RE: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-03-03 Thread Narins, Josh
Hrm.

I studied this particular issue.

Some people from Harvard applied Bayesian Ecological Inferences to the
absentee ballots.

They report the fact that, according to the Office of the Florida Secretary
of State, ON ELECTION DAY, Gore was ahead by 202 votes.
So, at the moment it was called for Bush, Gore was ahead.


One note on those ballots, as related in the New York Times longest story
ever (in column inches)
The Republicans were using opposite arguments in different counties. In GOP
strongholds they were arguing absentee ballots must be counted, in Gore
strongholds, that they must be thrown away.  This is in the court
transcripts.
By the way, if examined at the State level, or in any pair of courts,
really, that practice is illegal, in the sense that the whole line must be
dismissed. (See New Hampshire and Maine fighting over the river between
them, a change in the how much is mine by New Hampshire was totally
ignored, because they had earlier claimed a different portion).
I am not a laywer.

However, there is lots more.

Bush and Harris slashed the voter aide funds by half, gave RICH districts
laptops in order to deal with voted problems.
They gave poor districts BUSY PHONE NUMBERS.

How's that for a big FUCK YOU???



Or how about this peice of total horseshit?  In Texas they had a hand
recount, but that's not good enough for Florida?

Howabout the _fact_ that the law in Florida was intent of the voter NOT
intent of the voter  IF it can be ascertained via a machine.




The facts are, if they had recounted the whole state, or the THOUSANDS of
jewish gore voters in palm beach county were counted as they INTENDED to
vote (the law in Florida, and there are plenty of overvotes to statistically
_prove_ it happened) it was NO CONTEST.


BUSH IS A SHIT EATING MONKEY










 -Original Message-
 From: Bart Ingles [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 Sent: Tuesday, February 25, 2003 2:29 AM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: [EM] Who did you say won?
 
 
 
 I've seen most of these assertions before, but I would hardly say that
 they constitute proof.  For one thing all of these sites share a
 similar political viewpoint-- for balance you might as well 
 link to some
 far right-wing sites to get the other side of the story.  For 
 another, I
 don't know how you'd go about verifying most of these claims. 
  Although
 Palast does seem to go out of his way to point out that some 
 of his work
 was carried by the BBC, which I had always considered to be a 
 member of
 the mass media.
 
 One of Palast's statements seems particularly implausible: ...on the
 Florida ballots voter race is listed.  I have never heard of
 identifying information, let alone race, being listed on a modern U.S.
 ballot.  Are there any Florida voters here who can confirm 
 this?  If so,
 there's a good place to start reforming.
 
 At any rate, all of this emotion over an essentially tied 
 election seems
 like a waste to me.  Election fraud, the electoral college, campaign
 finance reform-- none of these can have much effect unless 
 the election
 is close to begin with.  If there is a rightful winner 
 other than the
 declared one, then as far as I'm concerned it should be the unknowable
 candidate who was excluded due to Duverger's Law and and our plurality
 system.
 
 Bart
 
 
  Tom McIntyre wrote:
  
  Eric Gorr wrote:
  
   At 6:21 AM + 2/24/03, MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote:
  
   Is that what the mass media said?
  
  
   I am not aware of any independent study which claims that 
 Gore would
   have won regardless of what the Supreme Court did.
  
  Here's an article telling how the same study that showed that The
  Supreme Court's intervention probably did not affect the outcome of
  the limited recounts then under way, also showed that more people
  probably cast valid votes for Gore than for Bush.  It goes 
 on to say
  why you didn't hear about that latter part.
  
  http://www.commondreams.org/views01/1115-02.htm
  
  Of course, Gore would have won without recounts had it not 
 been for a
  deliberate effort by Jeb Bush, Katherine Harris, and Republican
  lawmakers to illegally purge tens of thousands of Democrats from the
  Florida voting rolls.  A list of Greg Palast articles 
 providing proof
  of the illegal purging:
  
  
 http://www.gregpalast.com/columns.cfm?subject_id=1subject_nam
e=Theft%20of%20Presidency
 
 This one sums it up pretty well:
 
 http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=177row=1
 
 An article that sums up other ways voters were disenfranchised in
 Florida:
 

http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Political_Corruption/How_GOP_Gamed_Florida
.html
 
 And this article hints (but doesn't actually claim) that computerized
 voting machines programmed with a Republican slant may have been in
 use in this Florida election:
 
 http://www.commondreams.org/views03/0131-01.htm


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please see http://www.eskimo.com/~robla/em

RE: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-03-03 Thread Adam Tarr
Josh Narins wrote:

BUSH IS A SHIT EATING MONKEY
This is merely the worst example from a thread that has long since strayed 
off topic.  I understand that we're here to talk about elections, but the 
issue of the 2000 Florida recount is only tangentially related to the 
issues of election method theory.  It's appropriate to say, for example, 
that approval voting is easier to count and avoids some of the issues that 
cropped up in the recount.  But any relation of the recount to election 
method theory went out the window a while ago on this thread.

I'm not totally against off-topic posts here, but let's try to keep it to a 
minimum.  Remember that lots of people get these messages, and a lot of 
them don't care about the Florida recount (or, they read about these issues 
and made up their own mind a long time ago).  The signal-to-noise ratio is 
bad enough around here lately without people knowingly making it worse.

And yes, I'm aware of the irony of posting off topic to this list in order 
to decry that exact practice, so don't bother pointing it out.  It was 
reluctance to do this that kept me quiet up to now.

-Adam

P.S.  Josh, in response to another off-topic post of yours - I'd be happy 
to bet you $20 that Israel does not attack Iraq in the event of a US/Iraq 
war, regardless of whether Iraq attacks Israel.


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Re: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-03-03 Thread Bart Ingles

That's about what I'd expect from a Gore supporter.  ;-)


Narins, Josh wrote:
 
 Hrm.
 
 I studied this particular issue.
 
 Some people from Harvard applied Bayesian Ecological Inferences to the
 absentee ballots.
 
 They report the fact that, according to the Office of the Florida Secretary
 of State, ON ELECTION DAY, Gore was ahead by 202 votes.
 So, at the moment it was called for Bush, Gore was ahead.
 
 One note on those ballots, as related in the New York Times longest story
 ever (in column inches)
 The Republicans were using opposite arguments in different counties. In GOP
 strongholds they were arguing absentee ballots must be counted, in Gore
 strongholds, that they must be thrown away.  This is in the court
 transcripts.
 By the way, if examined at the State level, or in any pair of courts,
 really, that practice is illegal, in the sense that the whole line must be
 dismissed. (See New Hampshire and Maine fighting over the river between
 them, a change in the how much is mine by New Hampshire was totally
 ignored, because they had earlier claimed a different portion).
 I am not a laywer.
 
 However, there is lots more.
 
 Bush and Harris slashed the voter aide funds by half, gave RICH districts
 laptops in order to deal with voted problems.
 They gave poor districts BUSY PHONE NUMBERS.
 
 How's that for a big FUCK YOU???
 
 Or how about this peice of total horseshit?  In Texas they had a hand
 recount, but that's not good enough for Florida?
 
 Howabout the _fact_ that the law in Florida was intent of the voter NOT
 intent of the voter  IF it can be ascertained via a machine.
 
 The facts are, if they had recounted the whole state, or the THOUSANDS of
 jewish gore voters in palm beach county were counted as they INTENDED to
 vote (the law in Florida, and there are plenty of overvotes to statistically
 _prove_ it happened) it was NO CONTEST.
 
 BUSH IS A SHIT EATING MONKEY


For more information about this list (subscribe, unsubscribe, FAQ, etc), 
please see http://www.eskimo.com/~robla/em



Re: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-03-03 Thread Alex Small
Narins, Josh wrote:
 BUSH IS A SHIT EATING MONKEY

As I said in a private correspondence, monkeys are intelligent primates
with cute mannerisms.  There's no need to insult them with that comparison
;)



Alex



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please see http://www.eskimo.com/~robla/em



Re: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-02-24 Thread Eric Gorr
At 6:21 AM + 2/24/03, MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote:
Is that what the mass media said?
I am not aware of any independent study which claims that Gore would 
have won regardless of what the Supreme Court did.


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please see http://www.eskimo.com/~robla/em



Re: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-02-24 Thread Tom McIntyre





Eric Gorr wrote:
At
6:21 AM + 2/24/03, MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote: 
  Is that what the mass media said? 
  
 
I am not aware of any independent study which claims that Gore would  have
won regardless of what the Supreme Court did. 
 
 
Here's an article telling how the same study that showed that "The Supreme Court's intervention
probably did not affect the outcome of the limited recounts then under way",
also showed that "more
people probably cast valid votes for Gore than for Bush". It goes on to
say why you didn't hear about that latter part.

http://www.commondreams.org/views01/1115-02.htm

Of course, Gore would have won without recounts had it not been for a deliberate
effort by Jeb Bush, Katherine Harris, and Republican lawmakers to illegally
purge tens of thousands of Democrats from the Florida voting rolls. A list
of Greg Palast articles providing proof of the illegal purging:

http://www.gregpalast.com/columns.cfm?subject_id=1subject_name=Theft%20of%20Presidency

This one sums it up pretty well:

http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=177row=1

An article that sums up other ways voters were disenfranchised in Florida:

http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Political_Corruption/How_GOP_Gamed_Florida.html

And this article hints (but doesn't actually claim) that computerized voting
machines programmed with a Republican slant may have been in use in this
Florida election:

http://www.commondreams.org/views03/0131-01.htm




Re: [EM] Who did you say won?

2003-02-24 Thread Bart Ingles

I've seen most of these assertions before, but I would hardly say that
they constitute proof.  For one thing all of these sites share a
similar political viewpoint-- for balance you might as well link to some
far right-wing sites to get the other side of the story.  For another, I
don't know how you'd go about verifying most of these claims.  Although
Palast does seem to go out of his way to point out that some of his work
was carried by the BBC, which I had always considered to be a member of
the mass media.

One of Palast's statements seems particularly implausible: ...on the
Florida ballots voter race is listed.  I have never heard of
identifying information, let alone race, being listed on a modern U.S.
ballot.  Are there any Florida voters here who can confirm this?  If so,
there's a good place to start reforming.

At any rate, all of this emotion over an essentially tied election seems
like a waste to me.  Election fraud, the electoral college, campaign
finance reform-- none of these can have much effect unless the election
is close to begin with.  If there is a rightful winner other than the
declared one, then as far as I'm concerned it should be the unknowable
candidate who was excluded due to Duverger's Law and and our plurality
system.

Bart


 Tom McIntyre wrote:
 
 Eric Gorr wrote:
 
  At 6:21 AM + 2/24/03, MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote:
 
  Is that what the mass media said?
 
 
  I am not aware of any independent study which claims that Gore would
  have won regardless of what the Supreme Court did.
 
 Here's an article telling how the same study that showed that The
 Supreme Court's intervention probably did not affect the outcome of
 the limited recounts then under way, also showed that more people
 probably cast valid votes for Gore than for Bush.  It goes on to say
 why you didn't hear about that latter part.
 
 http://www.commondreams.org/views01/1115-02.htm
 
 Of course, Gore would have won without recounts had it not been for a
 deliberate effort by Jeb Bush, Katherine Harris, and Republican
 lawmakers to illegally purge tens of thousands of Democrats from the
 Florida voting rolls.  A list of Greg Palast articles providing proof
 of the illegal purging:
 
 http://www.gregpalast.com/columns.cfm?subject_id=1subject_name=Theft%20of%20Presidency
 
 This one sums it up pretty well:
 
 http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=177row=1
 
 An article that sums up other ways voters were disenfranchised in
 Florida:
 
 http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Political_Corruption/How_GOP_Gamed_Florida.html
 
 And this article hints (but doesn't actually claim) that computerized
 voting machines programmed with a Republican slant may have been in
 use in this Florida election:
 
 http://www.commondreams.org/views03/0131-01.htm


For more information about this list (subscribe, unsubscribe, FAQ, etc), 
please see http://www.eskimo.com/~robla/em