drink prices

2002-02-09 Thread john hull

Two things about drink prices come to my mind, at
least one of which has been mentioned.
1. People go to bars for atmoshpere as well as booze,
so perhaps price can vary without affecting the
purchase decision too much.
2. Think of bars as falling into three classes:
trendy, dive, and regular.  Within each class, prices
tend to be competitive.  People understand this.  In
my own experience, I recall being quite concerned with
drink prices soon after turning 21, but over time I
(unconconsiously) used Baye's rule to determine that
drink prices are pretty much the same within bar
class.  I no longer ask for prices at bars.  It's not
because I have more income, I don't, it's because I
know that drink prices do not vary much, and that
conclusion has largely held true--thus strengthening
that 'belief.'  

The application of Baye's rule in #2 also explains the
woman's outrage: the $13 price for a drink was
probably completely out of whack with her experince. 
What it does make me wonder is why people can be so
concerned about shopping around for the lowest
gasoline prices.  Perchance #1 comes into play here? 
Gas purchasers are purchasing gas only, without the atmosphere?

__
Do You Yahoo!?
Send FREE Valentine eCards with Yahoo! Greetings!
http://greetings.yahoo.com



RE: drink prices

2002-02-04 Thread Mark Draughn

Prof. Bryan Caplan Writes:
[...]
> Joel Simon Grus wrote:
>
> > (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> > (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)
>
> Hotel phone calls.

Before single-price nationwide long distance became popular,
people used to buy all long distance calls this way.  In theory,
you could call the operator for a rate quote, but most of the time
people just placed their calls.

Some anecdotal reports:

I've visited a number of web stores where the shipping charges
were added on after you authorized payment with a credit card.
(Yes, I got burned on one of these.)

I think people often tell their auto mechanic to just fix the problem
without quoting a price.  I usually tell mine to call me only if the
price will exceed a few hundred dollars.  (I don't have the time to
price-shop for repairs to the car I use to get to work.)

I can't ever remember my doctor and I discussing prices before he
runs a test or does a procedure.  On the other hand, my dentist
always told me the cost of anything unusual, and sometime offered
several approachs.

Mark Draughn  --  [EMAIL PROTECTED]





Re: drink prices

2002-02-04 Thread fabio guillermo rojas


Actually, I've dealt with this situation and it's quite different than
the drink at a bar. When you hire a (decent) carpenter, they will
tell you what additional labor cost, should it be required. A reputable
contractor will have this written out before hand, and you will
have signed an agreement saying you know extra work might be reuqired
@ $X per hour. Contracts are used to control uncertainty.

However, when you order a drink/make a hotel call, there is often
no menu, or its hidden. People seem to operate with a price range in mind
that is acceptable to them. 

Fabio

> There are also many situations where the price can change, and alter prior
> price agreements.  Suppose you hire a carpenter to fix a stairway.  He quotes
> you a price.  But halfway thru the job, the carpenter discovers rotten pieces
> that were not previously known, that have to be replaced, and the price
> increases.  You have already contracted and paid some of the expenses; most
> folks will just go along with reasonable price changes.  So often, in such
> cases, we really don't know the final price.
> 
> Fred Foldvary 




Re: drink prices

2002-02-04 Thread Fred Foldvary

> > (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> Hotel phone calls.
> Also, in restaurants people often order drinks before they see the menu.
> Prof. Bryan Caplan

There are also many situations where the price can change, and alter prior
price agreements.  Suppose you hire a carpenter to fix a stairway.  He quotes
you a price.  But halfway thru the job, the carpenter discovers rotten pieces
that were not previously known, that have to be replaced, and the price
increases.  You have already contracted and paid some of the expenses; most
folks will just go along with reasonable price changes.  So often, in such
cases, we really don't know the final price.

Fred Foldvary 


=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

__
Do You Yahoo!?
Great stuff seeking new owners in Yahoo! Auctions! 
http://auctions.yahoo.com



RE: drink prices

2002-02-04 Thread Hentrich, Steffen

Why do people not reject decisions, which with hindsight are unfavourable?
The "drink order paradox" seems to be similar to the subject of following
paper:

"Illusion of Expertise in Portfolio Decisions: An Experimental
 Approach"

GERLINDE FELLNER, WERNER GUETH, BORIS MACIEJOVSKY

ABSTRACT:
 Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky
 assets. Each combination of assets yields the same expected
 return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails
 when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After
 being randomly assigned to groups of four, subjects are asked to
 elect their "expert" based on responses to a prior decision
 task. Using the random price mechanism reveals that 64% of the
 subjects prefer their own portfolio over the average group
 portfolio or the expert's portfolio. Illusion of expertise is
 shown to be stable individually, over alternatives, and for both
 eliciting methods, willingness to pay and to accept.

 Keywords: Investment Decisions, Portfolio Selection,
 Overconfidence, Unrealistic Optimism, Illusion of Control,
 Endowment Effect
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=296121

Steffen

-Original Message-
From: Bryan D Caplan [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Monday, February 04, 2002 4:55 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: drink prices


Joel Simon Grus wrote:

> (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)

Hotel phone calls.

Also, in restaurants people often order drinks before they see the menu.

-- 
Prof. Bryan Caplan
   Department of Economics  George Mason University
http://www.bcaplan.com  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
   "Who are they?  Why are they running?  Could they be coming to 
me?  Really coming to me?  And why?  To kill me?  *Me* whom 
everyone loves?"
Leo Tolstoy, *War and Peace*



Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread Bryan D Caplan

Joel Simon Grus wrote:

> (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)

Hotel phone calls.

Also, in restaurants people often order drinks before they see the menu.

-- 
Prof. Bryan Caplan
   Department of Economics  George Mason University
http://www.bcaplan.com  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
   "Who are they?  Why are they running?  Could they be coming to 
me?  Really coming to me?  And why?  To kill me?  *Me* whom 
everyone loves?"
Leo Tolstoy, *War and Peace*



Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread Dan Lewis


It seems that there is little opportunity for price-ignorant purchases.  At
almost any store -- supermarket, hardware store, etc. -- the prices are out
there to begin with.  There seems to be significant incentive for the
stores to do that, because sooner or later the consumer will find out the
price, and, if they do not want the item at that time, can refuse to
purchase it (requiring the store to re-shelf the item, have workers who are
able to handle higher levels of customer interaction, etc).

As for restaurants, well, in some places a burger is $0.99.  In others,
$6.99.  From bar to bar, drink prices are roughly the same, I think.

The only other place I've seen this is at a coffee bar, or, more precisely,
when people order coffee.  Last night, for example:  I went out to dinner
w/some friends, and, after eating, the waitress asked if we'd like anything
else.  One friend got a coffee.  She didn't know how much it'd cost; there
was no menu in front of her, and she hadn't checked the price when we
ordered the food.  But she knew, roughly, how much the drink costed.

I'd assume the same is true at bars -- drinks aren't (usually) priced
differently from place to place.  My guess?

People don't go to bars for the beer (or coffee, etc.).  They go for the
atmosphere, to meet people, whatever.  Similarly, my friend didn't go to
the restaurant for coffee -- she went for the food.  Although I bet should
would have been pissed to find her coffee costing $13.

Dan Lewis
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



At 12:49 AM 2/3/02 -0600, you wrote:
>
>Last night I went to a bar, and the woman in front of me ordered a large,
>fancy drink.  It was poured, and the bartender said "$13.00," at which 
>point the woman objected.  "Sorry," said the bartender, "once it's poured, 
>there's nothing I can do."
>
>Many bars seem to have no price lists, and people generally seem willing 
>to order without first asking how much the drinks cost.
>
>(1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?  
>(I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)
>
>(2) Why does this happen in bars?
>
>- Joel
>
>




Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread Shadowgold

People often make "impulse purchases" at the supermarket as they proceed 
through checkout without knowing the price.  Indeed, the price is usually not 
even marked.  I suspect, however, that the explanation is different from the 
one I'd employ to explain the phenomenon you describe.  Impulse buys are 
quite inexpensive, almost by definition, and hence price sensitivity tends to 
be lower than it would be for a potenially expensive glass of alcohol.

--Brian Auriti
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread fabio guillermo rojas


Are you sure this is what happened? I'd guess that the woman
expected a range of price, and was shocked when when she found
out the drink was $13. 

> (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?  
> (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)

People are drunk and/or trying to have a good time. I think it's an
example of people with very short time horizons caused by drunkeness
or distracted by other events (televised sports, pool, flirting,
music, etc) If you wanted a biological explanation, I'd guess bars
are places where people's adrenaline goes up, they get excited
and lose their patience. 

> (2) Why does this happen in bars?
> 
> - Joel
> 




Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread Technotranscendence

On Sunday, February 03, 2002 1:49 AM Joel Simon Grus
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Last night I went to a bar, and the woman in front of me ordered a
large,
> fancy drink.  It was poured, and the bartender said "$13.00," at which
> point the woman objected.  "Sorry," said the bartender, "once it's
poured,
> there's nothing I can do."

Why didn't she just walk?  I'm sure the establishment wasn't going to a)
beat it out of her or b) press charges on her.

> Many bars seem to have no price lists, and people generally seem
willing
> to order without first asking how much the drinks cost.
>
> (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any
examples.)

Some restaurants where some or all prices are listed.  Usually, though,
there's an expectation of a certain price level.

> (2) Why does this happen in bars?

I'm not sure, but my guess is since people are likely to be having a
good time and not want to be a party pooper or to be inebriated and
therefore have impaired judgment, most are less likely to complain.

Cheers!

Daniel Ust
http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/




Re: drink prices

2002-02-03 Thread Bernard Girard

We experiment something similar in Europe to day with euro : we don't
know the prices in euro of what we buy. The conversion is often
difficult (an eurp = 6,59… French francs). We usually don't really
figure what we shall get as a salary (we were told but who remembers?).
It's a very strange experience. Almots every one is happy with it. It's
like a game with money.  

Joel Simon Grus a *crit :
> 
> Last night I went to a bar, and the woman in front of me ordered a large,
> fancy drink.  It was poured, and the bartender said "$13.00," at which
> point the woman objected.  "Sorry," said the bartender, "once it's poured,
> there's nothing I can do."
> 
> Many bars seem to have no price lists, and people generally seem willing
> to order without first asking how much the drinks cost.
> 
> (1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?
> (I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)
> 
> (2) Why does this happen in bars?
> 
> - Joel



drink prices

2002-02-02 Thread Joel Simon Grus


Last night I went to a bar, and the woman in front of me ordered a large,
fancy drink.  It was poured, and the bartender said "$13.00," at which 
point the woman objected.  "Sorry," said the bartender, "once it's poured, 
there's nothing I can do."

Many bars seem to have no price lists, and people generally seem willing 
to order without first asking how much the drinks cost.

(1) Where else do people buy things without knowing the price first?  
(I've been thinking and have been unable to come up with any examples.)

(2) Why does this happen in bars?

- Joel