double-ups of mailings

1999-01-27 Thread vivian Hutchinson

Gidday there futurework group

I seem to be getting double-ups of most of the postyings from this 
group ... is anyone else getting the same problem?

cheers

vivian Hutchinson


 
vivian Hutchinson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
phone 06-753-4434 fax 06-759-4648
P.O.Box 428
New Plymouth, Taranaki, New Zealand

visit The Jobs Research Website at  
http://www.jobsletter.org.nz/



Does The Public mean all of us, equally?

1999-01-27 Thread Ian Ritchie

Does "The Public" mean all of us, equally? 

Keith Rankin, 24 January 1999


We have become accustomed to thinking of "the public" as a collective term
for all of the people who make up a nation. Furthermore, as members of the
public, we all belong equally to that collective entity.

Pinning down the various interpretations of publicness is not easy, however.
The identity of the public can change over time, and may, implicitly if not
explicitly, vary from one member of a society to another.

Who is the public that benefits from public policy? Citizens? State?
Consumers? Each of these concepts can include all persons who together make
a nation. The notion of consumers as the public is particularly problematic.
While all of us may be consumers to some extent, clearly some of us (with
high incomes) consume much more than others.

The implication is that the more we spend, the greater is our stake in "the
public". Under this kind of worldview, the main task of government - the
agent of public policy - is to protect the economic interests of the
affluent. Thus, the term "consumer" is much more exclusive than it sounds
when it glibly rolls off the tongues of the Ministers of Commerce, Finance
and Consumer Affairs; or from the Opposition spokespersons for Commerce
et.al .

The "State" and the citizenry are likewise ambiguous concepts. The welfare
state can, for example, be presented, inclusively, as our friend (who
supports us with social security, education and health care) and servant. Or
the State can be an agency of bureaucratic power whose interest is
diametrically opposed to ours; an agent who seeks to deny us benefits, to
find any excuse to not provide or otherwise fund public services, and to
charge us exorbitant taxes on the first dollars we earn. The state can be
either an "us" or a "them"; inclusive or exclusive. The public interest is
not our interest to a state that sees itself as apart from the people.

"Citizenship" can also be either an inclusive or an exclusive concept. It
all depends on how we define "citizen". Historically, the citizenry has
excluded women, persons without property, slaves, the foreign-born, persons
who do not practice a nation's official faith, the incarcerated. In future,
the term might exclude persons without officially recognised tertiary
qualifications. The status of citizen is capable of acting as a euphemism
for an elite to identify their interest as the public interest, leaving
those excluded as simply private persons. Indeed we may already be
experiencing a process of social change - of social exclusion - that is
better thought of as the publicisation of privilege than as the
privatisation of the public sphere.

Last night I watched a British movie, made in 1994, "The Advocate". (It was
screened on TV3 in December.) It is a black comedy about a real-life lawyer
in 15th century France who made his reputation defending animals in court.
It focussed on the specific case that made his reputation; defending a pig
that was charged with murdering a boy in Abbeville in 1452. (The real
murderer was the seigneur's son, who, as it proved, was a serial killer.)

In the medieval worldview, the concept of "public" was hierarchical. At the
top were the nobility - in France, the seigneurial class. The monarch
identified with that class. At the same time, there was no distinction in
law between people and animals, although some ordinary people were seen as
lower than others. In cases of sodomy, both the person and the animal were
hanged. Consenting heterosexual sex between a Christian and a Jew could be
classed as sodomy, because a Jew was considered in law to be the exact
equivalent of a dog.

In 15th century Europe, debate became quite contentious when actually
figuring out who or what was superior to who or what. Apparently, it took
three days of priestly debate to decide that flies were inferior in law to
domestic animals. As the century progressed animals came to be seen in law
much as children, the intellectually disabled, and the insane are today: as
being unable to understand the consequences of their actions. In the opening
sequences of the film, a man and a donkey were set to hang for sodomy. The
donkey got off with a last-minute reprieve, on account of diminished
responsibility.

The status gap between public (meaning privileged) and private (meaning
unprivileged) was much bigger than that between private persons and animals.
Both persons and animals were fully subject to the law, but the law was only
for the benefit of the public; ie of the propertied consuming citizenry.

In such a hierarchical worldview, a crime only exists when a lower being
harms an equal or a superior being. In such a case, the felony is a public
matter, and the public is as much the victim as the harmed person. In the
reverse case, where the victim is of inferior status, the harm is generally
deemed to be a private matter, no different to mistreating an animal. (That
attitude encapsulates apartheid 

(Fwd) Re: (Fwd) How science is really done

1999-01-27 Thread Durant

just one more...
Eva

 
 Scientists do not as a rule observe and then theorize.  They typically do
 it the other way round.  When they find the data does not confirm the
 hypothesis, the usual reaction is not to reject the hypothesis, but to
 assume it was a bad set of data and proceed to draw another set.
 
 These observations are well born out in the following article about
 scientific heretics and particularly Thomas Gold, because he generated new
 data on the origins of oil and gas and geophysicists are not rejecting the
 conventional theory but Gold's data.

 These observations are not so born out, because what they are not
saying is that scientists observed, theorized, observered, experimented,
theorized, and observed some more to get the current theory *before*
Thomas Gold came up with his new theory -- which flies in the face of
all those past observations.

 As an astrophysicist he is well aware
 that hydrocarbons are found in meteorites and on planets like Pluto where
 there is absolutely no chance of their having originated from plants - the
 conventional theory of petroleum geologists.

 Hydrocarbons does not necessarily mean petroleum.  As a matter of
fact most hydrocarbons found off-planet (we don't know about Pluto,
BTW, very little chemical information from there as yet) is in the
form of very simple hydrocarbons, such as methane, not the more
complex stuff.  No-one is claiming that all methane must come from
biological processes.

-- 
James H.G. Redekop | [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web Programmer | http://www.residents.com/  The Residents
UUNET Canada   | http://www.residents.com/Goons/The Goon Show
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | http://www.residents.com/Tzoq/ Home Page

[EMAIL PROTECTED]



(Fwd) Re: (Fwd) How science is really done

1999-01-27 Thread Durant

another one from skeptics

Eva

...

These observations are well born out in the following article about
scientific heretics and particularly Thomas Gold, because he generated new
data on the origins of oil and gas and geophysicists are not rejecting the
conventional theory but Gold's data.  Gold is an astrophysicist with

From the sci.chem FAQ:

The generally-accepted origin of crude oil is from plant life up to 3 
billion years ago, but predominantly from 100 to 600 million years ago [1]. 
"Dead vegetarian dino dinner" is more correct than "dead dinos".
The molecular structure of the hydrocarbons and other compounds present 
in fossil fuels can be linked to the leaf waxes and other plant molecules of 
marine and terrestrial plants believed to exist during that era. There are 
various biogenic marker chemicals such as isoprenoids from terpenes, 
porphyrins and aromatics from natural pigments, pristane and phytane from 
the hydrolysis of chlorophyll, and normal alkanes from waxes, whose size 
and shape can not be explained by known geological processes [2]. The 
presence of optical activity and the carbon isotopic ratios also indicate a 
biological origin [3]. There is another hypothesis that suggests crude oil 
is derived from methane from the earth's interior. The current main 
proponent of this abiotic theory is Thomas Gold, however abiotic and
extraterrestrial origins for fossil fuels were also considered at the turn 
of the century, and were discarded then. A large amount of additional
evidence for the biological origin of crude oil has accumulated, however
Professor Gold still actively promotes his theory worldwide, even though
it does not account for the location and composition of all crude oils.

If you want the bracketed references, look the FAQ up yourself :-). I only
got Part 6 via Deja News, and my ISP is having a go-slow at present.

Here's another hit from Deja News:

Re: Source of oil  
Author:   Mark J. Mihalasky [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Date:   1997/07/18 
Forum:   sci.geo.geology  
  



Cliff Brandon "[EMAIL PROTECTED]"@utw.com wrote:
rossb@*spam, begone*lightspeed.net wrote:
 
 John Hernlund wrote:
 
  Hey Y'all,
  A chemist asked me the other day about some kind of theory on the
  origin of oil in the Earth.
 (snip)
 
 
 Ross Brunetti

I seem to recall (Gold - mid 80's?) speculated that the 'carbon'
component of the world's oil could be accounted for by it's proportion
in condritic metorites.

snip

I think the above post may be referring to Thomas Gold, a professor
of astronomy at Cornell University (or at least he was as of 1990).
His ideas on the origin of oil and gas are rather unconventional.  
Essentially, Gold believes in a "non-biogenic" origin for oil and
gas, and that the hydrocarbons reserviors collected in the 
near-surface crust have seeped up 40 km or more from the Earth's 
mantle, where they were deposited as the planet formed.  In an
attempt to verify his hypothesis, he drilled into a granite dome
in Sweden, known as the Siljan Ring.

Here is list of articles detailing his theories ane efforts:

Osborne, D., 1986, The origin of petroleum:  The Atlantic Monthly,
 February (no. 2?), pp. 39-54. (this is a summary article of
 Gold's ideas presented in layman's terms)

Kerr, R. A., 1990, When a radical experiment goes bust:  Science,
 v. 247, pp. 1177-1179.

Shirley, K., post-1990, Drilling stops short of the target--Answers
 remain elusive at Siljan:  AAPG Explorer...  (sorry, that's all
 I have on this one, but it is certainly worth tracking down)

Haggin, J., 1986, Drilling project in Sweden will test theory of
 abiogenic hydrocarbons:  CEN, July 21, pp. 21-26...  (another
 incomplete reference passed on to me...  I'm not sure what
 "CEN" is, but based on the person who gave it to me, it could
 be an engineering journal)

In short, funds for the drilling project ran out just before
intersecting the deepest of 4 sub-horizontal seismic reflection
intervals detected in the granite bedrock of the Siljan ring
area.  These intervals were initially thought to be permeable
fracture zones (possibly containing hydrocarbons), but turned out
to be diabase/diorite sills, which most likely had intruded into
the more permeable rock.  The presence of gas was noted
throughout much of the drilling (thought the measurement
techniques were somewhat dubious). Elevated amounts of
hydrocarbons, though still extremely low and well below
commercial amounts, were detected in the sill/fracture zones.
The 4th seismic reflection interval was the strongest reflector,
suggesting that it might have considerably more hydrocarbons than
the previous three.  The sill/fracture zone gasses are
predominantly methane with almost no unsaturated hydrocarbons,
and are isotopically heavy.  The firm analyzing the gasses has
suggested that the gas is of a non-biogenic origin.  It seems
that if you are of 

(Fwd) RE: (Fwd) How science is really done

1999-01-27 Thread Durant

a response from skeptic,   
Eva

 Scientists do not as a rule observe and then theorize.  They 
 typically do it the other way round.  When they find the data does not 
 confirm the hypothesis, the usual reaction is not to reject the
hypothesis, 
 but to assume it was a bad set of data and proceed to draw another set.

First off, this person appears to be confusing the terms "hypothesis" and
"theory." They are two very different things. Next, if some scientist DID
proceed this way, throwing out data everytime it contradicted
previously-reached conclusions, one of two things would happen:
1) If the hypothesis is right, the contradictory data WAS wrong, and further
data sets will bear this out.
2) If the hypothesis is wrong, taking 1000 more data sets will show the same
thing, that it's wrong.

 These observations are well born out in the following article about

Well, not really.

 scientific heretics and particularly Thomas Gold, because he 
 generated new data on the origins of oil and gas and geophysicists are not

 rejecting the conventional theory but Gold's data. 

Ah yes, Tommy Gold. Another one of those sad cases of a scientist who comes
up with some interesting and groundbreaking work early on, then takes a left
turn into LaLa Land and becomes a "scientific martyr."

 Gold is an astrophysicist with impressive credentials 

WITHOUT credentials in organic chemistry, or anything having to do with
petroleum, however...this is the old "he's got a PhD, he MUST be right" gag.

 More importantly he conducted and experiment which debunks conventional 
 theory - he drilled for oil and gas where the
 conventional theory would predict none would be found and found both.
...
 At considerable depth they found both oil and methane.

Last I heard, that was a dry hole. They drilled in Sweden, and came up with
a little bit of sludge that was terribly ambiguous.

 If he is right, there is much more oil and gas to be found than
 conventional models would indicate because they exist in 
 places far removed from places the conventional theories predict and
therefore 
 far from where oil and gas companies typically drill.  

And so OF COURSE the Evil Scientific Cabal (backed in this case by the Evil
Petroleum Cabal) is ignoring his work, because we all know that oil
companies just aren't interested in finding NEW sources of their product,
noo. And as for the Swedes who (AFAIK) have to import all their oil,
they were just paid off to ignore these huge oil fields under their soil.
Right.


*** Regards, Dave Palmer  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
As much as the author would like to spend precious minutes of the rapidly-
dwindling time remaining in his life responding to your kind and thoughtful 
letter about how he is going to spend eternity in a lake of fire being eaten
by rats, he regrets that he is unable to do so, due to the volume of such 
mail received.
 http://members.xoom.com/dwpalmer/home.htm *




[EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Durant


 If energy (oil?) is in short supply, can one afford to be "fair"?
 

we can be only fair if the decision is made collectively on
how to use a scarse resource, especially if the all
the information and the options are well  known
by everybody.

Eva

 Just wondering ... !
 
 Bob
 
 Eva Durant wrote:
 
  You have the contradiction in your own paragraph:
  "as just as possible" vs "best possible way"
  
 
  I can't see contradiction. The two have large
  overlapping section.
 
 
 --
 ___
 http://publish.uwo.ca/~mcdaniel/
 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: (Fwd) RE: (Fwd) How science is really done

1999-01-27 Thread Eva Durant

I passed it on again, I hope you won't mind,
those people seem to have time to read
every article...

I just respond to a few things:

(Mike H.)
 
 It was methane that was detected on Pluto and in the tails of comets,
 according to Gold.


methane is the very simplest CH compound.
I belive astronomers found more complex stuff
than that, but not any longer C chains.
We have an astrochemistry department, I could ask...
 
 I know the difference between a theory and a hypothesis and the sentence
 quoted does not demonstrate such a confusion.  Your reader also totally
 misses my point.  People like Wegener and Gold are not merely told their
 data or their hypotheses are wrong - they are pilloried and vilified for
 decades.  Certain metaphors or images or ideas come to dominate science and
 any contradiction is met with almost hysterical denial at times. This kind
 of behaviour is a clear indication of of the non-rational in science, which
 was the point I was trying to make. The non-rational is particularly
 important when it comes to creating original ideas - creativity is a
 marriage of intuition, emotion and rationality.  Time after time, if you
 read the history of science and technology, ideas come to people as
 epiphanies at the most unusual and unexpected moments, not as a conscious
 result of systematic and conscious analysis of the data.  The patterning
 typically happens in the unconsious.   Poincare famously had one of his
 most important insights, quite unbidden, as he stepped off an omnibus, for
 example, though admittedly that was in mathematics, not science.
 

Theories seem to surface when there are enough data/
information is hanging around. Doesn't matter how
suddenly an idea surface, in the majority of cases
if that particular chap hadn't see the light,
there was somebody else quite near to it.
(Wallace? start with w anyhow)
In a very few cases some individuals indeed are 
"ahead of their time". Which means, that there are
insufficient data around to convince the
science establishment, which yes, can be a bit
slow moving. However, relying on accumulated data,
peer review etc seems to be a very good method (best)
of working so far. 
Remember, the vast majority
of ideas DO turn out to be wrong - which also is
part of the constructive  database identifying
the areas where there is no need to look again.

The old greeks had some astounding speculative ideas
about dialectics and materialism, just to mention
the two that impressed me most... but they also had
a million of other such speculative ideas that
did not work out... They had no chance of
separating the valid from the wrong, they had no
sufficient data, sufficient tools.



 As an example of a theory which did not arise from the data, take Darwinian
 evolution.  Historians of science accept that Darwin got the idea from
 classical economics, from reading Malthus, if I remember correctly.  Then
 when he went on his famous voyage on the Beagle, the biological data fell
 into alignment with the Malthusian idea in his mind.  It is not even a true
 theory, by the way, it is a tautology.  But it is politically incorrect to
 say in the hearing of biologists who are inclined (metaphorically) to stone
 you for it.
 

I believe there was a chap around that also
had the same general idea as Darwin.
I also believe that his main stimuli for
his theory came from his travels to sepaated 
habitats. Also his attempts to adapt his theory
to human society was a complete failure.
but let's see the skeptics response on this one, 
they are very much into Darwin...


I can't figure why would the oil industry
shun Gold's ideas - they are not interested
in the science establishment, only in money,
and new technology is not even involved.


Eva



Re: CUPE Privatization Report

1999-01-27 Thread Ross James Swanston

I am reposting the following report which shows that Corporations are
gaining control of our public services at an alarming rate for several
reasons.  These are:-
1)  It seems to tie in with the lead article in the local newspaper of
26/1/99 headed up:-  "STAFF CUTS ON CARDS FOR COUNCIL"  I would appreciate
feedback on my comments as well as on the report itself.

This article reports on tentative plans of the Palmerston North City
Council (New Zealand), which may be included in the upcoming  Draft Annual
Plan.  A radical review of the Council's long-term financial strategy is
necessary, or so it is claimed, because of escalating local body costs.

Main points of the article are - staff cutbacks, a leaner organisation,
user pays water charges and possible private sector involvement in the
provision of services.

2)  I am seeking feedback and comment from as many list members as possible
on a number of issues the newspaper article raises so as to assist in
formulating 'battle' strategy well in advance of the call for public
consultation and submissions on the proposals.

Issues raised in the article are:-
a)  COSTS.   According to the City Manager the existing financial strategy
is politically and publically unacceptable, because gross rates will rise
by 45% and debt is expected to nearly double within 10 years.  Under the
new strategy, "while rates and user charges would be paid separately, they
collectively would remain very similar to what the rate demand is today".

I find this an amazing statement.  On the face of it, and judging by the
"Cupe Privatization Report"attached, this seems a fallacious argument.  If
the 'leaner organisation' is achieved and ratepayers get very little for
their 'rate dollar' while most services including water, rubbish
collection, road maintenance, (you name it), is contracted out to private
providers, we are likely to end up paying far more than we do today, if
only for the simple reason that private providers are there to make a
profit, which must come from somewhere - the long-suffering ratepayers.

b)  EFFICIENCY.  Further efficiency gains can be achieved over the next
three years by introducing improvements to "internal processes", the
article claims.

c)  QUALITY AND SAFETY.  The article emphasises that levels of service will
not be reduced and neither would the Council reduce its commitment to its
current 10 year capital programme.

Again, I would take that statement with a 'grain of salt' as it seems that
privatizing public utilities does compromise levels of service as was shown
by the problems experienced by Auckland in the delivery of electricity
early in 1998 and the problem with water supply only a few weeks ago.

d)  STAFF CUTS.   Then there is the important issue of job losses.
According to the City Manager, staff losses are yet to be calculated as
they will depend on what efficiencies can be achieved internally.  This
fails to take into account the fact that the Council has been going through
endless restructuring and drives towards greater efficiency ever since the
New Right agenda began to be implemented in the early 1980's.  One has to
ask  -  Just how efficient can an organisation become and is there ever an
end to it?

One thing is certain, if Palmerston North follows the pattern of elsewhere,
greater use will be made of part-time and casual labbour as well as a
general contracting out of work that used to be performed by the Council.
Maybe this a part of what is meant by "efficiency gains" but I am not so sure.

I would appreciate as much comment and feedback on these issues as possible.

Cheers

Ross Swanston

At 01:39 PM 1/25/99 -0500, you wrote:
Last week CUPE released a wide-ranging annual report on privatization.

The full text of the report can be found at the website of the Canadian
Union of Public Employees, www.cupe.ca

Below is a brief summary of the report and information on how to order a
copy.

 CUPE Releases Major Report on Privatization
 
_Workers' Summary_
 
 Going public about privatization
 
 It's a hostile takeover that would inflame any shareholder's meeting.
 Corporations are gaining control of our public services at an unprecedented
 pace. 
 
 CUPE's Annual Report on Privatization documents for the first time the
 depth and breadth of the corporate takeover that's happening in our
 hospitals, schools, municipal services, community centres, social services
 and utilities. When the dots are connected, a clear picture emerges of the
 threat to good jobs, public safety, quality and accessibility. 
 
 Pillaging the public purse
 
 Contrary to the seductive patter pitching privatization, selling off public
 services doesn't save the public treasury money. Deals struck with
 corporations leave governments and taxpayers to assume the risk for many
 ventures and pick up the pieces when a venture fails. Privatized services
 continue to draw on the public purse. But instead of supporting well-run,
 efficient services, tax dollars now 

Re: Sustainable work

1999-01-27 Thread Richard Mochelle

WHY (SHOULD WE) WORK?  
Are there sustainable moral reasons?  Neva Goodwin wrote:
 
  The reasons to work are, as I see it,
 1) Because there are things that need to be done

Let me recaste this reason in 'language game' terms - to reveal some of
the unrevealed logic jumps or presuppositions.
 
The reason that we ALL SHOULD cooperate in (playing the game of) using
the word 'work' as a tool for communication is to differentiate between
two different classes of human activity- which we would signify as
'work'
and 'not-work'. 

Why would we want (need) to cooperate in playing this game?  
 
'There are things that need to be done', suggests Neva.

What is that NEEDS to be done to require our (universal) cooperation in
distinguishing two classes of human activity?

There are many things that one or more persons think really NEED to be
done, from their viewpoint.  Eg, build an Olympic Games Stadium.  But
this is insufficient reason to invoke our universal cooperation in
playing a 'work' language game.  On the other hand, there is a class of
things that ALL or most people believe NEED to be done.  We might call
these universal or basic needs.  They are things that we can suppose all
people NEED and could readily distinguish and agree upon, (through
reflection and deliberation perhaps), despite their different cultural
backgrounds.  

In order to fulfil the needs that ALL people have, we should ALL
cooperate by distinguishing between activities that fulfil these needs
and those that don't fulfil these needs.  The former activities we
should ALL call 'work', the latter 'not work'.  

Whenever a player uses the word 'work', according to this game, all the
other players will understand that the word refers only to those
activities dedicated to fulfilling the items on the agreed list of
universal NEEDS.  

In order that players can play this game without excessive confusion,
players will first need to identify and come to some agreement about
what constitutes this list of universal/basic needs.  This pressupposes
a certain level of detail.  For example, the item 'shelter' on its own
would be insufficient.  A plastic sheet can serve as shelter as can
Hussein's palace hide-outs.  

Such a list would require some regionally variable performance criteria
and limits, without which there will be great bewilderment about what
'needs to done', and hence what players will call 'work'. 
  
All this is logically pressuposed in the first reason Neva gave as to
why 'work' is necessary (for all people).  

If we are to talk about sustainable work, I suggest that the language
game will need to be both clearer and logically sustainable.  The above
is
a hurried and undoubtedly imperfect contribution to that end.  

The tricky problem is, as I've noted in earlier postings:  given the
multiple meanings associated with the word 'work', how are we going to
discern WHICH game a person is actually playing at the moment of our
interaction, and which they imagine they are playing at that point, and
which they are referring to when they use the word in a sincere
conversation with us? 

To finish, I refer you to previous postings which argued that because of
the diverse semantic baggage already overloading the word
'work', it is clearly a dysfunctional tool for communication,
particularly noticeable when used in attempts, such as on this list, to
seriously consider humankind's future directions.  

My conclusion has been (so far largely ignored) that the word is not
sustainable, and should be scrapped (along with the biblical creation
story) and replaced with some fresh new terms to denote the kinds of
distinctions we might agree are worth sustaining.   

And, yes, I absolutely agree with Neva, in her comment that:

 If I was interested in creating a sustainable work situation, I'd start by getting 
the workers  together to discuss things like this... start with the meaning of what 
is being done!
-- Neva Goodwin


Hope the above was a little more meaningful than my earlier postings.
(see thread on 'working alternatives')

Richard Mochelle




bounced

1999-01-27 Thread Eva Durant

sorry if it is a duplicate  
Eva

--
I passed it on again, I hope you won't mind,
those people seem to have time to read
every article...

I just respond to a few things:

(Mike H.)

 It was methane that was detected on Pluto and in the tails of comets,
 according to Gold.


methane is the very simplest CH compound.
I belive astronomers found more complex stuff
than that, but not any longer C chains.
We have an astrochemistry department, I could ask...

 I know the difference between a theory and a hypothesis and the sentence
 quoted does not demonstrate such a confusion.  Your reader also totally
 misses my point.  People like Wegener and Gold are not merely told their
 data or their hypotheses are wrong - they are pilloried and vilified for
 decades.  Certain metaphors or images or ideas come to dominate science and
 any contradiction is met with almost hysterical denial at times. This kind
 of behaviour is a clear indication of of the non-rational in science, which
 was the point I was trying to make. The non-rational is particularly
 important when it comes to creating original ideas - creativity is a
 marriage of intuition, emotion and rationality.  Time after time, if you
 read the history of science and technology, ideas come to people as
 epiphanies at the most unusual and unexpected moments, not as a conscious
 result of systematic and conscious analysis of the data.  The patterning
 typically happens in the unconsious.   Poincare famously had one of his
 most important insights, quite unbidden, as he stepped off an omnibus, for
 example, though admittedly that was in mathematics, not science.


Theories seem to surface when there are enough data/
information is hanging around. Doesn't matter how
suddenly an idea surface, in the majority of cases
if that particular chap hadn't see the light,
there was somebody else quite near to it.
(Wallace? start with w anyhow)
In a very few cases some individuals indeed are
"ahead of their time". Which means, that there are
insufficient data around to convince the
science establishment, which yes, can be a bit
slow moving. However, relying on accumulated data,
peer review etc seems to be a very good method (best)
of working so far.
Remember, the vast majority
of ideas DO turn out to be wrong - which also is
part of the constructive  database identifying
the areas where there is no need to look again.

The old greeks had some astounding speculative ideas
about dialectics and materialism, just to mention
the two that impressed me most... but they also had
a million of other such speculative ideas that
did not work out... They had no chance of
separating the valid from the wrong, they had no
sufficient data, sufficient tools.



 As an example of a theory which did not arise from the data, take Darwinian
 evolution.  Historians of science accept that Darwin got the idea from
 classical economics, from reading Malthus, if I remember correctly.  Then
 when he went on his famous voyage on the Beagle, the biological data fell
 into alignment with the Malthusian idea in his mind.  It is not even a true
 theory, by the way, it is a tautology.  But it is politically incorrect to
 say in the hearing of biologists who are inclined (metaphorically) to stone
 you for it.


I believe there was a chap around that also
had the same general idea as Darwin.
I also believe that his main stimuli for
his theory came from his travels to sepaated
habitats. Also his attempts to adapt his theory
to human society was a complete failure.
but let's see the skeptics response on this one,
they are very much into Darwin...


I can't figure why would the oil industry
shun Gold's ideas - they are not interested
in the science establishment, only in money,
and new technology is not even involved.


Eva


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bounce 4

1999-01-27 Thread Eva Durant



--
 If energy (oil?) is in short supply, can one afford to be "fair"?


we can be only fair if the decision is made collectively on
how to use a scarse resource, especially if the all
the information and the options are well  known
by everybody.

Eva

 Just wondering ... !

 Bob

 Eva Durant wrote:

  You have the contradiction in your own paragraph:
  "as just as possible" vs "best possible way"
  
 
  I can't see contradiction. The two have large
  overlapping section.
 

 --
 ___
 http://publish.uwo.ca/~mcdaniel/

[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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bounce x

1999-01-27 Thread Eva Durant



--
just one more...
Eva


 Scientists do not as a rule observe and then theorize.  They typically do
 it the other way round.  When they find the data does not confirm the
 hypothesis, the usual reaction is not to reject the hypothesis, but to
 assume it was a bad set of data and proceed to draw another set.

 These observations are well born out in the following article about
 scientific heretics and particularly Thomas Gold, because he generated new
 data on the origins of oil and gas and geophysicists are not rejecting the
 conventional theory but Gold's data.

 These observations are not so born out, because what they are not
saying is that scientists observed, theorized, observered, experimented,
theorized, and observed some more to get the current theory *before*
Thomas Gold came up with his new theory -- which flies in the face of
all those past observations.

 As an astrophysicist he is well aware
 that hydrocarbons are found in meteorites and on planets like Pluto where
 there is absolutely no chance of their having originated from plants - the
 conventional theory of petroleum geologists.

 Hydrocarbons does not necessarily mean petroleum.  As a matter of
fact most hydrocarbons found off-planet (we don't know about Pluto,
BTW, very little chemical information from there as yet) is in the
form of very simple hydrocarbons, such as methane, not the more
complex stuff.  No-one is claiming that all methane must come from
biological processes.

--
James H.G. Redekop | [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web Programmer | http://www.residents.com/  The Residents
UUNET Canada   | http://www.residents.com/Goons/The Goon Show
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | http://www.residents.com/Tzoq/ Home Page

[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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FW Criminalization of the Poor (fwd)

1999-01-27 Thread S. Lerner

 London Free Press Columnist: Judy Rebick
 January 22, 1999

 The criminalization of Ontario's poor

  By JUDY REBICK
 I  am hearing from Premier Mike Harris a lot more than I want to. Every
 time I turn on the TV or radio, there he is, pitching his government's
 performance. Yesterday, I got a pamphlet in my mailbox about "safety."
 The government has thrown hundreds of families into the streets because
 of a 21-per-cent welfare cut, as documented in Anne Golden's report on
 homelessness in Toronto, and he is talking about safety.

 According to recent reports, the government has spent $30 million on
 partisan ads in the last two years. They don't have enough money to give
 a pregnant woman on welfare a supplement so she can eat better but they
 can spend almost $1 million on a pamphlet that harkens back to the good
 old days when "we were able to leave our back doors open." The
four-colour
 pamphlet says it costs 20 cents to produce and distribute. It forgot to
 say 4.1 million English-language versions and 250,000 French-language
 versions have been distributed, bringing costs close to $1 million.

 Others have lambasted this outrageous and unprecedented use of taxpayers
 money. Even the conservative National Post has taken the premier to task.
 What the ads make clear to me is that the Harris Tories don't really care
 about fiscal responsibility.

 The message of that little "safety" pamphlet makes it pretty clear what
 they do care about. Our society is safer now than it has been in a while.
 Violent crime has dropped for the sixth year in a row. Youth crime also
 dropped. Most experts credit the drop in crime rates to demographics.
 There aren't as many young men, who commit most of the crimes, as there
 used to be. But that doesn't stop Harris from playing on public fears,
 particularly those of older people about crimes like home invasions.

 The scariest line in the pamphlet is "in the past three years, more
 dangerous offenders have been put behind bars and kept out of our
 communities . . . Parole is being denied more than it is granted."

 Canada already incarcerates a larger percentage of its population than
any
 country in the developed world, except the United States. Canada
imprisons
 more young people than the United States. But right-wingers like Harris
 want to put more and more people in prison. It is a pattern. Right-wing
 ideologues who oppose government spending on social programs to improve
 the lives of the poor and disadvantaged always support increased
 expenditures on  police, prisons and military.

 The United States has imprisoned a significant percentage of its poor
male
 population. In the last 15 years, the prison population in the U.S. has
 tripled. At a rate of 645 people imprisoned for every 100,000 in the
 population in 1997, the U.S. imprisoned a higher percentage of its
 population than South Africa under apartheid. The rate for blacks is
6,926
 imprisoned per 100,000 black people compared to 919 for whites. That's in
 the U.S., not in South Africa. Factor in parole and probation and 5.4
 million Americans were in prison or in the prison system. That is five
per
 cent of the male population and 20 per cent of the black male population.
 About 60 per cent of inmates are there for possessing or dealing drugs.
 Some analysts have estimated U.S. unemployment rates would be two
 percentage points higher if it counted the men in prison.

 In a conference recently broadcast by CBC Radio One's Ideas program,
 American writer Barbara Ehrenreich pointed out how the deep class division
 in the U.S. is self-perpetuating. When government spends little or
nothing
 on social assistance and more and more on the repressive forces of the
 state -- police, prisons and military, poor people begin to see
government
 as the problem rather than a source of solution. All a ghetto-dwelling
 black male sees of the government is police and prison guards. The idea
 that electing a politician could promote community interests becomes more
 remote. That is one explanation for the alienation of the majority of
 Americans with their electoral system. In the last election, only 40 per
 cent voted.

 When Harris asks in his pamphlet, "Who is more important these days,
 convicted criminals or ordinary people like you?" he is starting down the
 American path of criminalizing the poor and disadvantaged. The only way
 the savage dog-eat-dog policies of the Harris government can succeed is
by
 convincing the middle class that poor people are bad people threatening
 our way of life. Criminalization of the poor is how the U.S. succeeded in
 creating the most unequal society in the developed world. I am sick at
 heart that my tax dollars are being used to do the same thing in Ontario.

- 
- 
 Judy Rebick is host of CBC Newsworld's Straight From the Hip. Her column
 appears Fridays.

 Letters to 

FW Inequality and Health

1999-01-27 Thread S. Lerner

From:   Dennis Raphael[SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]


From Poverty to Societal Disintegration:
How Economic Inequality Affects the Health of All Canadians

For most Canadians real income decreased during the 1990's, and by 1996
the level of child poverty had begun to set ever-increasing records. At the
same time the rich were getting richer, the cause of which is obvious to
Peter Montague, the editor of Rachel's Environmental Newsletter:  "The
growing gap between rich and poor has not been ordained by extraterrestrial
beings.  It has been created by the policies of governments."  While the
extent of increasing economic inequality in Canada has been documented in
reports such as The Growing Gap by the Centre for Social Justice, there has
been little public discussion of the health effects of economic inequality.
This is surprising since prestigious publications such as the British
Medical Journal have stated: "What matters in determining mortality and
health in a society is less the overall wealth of that society and more how
evenly wealth is distributed.  The more equally wealth is distributed the
better the health of that society." Economic inequality may be the major
public health issue facing Canada and other Western nations. Why is this so?

Increasing Poverty
Poverty is not good for children and other living things. The Canadian
Institute of Child Health's report The Health of Canada's Children
documented the profound variation between poor and non-poor children in
incidence of death and illness, accidents and injuries, mental health and
well-being, school achievement and drop-out, and family violence and child
abuse.
Explanations for these effects include material deprivation associated
with poverty such as malnutrition, poor housing, and lack of clothing.
More important may be poverty's grinding effects that produce feelings of
hopelessness, lack of control, and depression, all processes that manifest
effects through biological pathways and lead to disease.  Health workers
tend to focus on the health impacts of poverty through programs to teach
skills and provide information and support to change individual lifestyles.
These programs say little about the economic conditions  that create health
problems. Sadly, recent poverty figures suggest that Canadian governments
seem to be working hard to increase, rather than decrease, poverty levels.

Inequality Affects Everybody, Not Just the Poor
It now appears that economic inequality affects the health of the
well-off
as well as the poor. For example, after 20 years of rapidly increasing
economic inequality, the most well-off in Britain now have higher heart
attack and child mortality rates than the least well-off in Sweden. Other
data indicate that societies with less inequality have lower death rates --
even controlling for absolute level of economic resources. This is also so
in USA communities: more economic inequality is associated with greater
death rates - among the well off as well as the poor.
In Unhealthy Societies: the Afflictions of Inequality,  Richard
Wilkinson
shows that societies with greater economic inequality begin to
"disintegrate" --  that is, they show evidence of decreased social cohesion
and increased individual malaise. These are all precursors of  increased
illness and death. To illustrate, the well-off increasingly opt out of the
public discourse. They send their children to private schools, lobby for
two-tiered medical systems, hire security guards for their property; all of
which heightens societal disintegration. In Canada, the well-off grow
wealthier, but become subject to the same threats that the less-well off
experience -- deteriorating health and educational systems, increased crime
and violence, and greater danger on the roads -- among others. All of which
is associated with a lack of personal control; an important predictor of
illness and death.
Another means by which economic inequality affects Canadian society is
through the tax base.  Societies with greater economic inequality and
poverty have lower tax rates that favour the rich.  In Ontario for example,
income tax breaks to the well-off lead to reduced services to the most
vulnerable.  The result is less social cohesion, greater differences in
health and well-being, and increased evidence of societal disintegration
such as poverty and homelessness.

Societal and Public Health Responses
Canadians need to become more aware of the effects of increasing
economic
inequality. Currently, there is no one societal institution that monitors
the health effects of government policies such as the ones creating
economic inequality.  Possible candidates for such a role are municipal,
provincial and federal public health units.  Acting as a kind of health
ombudsperson, these units could advise governments and institutions on
policies and actions that will enhance the health of the citizenry.  They
could assure that government 

Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Colin Stark

At 11:50 AM 1/26/99 -1000, Jay Hanson wrote:
- Original Message -
From: Edward Weick [EMAIL PROTECTED]

and social complexity grew.  While hunting and gathering societies needed
only transitory hierarchies, more complex societies needed permanent ones.
However, there is no reason on earth why these couldn't be democratic,
allowing a particular leadership limited powers and only a limited tenure.

Democracy makes no sense.  If society is seeking a leader with the best
skills, the selection should be based on merit -- testing and experience  --
not popularity.  Government by popularity contest is a stupid idea.

Jay

Democracy does not mean putting the most "popular" candidate in the job. A
broad range of people (e.g. the workers in a factory) might choose a
DIFFERENT leader from what the Elite would choose, but they will not be
more likely to make a "stupid" choice.

But beyond the "choice of a leader" is the question of the "accountability
of the leader".

In our N. American  democratic (so-called) systems the leader is not
accountable to ANYONE (i.e. is a virtual Dictator), except that once every
4 or 5 years the people (those who think it worthwhile to vote), can kick
the bum out and choose another gentleperson who will be equally
UNACCOUNTABLE, and who will thus, corrupted by power, become a BUM also!

Hence the concept of Direct Democracy:
" a SYSTEM of citizen-initiated binding referendums whereby voters can
directly amend, introduce and remove policies and laws"

Colin Stark
Vice-President
Canadians for Direct Democracy
Vancouver, B.C. 
http://www.npsnet.com/cdd/
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Listserv)




Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Peter Marks

Jay Hanson writes:

 Democracy makes no sense.

Right, democracy is the worst system except for all the others, since power
will always corrupt.

 Government by popularity contest is a stupid idea.

So is the corresponding straw man form of any kind of government. Government
by age?  Government by family name?  Government by bank account?  Government
by narrow technical expertise?


-- 
P-)
___o   -o Peter Marks   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  _-\_,  -_\ /\_   15307 NE 202nd St., Woodinville, WA 98072
 (*)/ (*)-(*)^(*) (425)489-0501   http://www.halcyon.com/marks
--
More comfortable AND faster ... that's REAL technology!



Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Jay Hanson

- Original Message -
From: Edward Weick [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Democracy makes no sense.  If society is seeking a leader with the best
skills, the selection should be based on merit -- testing and
xperience  --
not popularity.  Government by popularity contest is a stupid idea.

Somehow I'm not at all surprised that this is your point of view.  But then
how is merit to be determined?  Testing and experience, you say, but who
will assess this?  Surely an intelligent and informed public should have

You said it yourself.  When we want a leader to fly a plane, we find one
who has passed tests and has air time.  When we want a leader to do
surgery, we find one who has graduated medical school.  Qualifications for
these leaderships have explicit tests and measures.

Since the human mind evolved predisposed for social manipulation, when we
chose leaders by popularity contest, we naturally get the best
"manipulators".  In other words, we get the most-corrupt, most-accomplished-
liars waving their arms in front of our faces each day on television.  Sound
familiar?

Since they really aren't that entertaining, why bother?

If they were any good at law, they would still be practicing.   What
possible skill is anyone selected by popularity contest likely to be
qualified for?  Used cars?  Life insurance?

Jay -- www.dieoff.com





Re: one's fly is unzipped

1999-01-27 Thread Jay Hanson

- Original Message -
From: Victor Milne [EMAIL PROTECTED]

On this thread I'll have to agree with Eva against Jay's contention that a
mind is predisposed [by evolution] to reproduce the genes that created it.

A human being is predisposed to get laid, which in bygone ages usually had
the effect of reproducing the genes. Patriarchy, emphasizing reproduction
and transmission of property to the offspring, has been admittedly the most
widespread form of social organization, and it does articulate the
supposehere are social
structures enough with other assumptions for us tod
evolutionary imperative of reproduction. However, t doubt that the
reproductive urge (as opposed to the sexual urge) is an evolutionary given:

Predisposed means before socialiazion.

1. a. To make (someone) inclined to something in advance.

Jay







Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Jay Hanson

- Original Message -
From: Peter Marks [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Government by popularity contest is a stupid idea.

So is the corresponding straw man form of any kind of government.
Government by age?  Government by family name?  Government
by bank account? Government by narrow technical expertise?

How about an explicit definition of the job and explicit qualifications?
We do that with every other job, why not politics?

If democracy means "rule by the common people", then America has never
been a democracy What's more, our founding fathers never INTENDED for
America to be a democracy:

"These passages all too neatly anticipate Madison’s conception of
citizenship: do not give "the people" any power when they are assembled;
allow some of the white males, acting in isolation, the fleeting
participation of voting for their representatives and restrict the right for
as long as politically possible to one branch of the legislature. Beyond
this minimalist approach to politics, ask little else of the people, except
under extraordinary conditions."

As it has turned out, modern evolutionary scientists have found that the
Founding Fathers were right: true democracy won’t work. Natural selection
and genetic development created a human tendency for dominance, submission,
hierarchy, and obedience, as opposed to equality and democracy. As one
political scientist recently put it:

"[ Evolutionary scientists ] Somit and Peterson provide an informative
account of the evolutionary basis for our historical (and current)
opposition to democracy. For many, this will be an unwelcome message – like
being told that one’s fly is unzipped. But after a brief bout of anger, we
tend to thank the messenger for sparing us further embarrassment."

Read all about it at: http://dieoff.com/page168.htm

Jay





Re: (Fwd) RE: (Fwd) How science is really done

1999-01-27 Thread Victor Milne


-Original Message-
From: Eva Durant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: list futurework [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: January 27, 1999 3:54 AM
Subject: Re: (Fwd) RE: (Fwd) How science is really done


[snip]


I believe there was a chap around that also
had the same general idea as Darwin.
I also believe that his main stimuli for
his theory came from his travels to sepaated
habitats. Also his attempts to adapt his theory
to human society was a complete failure.
but let's see the skeptics response on this one,
they are very much into Darwin...


I believe you are thinking of Wallace here. If memory serves me, he was
ready to publish a sketchy theory of evolution, and then got introduced to
Darwin who was on the verge of publishing the much more massive "Origin of
Species". My recollection on the matter of human societies is that Wallace
was interested in language. Like most Europeans of his time, he expected
that the language of a primitive people would be demonstrably more
"primitive" than languages of "civilized" people. Wallace spent time among
the Australian aboriginals, and to his credit realized that the data did not
fit the theory. Wallace is usually cited in linguistics as an interesting
precursor of Noam Chomsky whose generative grammar theories predict that all
human languages will be equally complex because the ability to learn
language is innate in the human species, versus structural linguistics which
assumes that language is learned by simple association of ideas, which would
lead to the assumption that some languages would be more "primitive" than
others.

Live long and prosper

Victor Milne  Pat Gottlieb

FIGHT THE BASTARDS! An anti-neoconservative website
at http://www3.sympatico.ca/pat-vic/pat-vic/

LONESOME ACRES RIDING STABLE
at http://www3.sympatico.ca/pat-vic/








Re: real-life example

1999-01-27 Thread Edward Weick

Jay:

How about an explicit definition of the job and explicit qualifications?
We do that with every other job, why not politics?


God will write them?  Theocracies worked for a while, but they too had their
problems -- e.g. the classic Mayas screwed up their environment just as
badly as we have.

Ed Weick