Tom,
I have seen these hype charts from Gartner for many years, and monitored
them when I did technology change management for a DoD project, for a
little over 15 years.
They are just two-dimensional; plain x-y axis: just expectations mapped
over time to wide-spread adoption. They did not prove to be very useful
and I always took these charts with a large grain of salt.
They are very M$-centric. For what Gartner is calling presence, for
example, M$ has Office Communicator, a chat/meeting tool. My current
group does use that as we are spread out over the country. When I take
a day off, I flag myself as away-PTO and note when I will return (PTO is
paid time off). The charts always look to behind; OLED is listed as 2-5
years from main-stream adoption (Zune is OLED).
Thank you,
Mark Snyder
-Original Message-
http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/cms/dn17705/dn17705-1_671.jpg
Cool graphic that takes a bit of work to figure out. Plots the hype
level (expectations) vs time vs time to adoption. I'm not sure I get the
2 time scales yet. Anybody got an insight here?
At the very peak of the hype curve they put Project Natal and mark it as
5 to 10 years to reality.
Closest to reality is Presence. I guess that is this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presence_information and I don't see that
this is interesting enough to even mention. Anyone to enlighten me?
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