Re: [CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi Oil

2003-10-06 Thread Sean McBride
-Caveat Lector-



Steve,
 
I agree that this whole operation is 
potentially a huge boondoggle for the oil industry and a massive rip-off of the 
American people.
 
But big oil has major doubts about whether 
the crackpots and incompetents running the Bush administration are going to make 
the reconstruction work and stick, regardless of whose money is paying for 
it.  Those oil pipelines are highly vulnerable to sabotage by the angry 
natives.
 
Bush administration policies are more 
likely to lead to a massive revolt of the Arab and Muslim masses against 
all American interests than to big new profits for American oil companies.  
The neocons have gone out of their way to provoke Arab and Muslim hatred of 
Americans.
 
I'm limited to five messages here per day 
in CTRL, so I may not be able to continue this discussion without some regular 
interruptions.  political-research, here
 
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/political-research/
 
is wide open for discussion on this 
fascinating topic.  Let's just make an effort to keep it 
civil.
 

  - Original Message - 
  From: 
  Steve 
  Wingate 
  To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  Sent: Monday, October 06, 2003 12:39 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi 
  Oil
  One more question:  Who is paying for the reconstruction 
  of the oil infrastructure in post-war Iraq? The oil companies, or the US 
  taxpayers?  I think you know the answer.Who benefits? The oil 
  companies and the oil service companies. Sounds like a win-win situation 
  for the oil industry, and a real looser for you and I, and our children, and 
  their children, and so 
  on...Steve--ANOMALOUS 
  IMAGES AND UFO FILEShttp://www.anomalous-images.com
www.ctrl.org
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That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
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Re: [CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi Oil

2003-10-06 Thread Sean McBride
-Caveat Lector-




  In 
  a 1998 speech at the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco, Chevron CEO Kenneth 
  Derr  candidly remarked: "Iraq possesses huge reserves of oil and gas -- 
  reserves I'd love Chevron to have access 
to."
There is 
a major gap in your logic here.  OF COURSE any major oil company in the 
world would love to have access to Iraqi oil.  One cannot conclude from 
this wish that they have supported Bush's unilateral invasion and occupation of 
Iraq.
 
There is 
absolutely no connection between the two propositions.  The desire for 
access to Iraqi oil would more likely motivate big oil to work out 
friendly business relationships with Saddam's regime than to invade Iraq.  
Big oil has been especially worried that the invasion of Iraq might upset their 
currently highly profitably business arrangements with nations like Saudi 
Arabia.
 
Why do 
you think it is that Israel and Israeli supporters have exhibited so much 
hostility towards big oil over the decades?  The reason is that big oil has 
sought FRIENDLY relations with Arab and Muslim oil producers around the 
world.
 
Big oil 
requires a stable and friendly environment in which to extract oil 
efficiently and profitably.  It is far too easy for an enraged occupied 
people to sabotage oil pipelines.  It is impossible for any military force, 
no matter how large, to protect every foot of the 
pipelines.
 
You have 
failed to respond to any of the details in the expert articles I've posted on 
this subject from Anthony Sampson, Roger Burbach, Daniel Yergin and 
others.  Do you think they are all part of a sinister plot to protect 
big oil?
 
The few 
articles you've posted don't even support your own 
argument.
 
You seem 
to be operating more from an emotional conspiracy theory about big oil's 
role in the Iraq War than from a rational analysis of the 
facts.
 
It's 
true that Dick Cheney has close ties to the oil industry.  He also has 
intimate and emotional ties to the neocons, and is a prominent member 
of the PNAC, a prominent neocon outfit.  I don't deny that the neocons 
have succeeded in luring a few big oil principals into their messianic 
campaign to ignite World War IV on behalf of Israel.  But the oil industry 
as a whole, just like the CIA and the American military establishment, has 
dismissed the arguments of the neocons about the benefits of American attacks on 
Arab and Muslim nations as pure bunk.
 
What do 
you think the current war between the CIA and the neocon-controlled Bush 
administration is all about?  Why do you think that so many members of the 
military establishment, like Anthony Zinni and Wesley Clark, have been lashing 
out at the neocons who engineered the disastrous war on 
Iraq?
 

  - Original Message - 
  From: 
  Steve 
  Wingate 
  To: Sean McBride ; [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  Sent: Monday, October 06, 2003 12:22 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi 
  Oil
  On 5 Oct 2003 at 7:28, Sean McBride wrote:> Point 
  out where Peter Robertson of Chevron Texaco ever expressed any support for 
  an> American war against Iraq.  There is nothing in this article 
  to suggest that.The former CEO of Chevron said:In a 1998 
  speech at the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco, Chevron CEO Kenneth Derr 
  candidly remarked: "Iraq possesses huge reserves of oil and gas -- 
  reserves I'd love Chevron to have access 
to."
www.ctrl.org
DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
==
CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.

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Re: [CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi Oil

2003-10-06 Thread Sean McBride
  Iraq's reconstruction, said that amount was "it for the U.S." He said any 
  other reconstruction money would come from elsewhere, including other 
  countries and future "Iraqi oil revenues," which he predicted at "$20 
  billion a year."
  In an interview this week, Mr. Natsios said he had based those comments 
  on "the discussion in the interagency process at the time," adding, 
  "That's what the Office of Management and Budget was telling us." 
  Trent Duffy, a budget office spokesman, said this week that "the 
  administration was very clear that the $1.7 billion in initial 
  reconstruction was for the beginning stages and that it was necessary to 
  get a better understanding of the fuller, comprehensive needs going 
  forward." 
  Last week, appearing again before the Senate committee, Mr. Rumsfeld 
  said, "I don't think I did misjudge" Iraq's oil capacity. According to 
  current projections, he said, the country's oil revenues will grow to $12 
  billion next year from $2 billion this year; they should reach $19 billion 
  in 2005 and $20 billion in 2006.
  "So, their oil revenues will be contributing," Mr. Rumsfeld said.
  Yet Mr. Bremer, in his remarks to legislators two weeks ago, said that 
  for the next two years, whatever revenue was reaped from oil production 
  would not exceed the cost of Iraq's day-to-day operating expenses. In 
  2005, he said, there would be a surplus of only $4 million to $5 
  million.
  As for Mr. Cheney's projection in April that oil would produce as much 
  as $20 billion a year, a Cheney aide said last week that "there was much 
  more extensive damage due to looting and sabotage, so we're not going to 
  get there when the vice president anticipated."
  Reassessing Revenues
  The public revenue estimates made in the spring were in line with the 
  very top range of projections made by the Pentagon task force.
  According to the Pentagon official who served on the task force, its 
  projections for yearly oil revenues were $25 billion to $30 billion "in 
  the very best case, no sabotage and little or no battle damage," and about 
  $16 billion in the "worse than best case."
  The worst case was no revenue for a few years, if there was "major 
  sabotage and some significant battle damage."
  Last December the Baker Institute estimated that even if there was no 
  war damage, "Iraq's total oil revenues would still only likely average 
  around $10 billion to $12 billion annually."
  Yet even after the war, some officials in Washington seemed to cling to 
  an optimistic view of Iraq's oil production.
  In July, Mr. Wolfowitz told a group of senators that production had 
  reached "over a million barrels per day." Although Iraq was having 
  electrical power problems, Mr. Wolfowitz said the oil was flowing "because 
  we brought in portable generators to provide electricity" and planned to 
  bring in more.
  But Philip Carroll, a retired petroleum executive and the senior 
  American oil adviser in Baghdad, said in an interview that Iraqi oil 
  production "experienced a terrible month in July because electrical 
  problems cut us back to half of what we should have produced." Those 
  problems, including the need to import considerable fuel, he said, led him 
  to arrange new generator leases in late July.
  Mr. Carroll said that although gross production for the week of July 25 
  was a million barrels a day, 350,000 barrels had to be injected back into 
  the ground, because of a lack of storage or distribution 
  infrastructure.
  An aide to Mr. Wolfowitz said he believed that the oil information came 
  from a briefing and that Mr. Wolfowitz's testimony was "sober and 
  nuanced."
  Once the war ended, and United States officials gained access to Iraq's 
  oil records, they got a more complete picture.
  "When we actually got their production figures for 2002, we were able 
  to make a distinction between productive capacity and what they were 
  actually producing," said Gary Loew, an Army Corps of Engineers official, 
  reducing their capacity figures by 20 to 25 percent.
  That reduction roughly corresponded to the Pentagon task force's cuts 
  before the war began.
  Copyright 
  2003 The New York 
  Times Company | Home | Privacy 
  Policy | Search | Corrections | Help | Back 
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  - Original Message - 
  From: 
  Steve 
  Wingate 
  To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  Sent: Sunday, October 05, 2003 3:14 
  AM

[CTRL] Chevron on Iraqi Oil

2003-10-05 Thread Steve Wingate
-Caveat Lector-

(No problemo, Sean, Halliburten will be glad to take US taxpayers debt to secure Iraqi
oil for Chevron. ;-(

Chevron Texaco sees 40 billion dollar bill to rebuild Iraqi oil industry Monday, 
08-Sep-
2003 9:57AM Story from AFP Copyright 2003 by Agence France-Presse (via ClariNet)



DUBAI, Sept 8 (AFP) - Modernising Iraq's oil sector will cost up to 40 billion dollars,
Peter Robertson, vice chairman of Chevron Texaco, said Monday.

"It will cost 30 to 40 billion dollars to bring Iraq's oil sector up to modern 
standards
and have a sustainable production rate of two to three million barrels per day (bpd),"
Robertson told the Middle East Petroleum and Gas conference in Dubai.

Robertson did not, however, give a timeframe for when Chevron Texaco expects Iraq to
reach such output levels.

The war-torn country's future oil revenues will not be sufficient to cover the cost of
rehabilitating the oil industry, Robertson said, "putting (the oil) industry in Iraq 
on a
stable footing and providing for its citizens to not be financed by oil revenues
themselves."

The US administration is struggling to meet the cost of reconstruction in Iraq. US 
civil
administrator Paul Bremer said last month that "several tens of billions of dollars" 
are
needed to rebuild Iraq's infrastruture.

Bremer said meeting Iraq's electrical demand alone would require two billion dollars 
and
12 months of work, while providing clean water would cost 16 billion dollars over four
years.

Iraq's new administration will be asking donors at a conference in Madrid at the end of
October to help foot the bill.

Cost estimates for rebuilding the oil industry have been spiralling upwards on almost a
daily basis as saboteurs and looters continue to target pipelines and other oil and 
power
facilities.

The attacks have severely limited Iraq's export capabilities particularly from the 
north
where the 1.1 million bpd Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline remains out of action following 
several
attacks.

In the south, exports in August were at 709,000 bpd, Mohammad al-Jibori, the director
general of Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organisation (SOMO), told AFP.

This is a far cry from the 1.1-1.2 million bpd of Basra light exported before the 
US-led
war. Iraq is hoping to boost the current output levels by the end of September but much
will depend on regular power supplies, Jibori said.

Output plummeted to around 200,000 bpd in the south last month following a massive 
power
cut in Basra and the surrounding area. The blackout played havoc with the loading
schedule for the recently signed term contracts with international oil companies.

Iraq is a member of OPEC but has not been included in its production quotas since
sanctions were imposed by the United Nations in the wake of the 1990 invasion of 
Kuwait.

--
ANOMALOUS IMAGES AND UFO FILES
http://www.anomalous-images.com

www.ctrl.org
DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
==
CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.

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