Unleashing `Mini-Nukes' Will Bring
                 Dire Consequences

                 Martin Butcher, Theresa Hitchens
                                                        
                                                         Thursday, September 21, 2000



                 SOME U.S. LEADERS are toying with an idea for
                 a new nuclear bomb that could have turned
                 NATO's campaign in Kosovo into a nuclear war.
                 For more than 50 years, there has been a taboo
                 against unleashing the terrible power of the atom in
                 war, but some in the U.S. nuclear weapons
                 establishment and their political allies now envision a
                 world where nuclear combat could become almost
                 a commonplace event.

                 Sound crazy? Unfortunately, it's true.

                 Top Senate Republicans already have pushed
                 through a measure that will allow U.S. weapons
                 labs to begin studies on a so-called ``mini-nuke,''
                 intended not to deter a potential enemy but for use
                 in small, regional wars. The measure is expected to
                 pass when Congress debates the defense budget bill
                 later this month. And even though the Pentagon says
                 it ``has no requirement'' for such a new weapon, no
                 one in President Clinton's lame-duck administration
                 is expected to take on the issue.

                 Sens. John Warner, R-Va., and Wayne Allard,
                 R-Colo., ensured that the Senate version of the
                 Defense Authorization Bill for fiscal year 2001
                 contains a provision to allow initial development
                 studies on a nuclear weapon with an explosive yield
                 of less than five kilotons. The senators acted in
                 answer to an Air Force request for permis sion to
                 explore creation of an earth-burrowing nuclear
                 warhead that could be used in regional wars, such
                 as the Gulf War or Kosovo, to destroy
                 underground bunkers.

                 The aim would be to kill national leaders such as
                 Saddam Hussein or Slobodan Milosevic, or to
                 destroy stocks of biological/chemical weapons held
                 by so-called ``rogue'' states. The thinking --
                 detailed in a recent paper, ``Nuclear Weapons in
                 the 21st Century'' by Stephen Younger, associate
                 director for nuclear weapons at Los Alamos
                 National Laboratory -- is that such bunkers are
                 often in urban areas, where use of a ``normal''
                 nuclear weapon would cause unacceptable damage
                 and casualties to the civilian population. A
                 ``mini-nuke,'' proponents argue, would be a sure
                 way of killing a dictator, or wiping out stockpiles of
                 chemical and biological weapons, with little or no
                 release of those agents into the environment.

                 Obviously, the development and deployment of a
                 weapon with a relatively small explosive yield -- the
                 Hiroshima bomb, regarded today as tiny, was a 15
                 kiloton weapon -- would be extremely dangerous,
                 precisely because the military would regard it as
                 ``usable.'' The negative political ramifications of
                 launching a nuclear war apparently go unheeded by
                 Younger and others promoting such a new weapon.

                 It is also absurd to assert that such a weapon could
                 be employed without en dangering civilians. A
                 mini-nuke dropped on San Francisco might only
                 destroy Twin Peaks, not the entire city. But, even a
                 small nuclear weapon would kill thousands of
                 people and bring appalling suffering to thousands
                 more victims of burns, radiation sickness, blindness
                 and other injuries. Eventually, thousands more
                 would suffer as the result of genetic deformities --
                 exactly as has happened in Hiroshima and
                 Nagasaki.

                 And even with today's precision weapons, accurate
                 delivery cannot be ensured. The accidental bombing
                 of the Chinese embassy during NATO's Kosovo air
                 war is a case in point.

                 War aside, a number of immediate negative
                 consequences can be expected if the United States
                 pursues ``mini-nukes.''

                 In the near term, nuclear weapons design and
                 development activity at Department of Energy labs
                 would be intensified. Eventually, there would be
                 strong pressure to resume nuclear testing, as the
                 weapon scientists seek to prove to the military that
                 their new designs work. This would wreck the
                 Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, already weakened
                 by its rejection by the Senate last year. In fact, there
                 already is strong pressure from the U.S. nuclear
                 labs, and members of Congress such as Sen.
                 Allard, to abandon the test ban treaty and the U.S.
                 moratorium on nuclear testing. The United States'
                 move to develop mini-nukes has the potential to
                 spur proliferation. The refusal of the
                 ``nuclear-haves'' to live up to obligations under the
                 Non- Proliferation Treaty to pursue nuclear
                 disarmament already has piqued India and Pakistan
                 to acquire nuclear capability.

                 How can the world take seriously Washington's
                 pledge, made during the May Non-Proliferation
                 Treaty 2000 Review Conference, to make an
                 ``unequivocal undertaking'' to work toward
                 eliminating nuclear weapons, when at the same time
                 U.S. officials are promoting new, more usable
                 bombs?

                 Moreover, the United States has signed so-called
                 negative security assurances -- promising not to
                 launch a nuclear attack on non-nuclear countries.
                 Doesn't the development of a ``mini-nuke'' make a
                 mockery of those promises?

                 Is the U.S. government really ready to overthrow
                 the international consensus that nuclear war would
                 be the ultimate disaster, just for the chance to drop
                 a bomb on Saddam Hussein? Does such a policy
                 make strategic sense for a peaceful 21st century?

                 Those touting the use of battlefield nuclear weapons
                 need to look up from their blueprints and recognize
                 the potentially frightening results of their laboratory
                 experiments.

                 Martin Butcher is director of security programs
                 at Physicians for Social Responsibility. Theresa
                 Hitchens is research director at the British
                 American Security Information Council.

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