Re: Boston Globe: MCAS results show weakness in teens' grasp of

2001-08-29 Thread Jay Warner

Eric Bohlman wrote:

 Robert J. MacG. Dawson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
If indeed the scores are being reduced by hiding the easy questions
  among the harder ones, then I would say yes, this is a defect of the
  current system, and should be changed. It may be that the questions
  themselves ought to be more difficult; but the difficulty ought to be
  intrinsic to the questions, not an artifact of the test format. What is
  at issue here is essentially signal-to-noise ratio.

 In fact, format-related difficulty on a test gives an unfair advantage
 to students who have taken test-prep courses, since most of the skills
 they teach relate to pacing, figuring out formats, and the like rather
 than to actual academic content.  Since test-taking skills are generally
 *not* taught in schools themselves,

Not so fast, gang!  Since schools (and sometimes teachers) are rated on the
percent of students who pass a standardized test, it has become common in many
places for teachers to spend a good deal of time teaching the kids how to take
the tests.  In the elementary grades this can amount to significant
percentages of 'education' time.  In some places kids had to forego recess to
get in the exam prep time.  That's why they call them high stakes tests - the
outcome is critical to teachers, principals, and superintendents' livelihood.
As we (collective we) pointed out, a disparity in test taking preparation
distorts the scores achieved, clouding (through reduced signal/noise ratio)
the interpretability of the results.  Did someone in authority, who ordered
these high stakes tests, _not_ expect this distortion to occur?  It may be an
unintended consequence, but I can hardly believe it was unexpected.

The distortion of the educational curriculum content is another consequence.
So long as the questions have the same relationship to technical content as
the famous MCAS #39 has to what we call statistical thinking (and doing), we
can expect more and continuing distortions of education content.  What teacher
would struggle to understand and communicate the real thing, when the test
won't come close to it?  If the students do not do well on the test, said
teacher can kiss their job goodby.  Time to get with the program.

that's for public schools.  In most states, the high stakes tests are not
administered, or reported, by private schools.  Read that for what you will.

 evaluating schools on criteria that
 are strongly influenced by their students' test-taking skills amounts to
 evaluating them on criteria beyond their control, in this case the number
 of parents who both care enough and (*big* and!) can afford to send their
 kids to test-prep courses.


Jay

--
Jay Warner
Principal Scientist
Warner Consulting, Inc.
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Racine, WI 53404-1216
USA

Ph: (262) 634-9100
FAX: (262) 681-1133
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formula for union of sets

2001-08-29 Thread J.Geluk

Feller's book (part 1) contains a formula for the probability of
the union of a finite number of sets in terms of an alternating
series. Does anyone know where an extension to infinite unions is
published?
Thank you.


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standard disclaimer/caution?

2001-08-29 Thread JDriscoll

In a table comparing data from one study to another I have
2 items that are similar but not exactly the same in
wording (ie.  done x in past month vs. done x in past 30 days 
is only one example).  Is there a standard statement of
interpretation caution for readers?


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Re: SD is Useful to Normal Distribution Only ?

2001-08-29 Thread Vadim and Oxana Marmer

On 21 Aug 2001, Donald Burrill wrote:

 On 21 Aug 2001, RFerreira wrote [edited]:

  The formula [for] the Standard Deviation, SD=((x-mean)^2/(n-1))^0.5,
  can be applied to any data set.  [With] that value we know two things
  about the set:  mean and SD.  With these two values we can have one
  powerful intuitive use to them:  The centre of the set is the mean
  and 68% of values are in the interval [mean-SD to mean+SD], IF the set
  have Normal Distribution.  If the set distribution is NOT Normal, what
  intuitive use have the values?
 How about limiting distribution (CLT)?



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Re: MDS, the radex, and indices of multidimensionality agreement

2001-08-29 Thread Niko Tiliopoulos

Thanks a lot John,

Indeed Gutman has worked on the radex, so I get something out of his
papers. I also found your suggestions on the agreement very helpful
(haven't tried them yet).

Once again cheers


Niko Tiliopoulos

Psychology Research

The University of Edinburgh

Uk


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Job Opening: Six Continents Resorts

2001-08-29 Thread Zubin

I have a position opening up:

Manager Analytics
Six Continents (we own Holiday Inn, Crowne Plaza, and Intercontinental)
Atlanta, Georgia

Masters required or Ph.d preferred in a quantitative discipline
2+ Years experience database marketing, consulting skills a plus
Statistical modeling and experimental design
SAS
Energy and strong communication skills

63-70K, sign on bonus for those that qualify, relocation, and 20% annual
cash bonus.

email if qualified only:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]




















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Re: Factor analysis - which package is best for Windows?

2001-08-29 Thread Richard Wright

KyPlot runs under Windows, is freeware and gives you several factor
analysis algorithms to choose from.

http://www.rocketdownload.com/Details/Math/kyplot.htm


On Wed, 29 Aug 2001 23:59:44 +0100, Aron Landy [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:

Problem is, SAS costs about $20,000 whereas CVF  IMSL come bundled for
$800

Aron



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