RE: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Dan Minette


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2010 8:17 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government!

 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for
social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also
affords more people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.
Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized
discourse.

As long as the moderator isn't a censor.

After 20 years of changes in internet groups, I think its reasonable to see
what really happens in internet forums.  Yes, there will be the rare
exception, but I've seen multiple postings that indicate that, when the
forums are used, they are trivial and decisions are based on rumors.  The
birther rumor is a good example of this.

Dan M. 


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Re: StratoSolar

2010-10-12 Thread Bruce Bostwick

On Oct 11, 2010, at 5:29 PM, Alberto Monteiro wrote:


Keith Henson wrote:


Since the 1970s, US politicians have given lip service to National
Energy Self-sufficiency.  The US has failed to achieve anything,
largely because nobody had a good idea of how to make it work at the
same or lower cost than importing oil.  This method might not work
either.  However, it passes first-order physics and economics
analysis and seems to deserve serious further study.


You (USA) might be closer to self-sufficienty than you (Keith) think.
Deepen the crisis (and reduce energy expendidure) and get a little
more of shale gas, and you get there.

Alberto Monteiro, minion of evil oil companies


I still want to see someone work out a production scale process for  
seafloor methane-syngas-syncrude.  Or even convert from flaring off  
natgas in the oilfield to field-scale syncrude production.  If we have  
a finite amount of methane available, the least we can do is stop  
wasting it in production.  Once you get to syncrude, you have  
perfectly reasonable refinery feedstock.


Obviously it's a stopgap solution, but it would buy time to get off of  
a petroleum-based energy economy before the worst aspects of post-peak- 
oil economy start to kick in.


(I would *really* like to see petroleum production start to migrate  
more toward plastics feedstock, and plastics in turn migrate away from  
disposable packaging -- the dreaded PETE water bottle included --  
and more toward durable materials engineering.  There's time yet to  
consider that.  But that's later on in the plan.  Along with  
recovering a lot of what's already been tossed into landfills .. which  
can be mined, if it comes down to it.)


'How do I print, Mr. Kahn?’ ‘How do I save?’ It’s Control-S! It’s  
ALWAYS Control-S!!” — Kahn Souphanousinphone




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Re: Brin-l Digest, Vol 21, Issue 9

2010-10-12 Thread Keith Henson
On Tue, Oct 12, 2010 at 11:00 AM,  Dan Minette danmine...@att.net wrote:
 To: 'Killer Bs \(David Brin et al\) Discussion'

 Just a quick point.

Run 80,000 hours in ten years the return is $800 per kW
per penny payment for a kWh.  For power satellites, assuming 5kg/kW,
$100 per kg lifted to GEO and about 1/3 of the cost going to
transport, you get the required $1600/kW for 2 cents per kWh.

 Well, that seems really low, so I looked up present costs.  At

 http://crowlspace.com/?page_id=50

 there is a talk promoting space based solar.  It was honest enough to admit:

 The launch cost from Earth to low earth orbit is the greatest impediment to
 this project. It is currently about $5,000 per pound to low earth orbit, and
 it has been about that cost for a long time. Geosynchronous orbit would
 raise the cost to 10,000/pound.

 Given the fact that, as mentioned in the talk, lift costs have been fairly
 constant, where does the factor of 200 improvement come from?  How do you
 know it will happen when it hasn't?

We probably will never know if this StratoSolar method works.

But it's based on the rocket equation.  If you want to get into LEO
with a reasonable payload, say 1/6th with a rugged, reusable vehicle
also 1/6th of take off, then the average exhaust velocity needs to be
about the same as the 9 km/sec you need to get to orbit.

You just can't do that with *any* chemical fuel.  You can do it with
laser heated hydrogen.

The project would require $60 B of lasers.  If you want the long and
slightly out of date paper I wrote for the beamed energy propulsion
conference, ask.

David Hobby hob...@newpaltz.edu wrote:

 I see bigger problems with losses in the light pipe.
 The plan seems to be to have a flexible tube lined
 with reflective material to guide the solar radiation
 down to steam turbines or whatever on the ground.
 Most of the light would have to reflect off the sides
 many times, losing at least a few percent of its
 intensity at each reflection.  So nothing makes it
 to the ground, and the light pipe melts.  There may
 be solutions to this too, but they're going to be
 tricky.

 How many reflections are you assuming light will make
 as it goes down the pipe, and how glancing are they?

It depends on the acceptance angle and the diameter of the light pipe.
 This stuff:

http://www.revelationlighting.co.uk/OLF%20Spec.pdf

has a .99 reflectivity for angles less than 27 deg, and almost all the
loss comes from the points not being sharp.  At .999, which the
optical guys say is not hard, and a 30 meter diameter light pipe, the
loss is about 7%.  One option is to fill the pipe with argon which
reduces the Rayleigh scattering.

There is 4 GW coming down the pipe.  At 7% loss, 280 MW.  The area of
a 30 meter x 20 km pipe is 2 million square meters so the loss would
be 140 W per square meter.  In open air it is only going to get
slightly warm.

Keith

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Direct participatory democracy (was down with the government)

2010-10-12 Thread Jon Louis Mann

 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for
 brainstorming solutions for
 social issues, as you can take time to edit your
 comments. ?It also
 affords more people an opportunity to be less
 passive and have a voice.
 Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and
 maintain civilized discourse.

 As long as the moderator isn't a censor.
  Doug P

 After 20 years of changes in internet groups, 
 I think its reasonable to see
 what really happens in internet forums.  
 Yes, there will be the rare
 exception, but I've seen multiple postings 
 that indicate that, when the
 forums are used, they are trivial and 
 decisions are based on rumors.  The
 birther rumor is a good example of this. 
 Dan M.

That has been the case and there are worse examples.
What I am trying to do in Santa Monica is to have
the forums on the city website with participation
from city officials.  The topics would be on local 
issues and the moderators on each topic would be 
would be selected by participants to prevent any 
attempts to censor or slant the discussion.
Jon M



  

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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.comwrote:



 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for
 social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords
 more people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated
 sites work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.


That's a tempting idea, but this article got me thinking it is just not
true.

Small ChangeWhy the revolution will not be tweeted.by Malcolm
Gladwellhttp://www.newyorker.com/magazine/bios/malcolm_gladwell/search?contributorName=malcolm%20gladwell
Read more
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell#ixzz12BH0HcYw

Gladwell's observation is that social media is a great place for people who
don't want to put much energy into their activism.

Nick

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell
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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 12, 2010, at 2:05 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:

On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.com 
 wrote:



Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions  
for social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It  
also affords more people an opportunity to be less passive and have  
a voice.  Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and maintain  
civilized discourse.


That's a tempting idea, but this article got me thinking it is just  
not true.


Small Change
Why the revolution will not be tweeted.

by Malcolm Gladwell

Read more 
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell#ixzz12BH0HcYw

Gladwell's observation is that social media is a great place for  
people who don't want to put much energy into their activism.


Which makes it perfect for me.

Dave


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