Re: [Fis] MAXENT applied to ecology

2014-10-02 Thread Loet Leydesdorff
Dear Bob, 

 

I read your paper (Information, 2011) with much interest. I agree that
meaning is not directly observable in terms of probability distributions,
but remains as you so nicely express apophatic. In the social sciences, we
not only have different meanings, but also different horizons of meaning
(Husserl).

 

Formulas 2a (Shannon) and 2b (Kullback-Leibler) are traditional. Could you,
please, provide me with a reference for the derivation of Eq. 2c at p. 627?

 



 

Many thanks in advance. 

 

Best,

Loet

 

 

Loet Leydesdorff 

University of Amsterdam

Amsterdam School of Communications Research (ASCoR)

l...@leydesdorff.net ; http://www.leydesdorff.net/ 

Honorary Professor, SPRU, University of Sussex; 

Guest Professor Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou; Visiting Professor, ISTIC,
Beijing;

Visiting Professor, Birkbeck, University of London; 

http://scholar.google.com/citations?user=ych9gNYJhl=en  

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Fis [mailto:fis-boun...@listas.unizar.es] On Behalf Of Robert E.
Ulanowicz
Sent: Saturday, September 27, 2014 6:25 PM
To: John Collier
Cc: fis@listas.unizar.es
Subject: Re: [Fis] MAXENT applied to ecology

 

Dear John,

 

I came across the article and wrote to John Harte. My email to him and his
kind response are appended below.

 

I brief, I believe John is on the correct pathway, and it is one that I have
been treading for some 35 years now. I think, however, that one cannot
simply apply statistical entropy in an unconditional way. Like physical
entropy, statistical entropy has meaning only in a relative sense. That is,
it can only be measured with respect to some reference situation (cf., the
third law of thermodynamics). (We've been over this together in connection
with the Brooks and Wiley hypothesis.)

 

By invoking a reference state (even if that state should be reflexive, as is
done with weighted networks), one discovers that statistical entropy alone
does not parse out order from disorder. Once such parsing has been made, one
may then follow the course of order and disorder, in the context of the
chosen reference state.

 http://people.biology.ufl.edu/ulan/pubs/FISPAP.pdf
http://people.biology.ufl.edu/ulan/pubs/FISPAP.pdf

 

John did not suggest a solution to my ignorance about the almost constant
proportion between constraint and indeterminism in ecosystem trophic
networks. Maybe someone on FIS can suggest one?

 

Peace,

Bob

 

Subject: Re: Ecological thermodynamics

From: John HARTE  mailto:jha...@berkeley.edu jha...@berkeley.edu

Date: Fri, September 26, 2014 9:03 am

To: Robert Ulanowicz  mailto:u...@umces.edu u...@umces.edu

 

Dear Bob,

 

I am in South Africa, Cape Town region, on sabbatical and enjoying immensely
the wildlife and botanical preserves, and especially traipsing through the
fynbos.  Off to Chile next week for a month.

 

I have thought about trophic networks and maxent only to the extent that I
realized that the linkage distribution across nodes in most real networks
does indeed follow (with some scatter of course)) a Boltzmann distribution.
But I have shied away from looking at what theory has to say about flow
rates between nodes because the data are so spotty.

 

Recently I have been working with a graduate student on a state-counting
approach, a la Boltzmann,to understanding competitive coexistence. It turns
out the method actually predicts the dependence of demographic rates on
population sizes.  The outcome differs somewhat from the variety of

dependences found in the usual Lotka-Volterra type models.What's

interesting to me is that, as in your work, a quantitative and testable
tradeoff arises for populations, in this case between the capacity to adapt
under evolution and capacity to survive under competition.

 

I enjoy reading your papers!

 

Cheers,

 

John

 

John Harte

Professor of Ecosystem Sciences

ERG/ESPM

310 Barrows Hall

University of California

Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

 

On Thu, Sep 25, 2014 at 7:06 AM, Robert E. Ulanowicz 
mailto:u...@umces.edu u...@umces.edu wrote:

 

 Dear John,

 

 I notice that you have made considerable headway with applying MAXENT 

 to ecological theory. I was thinking you might find interesting some 

 results we have observed that might be of help in your search for global
metrics.

 

 In particular, we have discovered that weighted networks of trophic 

 exchanges fall within a very narrow range as regards the ratio of 

 mutual information and conditional entropy. (See Figure 7 on p1089 of

  http://people.biology.ufl.edu/ulan/pubs/Dual.pdf
http://people.biology.ufl.edu/ulan/pubs/Dual.pdf.) Admittedly, this 

 observation is based on sketchy data, but if it does hold up, then 

 Equations (5) below the figure might suggest a method superior to 

 MAXENT (for ecosystems only, of course) for estimating missing data?

 

 On the other hand, notice that the variable F as defined in Equation 

 (4) bears strong resemblance to the entropy formalism, except

[Fis] MAXENT applied to ecology

2014-09-27 Thread John Collier
List,

I am curious what people think of this.

http://www.wired.com/2014/09/information-theory-hold-key-quantifying-nature/

From the article:

MaxEnt is based on principles of simplicity and consistency, but it has 
additional assumptions baked into it, starting with the fact that researchers 
must choose just a few variables to feed into the procedure. In 2008, when 
Harte first considered the idea, he decided to try it out using the size of an 
area, the number of species there, the number of individuals, and the total 
metabolic rate of all those organisms. He didnt pick these characteristics at 
random; he had an inkling, from reading work on metabolic theory, that these 
had promise for describing biological systems. In some cases, they do very well.

The simplification of a complex ecosystem into just a handful of variables has 
fueled criticisms of MaxEnt, because it assumes that those numbers and whatever 
processes generate them are the only things shaping the environment. In 
essence, it generates predictions of biodiversity without taking into account 
how that diversity arises. It implies that the details many ecologists focus on 
might not matter if you want to understand the larger patterns of an ecosystem. 
Harte said he usually gets two responses: Youve opened up a whole new theory, 
and youre an idiot, because we all know that mechanism matters in ecology.


Other extrapolation methods are mentioned in the article that I am also curious 
about.

John



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