[gep-ed] Fw: 3 ways to translate Green New Deal into actual policy

2019-02-13 Thread Aseem Prakash 
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[gep-ed] AESS conference

2019-02-13 Thread Peter Jacques 
Hi everyone, just a note that the deadline for submitting a paper or panel to 
the Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences  closes 2/15 in a couple 
of days.  This year the conference will be in Orlando Florida, June 26-28, with 
June 29 field trips.


Interested? Here is the link:https://aessconference.org/proposals/

Proposals – Association for Environmental Studies and Sciences 
Conference
aessconference.org
An individual paper proposal is appropriate for those wishing to share the 
results of research or pedagogical or program innovations. Poster presentations 
are designed for the presentation of research or pedagogical or program 
innovations in a less formal and more interactive way than a formal panel. 
Effective posters focus on the main points of the research (the question, key 
findings, basic ...

Hope to see you there!

Peter



Peter Jacques, Ph.D.

Spring Office Hours: Wed/Thursday 9:30-11:30

Professor and Internship Coordinator

Department of Political Science &

National Center for Integrated Coastal 
Research

Earth System Governance Senior Research 
Fellow


President of the Association of Environmental Studies and 
Sciences 2018-2020

Submit a proposal to AESS 2019 "Sustainable Futures" 
aessconference.org/proposals






Peter Jacques, Ph.D.

Spring Office Hours: Wed/Thursday 9:30-11:30

Professor and Internship Coordinator

Department of Political Science &

National Center for Integrated Coastal 
Research

Earth System Governance Senior Research 
Fellow


President of the Association of Environmental Studies and 
Sciences 2018-2020

Submit a proposal to AESS 2019 "Sustainable Futures" 
aessconference.org/proposals



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[gep-ed] anyone have leads on modeling behavioral change in emissions reduction plans?

2019-02-13 Thread Roberts, J. Timmons 
Hi all,

A faculty/student team here at Brown secured some funding to re-run the
state of Rhode Island's greenhouse gas emissions reduction plan, which was
originally completed in December of 2016. It modeled technical actions that
would get the state to 80% emissions reductions by 2050. This goal, which
we helped pass in 2014 in the Resilient Rhode Island Act, is based on 1999
science and is inadequate. As the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 degrees
showed, we need to get to 100% carbon free by 2040 (we are also trying
2035, 2045 and 2050). Our governor has indicated she is open to more
ambition on climate goals, if we can demonstrate it's possible to get
there. Our goal in this re-do of the modeling is to see what it would take.
We are also seeking to correct  some choices that I believe made the
earlier study unrealistic, like crazy low methane leakage rates from
natural gas infrastructure and utilizing consumption-based accounting only
for the electricity sector. These corrections make the (realistic) mountain
of emissions reductions needed even higher.

We have rehired the same consulting group the state used (the Stockholm
Environmental Group's Boston team), and they are open to making more
ambitious plans to test feasibility and possible cost of deeper
decarbonization.  One can see from the Climate Solutions simulator featured
in the Brad Plumer piece today

in the New York Times that traditional policies get us some of the way but
nowhere near far enough. I believe we are going to run into that situation
here. We need more, different, not just technical solutions. So I think we
need to do some modeling of behavioral change, and what that can get us in
emissions reductions. We're just starting the list: reductions in airplane
travel (say, to 80% less flying), lower vehicle miles traveled (what is
feasible? realistic?), reduced red meat consumption (any modeling of local
carbon impacts, not supply chain totals), transit-oriented development,
education programs on energy waste, and so on? What else should be on this
list, and what numbers are out there on both what CAN be done and what is
LIKELY to be acceptable to people. I do not believe we should be
constrained by the current politics and cultural denial about the urgency
of this issue, but I don't want to propose things that simply won't
fly...unless there is simply no other ways. This is an exercise in
understanding what is possible with what actions when, not in developing
one pathway forward.

We have just a few weeks to get some numbers and curves to the modelers to
put some of this stuff into the models. So any really top sources and
approaches appreciated. My impression two years ago from organizing a
session at the NAS was that the modeling on human behavior and even uptake
of new technologies is barely existent. I hope I'm wrong.

Our 2016 study, fyi, is here

.

Thanks tremendously, I'll summarize what I get and report back to the list.
Timmons

-- 

Timmons Roberts @timmonsroberts
Ittleson Professor of Environmental Studies and Sociology
Director, the Climate and Development Lab www.climatedevlab.brown.edu
Brown University https://vivo.brown.edu/display/jr17
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
http://www.brookings.edu/experts/robertst

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