Re: [geo] National Academies reports: CDR

2015-02-12 Thread Mike MacCracken
Just a note that I added a second comment (assuming moderator posts it) on
his blog, and included below:

A couple of comments:

1. While the NRC report is helpful in better explaining the need for CDR
research, the notion that CDR implementation can make much of a difference
while global emissions are of order 10 PgC/year and growing seems to me to
be imagining far too much capacity for CDR. Also, in terms of optimal
expenditure of funds to do something, efficiency provides by far the most
cost-effective action now, and in many places solar and wind (and other
alternative technologies) are (or are nearly) competitive with fossil fuels,
especially if any account is given to external costs, and cutting emissions
of short-lived species would have strong near-term effects and have many,
many co-benefits. Thus, in terms of government policies, most of the
implementation effort really needs to go to broad-based mitigation. Once one
gets the emission trajectory headed down at a reasonable rate, CDR has a
very important role to play in determining how low below a 75% or so cut in
global emissions is needed (although many of us would say going back to 350
ppm CO2 would be desirable.
2. I want to take strong exception to your little comments in the table
about albedo modification. To suggest that the new (physical/environmental)
uncertainties from albedo modification are very negative while the
benefits of avoiding sharp, unprecedented global warming are only positive
makes no sense at all. The impacts of unconstrained global warming are
horrendous and avoiding and slowing them would be hugely positive. Also,
this notion that the uncertainties associated with climate change with
albedo modification are somehow much greater than the uncertainties
associated with climate change without albedo modification just does not
seem defensible to me, and that is before there is virtually any research on
plausible implementation strategies (e.g., gradual implementation). And that
governance issues would be worse than we currently have is also, it seems to
me quite arguable. What I do think is that for albedo modification to have
any chance of being practically applied, we have to get on a strongly
downward emissions trend and then be thinking about albedo modification as a
way to shave off the worst impacts and peak warming, for it sure seems
likely to be a good bit above 2 C (and I'm worried about being over .5-1 C).

So, let's all agree with the NRC's first recommendation that strong
mitigation is critical--if we can get on that path, then both CDR and albedo
modification have, in my view the potential to be helpful if the needed
research is done, with albedo modification (and I'd start by being focused
on moderating the worst impacts, so regionally, before going global) phased
in early and phased out as CDR can take over. To my mind, thinking about a
coordinated, comprehensive strategy and effort makes much more sense than
this touting of one over the other--we are so far along past addressing the
issue responsibly that we need all the approaches that we have available if
we want to increase likelihood of a soft landing.

Mike MacCracken


On 2/12/15, 12:21 AM, Geoengineering Geoengineering@googlegroups.com
wrote:

 Noah Deich provides a good summary of the CDR report at Recap and Commentary:
 National Academy of Sciences Report on Carbon Removal
 https://carbonremoval.wordpress.com/2015/02/11/recap-and-commentary-national-
 academy-of-sciences-report-on-carbon-removal/
 
 I have made a comment at his blog.
 
 Robert Tulip
  
  
  
 https://carbonremoval.wordpress.com/2015/02/11/recap-and-commentary-national-
 academy-of-sciences-report-on-carbon-removal/
  
  
  
  
  
 Recap and Commentary: National Academy of Sciences ...
 https://carbonremoval.wordpress.com/2015/02/11/recap-and-commentary-national-
 academy-of-sciences-report-on-carbon-removal/ Earlier today, the National
 Academy of Sciences (³NAS²) released a comprehensive study dedicated to carbon
 dioxide removal (³CDR²). To date, CDR has largely been ...
 View on carbonremoval.wordp...
 https://carbonremoval.wordpress.com/2015/02/11/recap-and-commentary-national-
 academy-of-sciences-report-on-carbon-removal/
 Preview by Yahoo 
  
   
 
   
  
  
  
 
From: Rau, Greg r...@llnl.gov
  To: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl;
 geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com
  Sent: Thursday, 12 February 2015, 6:31
  Subject: Re: [geo] National Academies reports
   
  
 
 Also this:
 http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/02/hack-the-planet-comprehensive-report-su
 ggests-thinking-carefully-first/
 To quote: 
 In the end, the report clearly comes down in favor of research into carbon
 removal technology. Overall, there is much to be gained and very low risk in
 pursuing multiple parts of a portfolio of [carbon removal] strategies that
 demonstrate practical solutions over the short term and develop more
 cost-effective, regional-scale and larger

Re: [geo] National Academies reports: CDR

2015-02-12 Thread 'Robert Tulip' via geoengineering
Noah Deich provides a good summary of the CDR report at Recap and Commentary: 
National Academy of Sciences Report on Carbon Removal
I have made a comment at his blog.
Robert Tulip
|   |
|   |  |   |   |   |   |   |
| Recap and Commentary: National Academy of Sciences ...Earlier today, the 
National Academy of Sciences (“NAS”) released a comprehensive study dedicated 
to carbon dioxide removal (“CDR”). To date, CDR has largely been ... |
|  |
| View on carbonremoval.wordp... | Preview by Yahoo |
|  |
|   |

  
  From: Rau, Greg r...@llnl.gov
 To: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl; 
geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
 Sent: Thursday, 12 February 2015, 6:31
 Subject: Re: [geo] National Academies reports
   
Also 
this:http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/02/hack-the-planet-comprehensive-report-suggests-thinking-carefully-first/To
 quote: In the end, the report clearly comes down in favor of research into 
carbon removal technology. Overall, there is much to be gained and very low 
risk in pursuing multiple parts of a portfolio of [carbon removal] strategies 
that demonstrate practical solutions over the short term and develop more 
cost-effective, regional-scale and larger solutions for the long term, it 
concludes. In contrast, even the best albedo modification strategies are 
currently limited by unfamiliar and unquantifiable risks and governance issues 
rather than direct costs.But beyond the research programs, it's clear that 
neither of these approaches is ready for deployment, and it's not clear that 
either of them can ever be made ready, a fact driven home by the cancellation 
of what would have been the US'largest carbon capture experiment. That's in 
sharp contrast with non-emitting power sources, where technology is already 
mature and costs are in many cases already competitive with those of fossil 
fuels.Very unfortunate that CDR is again equated with CCS. The potential 
approaches and success of the former need not be tied to the ongoing failure of 
the latter.Greg


From: J.L. Reynolds j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Reply-To: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 11:11 PM
To: geoengineering geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Subject: [geo] National Academies reports

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Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here 
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
 
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
 One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.    The 
newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the Washington 
Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and NGO 
reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US came 
out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned Scientists, 
the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental Defense Fund were 
supportive of the reports and further research (with varying degrees of caution 
expressed).  
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
 
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
    The press conference was webcast. Some people “live tweeted” it. See 
https://twitter.com/elikint https://twitter.com/janieflegal 
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc    Cheers 
Jesse    - Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD 
Postdoctoral researcher Research funding coordinator, sustainability and 
climate European and International Public Law Tilburg Sustainability Center 
Tilburg University, The Netherlands Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and 
Technology email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl   
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/    -- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
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To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send

Re: [geo] National Academies reports

2015-02-11 Thread Rau, Greg
Also this:
http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/02/hack-the-planet-comprehensive-report-suggests-thinking-carefully-first/
To quote:

In the end, the report clearly comes down in favor of research into carbon 
removal technology. Overall, there is much to be gained and very low risk in 
pursuing multiple parts of a portfolio of [carbon removal] strategies that 
demonstrate practical solutions over the short term and develop more 
cost-effective, regional-scale and larger solutions for the long term, it 
concludes. In contrast, even the best albedo modification strategies are 
currently limited by unfamiliar and unquantifiable risks and governance issues 
rather than direct costs.

But beyond the research programs, it's clear that neither of these approaches 
is ready for deployment, and it's not clear that either of them can ever be 
made ready, a fact driven home by the cancellation of what would have been the 
US' largest carbon capture 
experimenthttp://fortune.com/2015/02/06/as-the-feds-pull-out-dreams-of-clean-coal-fade/.
 That's in sharp contrast with non-emitting power sources, where technology is 
already mature and costs are in many cases already competitive with those of 
fossil fuels.

Very unfortunate that CDR is again equated with CCS. The potential approaches 
and success of the former need not be tied to the ongoing failure of the latter.

Greg

From: J.L. Reynolds j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Reply-To: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl 
j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 11:11 PM
To: geoengineering 
geoengineering@googlegroups.commailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Subject: [geo] National Academies reports

Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.

The newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the 
Washington Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and 
NGO reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US 
came out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental 
Defense Fund were supportive of the reports and further research (with varying 
degrees of caution expressed).
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/

The press conference was webcast. Some people “live tweeted” it. See
https://twitter.com/elikint
https://twitter.com/janieflegal
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink
https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc

Cheers
Jesse

-
Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD
Postdoctoral researcher
Research funding coordinator, sustainability and climate
European and International Public Law
Tilburg Sustainability Center
Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and Technology
email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/


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Re: [geo] National Academies reports

2015-02-11 Thread Greg Rau
Still more reporting:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/11/science/panel-urges-more-research-on-geoengineering-as-a-tool-against-climate-change.html?_r=0


“The committee felt that the need for information at this point outweighs the 
need for shoving this topic under the rug,” Marcia K. McNutt, chairwoman of the 
panel and the editor in chief of the journal Science, said at a news conference 
in Washington.

How refreshing.  Is shoving topics under the rug ever an option for an NAS 
committee, or science in general? Or was the committee referring to the habits 
of brethren policy- and decision-makers?
Greg



 From: J.L. Reynolds j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 11:11 PM
Subject: [geo] National Academies reports
 


 
Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.
 
The newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the 
Washington Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and 
NGO reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US 
came out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental 
Defense Fund were supportive of the reports and further research (with varying 
degrees of caution expressed). 
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
 
The press conference was webcast.  Some people “live tweeted” it. See
https://twitter.com/elikint
https://twitter.com/janieflegal
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink
https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc 
 
Cheers
Jesse
 
-
Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD
Postdoctoral researcher
Research funding coordinator, sustainability and climate
European and International Public Law
Tilburg Sustainability Center
Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and Technology
email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl  
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/
 
-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
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For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.




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[geo] National Academies reports

2015-02-10 Thread J.L. Reynolds
Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.

The newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the 
Washington Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and 
NGO reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US 
came out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental 
Defense Fund were supportive of the reports and further research (with varying 
degrees of caution expressed).
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/

The press conference was webcast. Some people live tweeted it. See
https://twitter.com/elikint
https://twitter.com/janieflegal
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink
https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc

Cheers
Jesse

-
Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD
Postdoctoral researcher
Research funding coordinator, sustainability and climate
European and International Public Law
Tilburg Sustainability Center
Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and Technology
email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/

-- 
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