Released Sept. 15, the report is already getting press.

About a quarter of all traded carbon credits have been based on REDD+ projects, 
most of them generated by the private company, Verra. Our study compares 
Verra’s data to published scientific literature and our own quantitative 
analysis and case-study research. We demonstrate that “current REDD+ 
methodologies generate credits that represent a small fraction of their claimed 
climate benefit" (p 1), while shifting the burden of climate-change mitigation 
onto rural communities and indigenous peoples.

While our core technical results focus on Verra’s carbon-crediting 
methodologies, our findings are germane to all land-based offsetting schemes, 
including jurisdictional REDD+. They cast doubt on offsetting and market-based 
management – selling nature to save it – more broadly. While other studies have 
shown that REDD+ and similar “nature-based” climate solutions commonly 
overestimate their impact manyfold, this study is wider in scope.

The authors include social scientists who consider the historical context in 
which carbon trading has evolved. The report discusses how REDD+, the flagship 
international conservation scheme, has failed to slow deforestation, and why 
most REDD+ projects are designed to change the behavior of the poor rather than 
to challenge the politically and economically powerful extractive industries 
that drive forest destruction. It describes how conflicts of interests in the 
self-regulating voluntary carbon market produce false claims of success, and 
how a race to the bottom in the offset industry is creating a flood of 
worthless credits.

As a lead coauthor, I'd be happy to talk or correspond about our analysis, 
especially as it pertains to the rationales this 'market-based management' 
approach and the development and global-justice dimensions of offsetting and 
REDD+.

Executive 
summary<https://gspp.berkeley.edu/assets/uploads/page/Quality-Assessment-of-REDD+-Carbon-Crediting-EXECUTIVE-SUMMARY.pdf>
Full 
report<https://gspp.berkeley.edu/assets/uploads/page/Quality-Assessment-of-REDD+-Carbon-Crediting.pdf>
Project 
webpage<https://gspp.berkeley.edu/research-and-impact/centers/cepp/projects/berkeley-carbon-trading-project/redd>
Bloomberg: 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-14/popular-carbon-credits-fail-to-offset-emissions-probe-shows
Guardian: 
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/15/rainforest-carbon-credit-schemes-misleading-and-ineffective-finds-report

Kathy

Kathleen McAfee
Professor Emer., San Francisco State University
New Study: Why REDD+ carbon offsets are 
failing<file:///Professor%20Emer.,%20San%20Francisco%20State%20University%20New%20Study/%20Why%20REDD+%20carbon%20offsets%20are%20failing%20Article/%20Why%20we%20should%20not%20endorse%20carbon%20offsets>
Article: Why we should not endorse carbon 
offsets<https://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/N2YSPHYTYPXMVC4NZGSV/full?target=10.1080/00330124.2021.1934879>

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