it itself declares such articles nonsense.

Entropy says a closed system will dissipate into unavailable energy.
But the earth is not a closed system.  It keeps getting solar energy, and
therefore the biomass and economic activity can increase indefinitely, so
long as the sun continues to shine.

Fred Foldvary


=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

__
Do You Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Tax Center - online filing with TurboTax
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--
I'm never gonna work another day in my life.
The gods told me to relax; they said I'm gonna be fixed up right.
I'm never gonna work another day in my life.
I'm way too busy powertrippin', but I'm gonna shed you some light.

- Monster Magnet, Powertrip


_
Get your FREE download of MSN Explorer at http://explorer.msn.com/intl.asp.




Re: entropy and sustainability

2002-04-08 Thread Fred Foldvary

 Do you mean this even when entropy is used in the context of information
 theory?
 Gustavo

No, Claude Shannon's 
http://cm.bell-labs.com/cm/ms/what/shannonday/paper.html
usage, to separate noise from information, regards statistical entropy, a
measure of dispersion, a different meaning from theormodynamic entropy, which
was the environmental question.
From
http://www.csu.edu.au/ci/vol03/finalst3/node3.html#SECTION0003

The entropy is a property of a distribution over a discrete set of symbols.
It is strongly sensitive to the number or variety of the symbols and less so
to their relative probabilities of occurrence. The entropy of the sequence
has a number of equivalent interpretations. It is a measure of the complexity
of the random process that generates the sequence. It is the length of
shortest binary description of the states of the random variable that
generates the sequence, so it is the size of the most compressed description
of the sequence. It is the number of binary questions that need to be asked
(20 questions style) to determine the sequence. It also measures the average
surprise, or information gain, occasioned by the receipt of a symbol. In
other words, the entropy measures the complexity or variety of the random
variable that underlies a process. 

Fred Foldvary


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