--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, gullible fool <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > I did predict in my updated forecast for 2008 that this presidential election year could be interrupted by unexpected weather patterns, earthquakes or a possible tsunami in the Pacific Basin. > > Unfortunately, the Pleiadians have just informed me that 2009 will have the same "could be" and 'possible" possibilities as 2008. Sorry to have the relay the (possible) bad news. > > "...but mountain doesn't move!" > > --- On Sun, 8/31/08, Rick Archer <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > From: Rick Archer <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Subject: [FairfieldLife] Astrological Forecast for September and Signatures for Sarah Palin > To: FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > Date: Sunday, August 31, 2008, 8:40 AM > > > > > > > > > > By Lou Valentino > > 8/31/2008 > > Dear friends of Astrological Varieties, > > The September forecast is up. Just click below and select "Monthly Astrology Column". > > Let us meditate and pray for the people living in the Gulf coast. I did predict in my updated forecast for 2008 that this presidential election year could be interrupted by unexpected weather patterns, earthquakes or a possible tsunami in the Pacific Basin. > > Please take the time over the next several days to pray, meditate and send white light to the areas between northern Florida and the coastline of Texas. I am predicting that John McCain and Sarah Palin who have already decided to head to Mississippi today will begin the healing process of the past in relationship to the wounds left behind by the Republican Party. With so much resentment from Katrina to the Republican Party it offers an opportunity for the Republican's to heal some of the PR damage by making adjustments during the time of their RNC week. > > I clearly stated on my updated predictions for 2008 on July 22, 2008 that whoever picked a female Vice President would win the election. I am standing by this prediction.
It didn't work for Water Mondale. as the sole, or key explanatory variable for a presidential election, this relationship is quite weak. And it ignores the many other factors that may influence victory. > As most of you know I wanted Hillary Clinton to be the V.P. for the Democratic Party. That obviously did not happen. No, it was not the expression of a personal wish. It was a quite strong, almost absolute prediction. Pleadians appear to be strong on big spin. What is even more funny, or sad, is that at the time, pre-primaries, of the prediction, HC was the vast odd-son favorite. If one had placed a wager on her her, the return would have been minimal. Perhaps 10 cents per dollar bet. The odds of her winning were much much highr than the reut of simply flipping a coin. The predicter demonstrated FAR less predictive than a simple, inert coin. A courageous and far more clearly a demonstration of predictive power would have been to pick Obama. He was a very long shot at the time. A wager of $1 may have yielded $80. (While these odds are not precise -- they are in the ballpark/order of magnitude), these odds indicate that a prediction of Obama at that time would have been 800 times more powerful than a Hillary prediction. A Obama / Biden wager would have been in the order of a $1000 payoff. A Cain/Palin prediction would have been off the charts. One of the many serious flaws of this newslettters predictions (past and present) is no serious accounting of mis-predictions. Worse, no distinguishing of the difficulty of the prediction -- the odds of it happening. If Clinton had won the nomination, I am sure the newsletter would be orgasmic in tooting its magnificent power of prediction -- picking Hillary pre-primaries -- when it was almost a no brainer prediction at the time given HRC's advantages. What is funnier, the news letter, I predict (in hindsight) would have claimed the same predicive power as another letter who predicted MaCain / Palin in January. "See we were both right!!!! We we equally predictive". The fact that the newsletter seems to have no clue as to the strength of a prediction the odds of it coming to pass, is sad and funny. Wagering is a good metaphor. Which wager and return would be more impressive -- a $ bet yielded 10 cents (plus the dollar bet) or a 1000 won on a $ bet. Another HUGE flaw of predictors who are oblivious to common sense, or statistics, is the probability of an event occurring when the assumed causal factor is in place, and the probability of an event occuring when the assumed casual factor is not there. Implicit in any sound prediction is that the predicted event will occur (far) more when the assumed casual factor is present AND (far) lower when the assumed casual factor is not present. For example, if one predicts that 95% of Americans will eat three meals every Tuesday (the assumed causal effect) and it so happens that the same occurs on every day of the week, the prediction has zero power. The assumed causal event has not explanatory power. OTOH, if one predicts that bacteria counts will go down dramatically after a 10 day dose of antibiotics -- an it does, and that bacteria counts do not go down dramatically in most cases when antibiotics are NOT administered, then the causal factor has significant explanatory power. > As unexpected circumstances arise through erratic weather patterns um, with Gustav being well known, what is UNexpected about the occurence of erratic weather patterns thi week? and other unexpected events, the Republican Party will gain momentum over the next six weeks. Barak Obama was not expecting the unexpected and chose a more conservative V.P. choice. It is going to be a very close race to the white house. Close typically means a tighter than a 1% win. That may be the case -- its not exactly a long shot prediction. But hey, if it does not happen, the newsletter can just spin it big and say" as you know I wanted this to be a close election ...." > Sarah Palin is born February 11, 1964 under the sign of Aquarius. Therefore, she believes in working with others to benefit humanity. Does this mean that those NOT born February 11, 1964 under the sign of Aquarius do NOT believe in working with others to benefit humanity? If not, then being born February 11, 1964 under the sign of Aquarius as a explanatory factor in predicting people who believe in working with others to benefit humanity has essentially ZERO predictive power. > I do not have an exact birthtime. I placed her time at 12:00 Noon. > With four or five planets in the air element (The Moon could be in Capricorn rather than Aquarius) if she was born after 11:00AM, this is a very independent women. Again, does that imply that women w/o four or five planets in the air element are NOT very independent? If not, this explanatory factor has essentially ZERO predictive power. Aquarian women that I have met in my personal life have a very strong nature and present a challenge to men if contested. And non-Aquarian women predominately do not? > Top this off with Mars in Aries and five or six planets in the fixed qualities and you have a women who is very committed to her own way of doing things. Very stubborn. So, theis theory would imply that women WITHOUT Mars in Aries and five or six planets in the fixed qualities are generaly UNcommitted to their own way of doing things. and NOT very stubborn. > With only one planet in water she is not the type of women who will hang out in a corner and cry. Pity those poor women who DO have at least 2 or more planets in water who spend all of thier time hanging out in a cornor and crying. I never knew this! > She is a fighter for humanity (Aquarius), Damn those other 11/12s of humanity who are NOT fighting for humanity. > and she knows how to get her message across with Gemini rising. Damn those other 11/12s of humanity who are incoherent. Clearly Bush is has no G rising. The rising sign could change but it looks like Gemini. Does this mean that her articuteness will go away? With Saturn, Mars and Sun possibly trine to her rising sign we have someone who communicates forcefully (Mars) and with a lot of energy (Sun) but with control (Saturn). Wow. > With Saturn, Mars and Sun possibly trine to her rising sign we have forcefully (Mars) and with a lot of energy (Sun) but with control (Saturn). Wow. This is perhaps a 1/50 occurence within the population. So the other 98% of humanity communicate FAR LESS and with little energy, > > She is a reformer. She has Uranus conjunct Pluto in Virgo. So Obama, HRC, Bill Clinton, MLK, RFK, Ghandi, Wyatt Erp etc. must have all had this. Otherwise, this planetary configuration has little explanatory power. Same for the rest of the non-explantory power of the hockum below. She pay's attention to fine details and is very quick to make precise judgments. Neptune squares her Saturn, Mars and Sun stellium showing deceptive actions which lead to trouble if she is not careful. Neptune is in Scorpio so she has an investigative mind and loves research. > > She will reform the Republican agenda and even though she holds very conservative beliefs and points of view she may surprise people down the road. Spiritual teachings show in her chart or teachings that are forward thinking. Even an interest in astrology with all of the planets in Aquarius coupled with Uranus in Virgo conjunct Pluto. > > With 7 planets reflecting male energy and only three reflecting female she would be able to withstand a lot of pressure. When I get her exact birhtime I will elaborate more. One thing is for sure, Joe Biden had better wear a cup when he debates her because she is going to come out swinging. Hillary could help Joe out but I don't think Hillary Clinton (Scorpio) is going to lend a helping hand after all she has been through. > > You can read more about September and 2008 by visiting my website Astrological Varieties. > > May God bless America and may everyone in the world be safe and sound this Holiday weekend. > > Love and Light, > Lou Valentino > >