-Caveat Lector-

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2002/12/11/nirq11.xml/

"""  "The United States needs us politically, not militarily," a senior British source 
said.
"They can do this by themselves, with a few British troops for the cameras."  """


Britain may scale back its military assistance
By Anton La Guardia, Diplomatic Editor
(Filed: 11/12/2002)

Britain may scale back its military contribution to a
war in Iraq, particularly if America takes action in the coming weeks, according to 
senior
British sources.

Tony Blair has intensified the rhetoric of war in recent days, but Britain has not yet 
moved
any heavy equipment to the Middle East to back up its threat of military action.

This is in marked contrast with the United States, which has steadily built up its 
forces in
the Gulf and says it will be ready to go to war in January.

Senior Government sources said Mr Blair has been reluctant to order the deployment of
forces to the Gulf because "it is politically difficult".

The reasons include the "overstretch" in the Army caused by the firemen's strike, the
Treasury's reluctance to release the money for a major deployment and the strong
opposition in the Labour Party.

Well-placed sources said the Government is now considering the option of sending a much
smaller force than originally envisaged, perhaps more akin to the British role in 
Afghanistan
than to its contribution in the 1991 Gulf war.

"The United States needs us politically, not militarily," a senior British source 
said. "They
can do this by themselves, with a few British troops for the cameras."

But any calls to reduce Britain's role will be tempered by the need to be seen to make 
a
substantial contribution if Mr Blair wants to play a major role in shaping the 
postSaddam
era in Iraq and promoting a new Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

British contingency planning in Iraq has envisaged deploying a "light" armoured 
division of
up to 23,000 men.

But the Government's delay in deploying troops to the Gulf means it is now virtually
impossible for such a force to fight a campaign before February.

An early war in January means Britain would only be able to contribute lighter forces 
- such
as the SAS, 16 Air Assault Brigade and the Royal Marines 3 Commando Brigade -
numbering at most several thousand troops, as well as combat aircraft and a naval 
force.

Military planners say the optimum time for the campaign will be before April, after 
which
the Iraqi desert heat will make it increasingly difficult for Allied troops to fight 
with
protective suits against chemical, biological or nuclear weapons.

The resumption of United Nations weapons inspections in Iraq raised hopes among some
British officials that the process would stretch out over several months and that 
America
would revert to a policy of containment rather than "regime change" through military 
force.

But Saddam's refusal to admit that he has any weapons of mass destruction - a claim
rejected as a lie by Britain and America - and his recent menaces to Kuwait suggest he 
is in
defiant mood and is set for an early collision with the United States.

A senior Whitehall source said the Prime Minister still hoped to avoid a war. "Tony 
Blair has
fought hard to go down the UN route and wants it pursued as vigorously as possible.

"If there is any chance of avoiding a war he will make every effort to seize it."

Britain has described its policy towards Iraq as a "paradox": the best way to prevent 
a war
is to present a "credible" threat of force.

But its own tactics now appear to be undermined by Mr Blair's reluctance to commit 
forces
to the region in preparation for a possible war should Saddam be judged to be in 
"material
breach" of UN resolution 1441.


10 December 2002: CND asks court to outlaw Iraq war

9 December 2002: US forces ready to strike Iraq 'in weeks'

9 December 2002: Troops see ousting Saddam as chore, not crusade

8 December 2002: British forces on security alert as US stages war games in Gulf

25 November 2002: Blair 'panic' as he prepares appeal to firemen

25 November 2002: You must fight Iraq within your budget, Brown tells the Army

11 November 2002: Resolution 1441 requires 'immediate, unimpeded access to all areas'

10 November 2002: Britain mobilises 15,000 troops for war on Saddam as the UN deadline
approaches


Related reports




Harold Pinter: A bloodthirsty wild animal


Thatcher praises Blair over Iraq


Embargo hits poor Iraqis


Yesterday in Parliament


Iraq factfile



External links




Iraqi inspection update - International Atomic Energy Authority


Iraq - Foreign & Commonwealth Office


Iraq's weapons of mass destruction - 10 Downing Street


Military action in Iraq 1990-2002 - Centre for Defence Information


Humanitarian implications of military action against Iraq - Global Policy


Conflict with Iraq - Americans & the World


Defence Intelligence Agency


News - Ministry of Defence


British Army


US Department of Defence



© Copyright of Telegraph Group Limited 2002.

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