Re: [geo] For the why geoengineering could prove to be vital department...

2013-04-18 Thread euggordon
And some parts of the world; northern Canada, Alaska Northern Europe for 
example, may prefer some warming and will prosper. 

- Original Message -
From: Russell Seitz russellse...@gmail.com 
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Cc: jrandomwin...@gmail.com, kcalde...@carnegiescience.edu 
Sent: Wednesday, April 17, 2013 10:50:12 PM 
Subject: Re: [geo] For the why geoengineering could prove to be vital 
department... 

 Even before Europeans arrived, the Mayan civilization had begun to collapse 
thanks to relatively minor climate changes.  




The classic Maya civilization collapsed late in the 8th century, and all its 
great urban ceters were abandoned by the end of the first millennium. More 
inreresting is the role of climate change and migration in the dissapearance of 
the Olmec civilization that went before, taking much of mesoamerica's neolithic 
trade network with it- 


http://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/22/world/in-guatemala-a-rhode-island-size-jade-lode.html?pagewanted=allsrc=pm
 



Wednesday, April 17, 2013 8:15:12 PM UTC-4, Ken Caldeira wrote: 

I am of the opinion that while climate change may pose an existential threat to 
those already facing existential threats (i.e., the poor, the marginalized, 
etc) it is far less clear how large a threat climate change poses to those who 
live in gated communities. 


I was quoted in the New Yorker recently (behind a pay wall, but slightly 
misquoted here): 
http://stevemasover.blogspot.com/2012/06/human-are-like-rats-and-cockroaches.html
 


I have two perspectives on what this might mean, he said. One says: humans 
are like rats or cockroaches. We are already living from the equator to the 
Arctic Circle. The weather has already become .7 degrees warmer, and barely 
anyone has noticed or cares. And, yes, the coral reefs might become extinct, 
and people from the Seychelles might go hungry. But they have gone hungry in 
the past, and nobody cared. So basically we will live in our gated communities, 
and we will have our TV shows and Chicken McNuggets, and we will be O.K. The 
people who would suffer are the people who always suffer. 

There is another way to look at this, though, he said. And that is to 
compare it to the subprime-mortgage crisis, where you saw that a few million 
bad mortgages led to a five-per-cent drop in gross domestic product throughout 
the world. Something that was a relatively small knock to the financial system 
led to a global crisis. And that could certainly be the case with climate 
change. 

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2012/05/14/120514fa_fact_specter 


I think the uninhabitable claim of Hansen is a bit excessive. While such a 
world might not be very pleasant, I don't see it as threatening fundamental 
habitability. 


In the attached Scientific American article, I wrote: 



We are re-creating the world of the 
dinosaurs 5,000 times faster [than it was created in the Cretaceous]. 


What will thrive in this hothouse? Some 
organisms, such as rats and cockroaches, 
are invasive generalists, which can take advantage 
of disrupted environments. Other 
organisms, such as corals and many tropical 
forest species, have evolved to thrive in 
a narrow range of conditions. Invasive species 
will likely transform such ecosystems 
as a result of global warming. Climate 
change may usher in a world of weeds. 
Human civilization is also at risk. Consider 
the Mayans. Even before Europeans 
arrived, the Mayan civilization had begun 
to collapse thanks to relatively minor climate 
changes. The Mayans had not developed 
enough resilience to weather small 
reductions in rainfall, and the Mayans 
are not alone as examples of civilizations 
that failed to adapt to climate changes. 
Crises provoked by climate change are 
likely to be regional. If the rich get richer 
and the poor get poorer, could this set in 
motion mass migrations that challenge 
political and economic stability? Some of 
the same countries that are most likely 
to suffer from the changes wrought by 
global warming 
also boast nuclear weapons. 


Could climate change exacerbate existing 
tensions and provoke nuclear or 
other apocalyptic conflict? The social response 
to climate change could produce 
bigger problems for humanity than the 
climate change itself. 

On Wed, Apr 17, 2013 at 9:32 AM, David Lewis  jrando...@gmail.com  wrote: 

blockquote

Jim Hansen is circulating a note calling attention to the Hansen, et.al . near 
final paper (entitled Climate Sensitivity, Sea Level, and Atmospheric CO2) 
presently available on arXiv.org, i.e. here . 


The concluding sentence of the abstract reads:  Burning all fossil fuels, we 
conclude, would make much of the planet uninhabitable by humans , thus calling 
into question strategies that emphasize adaptation to climate change. 


Over to those putting forward or supporting the McBurger hypothesis... 


(The McBurger Hypothesis holds that climate change may only become an issue 
of secondary importance to those 

[geo] Direct air capture of CO2 with chemicals: optimization of a two-loop hydroxide carbonate system using a countercurrent air-liquid contactor | Mazzotti et al | Climatic Change

2013-04-18 Thread Andrew Lockley
Direct air capture of CO2 with chemicals: optimization of a two-loop
hydroxide carbonate system using a countercurrent air-liquid contactor
Marco Mazzotti, Renato Baciocchi, Michael J. Desmond, Robert H. Socolow

Abstract
Direct Air Capture (DAC) of CO2 with chemicals, recently assessed in a
dedicated study by the American Physical Society (APS), is further
investigated with the aim of optimizing the design of the front-end
section of its benchmark two-loop hydroxide-carbonate system. Two new
correlations are developed that relate mass transfer and pressure drop
to the air and liquid flow velocities in the countercurrent packed
absorption column. These relationships enable an optimization to be
performed over the parameters of the air contactor, specifically the
velocities of air and liquid sorbent and the fraction of CO2 captured.
Three structured Sulzer packings are considered: Mellapak-250Y,
Mellapak-500Y, and Mellapak-CC. These differ in cost and pressure drop
per unit length; Mellapak-CC is new and specifically designed for CO2
capture. Scaling laws are developed to estimate the costs of the
alternative DAC systems relative to the APS benchmark, for plants
capturing 1 Mt of CO2 per year from ambient air at 500 ppm CO2
concentration. The optimized avoided cost hardly differs across the
three packing materials, ranging from $518/tCO2 for M-CC to $568/tCO2
for M-250Y. The $610/tCO2 avoided cost for the APS-DAC design used
M-250 Y but was not optimized; thus, optimization with the same
packing lowered the avoided cost of the APS system by 7 % and improved
packing lowered the avoided cost by a further 9 % The overall
optimization exercise confirms that capture from air with the APS
benchmark system or systems with comparable avoided costs is not a
competitive mitigation strategy as long as the energy system contains
high-carbon power, since implementation of Carbon Capture and Storage,
substitution with low-carbon power and end-use efficiency will offer
lower avoided-cost strategies.

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[geo] Re: Direct air capture of CO2 with chemicals: optimization of a two-loop hydroxide carbonate system using a countercurrent air-liquid contactor | Mazzotti et al | Climatic Change

2013-04-18 Thread Andrew Lockley
Apologies - link was missing
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0679-y

On 19 April 2013 01:57, Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.com wrote:
 Direct air capture of CO2 with chemicals: optimization of a two-loop
 hydroxide carbonate system using a countercurrent air-liquid contactor
 Marco Mazzotti, Renato Baciocchi, Michael J. Desmond, Robert H. Socolow

 Abstract
 Direct Air Capture (DAC) of CO2 with chemicals, recently assessed in a
 dedicated study by the American Physical Society (APS), is further
 investigated with the aim of optimizing the design of the front-end
 section of its benchmark two-loop hydroxide-carbonate system. Two new
 correlations are developed that relate mass transfer and pressure drop
 to the air and liquid flow velocities in the countercurrent packed
 absorption column. These relationships enable an optimization to be
 performed over the parameters of the air contactor, specifically the
 velocities of air and liquid sorbent and the fraction of CO2 captured.
 Three structured Sulzer packings are considered: Mellapak-250Y,
 Mellapak-500Y, and Mellapak-CC. These differ in cost and pressure drop
 per unit length; Mellapak-CC is new and specifically designed for CO2
 capture. Scaling laws are developed to estimate the costs of the
 alternative DAC systems relative to the APS benchmark, for plants
 capturing 1 Mt of CO2 per year from ambient air at 500 ppm CO2
 concentration. The optimized avoided cost hardly differs across the
 three packing materials, ranging from $518/tCO2 for M-CC to $568/tCO2
 for M-250Y. The $610/tCO2 avoided cost for the APS-DAC design used
 M-250 Y but was not optimized; thus, optimization with the same
 packing lowered the avoided cost of the APS system by 7 % and improved
 packing lowered the avoided cost by a further 9 % The overall
 optimization exercise confirms that capture from air with the APS
 benchmark system or systems with comparable avoided costs is not a
 competitive mitigation strategy as long as the energy system contains
 high-carbon power, since implementation of Carbon Capture and Storage,
 substitution with low-carbon power and end-use efficiency will offer
 lower avoided-cost strategies.

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[geo] Biochar: Downstream effects

2013-04-18 Thread Rau, Greg


Press Release 13-069
Where Does Charcoal, or Black Carbon, in Soils Go?


Scientists find surprising new answers in wetlands such as the Everglades
[Charred boreal forest after a fire]

Charred boreal forest after a fire has raged: where does the charcoal go?
Credit and Larger 
Versionhttp://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=127577org=NSF


April 18, 2013

Scientists have uncovered one of nature's long-kept secrets--the true fate of 
charcoal in the world's soils.

The ability to determine the fate of charcoal is critical to knowledge of the 
global carbon budget, which in turn can help understand and mitigate climate 
change.

However, until now, researchers only had scientific guesses about what happens 
to charcoal once it's incorporated into soil. They believed it stayed there.

Surprisingly, most of these researchers were wrong.

The findings of a new study that examines the result of charcoal once it is 
deposited into the soil are outlined in a paper published this week in the 
journal Science.

The international team of researchers was led by scientists Rudolf Jaffe of 
Florida International University and Thorsten Dittmar of the German Max Planck 
Society.

Most scientists thought charcoal was resistant, says Jaffe. They believed 
that once it was incorporated into soils, it stayed there. But if that were the 
case, soils would be black.

Charcoal, or black carbon, is a residue generated by combustion including 
wildfires and the burning of fossil fuels.

When charcoal forms, it is usually deposited into the soil.

From a chemical perspective, no one really thought it dissolved, but it does, 
Jaffe says.

It doesn't accumulate for a long time. It's exported into wetlands and rivers, 
eventually making its way to the oceans.

It all started with a strange finding in the Everglades.

At the National Science Foundation (NSF) Florida Coastal Everglades Long-Term 
Ecological Research (LTER) site--one of 26 such NSF LTER sites in ecosystems 
around the 
worldhttp://www.nsf.gov/cgi-bin/goodbye?http://www.lternet.edu/sites/map--Jaffe
 studied the glades' environmental chemistry.

Dissolved organic carbon is known to be abundant in wetlands such as the 
Everglades and plays a critical role in the ecology of these systems.

Jaffe wanted to learn more about what comprised the organic carbon in the 
Everglades.

He and colleagues discovered that as much as 20 percent of the total dissolved 
organic carbon in the Everglades is charcoal.

Surprised by the finding, the researchers shifted their focus to the origin of 
the dissolved charcoal.

In an almost serendipitous scientific journey, Dittmar, head of the Max Planck 
Research Group for Marine Geochemistry at the University Oldenburg in Germany, 
was also tracing the paths of charcoal, but from an oceanographic perspective.

To map out a more comprehensive picture, the researchers joined forces. Their 
conclusion is that charcoal in soils is making its way into the world's waters.

This study affirms the power of large-scale analyses made possible through 
international collaborations, says Saran Twombly, program director in NSF's 
Division of Environmental Biology, which funded the research along with NSF's 
Directorate for Geosciences.

What started out as a puzzling result from the Florida Everglades engaged 
scientists at other LTER sites in the U.S., and eventually expanded worldwide, 
says Twombly. The result is a major contribution to our understanding of the 
carbon cycle.

Fire is probably an integral part of the global carbon cycle, says Dittmar, its 
effects seen from land to sea.

The discovery carries significant implications for bioengineering, the 
scientists believe.

The global carbon budget is a balancing act between sources that produce carbon 
and sources that remove it.

The new findings show that the amount of dissolved charcoal transported to the 
oceans is keeping pace with the total charcoal generated by fires annually on a 
global scale.

While the environmental consequences of the accumulation of black carbon in 
surface and ocean waters are currently unknown, Jaffe said the findings mean 
that greater consideration should be given to carbon sequestration techniques.

Biochar addition to soils is one such technique.

Biochar technology is based on vegetation-derived charcoal that is added to 
agricultural soils as a means of sequestering carbon.

As more people implement biochar technology, says Jaffe, they should take into 
consideration the potential dissolution of the charcoal to ensure that these 
techniques are environmentally friendly.

Jaffe and Dittmar agree that there are still many unknowns when it comes to the 
environmental fate of charcoal, and both plan to move on to the next phase of 
the research.

They've proved where charcoal goes.

Now they'd like to answer how that happens, and what the environmental 
consequences are.

The more scientists can understand the process and the environmental factors