Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-06 Thread Martin WINLOW via EV
Just put a stinking comment on the article, actually.  He may be right on the 
autonomous vehicle issue but when he comes out with nonsense like 'the i8 is 
challenging the MS as the eco car of choice' you have to take anything else he 
says with a truck load of salt, let alone a pinch!  MW


On 6 Apr 2015, at 00:16, Ben Goren via EV ev@lists.evdl.org wrote:

Food for thought:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeremyanwyl/2015/04/02/evidence-of-forces-behind-the-tesla-factor-at-this-weeks-new-york-auto-show/?ss=tech
 

I tend to think he's right.

I also think that the first long-haul trucking company to adopt self-driving 
rigs will thereby become the dominant force in that industry.

Sure feels like we're at the cusp of a phase change, when all sorts of little 
things add up in a big and surprising way.

b

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Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-06 Thread robert winfield via EV

i commented and pointed out the i8 gets a masssive 15 miles electric

On Mon, 4/6/15, Martin WINLOW via EV ev@lists.evdl.org wrote:

 Subject: Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To
Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes
 To: EVDL Post Message ev@lists.evdl.org
 Date: Monday, April 6, 2015, 3:47 AM
 
 Just put a stinking
 comment on the article, actually.  He may be right on the
 autonomous vehicle issue but when he comes out with nonsense
 like 'the i8 is challenging the MS as the eco car of
 choice' you have to take anything else he says with a
 truck load of salt, let alone a pinch!  MW
 
 
 On 6 Apr 2015, at 00:16,
 Ben Goren via EV ev@lists.evdl.org
 wrote:
 
 Food for thought:
 
 
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeremyanwyl/2015/04/02/evidence-of-forces-behind-the-tesla-factor-at-this-weeks-new-york-auto-show/?ss=tech
 
 
 I tend to think
 he's right.
 
 I also
 think that the first long-haul trucking company to adopt
 self-driving rigs will thereby become the dominant force in
 that industry.
 
 Sure feels
 like we're at the cusp of a phase change, when all sorts
 of little things add up in a big and surprising way.
 
 b
 
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Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-06 Thread Russ Sciville via EV
Well said Martin,

The i8 is a sheep in wolves clothing.

It is a very advanced body with a backward step regarding its drive.

How can such a light car use more fuel then my Ampera when in ICE mode!

Now a fully electric i8 would be of serious interest.

On Mon, 6/4/15, Martin WINLOW via EV ev@lists.evdl.org wrote:

 Subject: Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To
Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes
 To: EVDL Post Message ev@lists.evdl.org
 Date: Monday, 6 April, 2015, 8:47
 
 Just put a stinking
 comment on the article, actually.  He may be right on the
 autonomous vehicle issue but when he comes out with nonsense
 like 'the i8 is challenging the MS as the eco car of
 choice' you have to take anything else he says with a
 truck load of salt, let alone a pinch!  MW
 
 
 On 6 Apr 2015, at 00:16,
 Ben Goren via EV ev@lists.evdl.org
 wrote:
 
 Food for thought:
 
 
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeremyanwyl/2015/04/02/evidence-of-forces-behind-the-tesla-factor-at-this-weeks-new-york-auto-show/?ss=tech
 
 
 I tend to think
 he's right.
 
 I also
 think that the first long-haul trucking company to adopt
 self-driving rigs will thereby become the dominant force in
 that industry.
 
 Sure feels
 like we're at the cusp of a phase change, when all sorts
 of little things add up in a big and surprising way.
 
 b
 
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 For EV drag racing discussion, please use NEDRA
 (http://groups.yahoo.com/group/NEDRA)
 
 
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Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-06 Thread paul dove via EV
There is always a market for quality and Tesla will do fine as long as they 
build the best product on the Market.





 From: tomw via EV ev@lists.evdl.org
To: ev@lists.evdl.org 
Sent: Monday, April 6, 2015 10:10 AM
Subject: Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To 
Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes
 

I think the article is rubbish.  As far as seeing that Tesla was addressing a
small market with the S...well duh, but they have ameliorated that effect
somewhat by selling globally. No other company is pushing a product
competitive with the S yet, but it looks like that may change in a year or
two.  I think Tesla's survival depends on their ability to lower costs and
develop competitive products in a wider market, which means lower priced
products. That largely means competing with the existing car manufacturers
on their own turf, tough going.  Or, they just shrink and become a supplier
of niche vehicles in the future, not what Elon has in mind with the
gigafactory.

One factor the article doesn't mention is psychological, how well accepted
that new technology will be by the majority of Americans.  I'm guessing it
will be a niche market too, mainly the tech savvy, and will take quite a few
years to become more widely accepted, so best for Tesla's success not to
hinge on that.  Don't know if this is the actual case, but I think it would
be easy for the management at Tesla to develop group think, forgetting that
most U.S. citizens don't live in silicon valley and work in high tech, and
overestimating the appeal and acceptance of such features as self-driving as
a result. Know your market.

The vehicle market is shrinking with the increasing polarization of wealth
in the U.S..  Many cannot afford to purchase a new vehicle, so maybe you
mainly have to target those in the upper quintile or so income bracket. 
There will be a furious fight for market share in that smaller market in the
future.



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Re: [EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-06 Thread Ben Goren via EV
On Apr 6, 2015, at 8:10 AM, tomw via EV ev@lists.evdl.org wrote:

 Don't know if this is the actual case, but I think it would
 be easy for the management at Tesla to develop group think, forgetting that
 most U.S. citizens don't live in silicon valley and work in high tech, and
 overestimating the appeal and acceptance of such features as self-driving as
 a result.

I think the overwhelming majority -- near unanimity, in fact -- would 
absolutely love a self-driving car. Even those who enjoy driving...there're 
still be times they'll want / need to take a phone call, be too tired / drunk 
to safely drive, and so on. Most commuters would, I'm sure, rather watch TV or 
get caught up on email or post something on MyFaceTwit or whatever than have to 
make life-or-death decisions about how to maneuver a two-ton hunk of metal and 
glass and plastic with themselves caged within.

Will they trust current technology? Could they afford current technology? 
Those're different questions.

But the desire most emphatically exists.

Just look at all the idiots on the road shaving or putting on makeup or texting 
or yakking on the phone...each and every one of those would much rather _not_ 
be driving.

b
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[EVDL] The Tesla Factor: Elon Musk Will Force Auto Industry To Roll Out Self-Driving Cars Sooner Than You Think - Forbes

2015-04-05 Thread Ben Goren via EV
Food for thought:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeremyanwyl/2015/04/02/evidence-of-forces-behind-the-tesla-factor-at-this-weeks-new-york-auto-show/?ss=tech
 

I tend to think he's right.

I also think that the first long-haul trucking company to adopt self-driving 
rigs will thereby become the dominant force in that industry.

Sure feels like we're at the cusp of a phase change, when all sorts of little 
things add up in a big and surprising way.

b
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