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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

.
Outlining plans for the next five years, Mr. Zhu said at the opening of the
annual session of China's legislature, the National People's Congress, that
the government would continue to pull out of the economy, allowing private
stockholders to gain control of all but "strategic" industries and giving
farmers new rights over the land.
.
Analysts said that the statement was China's most formal endorsement yet of
two policies that have been opposed by more ideologically rigid factions of
the Communist Party.
.
But Mr. Zhu also said that China would continue to subsidize rural incomes by
purchasing grain "without limit" at artificially high prices - a key sticking
point in China's negotiations to join the World Trade Organization.
.
He also said that China would issue $18 billion in bonds this year to fund
infrastructure projects in the nation's impoverished west, some of which
economists believe are of dubious value. Expansion Is Response to 'Drastic
Changes' in World Situation

BEIJING Seeking to cope with what it calls "the drastic changes in the
military situation around the world," China plans to increase its defense
spending this year by 17.7 percent, its biggest military expansion in the
last 20 years, China's government has decided.
.
A copy of a speech to be given Tuesday by Finance Minister Xiang Huaicheng
said the increase would be mainly used for raises for officers, enlisted men,
and "to meet the drastic changes in the military situation of the world and
prepare for defense and combat given the conditions of modern technology,
especially high technology."
.
The military spending increase, which dwarfs the yearly increases of the last
decade, comes at time when China is experiencing no inflation and facing a
record budget deficit - thereby making the expansion all the more significant.
.
Mr. Xiang said the 2001 publicly acknowledged military budget would reach
$17.195 billion - higher than that of India, Taiwan and South Korea. Most
analysts say they believe the real figure is at least three times as high,
bringing China almost on par with Japan at $45 billion. "This is the biggest
increase I have ever seen," said James Mulvenon, a specialist on Chinese
security at Rand Corp., noting that larger percentage increases in the
mid-90s came as China's economy faced runaway inflation. "In an environment
of increasing central budget deficits and continuing revenue problems, these
types of increases highlight the amount of fiscal pain China's leadership is
willing to endure to maintain the loyalty of the military."
.
The ballooning budget reflects a mix of several complicated factors,
including these:
.
•The increasing belief that China must prepare for a conflict with the United
States if it wants to recover Taiwan.
.
•The sense that the People's Liberation Army is falling behind in the race
for a high-tech military.
.
•The military's realization that it must pay higher salaries and train more
if it wants to be a force in the world.
.
•The government's attempts to make up for the shortfall in the military's
budget after it forced the army to divest itself of most of its business
interests in 1998.
.
Mr. Mulvenon said the Kosovo bombing campaign, in which air power and
missiles alone forced the Yugoslavia Army out of Kosovo, was a major catalyst
for the budget increase - the second major shock after the Gulf War to the
People's Liberation Army in 10 years. The allied victory, without a casualty,
constituted a major part of the "drastic changes" in the world's military
situation, enunciated by Mr. Xiang.
.
Mr. Mulvenon added, "If the Gulf War was the wake-up call for the PLA, then
Kosovo was the snooze alarm telling them it's really time to get going."
.
Underlying this concern, analysts said, is the view, spelled out in China's
defense white paper issued in October last year, that the United States now
constitutes China's main threat and is a roadblock on China's way to achieve
regional military supremacy and reunification with Taiwan - the island of 23
million people that Beijing says belongs to China.
.
That document accused Washington of "practicing a new 'gunboat policy' and
neo-economic colonialism" and remarked that the U.S. plan to create a shield
against missiles would seriously stabilize the security of the Asia-Pacific
region.
.
Money for foreign military purchases - about $1 billion a year - comes from
an off-budget fund run by the Central Military Commission. Over the 1990s,
China spent an estimated $6 billion on foreign military purchases; Taiwan
during the same time frame spent $20 billion.
.
China Sets Reform Program
.
By Philip P. Pan of The Washington Post reported earlier from Beijing:
.
In a major policy address Monday, Prime Minister Zhu Rongji said that China
would push forward with reforms targeting impoverished farmers and
inefficient state factories, arguing that the nation's economy no longer
could maintain the record growth it has enjoyed for the past two decades
without tackling such "deep-seated problems."
.
Outlining plans for the next five years, Mr. Zhu said at the opening of the
annual session of China's legislature, the National People's Congress, that
the government would continue to pull out of the economy, allowing private
stockholders to gain control of all but "strategic" industries and giving
farmers new rights over the land.
.
Analysts said that the statement was China's most formal endorsement yet of
two policies that have been opposed by more ideologically rigid factions of
the Communist Party.
.
But Mr. Zhu also said that China would continue to subsidize rural incomes by
purchasing grain "without limit" at artificially high prices - a key sticking
point in China's negotiations to join the World Trade Organization.
.
He also said that China would issue $18 billion in bonds this year to fund
infrastructure projects in the nation's impoverished west, some of which
economists believe are of dubious value. Expansion Is Response to 'Drastic
Changes' in World Situation

BEIJING Seeking to cope with what it calls "the drastic changes in the
military situation around the world," China plans to increase its defense
spending this year by 17.7 percent, its biggest military expansion in the
last 20 years, China's government has decided.
.
A copy of a speech to be given Tuesday by Finance Minister Xiang Huaicheng
said the increase would be mainly used for raises for officers, enlisted men,
and "to meet the drastic changes in the military situation of the world and
prepare for defense and combat given the conditions of modern technology,
especially high technology."
.
The military spending increase, which dwarfs the yearly increases of the last
decade, comes at time when China is experiencing no inflation and facing a
record budget deficit - thereby making the expansion all the more significant.
.
Mr. Xiang said the 2001 publicly acknowledged military budget would reach
$17.195 billion - higher than that of India, Taiwan and South Korea. Most
analysts say they believe the real figure is at least three times as high,
bringing China almost on par with Japan at $45 billion. "This is the biggest
increase I have ever seen," said James Mulvenon, a specialist on Chinese
security at Rand Corp., noting that larger percentage increases in the
mid-90s came as China's economy faced runaway inflation. "In an environment
of increasing central budget deficits and continuing revenue problems, these
types of increases highlight the amount of fiscal pain China's leadership is
willing to endure to maintain the loyalty of the military."
.
The ballooning budget reflects a mix of several complicated factors,
including these:
.
•The increasing belief that China must prepare for a conflict with the United
States if it wants to recover Taiwan.
.
•The sense that the People's Liberation Army is falling behind in the race
for a high-tech military.
.
•The military's realization that it must pay higher salaries and train more
if it wants to be a force in the world.
.
•The government's attempts to make up for the shortfall in the military's
budget after it forced the army to divest itself of most of its business
interests in 1998.
.
Mr. Mulvenon said the Kosovo bombing campaign, in which air power and
missiles alone forced the Yugoslavia Army out of Kosovo, was a major catalyst
for the budget increase - the second major shock after the Gulf War to the
People's Liberation Army in 10 years. The allied victory, without a casualty,
constituted a major part of the "drastic changes" in the world's military
situation, enunciated by Mr. Xiang.
.
Mr. Mulvenon added, "If the Gulf War was the wake-up call for the PLA, then
Kosovo was the snooze alarm telling them it's really time to get going."
.
Underlying this concern, analysts said, is the view, spelled out in China's
defense white paper issued in October last year, that the United States now
constitutes China's main threat and is a roadblock on China's way to achieve
regional military supremacy and reunification with Taiwan - the island of 23
million people that Beijing says belongs to China.
.
That document accused Washington of "practicing a new 'gunboat policy' and
neo-economic colonialism" and remarked that the U.S. plan to create a shield
against missiles would seriously stabilize the security of the Asia-Pacific
region.
.
Money for foreign military purchases - about $1 billion a year - comes from
an off-budget fund run by the Central Military Commission. Over the 1990s,
China spent an estimated $6 billion on foreign military purchases; Taiwan
during the same time frame spent $20 billion.
.
China Sets Reform Program
.
By Philip P. Pan of The Washington Post reported earlier from Beijing:
.
In a major policy address Monday, Prime Minister Zhu Rongji said that China
would push forward with reforms targeting impoverished farmers and
inefficient state factories, arguing that the nation's economy no longer
could maintain the record growth it has enjoyed for the past two decades
without tackling such "deep-seated problems."
.
Outlining plans for the next five years, Mr. Zhu said at the opening of the
annual session of China's legislature, the National People's Congress, that
the government would continue to pull out of the economy, allowing private
stockholders to gain control of all but "strategic" industries and giving
farmers new rights over the land.
.
Analysts said that the statement was China's most formal endorsement yet of
two policies that have been opposed by more ideologically rigid factions of
the Communist Party.
.
But Mr. Zhu also said that China would continue to subsidize rural incomes by
purchasing grain "without limit" at artificially high prices - a key sticking
point in China's negotiations to join the World Trade Organization.
.
He also said that China would issue $18 billion in bonds this year to fund
infrastructure projects in the nation's impoverished west, some of which
economists believe are of dubious value.





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