-Caveat Lector-

War in Iraq - fighting the people

March 26, 2003
www.iraqwar.ru

The IRAQWAR.RU analytical center was created recently by a group of journalists and
military experts from Russia to provide accurate and up-to-date news and analysis of 
the
war against Iraq. The following is the English translation of the IRAQWAR.RU report 
based
on the Russian military intelligence reports.

[ < previous report | next report > ]

March 26, 2003, 1230hrs MSK (GMT +3), Moscow - As of the morning March 26 fierce 
battles
have resumed in Iraq along the entire front. As was previously expected the sand storm
has halted the advance of the coalition forces. Additionally, the coalition troops were
in serious need of rest, resupply and reinforcement.

For much of the day unfavorable weather paralyzed combat activities of one of the main
attack groups of the coalition - the 101st Airborne Division, which was forced to
completely curtail all of its combat operations. Combat readiness of this division is 
of
strategic importance to the entire coalition force primarily due to the fact that the
division operates 290 helicopters of various types, including the 72 Apache attack
helicopters. The 101st Airborne Division along with the 82nd Airborne Division and the
3rd Infantry Division (Mechanized) forms the backbone of the XVIII Airborne Corps - the
main strike force of the coalition.

In essence, the 101st Airborne Division provides suppression of the enemy while
simultaneously conducting aerial reconnaissance and suppression of any newly-discovered
enemy forces. It maintain constant contact with the enemy and contains the enemy until
the main forces arrive.

Currently the coalition's main forces are conducting combat operations along the
approaches to the towns of Karabela and An-Najaf.

During the past 24 hours the coalition units in these areas sustained 4 killed and up 
to
10 wounded. All indications are that one coalition special operations helicopter was 
lost
and no communication with the helicopter could be established. The faith of its crew 
and
the troops it carried is still being investigated. Another two coalition helicopters 
made
emergency landings in areas controlled by friendly forces. Aircraft engines were found 
to
be extremely susceptible to the effects of sand.

As was determined by our [GRU] intelligence even before the start of combat operations,
the primary goal of the coalition command was an energetic advance across the desert
along the right bank of the Euphrates river, reaching the central Iraq with a further
thrust toward Baghdad through Karabela. Another strategic attack was to go around Basra
through An-Nasiriya toward Al-Ammara followed by a full isolation of the southern 
[Iraqi]
forces, effectively splitting Iraq in half.

The first part of the plan - a march across the desert toward Karabela - was achieved,
albeit with serious delays. The second part of the plan in essence has failed. Up to 
this
moment the coalition troops were unable to punch through the Iraqi defenses near An-
Nasiriya and to force the Iraqis toward Al-Ammara, which would have allowed the 
coalition
to clear the way to Baghdad along the strategically important Mesopotamian river valley
with Tigris and Euphrates covering the flanks of the advancing forces. So far only a 
few
coalition units were able to get to the left bank of the Euphrates, where they are 
trying
to widen their staging areas.

Additionally, the prolonged fighting near An-Nasiriya allowed the Iraqis to withdraw 
most
of their forces from Basra region and to avoid being surrounded.

Currently the coalition forces are trying to get across the river near An-Najaf and
Karabela, where, all indications are, heavy combat will continue during the next two
days.

Harsh criticism from the top US military leadership and pressure from Washington forced
the coalition command to resort to more energetic actions. In addition to that the 
shock
of the first days of war among the coalition troops, when they expected an easy trek
across Iraq but encountered stiff resistance, is now wearing off. They are now being
"absorbed" into the war. Now the coalition actions are becoming more coherent and
adequate. The coalition command is gradually taking the initiative away from the 
Iraqis,
which is in part due to the reliance of the Iraqi command on inflexible defensive
tactics.

Now the main tactical move of the US troops is to use their aerial and ground
reconnaissance forces to test the Iraqi defenses, to open them up and, without entering
direct close combat, to deliver maximum damage using artillery and ground attack
aircraft. The coalition has finally stopped pointlessly moving around in convoys, as 
was
characteristic of the first three days of the ground war.

The tactics allowed for increased combat effectiveness and considerably increased 
losses
of the Iraqi side. Due to such attacks by the coalition during the previous night and
today's early morning the Iraqis have lost 250 troops killed and up to 500 wounded. Up 
to
10 Iraqi tanks were destroyed and up to three Iraqi artillery batteries were 
suppressed.


However, despite of the increased combat effectiveness, the coalition forces have so 
far
failed to capture a single sizable town in Iraq. Only by the end of the sixth day the
British marine infantry was able to establish tentative control over the tiny town of 
Umm
Qasr. During the hours of darkness all movement around the town is stopped and the
occupying troops withdraw to defensive positions. Constant exchanges of fire take place
throughout the town. Out of more than 1,500-strong local garrison the British managed 
to
capture only 150 Iraqis. The rest has either withdrew toward Basra or changed into
civilian clothes and resorted to partisan actions.

Near Basra the British forces in essence are laying a Middle Ages-style siege of a city
with the population of two million. Artillery fire has destroyed most of the city's 
life-
supporting infrastructure and artillery is used continuously against the positions of 
the
defending units. The main goal of the British is two maintain a strict blockade of 
Basra.
Their command is confident that the situation in the city can be destabilized and lack 
of
food, electricity and water will prompt the local population to cause the surrender of
the defending forces. Analysts point out that capture of Basra is viewed by the 
coalition
command as being exceptionally important and as a model for the future "bloodless"
takeover of Baghdad.

So far, however, this approach does not work and the city's garrison is actively
defending its territory. Just during the past night at least three British soldiers 
were
killed and eight more were wounded in the exchange of fire [near Basra].

It is difficult not to not to notice the extremely overstretched frontline of the
coalition. This frontline is stretching toward Baghdad through An-Najaf and Karabela 
and
its right flank goes all the way along the Euphrates and is completely exposed. All 
main
supply and communication lines of the coalition are going through unprotected desert.
Already the supply routes are stretching for more than 350 kilometers and are used to
deliver 800 tonnes of fuel and up to 1,000 tonnes of ammunition, food and other 
supplies
daily to the advancing forces.

If the Iraqis deliver a decisive strike at the base of this front, the coalition will
find itself in a very difficult situation, with its main forces, cutoff from the 
resupply
units, losing their combat readiness and mobility and falling an easy pray to the 
Iraqis.


It is possible that the Americans are relying on the power of their aviation that 
should
prevent any such developments. It is also possible that this kind of self confidence 
may
be very dangerous.

Massive numbers of disabled combat vehicles and other equipment becomes a strategic
problem for the coalition. Already, radio intercepts indicate, all available repair 
units
have been deployed to the front. Over 60% of all available spare parts have been 
already
used and emergency additional supplies are being requested.

The sand is literally "eating up" the equipment. Sand has a particularly serious effect
on electronics and transmissions of combat vehicles. Already more than 40 tanks and up 
to
69 armored personnel carriers have been disabled due to damaged engines; more than 150
armored vehicles have lost the use of their heat-seeking targeting sights and night
vision equipment. Fine dust gets into all openings and clogs up all moving parts.

The coalition command has effectively acknowledged its defeat in the information war 
with
the strikes against the television center in Baghdad and now further strikes should be
expected against television and ground satellite transmitters. The coalition is
attempting to leave the Iraqis without information in order to demoralize them.

The extreme length of the resupply routes and the actions of the Iraqi reconnaissance
units have created a new problem: the coalition command is forced to admit that it has 
no
information about the conditions on the roads. Currently, as intercepted radio
communications show, the coalition command is trying to establish the whereabouts of 
more
than 500 of its troops that fell behind their units, departed with resupply convoys or
were carrying out individual assignments. So far it was not possible to establish how
many of these troops are dead, captured or have successfully reached other units.

(source: iraqwar.ru, 03-26-03, translated by Venik)

----------------
News alternatives to US war propaganda:
http://www.aljazeerah.us/
http://www.aeronautics.ru/news/news002/news078.htm
http://www.aeronautics.ru/news/news002/news079.htm

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