Skripals, Austrians, hoaxes and redemptions -- Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-08-03 Thread Zig the N.g
On Sun, Mar 15, 2020 at 10:54:59AM +1100, Zig the N.g wrote:
> On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 05:28:46PM -0600, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:
> > On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 7:29 AM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
> > >
> > > 2- It's an Ill Wind
> > >
> > > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8
> > >
> > > So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately
> > > trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting,
> > > on their figures, 400,000 deaths.
> > 
> > Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> > is not the same as "trying to infect"
> > 
> > Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> > of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> > down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> > to infect them.
> > 
> > Kurt
> 
>  Skripal hoax 
> 
> Did I mention "ahem"? If not, let me be unmistakably clear: "AHEM!", as in 
> "A!" followed by "HEM!"
> 
> FTFY


Ahh, the wicked web weavers, wantonly weaving wicked Web Weaver Webs of 
w.ggardly wicked webs o' bull sheeit!

Seems some the brown stuff is finally getting exposed:

   Austria Confirms OPCW Report On Skripal-Faking By The British, Exposes FT 
Lies & Cover-Up
   John Helmer via Dances With Bears blog,
   
http://johnhelmer.net/austria-confirms-opcw-report-on-skripal-faking-by-the-british-vienna-exposes-financial-times-lies-and-cover-up/
   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/austria-confirms-opcw-report-skripal-faking-british-exposes-ft-lies-cover

  … The London newspaper appears to have cropped the published picture so 
as to hide the barcode. That concealment — proof of the Austrian source – 
allowed the newspaper reporters to claim the source of the document was 
unknown, probably Russian, as the headline implied: “Wirecard executive Jan 
Marsalek touted Russian nerve gas documents.”

  A British military source was reported as claiming “the documents were 
‘unlikely’ to have come from OPCW member states in western Europe or the US.”
  ...




So, to our "friendly" MI5 doofuses:  Was whatever the hell it was you were 
trying to achieve with this ridiculous allegation of "RUSSIAN" spys running 
around London with nerve poison bottles, really worth it?  Was it worth the 
obvious embarrassment that you must have had no doubt would be exposed (as it 
is now, see just above) sooner or later?

And to really slam home British Western dignity, now we have Andrew running 
around in a bald faced and similarly sad attempt to try sounding like a 
commoner.

Seriously moronic!

Now yes, family ralations, stiff upper lip and all, doing what you can for your 
burdened cousin, brother or whatever - yeah we get it, and yes there is some 
real dignity in that, but sheesh, could you pull this off any worse?

So what's the tab these days on a flood of Westerner's starting to emmigrate to 
Russia out of sheer embarrassment?



If the UK parliament wants to reclaim some real dignity ---in the eyes of the 
people---, and whilst they're at it give a genuine lift to their own spiritual 
standing, AND raise the public profile (and similarly, moral standing) of the 
British Royals whilst they're at it, the simplest and most obvious "low hanging 
fruit" is to pass the power of pardon clearly and firmly to the Crown in its 
own right, at least in the case of international matters, so that said crown 
may dutifully deliberate on this issues at hand and consider the genuine public 
interest in relation to the matter of the incarceration of Assange and whether 
this public interest (and the interest of the press, and free speech etc), 
outweighs any outstanding political interest in keeping Assange incarcerated.

And the parliament can be seen to uphold actual and genuine democratic values 
of a balance of powers, honouring the rightful place of duty which the Crown 
ought carry in ralation to such complex matters as the Assange case, the 
public's need to see an ethical/moral reality to their parliament and their 
royals, dignity in international relations, and no doubt other bits of legal 
goodness your wigs would come up with.

-That's- the kind of win win which could create a strengthening of substance 
and a lasting relevance to the public's relationship between the various 
authorities of the Crown, the houses of parliaments, Lords Temporal, and Lords 
Spiritual etc.

If it ain't real, it ain't real.



Fundamentally if you want substance behind "looking good", there must actually 
be some actual substance behind that attempt to raise standing - the public 
might be less than highly edumacated at times, but 

Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sun, Mar 15, 2020 at 2:30 PM grarpamp  wrote:
> On 3/15/20, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH  wrote:
> > I slightly misspoke - the mission of government is to prosecute crime
>
> If that were in fact true, then govts would have to prosecuted
> themselves out of existance, not least of which for some of their
> own crimes against humanity below.


You are preaching to the choir.

> > unfortunate becomes defined as a tragedy, and therefore legitimizes
> > all government intrusion into the private sphere.
>
> Yes that is one obvious game govts play.
> And you suckers keep falling for it time after time.

You suckers? You don't include yourself in the psyops game?

> > War, that is, invasion by a foreign power, is a species of crime.
>
> Their own govt power is, as often and more, and in many
> ways, in fact the initiating invader. Stop framing your
> minds away from that fact.

Again, preaching to the choir.

> > Illness is not.
>
> Here a lots of illness crimes done by sick government...



Focus, man, focus. Yes, biowarfare is real, and has been practiced by
governments and individuals. In this case, the evidence isn't there,
any more than was evidence in 1918.

> > Indeed yes, but not in this case.
>
> It is exactly the case. Doesn't matter if govts created
> virus or not. They're still on TV 24x7 leveraging their
> propaganda game, FUD trolling for your worship, cutting favoritive
> licenses over free market competition, etc. Govt plays game
> for itself to some extent in *every* case.

Let's keep this on target. The US government, at least, did not, and
probably the Chinese did not either, absent better evidence,
deliberately create the virus or infect anyone. We can take lots of
issue with how it's been handled, but we've seen no evidence in this
case that the infection is deliberate. Nor do we see, at least in the
US (China is up for debate on this point), the government withholding
care. Poor planning and execution, yes, and Trump trying to downplay
it, yes, and Trump trying to keep proceedings secret, yes, but not
much else.

> Government is standalone competing entity, a virus,
> one that you should not let win, lest you succumb.

I don't know how old you are, but I've been studying and teaching
freedom for a long, long time. Don't teach grandpa to suck eggs.

Kurt


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread grarpamp
On 3/15/20, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH  wrote:
> I slightly misspoke - the mission of government is to prosecute crime

If that were in fact true, then govts would have to prosecuted
themselves out of existance, not least of which for some of their
own crimes against humanity below.

Government rule...
#x: Do not prosecute self.
#x: Keep inner DNA workings secret against inspect.
#x: Protect self at all costs, including in own hardened bunker-spores.
#x: Replicate, distribute, mutate.
#x: Broadcast FUD pheromones attracting victims into trap.
#x: Insert numbing agents allowing proboscis to suck.

> unfortunate becomes defined as a tragedy, and therefore legitimizes
> all government intrusion into the private sphere.

Yes that is one obvious game govts play.
And you suckers keep falling for it time after time.

> War, that is, invasion by a foreign power, is a species of crime.

Their own govt power is, as often and more, and in many
ways, in fact the initiating invader. Stop framing your
minds away from that fact.

> Illness is not.

Here a lots of illness crimes done by sick government...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_warfare
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_biological_weapons_program
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unethical_human_experimentation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unethical_human_experimentation_in_the_United_States
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unit_731

> Indeed yes, but not in this case.

It is exactly the case. Doesn't matter if govts created
virus or not. They're still on TV 24x7 leveraging their
propaganda game, FUD trolling for your worship, cutting favoritive
licenses over free market competition, etc. Govt plays game
for itself to some extent in *every* case.

Government is standalone competing entity, a virus,
one that you should not let win, lest you succumb.


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sun, Mar 15, 2020 at 2:18 AM grarpamp  wrote:
> On 3/14/20, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH  wrote:
> > Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> > is not the same as "trying to infect"
> >
> > Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> > of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> > down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> > to infect them.
>
> Governments murder people all the time, literally on news every day.
> Doesn't matter whether it's via spy poison dart umbrella,
> spraying humancide from a lorry in the streets,
> carpet bombing the "enemy",
> shooting sleepy people,
> stealing and starving them to death,
> etc.
>
> Rest assured, if govt has a gameable angle on plague,
> they're going to leverage it. History full of game examples.

Indeed yes, but not in this case. Accuracy in speech and thought is
the desideratum, and Peter failed to meet it.

Kurt


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sun, Mar 15, 2020 at 2:18 AM grarpamp  wrote:
>
> On 3/14/20, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH  wrote:
> > Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> > is not the same as "trying to infect"
> >
> > Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> > of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> > down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> > to infect them.
>
> Governments murder people all the time, literally on news every day.
> Doesn't matter whether it's via spy poison dart umbrella,
> spraying humancide from a lorry in the streets,
> carpet bombing the "enemy",
> shooting sleepy people,
> stealing and starving them to death,
> etc.
>
> Rest assured, if govt has a gameable angle on plague,
> they're going to leverage it. History full of game examples.


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 8:55 PM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
>
> On 15/03/2020 02:46, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:
>
> The point of government is to prevent crime,
> > not tragedy.
>
> There I must disagree. The point of government is precisely to prevent
> tragedy.
>
> As in protection against invasion by foreign hordes, or for that matter
> viruses.

I slightly misspoke - the mission of government is to prosecute crime,
not prevent it, because ultimately prevention is impossible.

But here we see the problem with your scope of government - everything
unfortunate becomes defined as a tragedy, and therefore legitimizes
all government intrusion into the private sphere.

War, that is, invasion by a foreign power, is a species of crime.
Illness is not.

Kurt


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread grarpamp
On 3/14/20, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH  wrote:
> Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> is not the same as "trying to infect"
>
> Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> to infect them.

Governments murder people all the time, literally on news every day.
Doesn't matter whether it's via spy poison dart umbrella,
spraying humancide from a lorry in the streets,
carpet bombing the "enemy",
shooting sleepy people,
stealing and starving them to death,
etc.

Rest assured, if govt has a gameable angle on plague,
they're going to leverage it. History full of game examples.


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread grarpamp
On 3/14/20, Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
> The point of government is precisely to prevent
> ...
> tragedy
> ...
> invasion by foreign hordes
> ...
> viruses

Track record of history appears to suggest some fair
number of both facts and correlations that governments
have not only failed at substantively limiting,
but consistently participate in, such things.
Perhaps quite to the point of them being moot.


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-15 Thread grarpamp
On 3/14/20, John Young  wrote:
> Deft analysis. Positive infection salutory to
> clear out senior royal and political and
> governmental and  military and finance and spies
> and media and intellectual and celebrities and
> predators and environmental damagers and drug
> pushers, allowing angelic ethical fair-minded
> under-60s to take over the reliquaries in hazmat
> gear without guillotining, merely shovel the
> disinfected carcasses into the Thames to be
> encased in plastic waste and frozen into revived
> icelands. Until boarded by circumnavigating polar
> bears with plastic sails sniffing fresh meat down south.

Said skew in age distribution of deaths a quite
interesting game regarding herd of geriatric population
making up overloaded imbalance across most governments.
Then the stories of which moles shook who's global hands.
Could result in massive wipeouts and unpredictable
political change within such bodies. Already started
are post-scourge reworking projects to "stress test"
and prepare their own assemblies for next one.
This bug hardly nasty enough, seemingly not design
or ops limited to governments as Anthrax, and govts already
sequestered their dastardly bodies in continuance plans,
ready to roll out fresh propaganda when Corona clears.

Corona2, will it be the maker of wind, an ill flatulence upon the earth.

>>2- It's an Ill Wind
>>
>>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Peter Fairbrother

On 15/03/2020 02:46, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:

The point of government is to prevent crime,

not tragedy.


There I must disagree. The point of government is precisely to prevent 
tragedy.


As in protection against invasion by foreign hordes, or for that matter 
viruses.


Peter Fairbrother


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 8:06 PM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
>
> On 14/03/2020 23:28, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:
> > On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 7:29 AM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
> >>
> >> 2- It's an Ill Wind
> >>
> >> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8
> >>
> >> So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately
> >> trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting,
> >> on their figures, 400,000 deaths.
> >
> > Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> > is not the same as "trying to infect"
>
> To my mind it is; "Trying to" is to deliberately do something in order> to 
> obtain a desired effect. If the "something" happens to be "nothing",
> it doesn't change that IMO.


The limits of an impoverished mind, I suppose, incapable of
differentiating between action and inaction.

> Remember those philosophy problems with a train and someone on the track
> and a set of points?

Yes, a classical false dilemma.

> Well to my mind one way is clear and the other way has a million bodies
> on it, and just because the points are presently set to the million
> bodies doesn't mean that deliberately choosing not to change the points
> avoids being responsible for the outcome.
>
> Especially when changing the points is your responsibility.

Ever hear the phrase "Not my monkey, not my circus"? It applies here,
or at least it should. The point of government is to prevent crime,
not tragedy.

> > Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> > of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> > down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> > to infect them.
>
> But there's more, they won't let others change the points: head teachers
> want to close schools, but the government is planning to send them to
> jail if they do.
>
> To my mind that pretty much IS the equivalent of chasing down their
> subjects on the streets with spray bottles of viral concoctions.

Too much government, not enough freedom. Pournelle's Iron Law of
Bureaucracy applies.

> Maybe I took too much poetic license. But I don't think so.

And I do think so.

Kurt


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Peter Fairbrother

On 14/03/2020 23:28, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:

On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 7:29 AM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:


2- It's an Ill Wind

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8

So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately
trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting,
on their figures, 400,000 deaths.


Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
is not the same as "trying to infect"


To my mind it is; "Trying to" is to deliberately do something in order 
to obtain a desired effect. If the "something" happens to be "nothing", 
it doesn't change that IMO.



Remember those philosophy problems with a train and someone on the track 
and a set of points?


Well to my mind one way is clear and the other way has a million bodies 
on it, and just because the points are presently set to the million 
bodies doesn't mean that deliberately choosing not to change the points 
avoids being responsible for the outcome.


Especially when changing the points is your responsibility.



Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
to infect them.


But there's more, they won't let others change the points: head teachers 
want to close schools, but the government is planning to send them to 
jail if they do.


To my mind that pretty much IS the equivalent of chasing down their 
subjects on the streets with spray bottles of viral concoctions.





Maybe I took too much poetic license. But I don't think so.


Peter Fairbrother



Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Zig the N.g
On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 05:28:46PM -0600, Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH wrote:
> On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 7:29 AM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
> >
> > 2- It's an Ill Wind
> >
> > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8
> >
> > So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately
> > trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting,
> > on their figures, 400,000 deaths.
> 
> Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
> is not the same as "trying to infect"
> 
> Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
> of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
> down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
> to infect them.
> 
> Kurt

 Skripal hoax 

Did I mention "ahem"? If not, let me be unmistakably clear: "AHEM!", as in "A!" 
followed by "HEM!"

FTFY


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
On Sat, Mar 14, 2020 at 7:29 AM Peter Fairbrother  wrote:
>
> 2- It's an Ill Wind
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8
>
> So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately
> trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting,
> on their figures, 400,000 deaths.

Uh, no, they're only not quarantining or taking other measures. That
is not the same as "trying to infect"

Some of your analysis is OK, but this statement is false. I don't hear
of government agents with spray bottles of viral concoctins chasing
down their subjects on the streets, or invading their homes, in order
to infect them.

Kurt


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Mirimir
On 03/14/2020 03:14 PM, \0xDynamite wrote:
>>> Corona is a Biblical event.
>>
>> YESSS
>>
>> That's the perfect conclusion for this fine mailing list, whose 
>> content is mostly :
> 
> Did you have an explanation for the failure of the whole world,
> including yourself, in making it better with all of your freedom?

There's no "failure", unless you're expecting something different.

Which, at this point, is arguably unrealistic.

> I think not.
> 
> One of us is trying.

For sure.


Re: It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread John Young
Deft analysis. Positive infection salutory to 
clear out senior royal and political and 
governmental and  military and finance and spies 
and media and intellectual and celebrities and 
predators and environmental damagers and drug 
pushers, allowing angelic ethical fair-minded 
under-60s to take over the reliquaries in hazmat 
gear without guillotining, merely shovel the 
disinfected carcasses into the Thames to be 
encased in plastic waste and frozen into revived 
icelands. Until boarded by circumnavigating polar 
bears with plastic sails sniffing fresh meat down south.


At 09:29 AM 3/14/2020, you wrote:

2- It's an Ill Wind

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8

So now we know: first, that the UK government is 
actually deliberately trying to infect over 40 
million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting, 
on their figures, 400,000 deaths.


The reason given for this is to develop "herd 
immunity", where there are so many people who 
have had the virus that there is nobody for 
someone who later contracts it to give it to, as 
everybody has already had it and is immune.



But the Chinese didn't do that. They implemented 
strong containment and stopped the virus dead. 
They didn't "lessen the peak", they obliterated the peak.


There is no reason why we can't do that too.

But the Government insists on buying herd 
immunity at the cost of at least 400,000 (more 
likely a million [1]) deaths. Why?


The question arises, what good would herd 
immunity, bought at such a terrible cost in deaths, do?


The reason given is that the Government believes 
that COVID-19 will turn into a seasonal disease, 
and herd immunity might protect us from it's return next year.


There are three big problems with that - First, 
we don't know that it will return at all. 
Second, if it does return next year, it will 
have mutated - and like flu, it is likely that 
the herd immunity, so dearly bought, will not be 
effective against next year's version, if it happens.


There is also concern about people in China who 
seem to have gotten the disease twice. We don't 
know why that is, whether it is two different 
strains of the virus (there are several hundred 
known varieties of the COVID-19 virus, it 
mutates fairly rapidly) or people getting the 
disease twice - however in either case that 
would lower the usefulness of any herd immunity.




So, I don't see why the UK Government are killing 400,000 people.

Apparently it isn't because the UK has a large 
proportion of older people. Older people who 
need extensive healthcare, expensive pensions, 
who tie up a lot of wealth and property - of the 
predicted 400,000 (million) deaths the vast majority would be of older people.


This clearing away of unproductive and expensive 
(and wealthy) older population would more than 
balance the budget, releasing £10 billion per 
year in state pensions, £20 billion per year in heathcare costs, and so on.


It would stop the disease in the UK fairly 
quickly, and it would be the cheapest option 
(ignoring the actuarial but not-real-pounds cost of the deaths).


It would release several hundred thousand 
badly-needed homes (and cause a property price 
crash; the UK needs about 1 million homes, which 
is why UK property is so expensive) and would 
provide a more balanced population pyramid.


So for the UK as a nation it would not be a bad 
thing (ignoring the deaths), and I fear some 
politicians may think "Hey, it's just the useless oldies, who cares?".


But no. There is probably a sensible reason we 
don't implement strong confinement and stop the 
virus in its tracks, rather than letting it have 
its way. Unfortunately I don't know what that reason is.



Peter Fairbrother


[1] I calculate around a million deaths, but 
that is a bit of a back-of-the envelope 
calculation based on known death rates elsewhere 
and comparative population age spreads. Exact 
figures also depend on some assumptions about 
things we do not know about the disease. I have 
made what I think are reasonable assumptions. I 
don't know how reasonable the Goverment's 
assumptions are, or how they came up with the 400,000 figure.





It's an Ill Wind

2020-03-14 Thread Peter Fairbrother

2- It's an Ill Wind

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XRc389TvG8

So now we know: first, that the UK government is actually deliberately 
trying to infect over 40 million UK citizens, and in doing so expecting, 
on their figures, 400,000 deaths.


The reason given for this is to develop "herd immunity", where there are 
so many people who have had the virus that there is nobody for someone 
who later contracts it to give it to, as everybody has already had it 
and is immune.



But the Chinese didn't do that. They implemented strong containment and 
stopped the virus dead. They didn't "lessen the peak", they obliterated 
the peak.


There is no reason why we can't do that too.

But the Government insists on buying herd immunity at the cost of at 
least 400,000 (more likely a million [1]) deaths. Why?


The question arises, what good would herd immunity, bought at such a 
terrible cost in deaths, do?


The reason given is that the Government believes that COVID-19 will turn 
into a seasonal disease, and herd immunity might protect us from it's 
return next year.


There are three big problems with that - First, we don't know that it 
will return at all. Second, if it does return next year, it will have 
mutated - and like flu, it is likely that the herd immunity, so dearly 
bought, will not be effective against next year's version, if it happens.


There is also concern about people in China who seem to have gotten the 
disease twice. We don't know why that is, whether it is two different 
strains of the virus (there are several hundred known varieties of the 
COVID-19 virus, it mutates fairly rapidly) or people getting the disease 
twice - however in either case that would lower the usefulness of any 
herd immunity.




So, I don't see why the UK Government are killing 400,000 people.

Apparently it isn't because the UK has a large proportion of older 
people. Older people who need extensive healthcare, expensive pensions, 
who tie up a lot of wealth and property - of the predicted 400,000 
(million) deaths the vast majority would be of older people.


This clearing away of unproductive and expensive (and wealthy) older 
population would more than balance the budget, releasing £10 billion per 
year in state pensions, £20 billion per year in heathcare costs, and so on.


It would stop the disease in the UK fairly quickly, and it would be the 
cheapest option (ignoring the actuarial but not-real-pounds cost of the 
deaths).


It would release several hundred thousand badly-needed homes (and cause 
a property price crash; the UK needs about 1 million homes, which is why 
UK property is so expensive) and would provide a more balanced 
population pyramid.


So for the UK as a nation it would not be a bad thing (ignoring the 
deaths), and I fear some politicians may think "Hey, it's just the 
useless oldies, who cares?".


But no. There is probably a sensible reason we don't implement strong 
confinement and stop the virus in its tracks, rather than letting it 
have its way. Unfortunately I don't know what that reason is.



Peter Fairbrother


[1] I calculate around a million deaths, but that is a bit of a 
back-of-the envelope calculation based on known death rates elsewhere 
and comparative population age spreads. Exact figures also depend on 
some assumptions about things we do not know about the disease. I have 
made what I think are reasonable assumptions. I don't know how 
reasonable the Goverment's assumptions are, or how they came up with the 
400,000 figure.


It's an ill wind...

2020-03-11 Thread Kurt Buff - GSEC, GCIH
Consider, if you will, a possible outcome of the current bio-crisis.
(I want it over, swiftly, and with as little damage to humanity as
possible, I really do, but it doesn't look promising at the moment)

We're seeing some congress critters self-quarantining. I think it
likely that more will do the same.

And yet, they (and some of you, even it not not so much me) want the
work of the Congress to continue.

How to resolve this?

One solution is teleconferencing. Votes, meetings, etc., could be
carried out this way, and work (such as it is) can get done. Think of
the transparency (if not voluntarily achieved, perhaps attained with
the help of some volunteer work by technologically sophisticated
persons of flexible morals).

If this goes on for a while, there's no reason why they (the
accumulated they of Congress and staff) wouldn't become acculturated
and accustomed to this new way.

At that point, what's to stop the congress critters and their remoras,
with suitable encouragement, to permanently relocate to their own
districts.

It would certainly make lobbying more difficult, being in view of
their constituents, rather than sequestered in the summer hellhole
that is DC.

I have a dream...

Kurt