Logistic regression and proportional hazard model

2000-11-29 Thread Hassane ABIDI


Please,

I have a problem to interpret (or to compare) the output of logistic
regression and that of the Cox model. 

let :
Y is a binary variable where Y=1 when event is present
and X is a binary explatory variable, X=1 in the exposition case and 0 otherwise 
T is the time where the events are observed or censured.

In logistic case  (independently of time) we estimate:
p(x)=Pr(Y=1/X=x)
Odds(x)=Logit(p(x)) ( = Ln( P(x)/(1-p(x)) )  )
OR=Odds(1)/odds(0)  = Exp(a) where a is the coefficient of X in logistic
regression.


The proportional hazard model, takes  into account the time to estimate
the instantaneous and relative risk:

h(t,x)=ho(t)*Exp(bx) (hazard function)

thus the ratio of estimated hazards for X=1 and X=0 is
h(t,1)/h(t,0)=Exp(b) (presumedly independent of time)

My problems:

1) In which case, Exp(a) (from logistic) estimates the relative risk (P(1)/P(0))
?

2) In which case we expect that Exp(a) = Exp(b) (or approximate) ie
the ratio of two odds estimates the ratio of tow hazards ie
the logistic model and the Cox model give the same (or approximately) results ??

Thank you in advance.

|===|
| Hassane ABIDI (PhD)   |
| Unite d'Epidemiologie; Centre Hospitalier Lyon-Sud|
| Pavillon 1.M, 69495 Pierre Benite Cedex, France   |
| Tel:  (33) 04 78 86 56 87 ;  Fax: (33) 04 78 86 33 31 |
| E. mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]  |
|===|


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Re: Software

2000-11-29 Thread Ken

Of course you'll get what you pay for.

"Comet" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
 I search a good and free:) sofware of stat
 thanks






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Re: Software (fwd)

2000-11-29 Thread Bob Hayden

- Forwarded message from Ken -

Of course you'll get what you pay for.

"Comet" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
 I search a good and free:) sofware of stat

- End of forwarded message from Ken -

When I installed Win98 on my computer at home it crashed multiple
times per day.  I'm writing this on a FreeBSD system that supports
thousands of users and crashes less than once a year.  
 

  _
 | |Robert W. Hayden
 | |  Work: Department of Mathematics
/  |Plymouth State College MSC#29
   |   |Plymouth, New Hampshire 03264  USA
   | * |fax (603) 535-2943
  /|  Home: 82 River Street (use this in the summer)
 | )Ashland, NH 03217
 L_/(603) 968-9914 (use this year-round)
Map of New[EMAIL PROTECTED] (works year-round)
Hampshire http://mathpc04.plymouth.edu (works year-round)

The State of New Hampshire takes no responsibility for what this map
looks like if you are not using a fixed-width font such as Courier.

"Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in
overalls and looks like work." --Thomas Edison



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Re: stat question

2000-11-29 Thread Tony T. Warnock

David Heiser wrote:

  There is a lot of stat work involving maximum likelihood estimates, where
 there is no probability
 support unless you take a Bayesian approach. (Which is infrequent.)

Cute



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Conference Announcement

2000-11-29 Thread BeyondTheFormula


  +++
+++ CONFERENCE ANNOUNCEMENT +++
+++
Fifth Annual
BEYOND THE FORMULA

Introductory Statistics For A New Century:
Integrating New Curriculum Ideas and
  Modern Techniques Into Our Beginning Statistics Course

A Statistics Conference for Mathematics Teachers Teaching Introductory
Statistics

 [This conference is for all teachers of Introductory Statistics, from those
teaching the first time to the experienced teacher.  There are sessions
planned for all.]

DATE:   Thursday, August 2, 2001,  8:30 AM to 4:30 PM, and 
   6:30 PM to 9:00 PM
Friday, August 3, 2001,8:30 AM to 3:00 PM

LOCATION: Monroe Community College 
  1000 East Henrietta Road 
  Rochester, NY 14623

AGENDA PLANS INCLUDES: 
Addresses by a keynote speaker,
Two real world statistical case studies, 
Several sessions focusing on how to integrate new materials 
   into the beginning course,
Several sessions encompassing classroom teaching strategies 
   and curriculum issues,
Several hands-on computer (web and software) and calculator
   sessions, 
Dinner and an after-dinner speaker,
Publisher's Book Exhibit
And much more!!

MAJOR THEMES INCLUDE: 
Teaching Techniques 
Technology 
Curriculum
Applications 

   

It is clear from the discussions that occur on the various statistical lists
that many members are doing interesting and innovative things in their
statistics classrooms, and have much to offer other statistics instructors. 

Have you ever thought about making a presentation to share your innovations?



You can find out more about the Beyond The Formula conferences by visiting
our website at   www.monroecc.edu/depts/math/beyond1.htm

The Conference Steering Committee is interested in hearing from 
you about:
presentation(s) you would like to make, 
topics you would like to see on our program, 
people you would be interested in hearing speak, and
any other way that we could help you in your teaching 
of statistics. 

The Steering Committee's email address is:  
[EMAIL PROTECTED]







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Re: considering to study PhD

2000-11-29 Thread Miguel A. Lerma

christopher ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
: Hi,
: I am writing here in order to seek advice. I am working as a
: statistical analyst. I'm a Hong Kong citizen and want to pursue a PhD.
: Somebody told me that studying in UK take only 3 years since I have
: already got a MPhil, is it the case? I ask this question because
: studying in USA may take 5 years, it may be too long for me. Also,
: what is the living standard in UK? How much pounds per month is needed
: to survive? As I am doing a job now so I need to quit, will I find a
: job easily after I have finished the PhD? I study PhD for fun, so I
: don't want to take too much risk. One more thing, I want to study
: Investment.
: 
: Thanks

The time needed to get a PhD in the US is not fixed. According
to my experience an average student may need one year to prepare
the prelims and another year to find advisor and a research subject
and pass the oral exam. Then he or she may spend three more years 
to get the dissertation done (longer than that may make your advisor 
"impatient"). But if you are well prepared, have some research
experience and manage to start working on your dissertation 
from the very first day, nothing prevents you from presenting
it in three years if it is ready by then. You still have to take
the prelims, the oral exam and whatever other formalities 
required by your university (including taking a number of 
graduate courses), but that could be done simultaneously to 
your dissertation work.


Miguel A. Lerma



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psychology and nominal data

2000-11-29 Thread ian.screen

Hi there, I am a student conducting an experiment about the McGurk Effect
(where when a word is seen spoken while a different word is heard through
headphones, the perceived word is an integration of the two).  I am hoping
to cue either the auditory word or the visual word before presenting the
video and sound to see if that makes the word more detectable.

My problem is that I will have to ask participants to select which word they
hear from a choice of 3 - the auditory word, the visual word, and the McGurk
integration.  This therefore constitutes nominal data.  The only statistical
test I can find to use on nominal data is a chi square, is this right?  My
textbook says that I can only use a chi square if each participant only
contributes one piece of data, and only participates in one condition, which
is unrealistic in a study like this, so can I use chi sqaure, and if not,
what should I use?

Hope someone can help me,
thanks,
Kathryn




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Re: Software (fwd)

2000-11-29 Thread Alan McLean

Hi Bob,

What is FreeBSD?

Alan


Bob Hayden wrote:
 
 - Forwarded message from Ken -
 
 Of course you'll get what you pay for.
 
 "Comet" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
  I search a good and free:) sofware of stat
 
 - End of forwarded message from Ken -
 
 When I installed Win98 on my computer at home it crashed multiple
 times per day.  I'm writing this on a FreeBSD system that supports
 thousands of users and crashes less than once a year.
 
 
   _
  | |Robert W. Hayden
  | |  Work: Department of Mathematics
 /  |Plymouth State College MSC#29
|   |Plymouth, New Hampshire 03264  USA
| * |fax (603) 535-2943
   /|  Home: 82 River Street (use this in the summer)
  | )Ashland, NH 03217
  L_/(603) 968-9914 (use this year-round)
 Map of New[EMAIL PROTECTED] (works year-round)
 Hampshire http://mathpc04.plymouth.edu (works year-round)
 
 The State of New Hampshire takes no responsibility for what this map
 looks like if you are not using a fixed-width font such as Courier.
 
 "Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in
 overalls and looks like work." --Thomas Edison
 
 =
 Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about
 the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at
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-- 
Alan McLean ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
Monash University, Caulfield Campus, Melbourne
Tel:  +61 03 9903 2102Fax: +61 03 9903 2007


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Re: psychology and nominal data

2000-11-29 Thread Donald Burrill

On Wed, 29 Nov 2000, Kathryn, alias [EMAIL PROTECTED], wrote:

 Hi there, I am a student conducting an experiment about the McGurk Effect
 (where when a word is seen spoken while a different word is heard through
 headphones, the perceived word is an integration of the two).  I am hoping
 to cue either the auditory word or the visual word before presenting the
 video and sound to see if that makes the word more detectable.
 
 My problem is that I will have to ask participants to select which word they
 hear from a choice of 3 - the auditory word, the visual word, and the McGurk
 integration.  This therefore constitutes nominal data. 

Non sequitur.  The choice of words is nominal, indeed;  whether your DATA 
are nominal is another matter entirely.  Supposing your sample size is 
reasonablylarge, your DATA might comprise the proportion of respondents 
who chose A, the proportion who chose V, and the proportion who chose 
McGurk.  That's three dependent variables, which can be viewed as 
interval scale for large enough N (and can be treated by logistic 
regression for whatever N), and for which you are interested in finding 
out whether the proportion in each case is a function of your cuing 
procedures. 

 The only statistical test I can find to use on nominal data is a chi 
 square, is this right? 
In brief, no.

 My textbook says that I can only use a chi square if each participant 
 only contributes one piece of data, and only participates in one 
 condition, which is unrealistic in a study like this, 

Depends on which kind of "chi square" analysis you're referring to.

 so can I use chi square, and if not, what should I use?

Sorry;  no time for further comment just now.  Perhaps one or more 
colleagues will assist.
-- DFB.
 --
 Donald F. Burrill[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264 (603) 535-2597
 Department of Mathematics, Boston University[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 111 Cummington Street, room 261, Boston, MA 02215   (617) 353-5288
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  (603) 471-7128


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Re: logistic regression/error in binary variable

2000-11-29 Thread GJC


Konrad Halupka [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Rich Ulrich wrote:

  I have several variables (X1, X2...) measuring various traits of
  individuals and one variable (Y) which is binary (survived/did not
  survive). I would like to check if the variation in survival can be
  explained with Xi variables.
 
  It looks like a typical logistic regression problem. However it bothers
  me that the Y variable has a non-random error. The group "survived"
  surely consists of individuals who *did survived*, but the group "did
  not survive" is likely to include some individuals which actually
  survived but were not detected by an observer. How to proceed with the
  analysis?
 
 How to proceed? -- just, proceed.  Do you have any choice?
 Do you have some data in hand that you have not mentioned?
 There is no useful way to weight the data, if that is what you are
 wondering:  a regression on a dummy-variable scored 0/1  gives you
 the same test as if it were scored as an (equivocating)  0/ .5.  And
 the coefficients are easier to understand in the first one.
 
 When you describe your prediction equation, you might want to use a
 score other than the computer-program's default cutoff to describe the
 fit of prediction and outcome.  But that is often the case.
 
 Do you have a hint about who covertly survived
 (which might suggest using a 3-group classification)?
 Do you have an extremely high rate of success, so that
 someone might be relying on the accuracy of your predictions
 for some purpose?
 

Thanks for response. Indeed, I was concerned if there were some methods
of weighting the data.

Birds are marked and after 12 months the observer attempts to find them
again in the field. Of course it is impossible to search a very wide
area. Those individuals who "covertly survive" have a tendency to
disperse farther than those who survive "overtly" (i.e. can be relocated
within a reasonable distance from the place where they were originally
found). 


IMO, this is an interesting problem, which is 
probably quite general.  I encountered it in my 
area (hydrometeorology) some years ago: 

  Trying to predict occurence of thunderstorms 
  over an area based on remote sensing and large 
  scale variables.  A regression model is fitted 
  based on the reports from a number of ground 
  stations that are sparcely distributed over 
  the area.  The specific feature of such ground 
  observations is that, if a thunderstorm was 
  reported, then it occured (almost surely), 
  however, a lot of them are simply not noticed 
  (e.g., occured too far from any station).

The applications known to me simply ignore this 
specific deficiency of the observations.  I wonder 
whether it could be tractable?  Of course, you 
need some quantitative estimate of the error.  
Weighted regression seems to me a correct way to 
account for the fact that some observations are 
less reliable than the others.  Thus, the comment 
by Rich is confusing for me.  Am I wrong?  Are 
there more sophisticated ways to include such 
error information in a predictive model? 


BTW: I am new in this NG. Is s.s.e. a good place 
to discuss questions like the above, or the s.s.m., 
or s.s.c. would be better?

Regards,
Greg

___
Grzegorz Jan Ciach
http://ia.net/~gciach



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Beta joint distribution

2000-11-29 Thread Isabelle Gaboury

Hi,

I have two variables with the same beta distribution (r, n-r+1). I know that
the joint distribution should be a beta distribution. Is there a general
equation like for the mean and the variance???

I think that the joint is a beta(r, 2(n-r+1)). I would like to know if I'm
wrong...

Thank you very much,
Isabelle

[EMAIL PROTECTED]





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Re: Software (fwd)

2000-11-29 Thread dennis roberts

alan ... here are a few quick urls about this ... ( i don't know what it is
either but, http://www.google.com ...seems to know) 

http://www.freebsd.org/

http://www.freebsdmall.com/

http://www.wccdrom.com/titles/freebsd/freebsd.phtml

http://people.freebsd.org/~picobsd/

http://www.nzfug.nz.freebsd.org/ ... one from new zealand! 


At 09:06 AM 11/30/00 +1100, Alan McLean wrote:
Hi Bob,

What is FreeBSD?

Alan


Bob Hayden wrote:
 
 - Forwarded message from Ken -
 
 Of course you'll get what you pay for.
 
 "Comet" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
  I search a good and free:) sofware of stat
 
 - End of forwarded message from Ken -
 
 When I installed Win98 on my computer at home it crashed multiple
 times per day.  I'm writing this on a FreeBSD system that supports
 thousands of users and crashes less than once a year.
 
 
   _
  | |Robert W. Hayden
  | |  Work: Department of Mathematics
 /  |Plymouth State College MSC#29
|   |Plymouth, New Hampshire 03264  USA
| * |fax (603) 535-2943
   /|  Home: 82 River Street (use this in the summer)
  | )Ashland, NH 03217
  L_/(603) 968-9914 (use this year-round)
 Map of New[EMAIL PROTECTED] (works year-round)
 Hampshire http://mathpc04.plymouth.edu (works year-round)
 
 The State of New Hampshire takes no responsibility for what this map
 looks like if you are not using a fixed-width font such as Courier.
 
 "Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in
 overalls and looks like work." --Thomas Edison
 
 =
 Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about
 the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at
   http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/
 =

-- 
Alan McLean ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
Monash University, Caulfield Campus, Melbourne
Tel:  +61 03 9903 2102Fax: +61 03 9903 2007


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==
dennis roberts, penn state university
educational psychology, 8148632401
http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/drober~1.htm


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