Re: [EM] Census re-districting instead of PR for allocating seats to districts.

2012-07-05 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho:

I didn't understand yet fully how the voter can vote. Is it possible to
vote ABC and (separately) give the national party vote to party P? (where
A is the independent of party P)

[endquote]

In a topplng-up system, you can participate in two separate elections:

1. You can vote for who will win in your district. That can be any one of
several kinds of local district election:
.a) A single-winner election, such as in Germany
.b) A multi-winner district PR election,as in a number of topping-up
countries

(1b is usually list PR, but there is no reason why it couldn't be STV.
Candidates could be designated as party candidates, or not. People could
have the option of voting above the line, as in Australia, meaning that
they simply mark a party's published ranking.)


2. You can vote for a party (or an independent running like a party) in a
national party list PR election.

Then, the number of seats won by a party, nationwide, in the local district
elections is augmented to bring it up to the amount allocated to it
in the national list PR election.

But the answer to your question is No. You speak of ...an independent of
Party P . That is a contradiction in term. There is no such thing as an
independent of a party.

The following two paragraphs answer your concern:

But your concern probably is that a party could deviously ask a candidate
that they like, and who is, for all intents and purposes, a party candidate
of theirs, to run as an independent, with no official party designation,
and no mention of a party connection, by hir or the party.

That's ok. If s/he gets votes, nationally, they're from people who _didn't_
vote for the party nationally. And if s/he gets votes from people who don't
care for the party, so that hir votes + the party's votes add up to more
than the party would otherwise get, that's ok too, because whatever s/he
gets from non-party preferrers means that s/he has appealed to people
outside the party, and is liked more generally. There's nothing unfair
about such a candidate.

.
You continued:

If this is possible

[endquote]

It isn't. But what I said in the previous paragraph is possible, and is
completely fair to all.


You continued:

, and party P supporters vote this way, and many independents of party P

[endquote]

There is no such thing as an independent of party P.

You continued:

 will be elected, then party P is likely to get many representatives that
are independent, and the number of its non-independent representatives
is smaller that its proportional share (that is derived from the national
party votes), and therefore party P will get some extra seats in the top-up
process. Party P will thus get its proportional share of the seats +
several independents (that the method does not consider to be party P
representatives, although in practice they are). That would mean that the
method is vulnerable to running some candidates (likely winners) as
independents to get more seats.

[endquote]

That's what you said before. Re-read the two paragraphs above that are
immediately below the words, The following two paragraphs answer your
concerns.


End of reply. What follows below is just a quote of some previous
discussion, including your post.

Mike Ossipoff







On Wed, Jul 4, 2012 at 6:29 PM, Juho Laatu juho4...@yahoo.co.uk wrote:

 On 4.7.2012, at 23.10, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

 But if your independent that you vote for locally doesn't win a district
 seat, s/he might still win an at-large seat in the national list PR
 allocation, because, as I said, there's no reason why an independent
 shouldn't be able to run as a 1-candidate party. So, if you really want
 to elect hir, then vote for hir in your district STV election, and also in
 the national PR allocation election. We're assuming that s/he's a candidate
 in your district, which is why you can vote for hir in your district STV
 election.


 Here you refer to a separate national PR allocation election. Is your
 plan maybe that the voter casts one ranked vote in the district STV
 election and one party vote in the national party election?


 [endquote]

 Yes. It would just be the usual topping-up enhancement, but for STV in the
 districts.




 You wrote:



 Note that this kind of methods may easily allow such free riding where
 parties list some of their strong candidates (that will be certainly
 elected) as independent candidates in the districts. This makes the total
 number of seats of that party appear smaller that it in reality is. And
 that may lead to more top-up seats to this party.


 [endquote]

 Nothing wrong with that. Every party supporter who votes for
 the independent is one who doesn't vote for the party nationwide. So the
 party's national count will be less.

 But what if the independent is someone who is popular with people other
 than the party's supporters too? Fine. Again, nothing wrong with that. It's
 fair and right that s/he gets that other support. The party isn't being
 unfairly 

Re: [EM] Census re-districting instead of PR for allocating seats to districts.

2012-07-05 Thread Juho Laatu
On 5.7.2012, at 21.22, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

 
 Juho:
  
 I didn't understand yet fully how the voter can vote. Is it possible to vote 
 ABC and (separately) give the national party vote to party P? (where A is 
 the independent of party P)
  
 [endquote]
  
 In a topplng-up system, you can participate in two separate elections:
  
 1. You can vote for who will win in your district. That can be any one of 
 several kinds of local district election:
 .a) A single-winner election, such as in Germany
 .b) A multi-winner district PR election,as in a number of topping-up 
 countries
  
 (1b is usually list PR, but there is no reason why it couldn't be STV. 
 Candidates could be designated as party candidates, or not. People could have 
 the option of voting above the line, as in Australia, meaning that they 
 simply mark a party's published ranking.)
  
  
 2. You can vote for a party (or an independent running like a party) in a 
 national party list PR election.
  
 Then, the number of seats won by a party, nationwide, in the local district 
 elections is augmented to bring it up to the amount allocated to it
 in the national list PR election.

My question was about your proposed STV based method that includes topping-up. 
It seems that the local (1.) and national (2.) votes are fully independent.

  
 But the answer to your question is No. You speak of ...an independent of 
 Party P . That is a contradiction in term. There is no such thing as an 
 independent of a party.

This gets a bit complex since I picked term independent (with quotes) from 
your mail. I thought that you referred to the idea of declaring some of the 
party candiates as independent for strategic reasons (that I discussed in the 
earlier mail).

  
 The following two paragraphs answer your concern:
  
 But your concern probably is that a party could deviously ask a candidate 
 that they like, and who is, for all intents and purposes, a party candidate 
 of theirs, to run as an independent, with no official party designation, and 
 no mention of a party connection, by hir or the party.

Yes, that's my concern. Except that I expect most party P voters to know very 
well that this candidate that pretends to be independent actually is set by 
party P. Most voters of this candidate would thus be supporters of party P. 
(And those voters would vote for party P in the national vote.)

  
 That's ok. If s/he gets votes, nationally, they're from people who _didn't_ 
 vote for the party nationally. And if s/he gets votes from people who don't 
 care for the party, so that hir votes + the party's votes add up to more than 
 the party would otherwise get, that's ok too, because whatever s/he gets from 
 non-party preferrers means that s/he has appealed to people outside the 
 party, and is liked more generally. There's nothing unfair about such a 
 candidate.
  
 .
 You continued:
  
 If this is possible
  
 [endquote]
  
 It isn't. But what I said in the previous paragraph is possible, and is 
 completely fair to all.

But I interpret you again so that it is possible to cast a fully separate local 
vote (to an independent candidate) and a national vote (to party P (that is not 
formally associated with the candidate of the local vote)).

  
  
 You continued:
  
 , and party P supporters vote this way, and many independents of party P
  
 [endquote]
  
 There is no such thing as an independent of party P.

I used quotes (like you did) to refer to the candidate that is formally 
independent in the election but that in practice has strong ties to party P.

  
 You continued:
  
  will be elected, then party P is likely to get many representatives that are 
 independent, and the number of its non-independent representatives is 
 smaller that its proportional share (that is derived from the national party 
 votes), and therefore party P will get some extra seats in the top-up 
 process. Party P will thus get its proportional share of the seats + several 
 independents (that the method does not consider to be party P 
 representatives, although in practice they are). That would mean that the 
 method is vulnerable to running some candidates (likely winners) as 
 independents to get more seats.
  
 [endquote]
  
 That's what you said before. Re-read the two paragraphs above that are 
 immediately below the words, The following two paragraphs answer your 
 concerns.

There was some confusion above since the terminology got mixed up. My question 
is still the same. Do you think that the strategy that I described applies to 
your proposed local STV + national party vote method? The strategy was that 
party P declares (deviously) some of its (well known) strong candidates as 
independent candidates in the election, and hopes this way to reduce the number 
of locally elected candidates that would be formally counted as party P 
candidates, and as a result the topping-up process would give party P 
additional seats.

(The strategy is related to the 

Re: [EM] Conceiving a Democratic Electoral Process

2012-07-05 Thread Fred Gohlke

Hi, Juho

You raised a multitude of points.


re: I agree that getting rid of the financial ties and
 getting rid of the party internal control on who can
 be elected would reduce oligarchy within the parties
 and power of money.

That's a promising start.  It gives us two basic goals for our new 
conception:


1) Parties must not be allowed to control the nomination of
   candidates for public office.

2) The electoral method must not require that candidates
   spend vast sums of money to achieve public office.


re: But I'm afraid that humans are clever enough to find some
 new ways to find power and control the processes in ways
 that are not very beneficiial to the society.  The threat
 will be present even if we would get rid of some of the
 key mechanisms that cause us problems today.

If you are suggesting this as a reason for accepting the corrupt system 
we have, we would be foolish to defeat ourselves before we start.  It is 
better that we forge ahead, however slowly, looking for a method that 
lets those who follow us avoid the traps that snagged us and 
forestalling any new obstacles we can anticipate.


Thomas Jefferson is credited with saying The price of liberty is 
eternal vigilance.  Whether or not he actually said it, those who 
follow us should heed the sentiment.  At the same time, we must 
recognize that it's not enough to just be vigilant, we must also have an 
electoral method that lets us counter threats when they arise.  This 
suggests a third goal for our efforts:


3) The electoral method must give the people a way to address
   and resolve contemporary issues.


re: I used the soviet example to point out that even in a system
 that, according to its idealistic supporters, was supposed
 to get rid of the evils of the past, people soon found ways
 to corrupt the system. Maybe the same applies to the U.S.A.
 too. It is known to be a leading fortress of democracy, but
 now I hear some complaints about how it works.

You've chosen a good example.  I spent five years in my country's armed 
forces and stand second to none in my love for my homeland.  Because of 
that love, I'm keenly aware of its flaws.  Instead of just lamenting 
them, I seek practical ways to correct them.



re: No doubt, also new systems, especially if generated from
 scratch, would find some ways to corrupt themselves.
 Hopefully they are better than the previous systems, but
 not always.

The American system was generated from scratch and was incomparably 
better than the previous systems.  Even so, over time, it became 
corrupted.  Our founders were aware of the dangers inherent in 
partisanship and did everything they could to protect the people from 
it, separating the powers of government to prevent the dominance of the 
then-perceived factions.  The level of anxiety was so great our first 
president, George Washington, in his Farewell Address, warned us parties 
were likely to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and 
unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and 
to usurp for themselves the reins of government - and that's what happened.


An early example of the danger of party politics was the plan advocated 
by the then Governor of Massachusetts, Elbridge Gerry, to manipulate the 
size and shape of legislative districts to protect existing 
office-holders.  The plan was opposed by the people and denigrated in 
the press as 'gerrymandering'.  The people of Massachusetts removed 
Gerry from office at the next election.  In spite of public opposition 
to the practice, it was adopted by politicians throughout the young 
nation and given the force of law in the several states.


That wasn't the end of this sorry affair.  Gerry's party, the 
Democratic-Republicans, demonstrated the arrogance and cynicism of party 
politicians by rewarding him with the Vice Presidential nomination in 
the 1812 national election.  Elbridge Gerry, who subverted the American 
ideal of democracy, became the fifth Vice President of the United States 
under President James Madison.


The people could do nothing to prevent this travesty.  The party system 
had already evolved to the point the people were excluded from the 
political process.  The political parties had already arrogated to 
themselves the right to pick the people they would let run for public 
office.



re: We would have to keep the candiate base very wide and
 election process very random so that famous and powerful
 candidates don't benefit of their position (and money)
 too much.

If everyone in the electorate can be a candidate, that will keep the 
base as wide as possible.  When the people have a way to carefully 
examine the famous and powerful candidates to determine their 
integrity and their suitability for office, the danger posed by their 
fame and power will be judged by their peers.  Stated another way, if 
the people can determine that 

Re: [EM] Conceiving a Democratic Electoral Process

2012-07-05 Thread Juho Laatu
On 5.7.2012, at 23.24, Fred Gohlke wrote:

 Hi, Juho
 
 You raised a multitude of points.
 
 
 re: I agree that getting rid of the financial ties and
 getting rid of the party internal control on who can
 be elected would reduce oligarchy within the parties
 and power of money.
 
 That's a promising start.  It gives us two basic goals for our new conception:
 
 1) Parties must not be allowed to control the nomination of
   candidates for public office.

To me this is not an absolute requirement but one approach worth a try.

 
 2) The electoral method must not require that candidates
   spend vast sums of money to achieve public office.

This one could be a good target for practically all societies.

 
 
 re: But I'm afraid that humans are clever enough to find some
 new ways to find power and control the processes in ways
 that are not very beneficiial to the society.  The threat
 will be present even if we would get rid of some of the
 key mechanisms that cause us problems today.
 
 If you are suggesting this as a reason for accepting the corrupt system we 
 have, we would be foolish to defeat ourselves before we start.

Not a defence of current systems, just a warning that new systems can not be 
trusted either.

  It is better that we forge ahead, however slowly, looking for a method that 
 lets those who follow us avoid the traps that snagged us and forestalling any 
 new obstacles we can anticipate.
 
 Thomas Jefferson is credited with saying The price of liberty is eternal 
 vigilance.  Whether or not he actually said it, those who follow us should 
 heed the sentiment.  At the same time, we must recognize that it's not enough 
 to just be vigilant, we must also have an electoral method that lets us 
 counter threats when they arise.  This suggests a third goal for our efforts:
 
 3) The electoral method must give the people a way to address
   and resolve contemporary issues.

Ok. Is the intention to say that people should be able to react (and influence) 
when they see some changes in the society or when the politicians start some 
new initiatives?

 
 
 re: I used the soviet example to point out that even in a system
 that, according to its idealistic supporters, was supposed
 to get rid of the evils of the past, people soon found ways
 to corrupt the system. Maybe the same applies to the U.S.A.
 too. It is known to be a leading fortress of democracy, but
 now I hear some complaints about how it works.
 
 You've chosen a good example.  I spent five years in my country's armed 
 forces and stand second to none in my love for my homeland.  Because of that 
 love, I'm keenly aware of its flaws.  Instead of just lamenting them, I seek 
 practical ways to correct them.
 
 
 re: No doubt, also new systems, especially if generated from
 scratch, would find some ways to corrupt themselves.
 Hopefully they are better than the previous systems, but
 not always.
 
 The American system was generated from scratch and was incomparably better 
 than the previous systems.  Even so, over time, it became corrupted.  Our 
 founders were aware of the dangers inherent in partisanship and did 
 everything they could to protect the people from it, separating the powers of 
 government to prevent the dominance of the then-perceived factions.  The 
 level of anxiety was so great our first president, George Washington, in his 
 Farewell Address, warned us parties were likely to become potent engines, by 
 which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the 
 power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government - 
 and that's what happened.
 
 An early example of the danger of party politics was the plan advocated by 
 the then Governor of Massachusetts, Elbridge Gerry, to manipulate the size 
 and shape of legislative districts to protect existing office-holders.  The 
 plan was opposed by the people and denigrated in the press as 
 'gerrymandering'.  The people of Massachusetts removed Gerry from office at 
 the next election.  In spite of public opposition to the practice, it was 
 adopted by politicians throughout the young nation and given the force of law 
 in the several states.
 
 That wasn't the end of this sorry affair.  Gerry's party, the 
 Democratic-Republicans, demonstrated the arrogance and cynicism of party 
 politicians by rewarding him with the Vice Presidential nomination in the 
 1812 national election.  Elbridge Gerry, who subverted the American ideal of 
 democracy, became the fifth Vice President of the United States under 
 President James Madison.
 
 The people could do nothing to prevent this travesty.  The party system had 
 already evolved to the point the people were excluded from the political 
 process.  The political parties had already arrogated to themselves the right 
 to pick the people they would let run for public office.
 
 
 re: We would have to keep the candiate base very wide 

Re: [EM] Conceiving a Democratic Electoral Process (Primary Thoughts)

2012-07-05 Thread Michael Allan
Juho and Fred,

  (a) a *primary* electoral system
  (b) one that sponsors candidates for *public* office
  (c) where voting is restricted to *private* members
  
  Specifically (c) is no longer possible. ...  In such a world, what
  *other* form of political domination could take hold? ...  I would
  argue that domination is no longer possible.  For better or worse,
  we would be free.

Juho Laatu said:
 I agree that getting rid of the financial ties and getting rid of
 the party internal control on who can be elected would reduce
 oligarchy within the parties and power of money. But I'm afraid that
 humans are clever enough to find some new ways to find power and
 control the processes in ways that are not very beneficiial to the
 society. The threat will be present even if we would get rid of some
 of the key mechanisms that cause us problems today.

Yes, and we should expect this.  Even where freedom is a fact and
takes center stage, domination remains in the wings as a possibility.
Consider the choices:

  What is What might be
  --  --- 
  1.  Domination  Freedom

  2.  Freedom Domination

If no obvious forms of domination remain after eliminating (c), then
we might look at the possible forms of freedom.  Especially
interesting would be anything that undermined (c), since that would
pave the way for a continuous transition from 1 to 2.

 I used the soviet example to point out that even in a system that,
 according to its idealistic supporters, was supposed to get rid of
 the evils of the past, people soon found ways to corrupt the
 system. Maybe the same applies to the U.S.A. too. It is known to be
 a leading fortress of democracy, but now I hear some complaints
 about how it works. No doubt, also new systems, especially if
 generated from scratch, would find some ways to corrupt
 themselves. Hopefully they are better than the previous systems, but
 not always. So we better be careful with them and too hgh doses of
 idealism. But maybe we can trust that, despite of all these risks,
 we are on our way from the laws of jungle to something better.

Yes, I agree.


Fred Gohlke said:
 I'm sorry, Michael, but I cannot make such an assumption.  I can
 imagine universal equality but I cannot imagine a party where the
 primary decisions may no longer be restricted to members.  Such an
 assumption defeats the party's reason for being.  I am unable to
 imagine an entity that does not include its essential
 characteristics.

Yes, I agree.  The party could not exist.  It follows that if (c) were
eliminated, then the party would also be eliminated.  Right?

 Is it necessary to imagine 'party' as existing before universal 
 equality?  Would it not be better to imagine 'party', and the 
 exclusivity that is inherent in the concept of 'party', as a natural 
 outgrowth of universal equality?

(I try to explain my aim at bottom.)

 Moreover, since one non-party individual can only join one of the
 existing parties, the individual's influence on and reaction to the
 influence of the party is indeterminate.  As an imaginary example,
 an assertive, strong-willed non-partisan may influence and be
 influenced by a liberal party to a completely different extent than
 the same person would influence and be influenced by a conservative
 party.

I may misunderstand.  To be sure, one needn't join a party.  A single
individual (member or not) may participate in the primaries of every
party, or no party, or something in between.
 
 This is the assumption I cannot accept.  It defies the party's
 reason for being.  I can imagine a system where parties nominate
 candidates that advocate the party's position, and then subjects
 those candidates to the judgment of non-partisans, but I cannot
 imagine a party operating outside the dictates of its membership.

Exactly.  So the parties are gone.
 
 I agree we need to let the people impress their moral sense on their
 government.  That is not possible when parties choose the candidates
 for public office.
 
 Is there a way we can pursue this line of inquiry without making
 assumptions that strip political parties of their essential nature?

We agreed that parties are incompatible with a substansive democracy.
One way or another, they had to go.  So we aimed straight for the
heart and now they are gone.  Could we proceed otherwise in reality?

Whatever else we do, we cannot avoid trespassing on the essence of the
party system and displacing it *en passant*.  But I wanted to be clear
about the form we'd be displacing, the particular form of exclusivity
that parties depend upon, because I think it tells us something about
the practical means of moving forward.  (Persuasion won't work.  The
parties cannot be beaten on that ground.)  How exactly do we proceed?

-- 
Michael Allan

Toronto, +1 416-699-9528
http://zelea.com/

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Conceiving a Democratic Electoral Process

2012-07-05 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm

On 06/27/2012 07:10 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote:

I am enjoying this discussion and I thank Fred for starting it. However,
I have only a little to add:

1. Under plurality, parties are a necessary evil; primaries weed the
field and prevent vote-splitting. Of course, plurality itself is an
entirely unnecessary evil, mostly because it makes parties necessary.

2. Even without plurality, there would probably still be named,
structured groupings. Unstructured anarchy may be desirable, but it's
not very stable. That's not to say that there's no way to make the power
dynamics inside the party less pernicious, though.

3. As I envision PAL representation, the PR system I designed, parties
would simply be a label that any candidate could self-apply. To keep out
wolves in sheeps clothing, any candidate would have the power to say,
among the other candidates who share their chosen party label, which
ones they do not consider to be allies. I think those dynamics – free to
join, no guarantee you won't be shunned by the people who already have
joined, but the binary shun-or-not choice should help prevent cliques
of gradated power – would be relatively healthy.


I'm not sure why the To of this message was set to my address, but while 
we're adding our ideas to it, here are mine:


- Aristotle says that elections impart upon a system an element of 
aristocracy. In this, I'm inclined to agree, because elections involve 
the selection of a choice (or choices) from those that are known to the 
people doing the voting. Thus, if a minority has the power to be more 
visible, representatives will tend to be chosen from that minority.


- Whether this is a good or bad thing depends upon whether you think 
aristocracy can work. In this sense, aristocracy means rule by the 
best, i.e. by a minority that is selected because they're in some way 
better than the rest at achieving the common good. The pathological form 
of aristocracy is oligarchy, where there's still a minority, but it's 
not chosen because it's better. If aristocracy degenerates too far or 
too quickly into oligarchy, that would negate the gains you'd expect to 
see from picking someone who's better rather than just by chance alone.


- I think that, in practice, the collection of rules that make up the 
electoral system has a significant influence on both the nature of 
politics in that country as well as on the quality of the 
representatives. It's not too difficult to see that if you take it to 
extremes: for example, if you'd devise a system where only parties given 
permission to operate by already-permitted parties would be allowed to 
exist, you'd get political monopoly in short order.


- Thus, it's not too hard for me to think there might be sets of rules 
that would make parties minor parts of politics. Those would not work by 
simply outlawing parties, totalitarian style. Instead, the rules would 
arrange the dynamics so that there's little benefit to organizing in 
parties.


- For instance, a system based entirely on random selection would 
probably not have very powerful parties, as the parties would have no 
way of getting their candidates into the assembly. Of course, such a 
system would not have the aristocratic aspect either. Hybrid systems 
could still make parties less relevant: I've mentioned a sortition 
followed by election within the group idea before, where a significant 
sample is picked from the population and they elect representatives from 
their number. Again, parties could not be sure any of their candidates 
would be selected at random in the first round. While that method tries 
to keep some of the selection for best, it disrupts the continuity that 
parties need and the effect of marketing ahead of time.


- Gohlke has also suggested a method he thinks would diminish the power 
of parties, wherein people meet in small groups (of three, but could be 
extended) and elect a subset (one of them according to his idea), and 
these then repeat the process until the number of representatives is 
reduced to the number you'd want. Parties could still exist as 
organizations that help people be better at the process, but party 
members can't secure a position by appealing to masses; rather (at least 
this is the idea), they must be able to defend/compromise in a thorough 
discussion of their ideas that the small-group setting supports.



Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Conceiving a Democratic Electoral Process

2012-07-05 Thread Michael Allan
Kristofer Munsterhjelm said:
 - Thus, it's not too hard for me to think there might be sets of
 rules that would make parties minor parts of politics. Those would
 not work by simply outlawing parties, totalitarian style. Instead,
 the rules would arrange the dynamics so that there's little benefit
 to organizing in parties.

Such rules would be difficult to implement while the parties are still
in power.  They control the legislatures.  I think we need to look at
the primaries.  A system of open primaries would be beyond the reach
of the parties, and it might undermine their power.  Has anyone tried
this approach before?

-- 
Michael Allan

Toronto, +1 416-699-9528
http://zelea.com/

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info