Re: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-14 Thread Robin Hanson

As an economist who was once a physicist, I have to say that
there is quite a lot of difference between the kinds of
math economics and physics typically use.  Sure, they both
use calculus, but beyond that the similarities are scarce.

Differential equations across space and time dominate physics,
but have almost no place in economics.  In physics one almost
always knows the specific form of a function or differential
equation, while in economics one typically does not know the
specific functional forms, and so must reason in terms of
convexity etc., concepts that are foreign to most physicists.
Math of maximization dominates economics, but has only a side
supporting role in physics.  When physicists do maximize,
they almost never deal with non-interior solutions.  While
some basic concepts of information and probability are used in
thermodynamics, economists deal with these issues in far more
detail.


Robin Hanson  [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323



RE: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-14 Thread Robin Hanson

Walt Warnick wrote:
... the business cycle behaves strikingly like an automatic control
system that has a positive feedback loop and damping. ...
The parallel goes further. ... a stable automatic control system involving
continuous feedback can become unstable if that same feedback is, instead,
sampled.

Control theory is an application of single-agent decision theory, and since
economics is basically multi-agent decision theory, I'd say control theory
is closer to economics than to physics.  Of course one often needs to know
some details of the physics of the situation one is controlling, but usually
control problems are dominated by decision theory issues, not physics issues.


Robin Hanson  [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323



Re: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-13 Thread Seth H. Giertz

I just checked out *More Heat Than Light: Economics as
Social Physics:  Physics as Nature’s Economics*, also
by Philip Mirowski.

Here are a couple of quotes from the introduction that
I found interesting:

“One rapidly discovers that the resemblances of the
theories [of physics and economics] are uncanny, and
one reason they are uncanny is because the progenitors
of neoclassical economic theory boldly copied the
reigning physical theories in the 1870s.
...Neoclassicals did not imitate physics in a
desultory or superficial manner; no they copied their
models mostly term for term and symbol for symbol, and
said so.

“Neoclassical economics made savvy use of the
resonances between body, motion, and values by
engaging in a brazen daylight robbery:  The
Marginalists appropriated the mathematical formalisms
of mid-nineteenth century energy physics, ..., made
them their own by changing the labels on the
variables, and then trumpeted the triumph of a truly
‘scientific economics.’  Utility became the analogue
of potential energy; and the Marginalist
Revolutionaries marched off to do battle with
classical, Historicist, and Marxian economists. 
Unfortunately, there was one little oversight:  The
neoclassicals had neglected to appropriate the most
important part of the formalism, ... namely, the
conservation of energy.” (pp 3  9)

From skimming a couple of later chapters, it seems
Mirowski also finds a close relationship with later
20th century economics and 19th century physics.  (He
notes that on the surface Samuelson draws an analogous
relationship between modern physics and modern
economics, but when Mirowski digs deeper, he finds it
to be simply a variation of 19th century physics in
disguise.)  He seems to credit/blame Samuelson for
much of the 20th century development – at least that’s
what I gathered from reading a few pages here and
there.  

Seth Giertz

--- Ole J. Rogeberg [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
 I can give you a completely opposite reference :-)
 
 Philip Mirowski, in the Cambridge Journal of
 Economics, nr. 8, 1984, pp. 
 361-379 has an article Physics and the marginalist
 revolution, where he 
 argues that the similarities between the physics of
 the 1800s and the 
 economics of the 20th century results from
 economists taking the 
 mathematical models then in vogue and reinterpreting
 them in economic 
 terms. Neoclassical economics is bowdlerised
 nineteenth century physics. 
 The second part of his argument is that this is not
 reasonable.
 
 The article was fun, whatever one may think of the
 conclusions. Apparently, 
 this is a major theme of Mirowski. I gather that
 he's written on this 
 subject elsewhere too. And been strongly criticised
 by others, of course.
 
 Ole
 
 At 09:25 11.02.2002 -0800, you wrote:
 Dear all,
 
 I once heard about a paper by a physcist who
 juxtaposed the mathematical assumptions in
 economics
 with the mathematical assumptions in physics.
 Evidently the author found the assumptions in
 economics to be quite reasonable.  I've never been
 able to locate it.  Is anybody familiar with such a
 work, or anything similar?
 
 Curiously,
 jsh
 
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Re: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-13 Thread john hull

Thank you all for your comments and suggestions.  I
appreciate them very much!  I just re-read the rules
for the armchair mailing list, and I hope this is not
too methodological or whatever.  Sorry about that!

I actually have read Mirowski's More Heat Than Light
and found it quite informative.  Interestingly,
Richard Feynman, of all people, blew Mirowski's
arguments out of the water (ex ante) with an almost
throw-away line in his Physics Lectures.  He asked
himself why was math an appropriate tool for studying
physical models.  His answer was merely that math is a
pre-packaged, internally consistent logic that
physicists can apply to the aformentioned models. 
Hmm.  By extension, that reasoning seemed to apply to
economics quite well.  It seemed to me that Mirowski's
thesis was that math, specifically the math used in
neo-classical economics, is an inappropriate tool for
economic study because economics lacks a conservation
rule analogous to the conservation of energy in
Newtonian physics. However, if preferences are
constant over time, then the conservation rule should
be satisfied, right?  I think that is my weakest link.

I hope that last paragraph hasn't made me to appear a
bonehead answering his own questions.  (I'm boneheaded
enough without doing that.)  I guess what I was
origially wondering was not Is math appropriate? 
But rather, given that math is appropriate, are the
assumptions about rationality, preferences, convexity,
continuity, inter alia, as well as some of the more ad
hoc assumptions of many macro models as reasonable as
the assumtions made in the king of all sciences? 
Obviously, I'm not really sure how to phrase the
question in the most clear manner.  I apologize for
that.

If this question is inappropriate for this forum,
please let me know.

Thanks again,
jsh 



--- Seth H. Giertz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I just checked out *More Heat Than Light: Economics
 as
 Social Physics:  Physics as Nature’s Economics*,
 also
 by Philip Mirowski.
 
 Here are a couple of quotes from the introduction
 that
 I found interesting:
 
 “One rapidly discovers that the resemblances of the
 theories [of physics and economics] are uncanny, and
 one reason they are uncanny is because the
 progenitors
 of neoclassical economic theory boldly copied the
 reigning physical theories in the 1870s.
 ...Neoclassicals did not imitate physics in a
 desultory or superficial manner; no they copied
 their
 models mostly term for term and symbol for symbol,
 and
 said so.
 
 “Neoclassical economics made savvy use of the
 resonances between body, motion, and values by
 engaging in a brazen daylight robbery:  The
 Marginalists appropriated the mathematical
 formalisms
 of mid-nineteenth century energy physics, ..., made
 them their own by changing the labels on the
 variables, and then trumpeted the triumph of a truly
 ‘scientific economics.’  Utility became the analogue
 of potential energy; and the Marginalist
 Revolutionaries marched off to do battle with
 classical, Historicist, and Marxian economists. 
 Unfortunately, there was one little oversight:  The
 neoclassicals had neglected to appropriate the most
 important part of the formalism, ... namely, the
 conservation of energy.” (pp 3  9)
 
 From skimming a couple of later chapters, it seems
 Mirowski also finds a close relationship with later
 20th century economics and 19th century physics. 
 (He
 notes that on the surface Samuelson draws an
 analogous
 relationship between modern physics and modern
 economics, but when Mirowski digs deeper, he finds
 it
 to be simply a variation of 19th century physics in
 disguise.)  He seems to credit/blame Samuelson for
 much of the 20th century development – at least
 that’s
 what I gathered from reading a few pages here and
 there.  
 
 Seth Giertz
 
 --- Ole J. Rogeberg [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
  I can give you a completely opposite reference :-)
  
  Philip Mirowski, in the Cambridge Journal of
  Economics, nr. 8, 1984, pp. 
  361-379 has an article Physics and the
 marginalist
  revolution, where he 
  argues that the similarities between the physics
 of
  the 1800s and the 
  economics of the 20th century results from
  economists taking the 
  mathematical models then in vogue and
 reinterpreting
  them in economic 
  terms. Neoclassical economics is bowdlerised
  nineteenth century physics. 
  The second part of his argument is that this is
 not
  reasonable.
  
  The article was fun, whatever one may think of the
  conclusions. Apparently, 
  this is a major theme of Mirowski. I gather that
  he's written on this 
  subject elsewhere too. And been strongly
 criticised
  by others, of course.
  
  Ole
  
  At 09:25 11.02.2002 -0800, you wrote:
  Dear all,
  
  I once heard about a paper by a physcist who
  juxtaposed the mathematical assumptions in
  economics
  with the mathematical assumptions in physics.
  Evidently the author found the assumptions in
  economics to be quite reasonable.  I've never
 been