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http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=26573

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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!


Sharon to loosen Arafat's confinement
Deal with Mubarak includes letup in terror strikes on Israel

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Posted: February 22, 2002
1:43 p.m. Eastern


Editor's note: DEBKAfile's electronic news publication is a news-cum-analysis
live wire, online round the clock seven days a week. A weekly
edition,DEBKA-Net-Weekly, is now available through WorldNetDaily.com. Drawing
on DEBKAfile's unique sources, analytical talents and forward-looking
insights, it is presented as a compact, intelligence-angled weekly package.
It is available as a direct e-mail feed or via the Internet.


© 2002 WorldNetDaily.com

Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has acceded to Egyptian President Hosni
Mubarak's request for steps to ease Yasser Arafat's confinement in Ramallah –
in return for a phased letup in Palestinian terror and improved relations
with Cairo, according to DEBKAfile's political sources.

What the two leaders agreed, in essence, in their telephone conversation
yesterday was for the three processes to go forward in parallel, with Egypt
accompanying each step.

Until that phone call, the Egyptian ruler had virtually boycotted the Israeli
prime minister for a year.

Its immediate outcome was a high-level Israeli-Palestinian security meeting
that same night, attended on the Israeli side by Shin Beth director Avi
Dichter and IDF Operations head Maj.Gen. Giora Eiland. Representing the
Palestinians were Muhamed Dahlan, head of the Gaza Strip Security Service,
and Jibril Rajoub, head of Preventive Security in the West Bank.

On the agenda were steps to de-escalate the surging violence.

The first was carried out by Israel this morning, when its troops pulled out
of positions occupied two weeks ago in the southern Gaza Strip and lifted the
blockade trisecting the territory into impassable segments.

Another crucial step will take place early next week, when Sharon invites
non-combatant Palestinian Authority officials for a second encounter. The
first took place earlier this month. DEBKAfile's sources point out that, by
talking to Arafat's representatives amid a phased winding down of Palestinian
terror, Sharon has in effect agreed to enter into indirect, Egypt-mediated
negotiations under fire.

He has evidently decided to give Mubarak a chance by accepting the following
scenario:


Israel-Palestinian exchanges will be resumed;

The Palestinians will reduce the level of terror attacks;

Israel will ease its preventive military and economic blockade measures;

Arafat's conditions of confinement will be improved;

Israel will let him go to Beirut for the Arab summit on March 28.
If all these stages come to pass, Mubarak guarantees to block harsh
anti-Israel resolutions in Beirut.

After Thursday's broadcast, Sharon stonewalled when asked if the arrest in
Nablus of the alleged assassins of Israeli Minister Rehavam Zeevi earlier
that day would release Arafat to attend the Beirut summit on March 28. His
answer was, "Israel always honors its commitments."

That answer related to his promise to the Egyptian ruler.

As part of the process, Cairo will de-freeze its attitude towards Israel and
the Sharon government in particular. Sharon will meet Mubarak – first in the
Sinai resort of Sharm al Sheikh, followed by Mubarak's first visit to Israel
as president. Inviting Sharon to Cairo then will be considered.

Another key Middle East player, Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdulaziz,
needed only one week to reconsider and take back the deal he floated before
New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman, namely normal relations between the
Arab world and Israel in return for its withdrawal to pre-1967 frontiers.
>From the first, DEBKAfile discounted the motive behind the plan, judging it
was aired more with an eye to Riyadh's rocky relations with Washington than
the Israel-Palestinian impasse. Abdullah unsurprisingly killed the idea
yesterday, announcing he would not bring it before the Arab summit.

DEBKAfile's defense experts judge Sharon's buffer zone plan, unveiled in his
address to the nation Thursday night, equally ephemeral. The zones are to run
from the Gilboa Hill range in the north to beyond Hebron in the south,
several kilometers deep. Concrete blocks and other obstacles will demark the
zones, which will take at least a year to set up.

Political sources suggest Sharon may have put the idea forward to convey the
impression of motion in the war against terror. However, even if it were
real, such long-term plans are bound to fall by the wayside in the rush of
events beginning now, as the moment for a full-scale American offensive
against Iraq draws near.



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