Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Adam Back

Bitcoin is not a pyramid scheme, and doesnt have to have the collapse and
late joiner losers.  If bitcoin does not lose favor - ie the user base grows
and then maintains size of user base in the long term, then no one loses.

I think in the current phase the deflation (currency increasing in value)
helps increase interest and number of users.

Say that in the next phase bitcoin stops rapid expansion and reaches some
stable number of users, the deflationary period stops, and the remaining
users use it for transactions only (not speculation).  I dont see the losers
in that scenario.

Adam

However.  Unless the laws of financial conservation have been 
repealed by the design, those who follow have to invest a lot and 
come out with less...

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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Meredith L. Patterson
On Mon, Jun 13, 2011 at 6:50 AM, John Levine jo...@iecc.com wrote:
 PS: For anyone who wants a crypto currency backed by gold, that's
 functionally equivalent to a gold ETF, of which there are several,
 such as ticker symbols IAU, GLD, GTU, SGOL, and AGOL.  They do what
 they do perfectly adequately, but they are in no sense currency.
 Bubble sceptics can trade put options on them.  Too bad there's no
 options on bitcoins.

There already are options on bitcoins. #bitcoin-otc [1] nominally
supports them in its order book, though I see little use so far [2].
Apparently someone wrote a put for 100BTC at a strike price of
$0.75/BTC with a 1.50BTC premium two months ago, maturing 31 May 2011
[3]; the option did in fact sell but I have no idea whether it was
exercised. Bitcoin calls have been around on the forum since at least
January [4], complete with risk reversal strategies ([5] is a textbook
example of a collar though not a zero-premium one).

[1] http://www.bitcoin-otc.com
[2] http://bitcoin-otc.com/vieworderbook.php?notes=option
[3] 
http://www.bitcoinmoney.com/post/4585101363/first-bitcoin-put-option-contract
[4] http://forum.bitcoin.org/?topic=2986.0
[5] http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=2986.msg41580#msg41580

Cheers,
--mlp
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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

On 2011-06-13 2:50 PM, John Levine wrote:

But that really has nothing to do with the crypto part.  You can have
crypto out the wazoo, and it's worth nothing unless there's an issuer
in meatspace who will accept your crypto coins, cancel them, and hand
you the agreed amount of money.


But clearly, bitcoins are worth something.  Maybe that is only a bubble, 
but then federal reserve dollars are also only a bubble.

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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Paul Crowley

On 13/06/11 10:31, James A. Donald wrote:

The difference was Fannie, Freddie, and the CRA.


This is entirely off topic. Please drop it.
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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Danilo Gligoroski
Nicholas Bohm write:

 
 Now I find I can exchange a little over five bitcoins for 

 a £50 Amazon gift certificate that Amazon seems happy to 

 credit to my account.




I see the example of an institution (organization, company, entity, ...)
willing to happily credit the current value of *whatever currency* with
*concrete products (goods)* or *concrete services* is the best example how
and why *that currency* can become a trade tool for exchanging the goods as
well as services.

 

 

Your example is about two actors: Amazon and BitCoin, acting within small
amounts of goods, services and issued currency.

 

 

But there is another example with two other actors that are playing the
currency spiral game of trust with HUGE, HUGE amounts: I am talking about
China and the US Federal Reserve System. The amounts are in trillions of
dollars, issued by Federal Reserves, and are happily (oh, maybe lately not
that happily) accepted by China.

 

 

Now, instead of Amazon, if we start to see similar Chinese entities (but not
necessarily just Chinese, maybe some of the BRIC countries) that will be
happy to credit the BitCoins with concrete products and services, then
BitCoin as a trade tool for exchanging goods and services will probably
survive in the next period.

 

 

Or, seeing the latest Chinese-made crypto products like the latest ZUC
portfolio of crypto primitives for the new 4G standard, instead of BitCoin,
I expect to see a BitYuan.

 

 

Regards,

Danilo!

 

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Re: [cryptography] Nothing to do with digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

On 2011-06-13 3:33 PM, John Levine wrote:

Until very late in the bubble, Fanny and Freddy bought only
conventional prime fixed rate loans, so it was roaring along without
their help


In 1992, Fanny and Freddy got tasked with affordable housing for the 
poor, and immediately dropped their standards.  It was predicted at the 
time that this would lead to disaster.


Fannie and Freddy started buying subprime loans in 1997, a further major 
drop in their standards.  Was it roaring along in 1997?


, and the CRA has been around since 1977,

The CRA was turned from a minor irritation to Frankenstein's monster in 
1992, which is when no hablo english cat eating wetbacks started buying 
expensive houses.


In 2000 The National Community Reinvestment Coalition boasted about the 
early 1990s change in the CRA from toothless to lucrative:


“Lenders and community organizations have negotiated $1.09
trillion in CRA dollars from 1992 to 2000. In contrast, $8.8
billion was negotiated from 1977 through 1991.”

And guess what.  One trillion was about the amount of money pissed away.
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[cryptography] Is BitCoin a triple entry system?

2011-06-13 Thread Ian G

On 13/06/11 12:56 PM, James A. Donald wrote:

On 2011-06-12 8:57 AM, Ian G wrote:

I wrote a paper about John Levine's observation of low knowledge, way
back in 2000, called Financial Cryptography in 7 Layers. The sort of
unstated thesis of this paper was that in order to understand this area
you had to become very multi-discipline, you had to understand up to 7
general areas. And that made it very hard, because most of the digital
cash startups lacked some of the disciplines.


One of the layers you mention is accounting.


Yes, so back to crypto, or at least financial cryptography.

The accounting layer in a money system implemented in financial 
cryptography is responsible for reliably [1] holding and reporting the 
numbers for every transaction and producing an overall balance sheet of 
an issue.


It is in this that BitCoin may have its greatest impact -- it may have 
shown the first successful widescale test of triple entry [2].


Triple entry is a simple idea, albeit revolutionary to accounting.  A 
triple entry transaction is a 3 party one, in which Alice pays Bob and 
Ivan intermediates.  Each holds the transaction, making for triple copies.


To make a transaction, Alice signs over a payment instruction to Bob 
with her public-key-based signature [3].  Ivan the issuer then packages 
the payment request into a receipt, and that receipt becomes the 
transaction.


This transaction is digitally signed by multiple parties, including at 
least one independent party [4].  It then becomes a powerful evidence of 
the transaction [5].


The final receipt *is the entry*.  Then, the *collection of signed 
receipts* becomes the accounts, in accounting terms.  Which collection 
replaces ones system of double entry bookkeeping, because the single 
digitally signed receipt is a better evidence than the two entries that 
make up the transaction, and the collection of signed receipts is a 
better record than the entire chart of accounts [6].


A slight diversion to classical bookkeeping, as replacing double entry 
bookkeeping is a revolutionary idea.  Double entry has been the bedrock 
of corporate accounting for around 700 years, since documentation by a 
Venetian Friar named Luca Pacioli.  The reason is important, very 
important, and may resonate with cryptographers, so let's digress to there.


Double entry achieves the remarkable trick of separating out mishaps 
from frauds.  The problem with single entry (what people do when making 
lists of numbers and adding them up) is that the person can leave off a 
number, and no-one is the wiser [7].  We can't show the person as either 
a bad bookkeeper or as a fraudulent bookkeeper.  This achilles heel of 
primitive accounting meant that the bookkeeping limited the business to 
the size with which it could maintain honest bookkeepers.


Where, honest bookkeepers equals family members.  All others, typically, 
stole the boss's money.  (Family members did too, but at least for the 
good of the family.)  So until the 1300s and 1400s, most all businesses 
were either crown-owned, in which case the monarch lopped off the head 
of any doubtful bookkeeper, *or* were family businesses.


The widespread adoption of double-entry through the Italian trading 
ports led to the growth of business beyond the limits of family.  Double 
entry therefore was the keystone to the enterprise, it was what created 
the explosion of trading power of the city states in now-Italy [8].


Back to triple entry.  The digitally signed receipt dominates the two 
entries of double entry because it is exportable, independently 
verifiable, and far easier for computers to work with.  Double entry 
requires a single site to verify presence and preserve resiliance, the 
signed receipt does not.


There is only one area where a signed receipt falls short of complete 
evidence and that is when a digital piece of evidence can be lost.  For 
this reason, all three of Alice, Bob and Ivan keep hold of a copy.  All 
three combined have the incentive to preserve it;  the three will police 
each other.


Back to BitCoin.  BitCoin achieves the issuer part by creating a 
distributed and published database over clients that conspire to record 
the transactions reliably.  The idea of publishing the repository to 
make it honest was initially explored in Todd Boyle's netledger design.


We each independently converged on the concept of triple entry.  I 
believe that is because it is the optimal way to make digital value work 
on the net;  even when Nakomoto set such hard requirements as no 
centralised issuer, he still seems to have ended up at the same point: 
Alice, Bob and something I'll call Ivan-Borg holding single, replicated 
copies of the cryptographically sealed transaction.


With that foundation, we can trade.




Recall that in 2005
November, it became widely known that toxic assets were toxic.


In 2005, the SEC looked at my triple entry implementation, and


 From late in 2005 to late in 2007, it 

Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Ian G

On 13/06/11 5:54 PM, Adam Back wrote:

Bitcoin is not a pyramid scheme, and doesnt have to have the collapse and
late joiner losers. If bitcoin does not lose favor - ie the user base grows
and then maintains size of user base in the long term, then no one loses.


Um, Adam, that's the very definition of a pyramid scheme :)

No-one need lose as long as the size of the user base grows, long term!

So everyone is incentivised to bring in new victims^H^H^H^H^H^H users :P

That's why they're illegal, typically.


I think in the current phase the deflation (currency increasing in value)
helps increase interest and number of users.


Um, yeah, whatever.  Look, whatever you do, don't tell anyone of your 
friends or family to invest in it.



Say that in the next phase bitcoin stops rapid expansion and reaches some
stable number of users, the deflationary period stops, and the remaining
users use it for transactions only (not speculation). I dont see the losers
in that scenario.


No, but the scenario is incomplete:  Those speculating on an increase in 
value will realise it has reached stability.  So they'll sell.  Which 
will cause a reduction in value.  Which will cause a run, as those that 
didn't understand the mechanics of a pyramid scheme get their rude lesson.



However. Unless the laws of financial conservation have been repealed
by the design, those who follow have to invest a lot and come out with
less...




iang
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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Adam Back

Bitcoin does not have to end with the pyramid scheme outcome - where it
stalls and all those still holding any lose - so long as there remain people
willing to exchange goods for bitcoin after the dust has settled.

Anyway my point is even if the deployment phase is a wild ride, with some
winners and some late losers who bought in above the final stable value, so
long as a stable value results at the end, I dont see that as a big problem.

Its not like we havent had bubbles and instability in various phases of any
other forms of money or assets.

If you take out the speculation, currently with people minting coins until
they get to 21 million coins that would be inflation (limited inflation due
to the mining cost); but also that more people are joining is deflationary
(less coins per person).  Then there is supply and demand - supply from
minting (so long as the sell price is above minting cost), supply from
people cashing out, and demand from people buying in.  Cashing out and
buying in maybe for trading or speculation.

Once the 21 million coins are created bitcoin would remain deflationary
during the next phase as until the user base grows to saturation.  Once
bitcoin grows to saturation, the remaining deflation would be limited by the
underlying population and economic growth.  That might be workable rate of
deflation.

Adam

On Mon, Jun 13, 2011 at 11:55:38PM +1000, Ian G wrote:

On 13/06/11 5:54 PM, Adam Back wrote:

Bitcoin is not a pyramid scheme, and doesnt have to have the collapse and
late joiner losers. If bitcoin does not lose favor - ie the user base grows
and then maintains size of user base in the long term, then no one loses.


Um, Adam, that's the very definition of a pyramid scheme :)

No-one need lose as long as the size of the user base grows, long term!

So everyone is incentivised to bring in new victims^H^H^H^H^H^H users :P

That's why they're illegal, typically.


I think in the current phase the deflation (currency increasing in value)
helps increase interest and number of users.


Um, yeah, whatever.  Look, whatever you do, don't tell anyone of your 
friends or family to invest in it.



Say that in the next phase bitcoin stops rapid expansion and reaches some
stable number of users, the deflationary period stops, and the remaining
users use it for transactions only (not speculation). I dont see the losers
in that scenario.


No, but the scenario is incomplete:  Those speculating on an increase 
in value will realise it has reached stability.  So they'll sell.  
Which will cause a reduction in value.  Which will cause a run, as 
those that didn't understand the mechanics of a pyramid scheme get 
their rude lesson.



However. Unless the laws of financial conservation have been repealed
by the design, those who follow have to invest a lot and come out with
less...




iang

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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Nico Williams
On Mon, Jun 13, 2011 at 10:50 AM, Nathan Loofbourrow njl...@gmail.com wrote:
 The good old market played a role here too. There are lots of investors
 whose risk profile dictates that they should be in safe investments, e.g.
 pension funds and old people. With the interest rates held on the floor, and
 Greenspan and Bernanke sitting on their chest, those safe investors started
 to buy up mortgages, because mortgages were big dumb investments and
 everyone paid their mortgage.

You just proved the point: the market was distorted, with private
actors acting _within_ the distorted market parameters.  Thus people
who needed to make low-risk investments did make what _seemed_ like
low-risk investments (after all, real estate had been a low-risk
investment for decades in the U.S.), but actually were not just
high-risk, but bound to fail.

You can blame the derivative sinners (pun not intended) all you like,
but there's an original sin here.  Everyone else was either fooled
into sinning, peer-pressured into it, or outright forced, and though
there surely were some who understood what was happening and sought to
profit from it, you can hardly blame them either -- we all do
something of the sort (if you see inflation coming and manage your
money accordingly, are you ripping off all those who can't or don't
know to do anything about inflation? and if so, are you a terrible
person for it?).

 After a while you run out of big dumb mortgages, and we did. So the pressure
 was on to create more of them. Once everyone has a mortgage, or maybe two,
 you start lending to folks with a risk profile that wasn't so hot anymore.
 The whole tranching process masked the fact that this was happening because
 you could still issue AAA bonds out of these and everyone bought in.
 tl;dr: everybody gets to wear a hat that says dummy, whether private,
 public or individual.

The whole tranching thing was almost brilliant, and would have worked
out fine (securitized mortgages from the 80s seem to have done fine,
no?) if there had been no bubble (but in a bubble the securitization
helped it along), and if all the issues in tracking the underlying
loans (and thus pricing the securities) had been worked out correctly.

 ObCrypto: sorry, got nothing.

Yeah, well, we need a sub-list for OT discussions.  At Sun we used to
have lists with sub-lists named the same + a -extra suffix, where
people who wanted to participate in these sorts of long, flame
war-ish, OT discussions could.

Nico
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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

On 2011-06-13 11:55 PM, Ian G wrote:

Um, Adam, that's the very definition of a pyramid scheme :)

No-one need lose as long as the size of the user base grows, long term!


If bitcoin stabilizes, no one loses.  If a pyramid scheme stabilizes, 
last to invest loses.


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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

I was at ground zero of the crisis: Sunnyvale
California.

And every person I saw buying a seven hundred thousand dollar
house was a cat eating no hablo english wetback with no
regular job.


On 2011-06-14 1:29 AM, Nico Williams wrote:

First, there were plenty of middle class
(and better off) people who used their ever-increasing home values as
an ATM card.


I checked foreclosures by suburb last time I had this argument:  Back 
then, in East Palo alto (Black and hispanic) ninety nine forclosures. 
In Palo Alto west of the freeway, (white upper middle class) one 
foreclosure.  Similarly for Cupertino (white and asian) and Gilroy 
(overwhelmingly hispanic)


Therefore, middle class did not irresponsibly use their ever rising home 
values as an ATM card  Or if they did, they paid up, rather than being 
foreclosed upon - unless you count as middle class those hispanics with 
no regular job who were buying upper middle class housing.


 Second, we

don't need to use derogatory terms here.  There's a difference between
being polite and being PC,


If someone mugged you, you were mugged by a non asian minority, probably 
black, and if someone failed to pay a toxic mortgage in the bay area, he 
is a non asian minority, probably hispanic.  The street crime problem is 
a race problem, and the financial crisis in America is a race problem.


People who bought overpriced houses no money down in the Bay area were 
overwhelming non asian minority, and in the case of hispanics, conformed 
distinctively to stereotype.


It is probable that they had no idea of the lies that were written on 
the loan application, which they could seldom read, so one can 
reasonably argue that the literate and frequently white loan officers 
were to blame, and the non white illiterates signing the papers were 
innocent ignorant dupes.  I suppose they often were.  But if innocent, 
also ignorant - thus stereotypical.  The guy who mugs you is usually a 
stereotypical black, and the guy who bought an expensive house no money 
down at the peak of the bubble and never made a payment is usually a 
stereotypical hispanic.


Those crooked loan officers were frequently white, and those crooked 
bankers were all white.  But the guys who borrowed the money and never 
made payment are not white, and are for the most part Hispanic, and for 
the most part, stereotypical Hispanic.


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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

On 2011-06-14 1:50 AM, Nathan Loofbourrow wrote:

After a while you run out of big dumb mortgages, and we did. So the pressure
was on to create more of them. Once everyone has a mortgage, or maybe two,
you start lending to folks with a risk profile that wasn't so hot anymore.


This happened in commercial real estate, which also got bubbled, and 
also got falling credit standards - yet no crisis in commercial real 
estate.  Developers went bust, and financiers forclosed, sold the 
properties for markedly less than loan value.  And that was that.  No 
crisis, no drama, no bailouts.


The difference was that with mortgages to individuals, (usually black or 
no hablo English individuals) the bank issued liar loans, or like 
Beverly Hills bank, got rated Substantially non compliant with the CRA

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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread Jeffrey Walton
On Mon, Jun 13, 2011 at 9:22 PM, James A. Donald jam...@echeque.com wrote:
 I was at ground zero of the crisis: Sunnyvale
 California.

 And every person I saw buying a seven hundred thousand dollar
 house was a cat eating no hablo english wetback with no
 regular job.

 On 2011-06-14 1:29 AM, Nico Williams wrote:

 First, there were plenty of middle class
 (and better off) people who used their ever-increasing home values as
 an ATM card.

 I checked foreclosures by suburb last time I had this argument:  Back then,
 in East Palo alto (Black and hispanic) ninety nine forclosures. In Palo Alto
 west of the freeway, (white upper middle class) one foreclosure.  Similarly
 for Cupertino (white and asian) and Gilroy (overwhelmingly hispanic)

 Therefore, middle class did not irresponsibly use their ever rising home
 values as an ATM card  Or if they did, they paid up, rather than being
 foreclosed upon - unless you count as middle class those hispanics with no
 regular job who were buying upper middle class housing.

 Second, we

 don't need to use derogatory terms here.  There's a difference between
 being polite and being PC,

 If someone mugged you, you were mugged by a non asian minority, probably
 black, and if someone failed to pay a toxic mortgage in the bay area, he is
 a non asian minority, probably hispanic.  The street crime problem is a race
 problem, and the financial crisis in America is a race problem.

 People who bought overpriced houses no money down in the Bay area were
 overwhelming non asian minority, and in the case of hispanics, conformed
 distinctively to stereotype.

 It is probable that they had no idea of the lies that were written on the
 loan application, which they could seldom read, so one can reasonably argue
 that the literate and frequently white loan officers were to blame, and the
 non white illiterates signing the papers were innocent ignorant dupes.  I
 suppose they often were.  But if innocent, also ignorant - thus
 stereotypical.  The guy who mugs you is usually a stereotypical black, and
 the guy who bought an expensive house no money down at the peak of the
 bubble and never made a payment is usually a stereotypical hispanic.

 Those crooked loan officers were frequently white, and those crooked bankers
 were all white.  But the guys who borrowed the money and never made payment
 are not white, and are for the most part Hispanic, and for the most part,
 stereotypical Hispanic.
On the east cost (Baltimore, MD), I know of three families (neighbors
of friends) who purchased and were later foreclosed upon. All were
caucasian, so I'm not sure are for the most part Hispanic is an
appropriate characterization.

Jeff
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Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread lodewijk andré de la porte
I get back from vacation and suddenly my inbox is filled with
misconceptions.

While this is supossed to be a fairly technical mailinglist (about
cryptography) it seems clear many people haven't quite understood bitcoins'
workings.

Let me break it down:
* With a private/public key combination you can sign a message stating
you're transferring a certain fraction of value (a bitcoin is what we call
the 1 value).
* This message you sent to nodes within the bitcoin network.
* Each node checks whether or not your transaction can be executed and
compiles these correct transactions into a 'block'.
* Each node will try to find a proof-of-work for the block he made. Once he
has it, he can ship the block off towards everywhere (as many as possible
other nodes).
* Recieving nodes will check the block and when they accept it, put a
reference (hash) to it in their next block. The resulting chain of blocks is
called the block 'chain'
Now that the transaction is solidified in a block one can proof he has some
amount of money, by referencing a payment to him in the block.

How do the first bitcoins enter the system? By making a block one gets an
award. The amount given per award is getting steadily lower. If you're
thinking you can get rich quick by letting your computer solve blocks, think
again! There's only one block to be solved every ten minutes, if it goes to
fast the blocks will get harder, and there's a lot of people trying to solve
it, you're electricity will likely cost you more than solving blocks is
going to earn you. You're welcome to try though, solving a block makes
transactions happen.

What will happen when the awards are nearly gone? Then the total amount of
bitcoins will stay nearly the same. This'll happen after quite some years.
The total amount will be nearly 21 million bitcoins. The transactions will
be paid for by bounty set on every transaction. As long as someone is
willing to make the proof-of-work your transaction will end up in the block
chain and be made permanent.

That is basically the system. The whole
whitepaperhttp://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdfisn't long or hard to
understand and I highly suggest reading it.

I know of only two (not dealbreaking) issues:
1. Transactions take time to happen (they are non-instant) (bank
transactions are much worse though).
2. Because of the deflation all coins gotten earlier were easier to get and
are now worth as much a block gotten now. I prefer deflation over
inflation and if this really takes of the earliest of adaptors really
deserved the money.


On the (geo)economical side I think this is the best that every happend to
the world. The bitcoin is quite violent right now, because there's still so
little value being traded with them. But that will sort out and after that
it'll just keep on getting more stable. Regular currency's (dollars,
euro's, yen, whatever) are only as stable as their backing organisations or
resource. Anything that goes up has got to fall, and bitcoins aren't
anything, not even air! Trade has always been based on when I give you
this, what can I do with what you give me back? and so, when people accept
a certain amount of bitcoins for something, bitcoins have use and thus
value.

There is a wonderfull elegance in something we can trade at no costs,
without any ability to cheat or adversely manipulate it's amount. Even
without saying who (exactly) we are!

It's propable that when you swap something as elementary as our
not-wonderfull money with this it'll give some turbulance. And as with
anything new, especially when it gives true freedom, people will get their
panty's all up in a bunch. Usually their arguments either rest on not
understanding what's going on, or claiming that this gives a security issue.
The first argument I'll always counter with knowledge and logic. For the
second argument I'd like to parphrase Benjamin Franklin: He who sacrifices
essential freedom for safety, deserve neither.. Surely being able to own
and transfer what you own is an essential  freedom.


I'd prefer not going into political conversation on here but I think it far
too interesting not to have it at all.

-- Lodewijk Lewis Andre de la Porte

2011/6/13 Nico Williams n...@cryptonector.com

 On Mon, Jun 13, 2011 at 10:50 AM, Nathan Loofbourrow njl...@gmail.com
 wrote:
  The good old market played a role here too. There are lots of investors
  whose risk profile dictates that they should be in safe investments,
 e.g.
  pension funds and old people. With the interest rates held on the floor,
 and
  Greenspan and Bernanke sitting on their chest, those safe investors
 started
  to buy up mortgages, because mortgages were big dumb investments and
  everyone paid their mortgage.

 You just proved the point: the market was distorted, with private
 actors acting _within_ the distorted market parameters.  Thus people
 who needed to make low-risk investments did make what _seemed_ like
 low-risk investments (after all, real estate had been a low-risk
 

Re: [cryptography] Digital cash in the news...

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

ObCrypto: sorry, got nothing.


This crisis has a lot to do with the fact that Bitcoin is doing well, 
and suggests demand for other cryptographic solutions.


As orthodox places to put your money and perform transactions are 
increasingly suspect, people are now willing to consider unorthodox 
places to put their money and unorthodox means to transact, when 
formerly there was really no demand.


Now there is demand.  And that the crisis was caused by regulators is a 
major reason for that demand.


If crypto's mission is to enable people to sign on to their banks 
without being phished, then this discussion is wholly irrelevant.


If crypto's mission is to enable people to do transactions without being 
scammed, then existing scams not employing cryptography are wholly relevant.


If government regulation was ineffectual or actively damaging, then we 
need cryptographic solutions that provide security in ways that bypass 
the government and regulators - hence the demand for bitcoin.


If the crisis was lack of wise regulation, then we need a solution in 
which all transactions are, like paypal transactions and the various 
cell phone money schemes, rendered visible to authority and traceable.


If the crisis was immoral and corrupt regulation, with politicians 
directing money to voting blocks and regulators spinning in the 
revolving door between government and banks, and often changing their 
hats without even changing their offices, wearing a regulator hat at the 
same desk where a short time before they had worn a banker hat, then we 
need a more cypherpunkish solution - such as bitcoin, and there is 
customer demand for a more cypherpunkish solution.

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Re: [cryptography] Crypto-economics metadiscussion

2011-06-13 Thread James A. Donald

On 2011-06-14 2:31 AM, Marsh Ray wrote:

I 'aint no self-appointed moderator of this list and I do find the
subject of economics terribly interesting, but maybe it would make sense
to willfully confine the scope of our discussion of Bitcoin and other
virtual currencies to the crypto side of it.


The crypto side of it necessarily includes what crypto is doing, and 
what it should do, what crypto can be sold.


The discussion of bitcoin was Why bitcoin

Well, obviously, bitcoin is succeeding because the financial crisis has 
caused loss of trust in government approved and regulated solutions.


That the financial crisis was caused by bad behavior that justified this 
loss of trust is controversial, and apt to result in off topic discussion.

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Re: [cryptography] Is BitCoin a triple entry system?

2011-06-13 Thread Zooko O'Whielacronx
Also related, Eric Hughes posted about something he called Encrypted
Open Books on 1993-08-16. The idea was to allow an auditor to confirm
the correctness of the accounts without being able to see the details
of people's accounts.

Regards,

Zooko
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Re: [cryptography] Crypto-economics metadiscussion

2011-06-13 Thread Steven Bellovin
 
 
 Well, obviously, bitcoin is succeeding because the financial crisis has 
 caused loss of trust in government approved and regulated solutions.

Obviously?  I do not think this word means what you think it means.




--Steve Bellovin, https://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb





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Re: [cryptography] Crypto-economics metadiscussion

2011-06-13 Thread Peter Gutmann
Marsh Ray ma...@extendedsubset.com writes:

I 'aint no self-appointed moderator of this list and I do find the subject of 
economics terribly interesting, but maybe it would make sense to willfully 
confine the scope of our discussion of Bitcoin and other virtual currencies 
to the crypto side of it.

Absolutely.  We need a virtual Perry.

Peter.

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