Re: Threats to the US Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-30 Thread Gary Denton
On 4/26/05, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 At 12:20 AM 4/26/2005 -0700, Dave Land wrote:
 On Mon, 25 Apr 2005 22:23:15 -0500, Dan Minette wrote
   At 07:37 PM 4/25/2005 -0700, Dave Land wrote:
You are conflating two separate things:
a) serious consideration of the opinions of other nations before
acting
and
b) agreement from other nations before acting
   
   Tomayto, tomahto, potayto, potahto. Let's call the whole thing 
 off.
  
   Well, I think we have reached an impasse here.
  
   I see a gaping distinction between the above two propositions. You 
 see
   them as being the difference between potato and potatoe.
 
  In his response to me, though, that wasn't his point. We agree
  there is a difference between 1 and 2. I think that David was
  accurate in pointing out that the use of the words permission slip
  intentionally brought up images of what kids bring home from school
  for their parents to sign. I think that is the pointalthough
  the song could throw one off. :-)
 
 Thanks, Dan. Spot on.
 
 But Dave, finish connecting the dots! Dan said he use of the words
 'permission slip' intentionally brought up images of what kids bring home
 from school for their parents to sign. You said, to paraphrase, the use
 of the words 'permission slip' brought to mind images that undermined
 seriously considering the opinions of other nations.
 
 Do you view a child bringing home a permission slip as a child engaging in
 serious consideration of the opinions of his or her parents? Or do
 you view a child brining home a permission slip as a child getting the
 *permission* of his or her parents?


Stepping in.

The frame is the United States is not an unruly child as my opponents 
suggest. We are Texas tough. This is Texas BS but how our guys in the oil 
bidness like to talk.

Moreover, what the President actually said was, America will never seek a
 permission slip to defend the security of our country. We're talking 
 about
 removing the dictator in *another country* who posed *no threat* to the
 security of the United States
 
 Do you believe that:
 
 -the potential of Saddam Hussein attacking Saudi Arabia and the Gulf 
 States
 constituted a threat to the security of the United States?


Saddam's military was decimated, using the original definition of the word, 
compared to Gulf War 1 and even lacked the ability to defend itself from 
several neighbors to say nothing of the United States. 

-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
 Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein inflaming ordinary
 Arabs constituted a threat to the security of the United States?


Troops were not necessary to defer aggression by Iraq. They might be of use 
to prop up Bush's buddies when the place explodes in the coming civil war.


-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
 Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein undermining the
 ability of the US government to press for reform in Saudi Arabia
 constituted a threat to the security of the United States?


See both of my responses above 

-the continued presence of UN sanctions on Iraq, designed to prevent Saddam
 Hussein's further development of WMD's , simultaneously impoverishing
 millions of Iraqis, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against us, constituted a
 threat to the security of the United States?


Actually yes. The US and the UK had the most officials administering the 
sanctions and they ended up being both bribeable and foolish and caused 
needless harm to children. Another solution was developing but doesn't fit 
into this black/white/black discussion. What would have been the scenario if 
the other members of the Security Council had their continued aggressive 
inspections resolution approved?

-the funding of Palestinian terrorists, prolonging the Palestinian-Arab
 conflict, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against the US constituted a threat
 to the security of the United States?


Giving $25,000 to the families of suicide bombers after Israel demolished 
their homes has become conflated here with funding terrorists. Nice going.


-the funding of Hizbullah, who previously killed 240+ US servicemen in a
 terrorist attack constituted a threat to the security of the United 
 States?


Does the US support for Syria as part of the deal in Gulf War 1 and 
continuing today despite administration rhetoric - see Canadian citizen 
flown by U.S. to Syria for torture interrogations, constitute a threat to 
our security?

-the distinct possibility that France, China, and Russia would succeed in
 the lifting of UN sanctions and the ending of UN WMD inspections in Iraq,
 allowing Saddam Hussein - who had very nearly succeed twice before in
 assembling nuclear weapons (Osirisk and just before Gulf War I) - to 
 resume
 his nuclear weapons program, constituted a threat to the security of the
 United States, even after US intelligence services had utterly missed the
 development of 

Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread JDG
At 10:23 PM 4/25/2005 -0500, Dan M. wrote:
 At 07:37 PM 4/25/2005 -0700, Dave Land wrote:
  You are conflating two separate things:
  a) serious consideration of the opinions of other nations before
  acting
  and
   b) agreement from other nations before acting
 
 Tomayto, tomahto, potayto, potahto. Let's call the whole thing off.

 Well, I think we have reached an impasse here.

 I see a gaping distinction between the above two propositions.   You see
 them as being the difference between potato and potatoe.

 As such, I guess that we don't have any common ground to stand on on this
 issue.

In his response to me, though, that wasn't his point.  We agree there is a
difference between 1 and 2.  I think that David was accurate in pointing
out that the use of the words permission slip intentionally brought up
images of what kids bring home from school for their parents to sign.  I
think that is the pointalthough the song could throw one off. :-)

Dan,

It looks like you are missing the point too.

Dave's original point was as follows:
The president's use of the phrase permission slip in the state of the
union address was carefully chosen to call up visions of the United States
as a child, having to go begging some adult nation for a kind of hall
pass. That vision was intended to be so repulsive that to suggest that the
US must seriously consider the opinions of other nations before acting was
to reduce our great nation to childishness.

The problem with the above is that when a child needs to get a permission
slip for an activity, the child doesn't seriously consider the opinions
of his or her parents, the child gets, well, *permission.*

To use Dave's formulation (which I don't entirely agree with, but I'm
making a point) - The President's use of the phrase permission slip in
the State of the Union address was carefully chosen to call up visions...
intended to be so repulsive to suggest that the US must get the
*permission* of other nations (particularly, China, Russia, and France)
before acting was to reduce our great nation to childishness.Dave very
cleverly, however, substitted seriously consider the opinions for
getting permission in order to score cheap political points.
Seriously consider the opinions sounds fairly unobjectionable, getting
the permission of China, Russia, and France before acting sounds much more
objectionable to a lot of people - and that is what Bush was railing
against - the very significant block of people who argued that the US
should not launch Gulf War II without the approval of China, Russia,
France, and the other members of the UN Security Council.

JDG


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Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, 26 Apr 2005 08:19:18 -0400, JDG wrote

 The problem with the above is that when a child needs to get a permission
 slip for an activity, the child doesn't seriously consider the opinions
 of his or her parents, the child gets, well, *permission.*

That's the point!  Bush was saying that if the United States sought other 
nations' participation in the decision to go to war, we would be acting like a 
child, submitting to other authorities, disallowed to think for ourselves.  We 
can't do that because we're a grown-up country, not a child.

International relations cannot be modeled as a set of parents and children, so 
Bush and Cheney's use of the metaphor was wrong.  But it was politically 
clever because the truth in the metaphor makes the whole statement seem true.  
Advertisers do this all the time -- say something true that is irrelevant... 
and say it again and again.

The falsehood isn't *in* the metaphor, the falsehood *is* the metaphor because 
it implies that serious consideration of other nations' wishes would reduce us 
to the status of a child... which is baloney.  It was not reasonable to reduce 
the whole question of how we cooperate with our *brother and sister* nations 
to asking permission, since that is a context of submission, not 
negotiation.

Nick

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Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Robert Seeberger
Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  I think
 Iraq was a threat to the security of the United
 States.  So does John.  All your certainty otherwise
 doesn't make you right, it just means that you're
 unable to understand other people's points of view.

After the years of discussion of this subject on the list, I still do 
not have a handle on how Iraq was a credible threat to the US.

If Afghanistan was only an indirect threat (and only due to their 
harboring of known terrorists), how was Iraq a direct and imminent 
threat to the security of the US?

North Korea is a direct threat since they have nukes and a delivery 
system that can reach, at the least, Alaska. But this is not the prime 
focus of our foreign policy, it is a secondary focus. (Iraq is the 
prime focus and it is where we direct most of our energy.)

We have pretty much taken focus off the hunt for actual terrorists. 
This really pisses me off. Osama Bin Laden runs free and taunts us 
occasionally, and while it appears that Al Quaeda plans have been 
greatly balked, Osama runs free and is not killed in battle or 
suffering the humiliation of a truely fair and just trial.

TIA for any responses to my questions and comments.

xponent
It Matters Maru
rob 


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Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread John DeBudge
 After the years of discussion of this subject on the list, I still do
 not have a handle on how Iraq was a credible threat to the US.

If you have not done so, you might want to read the Duelfer report
http://www.cia.gov/cia/reports/iraq_wmd_2004/. It shows in detail how
it could be both true that the presence of actual WMD's was
overestimated, but at the same time the threat that Iraq, specifically
Iraq under Saddam, posed to the US. The short summary is that Saddam
was working to get sanctions lifted as fast as possible, while at the
same time was working on ensuring that he could rebuild his weapon
stocks as quickly as possible as soon as they were so he could deter
any future actions against him. It was clear that the main lesson he
learned after the first gulf war was the need for some trump card in
the form of WMD's to hold of the US before he tried to further expand
his power in the region.

 
 If Afghanistan was only an indirect threat (and only due to their
 harboring of known terrorists), how was Iraq a direct and imminent
 threat to the security of the US?

It depends on how you define imminent. Sanctions were in imminent
danger of being lifted which would have put in place a set of events
that would have left Iraq mostly immune (or at least cause a much
higher cost) to any future US action. So while the actual physical
danger was not imminent in a literal sense, the possibility of taking
permanent corrective action was in imminent danger of being removed.

 
 North Korea is a direct threat since they have nukes and a delivery
 system that can reach, at the least, Alaska. But this is not the prime
 focus of our foreign policy, it is a secondary focus. (Iraq is the
 prime focus and it is where we direct most of our energy.)

North Korea, being a direct threat, can not be the same kind of focus
that Iraq is. The fact that they have two kinds of very real
deterrence, Nukes + conventional shelling range of Soul, means that
the US basically has no real military option there in the absence of a
clear first first action on the part of North Korea. This is why
events move rather slowly here. North Korea does not have much left to
threaten with, and neither does the US. Thus it becomes a diplomatic
game of trying to get China to take sides and force the issue.


 
 We have pretty much taken focus off the hunt for actual terrorists.
 This really pisses me off. Osama Bin Laden runs free and taunts us
 occasionally, and while it appears that Al Quaeda plans have been
 greatly balked, Osama runs free and is not killed in battle or
 suffering the humiliation of a truely fair and just trial.

I think that the fact that al-Zarqawi is able to evade the US in an
country that has a large amount of US military presence should put
this in perspective. The most affective way to catch a single person
is with small teams focused on intelligence gathering, not large scale
occupation of a country. There is definitely at least one special task
force still out looking for Osama Bin Laden. Beyond using our military
to pressure possible countries of hiding (and that number is very
large, Al Qaeda has cells in many different places), there is not much
our conventional forces in Iraq could do to help.

Until I see a clear smoking gun type study that clearly shows how
the military has dropped the ball on looking for OBL I will grant them
the benefit of the doubt. Finding one terrorist in the world with a
group of fanatical followers willing to cover for him is a non-trivial
task.

Finally I will close with an appeal to Occam's Razor. Many people have
written about the supposed brilliance of Karl Rove and the Republican
Political Machine. While it is true that Bush won his 4 more years, it
was still a close election. This was because of the War in Iraq. While
it is true it did not go as well as they hoped, even if it had been
perfect, it was still an extremely risky political move to make. It
was a move that politically did not have to be made (I could see it as
a hail Mary type play, but it was not). Thus the explanation is
either that he had some secret motive (daddy envy, paying off the
Royals, wants to be seen as a cowboy and Afghanistan was just not
enough) or he actually believed that the real answer to the short term
threat posed by Al Qaeda was to promote long term change so that after
Al Qaeda was dealt with, there would be a reduced chance at another
group taking their place.

I have no problem when people think Bush is being naive, or that the
democratization of the middle east will never happen, or that war is
never the answer to anything (though I do think they are wrong). I do
have a problem with people who ascribe all kinds of odd conspiracy
theories to the war in Iraq, claiming that they can see no
justification for it, thus there must be some crazy explanation. One
person is seriously trying to come up with a better world, the other
is just tossing rocks (not that you, or some on this list, were doing
the 

Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, 26 Apr 2005 16:16:31 -0700, John DeBudge wrote

 The short summary 
 is that Saddam was working to get sanctions lifted as fast as 
 possible, while at the same time was working on ensuring that he 
 could rebuild his weapon stocks as quickly as possible as soon as 
 they were so he could deter any future actions against him. 

Would these folks have us believe that sanctions were about to end?  That we 
would permit this?

 It depends on how you define imminent. Sanctions were in imminent
 danger of being lifted 

If sanctions were in imminent danger of being lifted, how did we manage to 
start a whole war there?  Seems to me that it's a given that we had the 
capability to keep the sanctions in place even without international 
cooperation, since we managed to go much, much further than just sanctions.

Isn't this a bit ridiculous as an argument for war or imminent danger?  We had 
to take extreme measures because the less-extreme measures that *we* had in 
place were in danger of ending?  If we could go to war without U.N. 
approval, we sure as heck could keep sanctions in place without U.N. approval. 
 All this argues for is keeping the sanctions going, to prevent the danger 
from Iraq from *becoming* immiment.

Using this rationale for going to war is like saying that I had to shoot a 
prisoner because he was about to escape, which I knew because I was about to 
let him escape!

This brings a whole new definition to doing nothing about Iraq, since it 
posits that we would stop doing even what we were already doing!

 I think that the fact that al-Zarqawi is able to evade the US in an
 country that has a large amount of US military presence 

Large amount?  Talked to any military people about this?  We are and have 
been vastly under-staffed for the job we're trying to do there.  Intitution 
tells me that's a major reason we're seeing so many troops return with PTSD.  
We are spread very, very thin over there.

Nick

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Threats to the US Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread JDG
At 12:20 AM 4/26/2005 -0700, Dave Land wrote:
On Mon, 25 Apr 2005 22:23:15 -0500, Dan Minette wrote
  At 07:37 PM 4/25/2005 -0700, Dave Land wrote:
   You are conflating two separate things:
   a) serious consideration of the opinions of other nations before
   acting
   and
b) agreement from other nations before acting
  
  Tomayto, tomahto, potayto, potahto. Let's call the whole thing off.
 
  Well, I think we have reached an impasse here.
 
  I see a gaping distinction between the above two propositions.   You see
  them as being the difference between potato and potatoe.
 
 In his response to me, though, that wasn't his point.  We agree 
 there is a difference between 1 and 2.  I think that David was 
 accurate in pointing out that the use of the words permission slip 
 intentionally brought up images of what kids bring home from school 
 for their parents to sign.  I think that is the pointalthough 
 the song could throw one off. :-)

Thanks, Dan. Spot on.

But Dave, finish connecting the dots! Dan said he use of the words
'permission slip' intentionally brought up images of what kids bring home
from school for their parents to sign.You said, to paraphrase, the use
of the words 'permission slip' brought to mind images that undermined
seriously considering the opinions of other nations.

Do you view a child bringing home a permission slip as a child engaging in
serious consideration of the opinions of his or her parents?  Or do
you view a child brining home a permission slip as a child getting the
*permission* of his or her parents?   

Moreover, what the President actually said was, America will never seek a
permission slip to defend the security of our country. We're talking about
removing the dictator in *another country* who posed *no threat* to the
security of the United States 

Do you believe that:

-the potential of Saddam Hussein attacking Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
constituted a threat to the security of the United States?

-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein inflaming ordinary
Arabs constituted a threat to the security of the United States?

-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein undermining the
ability of the US government to press for reform in Saudi Arabia
constituted a threat to the security of the United States?

-the continued presence of UN sanctions on Iraq, designed to prevent Saddam
Hussein's further development of WMD's , simultaneously impoverishing
millions of Iraqis, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against us, constituted a
threat to the security of the United States?

-the funding of Palestinian terrorists, prolonging the Palestinian-Arab
conflict, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against the US constituted a threat
to the security of the United States?

-the funding of Hizbullah, who previously killed 240+ US servicemen in a
terrorist attack constituted a threat to the security of the United States?

-the distinct possibility that France, China, and Russia would succeed in
the lifting of UN sanctions and the ending of UN WMD inspections in Iraq,
allowing Saddam Hussein - who had very nearly succeed twice before in
assembling nuclear weapons (Osirisk and just before Gulf War I) - to resume
his nuclear weapons program, constituted a threat to the security of the
United States, even after US intelligence services had utterly missed the
development of nuclear programs in Iraq (twice), India, Pakistan, Iran, and
the DPRK?  

-the stockpiling of large quantities of anthrax, for which Saddam Hussein
could provide no account, constituted a threat to the security of the
United States, even after an untraced anthrax terrorist attack on the
United States had already killed 5 innocent Americans and debilitated
several others?

-the stockpiling of other biological agents constituted a threat to the
security of the United States?

-the stockpiling of chemical weapons, for which Saddam Hussein could
provide no account, and which Saddam Hussein could probably sell undetected
on the international black market, constituted a threat to the security of
the United States?

-the distinct possibility that Saddam Hussein, possessor of some of the
world's largest oil revenues, and who had twice before attempted to acquire
nuclear weapons, could purchase a fully-assembled nuclear weapon from the
utterly impoverished regime of the DPRK, beginning approximately in 2001,
constituted a threat to the security of the United States?

Thank you for your answers.

JDG




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Re: Threats to the US Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Dave Land
On Apr 26, 2005, at 7:20 PM, JDG wrote:

 But Dave, finish connecting the dots! ...

same old song and dance

I didn't come up with the permission slip metaphor, but hear this:

I. Understand. The. Difference.

 Do you believe that:

substantial snippage

 Thank you for your answers.

They weren't questions. They were talking points with question marks.

Dave

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Re: Threats to the US Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Doug Pensinger
JDG wrote:
-the potential of Saddam Hussein attacking Saudi Arabia and the Gulf 
States constituted a threat to the security of the United States?
After the first Gulf war there was no threat to Saudi Arabia or anyone 
else for that matter
-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein inflaming ordinary
Arabs constituted a threat to the security of the United States?
Much less inflamitory than invading and occupying a sovern Arab nation.
-the continued presence of US troops in the Muslim Holy Land of Saudi
Arabia in order to deter agression by Saddam Hussein undermining the
ability of the US government to press for reform in Saudi Arabia
constituted a threat to the security of the United States?
see above
-the continued presence of UN sanctions on Iraq, designed to prevent 
Saddam Hussein's further development of WMD's , simultaneously 
impoverishing
millions of Iraqis, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against us, constituted 
a threat to the security of the United States?
see above
-the funding of Palestinian terrorists, prolonging the Palestinian-Arab
conflict, and inflaming ordinary Arabs against the US constituted a 
threat to the security of the United States?

-the funding of Hizbullah, who previously killed 240+ US servicemen in a
terrorist attack constituted a threat to the security of the United 
States?
If the funding of terrorists constitutes justification for invasion then 
we should have invaded Saudi Arabia, the nation that funded the 9/11 
attacks.
-the distinct possibility that France, China, and Russia would succeed in
the lifting of UN sanctions and the ending of UN WMD inspections in Iraq,
allowing Saddam Hussein - who had very nearly succeed twice before in
assembling nuclear weapons (Osirisk and just before Gulf War I) - to 
resume his nuclear weapons program, constituted a threat to the security 
of the
United States, even after US intelligence services had utterly missed the
development of nuclear programs in Iraq (twice), India, Pakistan, Iran, 
and the DPRK?
The lifting of sanctions may have been a possibility before 9/11.  Not 
after.

-the stockpiling of large quantities of anthrax, for which Saddam Hussein
could provide no account, constituted a threat to the security of the
United States, even after an untraced anthrax terrorist attack on the
United States had already killed 5 innocent Americans and debilitated
several others?
Which, after two years of occupation we can provide absolutely no account 
either.  No evidence whatsoever.

-the stockpiling of other biological agents constituted a threat to the
security of the United States?
Exhaustive searches and a billion dollars and not a trace of WMDs.
-the stockpiling of chemical weapons, for which Saddam Hussein could
provide no account, and which Saddam Hussein could probably sell 
undetected on the international black market, constituted a threat to 
the security of the United States?
Pre-war inspections and two years of occupation and no evidence of WMDs 
except some shells Sadam probably lost in the '80s.

-the distinct possibility that Saddam Hussein, possessor of some of the
world's largest oil revenues, and who had twice before attempted to 
acquire nuclear weapons, could purchase a fully-assembled nuclear weapon 
from the
utterly impoverished regime of the DPRK, beginning approximately in 2001,
constituted a threat to the security of the United States?
The even more distinct possibility that the people that funded 9/11 - 
elements of the Saudi government could do the same.

Thank you for your answers.
You're certainly welcome.
--
Doug
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