Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-13 Thread Linda
Hi Art,

Your recollection of the figures from the keynote matches mine. 

Linda
Sent from my iPhone

 On Mar 10, 2015, at 1:36 PM, Art Gutowski arthur.gutow...@gm.com wrote:
 
 If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees in 
 Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but only 6% of 
 IT spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across platforms).  Given the 
 armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta believe 
 labor costs on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.
 
 I am passing the webinar info along to my senior management...
 
 Thanks,
 Art Gutowski
 GM IT Senior Mainframe Specialist
 arthur.gutow...@gm.com
 
 On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 16:38:37 -0300, Lucas Rosalen rosalen.lu...@gmail.com 
 wrote:
 
 Wow, those are big numbers! Thank you, Tom.
 This seems to be a good thing to be shared with techies, but specially with
 management. I'm looking forward to it.
 
 Thanks,
 
 ---
 *Lucas Rosalen*
 Emails: rosalen.lu...@gmail.com / *lrosa...@br.ibm.com
 lrosa...@br.ibm.com*
 LinkedIn: http://br.linkedin.com/in/lrosalen
 Phone: +55 19 9-8146-7633
 
 2015-03-10 15:47 GMT-03:00 Tom Marchant 
 000a2a8c2020-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu:
 
 I just received word of this and thought others on the list might find it
 interesting.
 
 
 Compuware is hosting a webcast with renowned expert in technology
 economics,
 Dr. Howard Rubin. Dr. Rubin will be presenting his most recent findings on
 the
 growing consumption of technology and its impact on core infrastructure
 costs.
 His research compares the resulting costs for a mainframe-heavy
 organization to
 a server-heavy organization.
 
 Title: The Surprising Economics of Mainframe Technology
 Date: March 19
 Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
 Duration: 60 minutes
 
 [...]
 
 On the webcast, he will be speaking to the following findings:
 
 o   While computing power has doubled over the last five years,
server-heavy organizations’ costs have gone up 63% more than
mainframe-heavy organizations.
 o   For every $1 that’s spent on infrastructure costs, Mainframe
organizations earn $10.55 while server-heavy organizations earn
only $8.22.
 o   Analysis across 15 industries shows that the average IT cost of
goods is 35% (on average) less for mainframe-heavy organizations,
with the greatest differences in the financial sector.
 
 Dr. Rubin will be joined by two industry thought-leaders, Ross Mauri,
 General
 Manager, IBM z Systems and Chris O’Malley, CEO of Compuware. Ross will
 answer
 questions about mainframe misperceptions and the new capabilities of the
 z13,
 while Chris will discuss how increasing technical demand on the mainframe
 is
 impacting IT and the entire business.
 
 --
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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-13 Thread Itschak Mugzach
so what are you saying? those IT managers that cut the mainframe market by
50%+ in few years by migration to WUL platforms didn't know to calculate?

The numbers in the webcast can be explained. There is a high-cost entry
level to the mainframe market, which only those who are already there (or
are part of sectors like finance) can afford that starting price. my view
of the mainframe market is that the maker is a bit problematic. they
removed all competition from the hardware market, and you can see they are
now doing the same in the software market. So my point is that customers do
not want to be captured by a single, Strong and monopolist supplier.

There is not to say mainframe is bad. This is a grate technology (even that
the new z113 machine implements technology that is implemented in Intel
chips for years ;-)). The only thing that I am saying is the play with the
rules. and the rules to downsize mainframe budget is to move to Java on the
mainframe. this is an internal migration that keeps all mainframe goodies,
but cutting the costs to minimum.

My recommondation to my customers is stay mainframe, Enjoy the pros, reject
the cons by playing in the new rules. use the rules (Java, New workload
licensing, DB2 usage with JDBC, etc.)

The sad news is that the mainframe is here to stay, it is just us that get
old...

ITschak






ITschak Mugzach
Z/OS, ISV Products and Application Security  Risk Assessments Professional

On Fri, Mar 13, 2015 at 10:09 AM, Linda linda.lst...@comcast.net wrote:

 Hi Art,

 Your recollection of the figures from the keynote matches mine.

 Linda
 Sent from my iPhone

  On Mar 10, 2015, at 1:36 PM, Art Gutowski arthur.gutow...@gm.com
 wrote:
 
  If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees
 in Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but only 6%
 of IT spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across platforms).  Given
 the armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta
 believe labor costs on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.
 
  I am passing the webinar info along to my senior management...
 
  Thanks,
  Art Gutowski
  GM IT Senior Mainframe Specialist
  arthur.gutow...@gm.com
 
  On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 16:38:37 -0300, Lucas Rosalen 
 rosalen.lu...@gmail.com wrote:
 
  Wow, those are big numbers! Thank you, Tom.
  This seems to be a good thing to be shared with techies, but specially
 with
  management. I'm looking forward to it.
 
  Thanks,
 
 
 ---
  *Lucas Rosalen*
  Emails: rosalen.lu...@gmail.com / *lrosa...@br.ibm.com
  lrosa...@br.ibm.com*
  LinkedIn: http://br.linkedin.com/in/lrosalen
  Phone: +55 19 9-8146-7633
 
  2015-03-10 15:47 GMT-03:00 Tom Marchant 
  000a2a8c2020-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu:
 
  I just received word of this and thought others on the list might find
 it
  interesting.
 
 
  Compuware is hosting a webcast with renowned expert in technology
  economics,
  Dr. Howard Rubin. Dr. Rubin will be presenting his most recent
 findings on
  the
  growing consumption of technology and its impact on core infrastructure
  costs.
  His research compares the resulting costs for a mainframe-heavy
  organization to
  a server-heavy organization.
 
  Title: The Surprising Economics of Mainframe Technology
  Date: March 19
  Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
  Duration: 60 minutes
 
  [...]
 
  On the webcast, he will be speaking to the following findings:
 
  o   While computing power has doubled over the last five years,
 server-heavy organizations’ costs have gone up 63% more than
 mainframe-heavy organizations.
  o   For every $1 that’s spent on infrastructure costs, Mainframe
 organizations earn $10.55 while server-heavy organizations earn
 only $8.22.
  o   Analysis across 15 industries shows that the average IT cost of
 goods is 35% (on average) less for mainframe-heavy organizations,
 with the greatest differences in the financial sector.
 
  Dr. Rubin will be joined by two industry thought-leaders, Ross Mauri,
  General
  Manager, IBM z Systems and Chris O’Malley, CEO of Compuware. Ross will
  answer
  questions about mainframe misperceptions and the new capabilities of
 the
  z13,
  while Chris will discuss how increasing technical demand on the
 mainframe
  is
  impacting IT and the entire business.
 
  --
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  send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN

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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-12 Thread Eric Chevalier

On 3/10/15 8:19 PM, Charles Mills wrote:


Windows support costs are hard to identify. We know who supports
the mainframe; they work for mainframe IT. But Windows in each
department is supported in his spare time by that bright
computer whiz kid in that department, and he is on their payroll.


I don't believe the cost of supporting those desktop Windows systems 
should be included in any analysis of server vs. mainframe costs. It's 
unlikely that in a server to mainframe conversion those desktop systems 
will suddenly disappear. E-mail clients, spreadsheets, graphics packages 
and whatnot will still be in use on those desktops and require continued 
support. Heck, after the conversion at least some of those people are 
going to need 3270 session, and I don't think their employer is going to 
go out and buy new 3270 terminals. (Does anyone even make real 3270 
terminals these days?) So whatnot will have to include 3270 emulators, 
as well.


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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-11 Thread Charles Mills
*Usually* not.

Charles

-Original Message-
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] On Behalf 
Of Lou Losee
Sent: Tuesday, March 10, 2015 8:47 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Subject: Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

Is there a link to the keynote or the data presented during the keynote?

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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Charles Mills
Windows support costs are hard to identify. We know who supports the mainframe; 
they work for mainframe IT. But Windows in each department is supported in his 
spare time by that bright computer whiz kid in that department, and he is on 
their payroll.

Charles

-Original Message-
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] On Behalf 
Of Shane Ginnane
Sent: Tuesday, March 10, 2015 4:57 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Subject: Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 15:36:30 -0500, Art Gutowski wrote:

Given the armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta 
believe labor costs on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.

As Lynn mentions, the move to cloud affects them too - maybe most of all.
The time of the Elves is over ...

Shane ...

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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Lou Losee
Is there a link to the keynote or the data presented during the keynote?

Lo

--
Artificial Intelligence is no match for Natural Stupidity
  - Unknown

On Tue, Mar 10, 2015 at 3:36 PM, Art Gutowski arthur.gutow...@gm.com
wrote:

 If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees in
 Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but only 6% of
 IT spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across platforms).  Given the
 armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta believe
 labor costs on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.

 I am passing the webinar info along to my senior management...

 Thanks,
 Art Gutowski
 GM IT Senior Mainframe Specialist
 arthur.gutow...@gm.com

 On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 16:38:37 -0300, Lucas Rosalen rosalen.lu...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Wow, those are big numbers! Thank you, Tom.
 This seems to be a good thing to be shared with techies, but specially
 with
 management. I'm looking forward to it.
 
 Thanks,
 

 ---
 *Lucas Rosalen*
 Emails: rosalen.lu...@gmail.com / *lrosa...@br.ibm.com
 lrosa...@br.ibm.com*
 LinkedIn: http://br.linkedin.com/in/lrosalen
 Phone: +55 19 9-8146-7633
 
 2015-03-10 15:47 GMT-03:00 Tom Marchant 
 000a2a8c2020-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu:
 
  I just received word of this and thought others on the list might find
 it
  interesting.
 
 
  Compuware is hosting a webcast with renowned expert in technology
  economics,
  Dr. Howard Rubin. Dr. Rubin will be presenting his most recent findings
 on
  the
  growing consumption of technology and its impact on core infrastructure
  costs.
  His research compares the resulting costs for a mainframe-heavy
  organization to
  a server-heavy organization.
 
  Title: The Surprising Economics of Mainframe Technology
  Date: March 19
  Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
  Duration: 60 minutes
 
  [...]
 
  On the webcast, he will be speaking to the following findings:
 
  o   While computing power has doubled over the last five years,
  server-heavy organizations’ costs have gone up 63% more than
  mainframe-heavy organizations.
  o   For every $1 that’s spent on infrastructure costs, Mainframe
  organizations earn $10.55 while server-heavy organizations earn
  only $8.22.
  o   Analysis across 15 industries shows that the average IT cost of
  goods is 35% (on average) less for mainframe-heavy organizations,
  with the greatest differences in the financial sector.
 
  Dr. Rubin will be joined by two industry thought-leaders, Ross Mauri,
  General
  Manager, IBM z Systems and Chris O’Malley, CEO of Compuware. Ross will
  answer
  questions about mainframe misperceptions and the new capabilities of the
  z13,
  while Chris will discuss how increasing technical demand on the
 mainframe
  is
  impacting IT and the entire business.
 

 --
 For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions,
 send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN


--
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send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN


Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Art Gutowski
If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees in 
Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but only 6% of IT 
spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across platforms).  Given the armies 
of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta believe labor costs 
on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.

I am passing the webinar info along to my senior management...

Thanks,
Art Gutowski
GM IT Senior Mainframe Specialist
arthur.gutow...@gm.com

On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 16:38:37 -0300, Lucas Rosalen rosalen.lu...@gmail.com 
wrote:

Wow, those are big numbers! Thank you, Tom.
This seems to be a good thing to be shared with techies, but specially with
management. I'm looking forward to it.

Thanks,

---
*Lucas Rosalen*
Emails: rosalen.lu...@gmail.com / *lrosa...@br.ibm.com
lrosa...@br.ibm.com*
LinkedIn: http://br.linkedin.com/in/lrosalen
Phone: +55 19 9-8146-7633

2015-03-10 15:47 GMT-03:00 Tom Marchant 
000a2a8c2020-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu:

 I just received word of this and thought others on the list might find it
 interesting.


 Compuware is hosting a webcast with renowned expert in technology
 economics,
 Dr. Howard Rubin. Dr. Rubin will be presenting his most recent findings on
 the
 growing consumption of technology and its impact on core infrastructure
 costs.
 His research compares the resulting costs for a mainframe-heavy
 organization to
 a server-heavy organization.

 Title: The Surprising Economics of Mainframe Technology
 Date: March 19
 Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
 Duration: 60 minutes

 [...]

 On the webcast, he will be speaking to the following findings:

 o   While computing power has doubled over the last five years,
 server-heavy organizations’ costs have gone up 63% more than
 mainframe-heavy organizations.
 o   For every $1 that’s spent on infrastructure costs, Mainframe
 organizations earn $10.55 while server-heavy organizations earn
 only $8.22.
 o   Analysis across 15 industries shows that the average IT cost of
 goods is 35% (on average) less for mainframe-heavy organizations,
 with the greatest differences in the financial sector.

 Dr. Rubin will be joined by two industry thought-leaders, Ross Mauri,
 General
 Manager, IBM z Systems and Chris O’Malley, CEO of Compuware. Ross will
 answer
 questions about mainframe misperceptions and the new capabilities of the
 z13,
 while Chris will discuss how increasing technical demand on the mainframe
 is
 impacting IT and the entire business.


--
For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions,
send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN


Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Lucas Rosalen
Wow, those are big numbers! Thank you, Tom.
This seems to be a good thing to be shared with techies, but specially with
management. I'm looking forward to it.

Thanks,

---
*Lucas Rosalen*
Emails: rosalen.lu...@gmail.com / *lrosa...@br.ibm.com
lrosa...@br.ibm.com*
LinkedIn: http://br.linkedin.com/in/lrosalen
Phone: +55 19 9-8146-7633

2015-03-10 15:47 GMT-03:00 Tom Marchant 
000a2a8c2020-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu:

 I just received word of this and thought others on the list might find it
 interesting.


 Compuware is hosting a webcast with renowned expert in technology
 economics,
 Dr. Howard Rubin. Dr. Rubin will be presenting his most recent findings on
 the
 growing consumption of technology and its impact on core infrastructure
 costs.
 His research compares the resulting costs for a mainframe-heavy
 organization to
 a server-heavy organization.

 Title: The Surprising Economics of Mainframe Technology
 Date: March 19
 Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
 Duration: 60 minutes

 Register at

 https://event.on24.com/eventRegistration/EventLobbyServlet?target=reg20.jspeventid=960452sessionid=1key=0EAD94B1BD32920176D84E6EE6328422sourcepage=registerpartnerref=mvslist
 or http://preview.tinyurl.com/lxjxg5p

 On the webcast, he will be speaking to the following findings:

 o   While computing power has doubled over the last five years,
 server-heavy organizations’ costs have gone up 63% more than
 mainframe-heavy organizations.
 o   For every $1 that’s spent on infrastructure costs, Mainframe
 organizations earn $10.55 while server-heavy organizations earn
 only $8.22.
 o   Analysis across 15 industries shows that the average IT cost of
 goods is 35% (on average) less for mainframe-heavy organizations,
 with the greatest differences in the financial sector.

 Dr. Rubin will be joined by two industry thought-leaders, Ross Mauri,
 General
 Manager, IBM z Systems and Chris O’Malley, CEO of Compuware. Ross will
 answer
 questions about mainframe misperceptions and the new capabilities of the
 z13,
 while Chris will discuss how increasing technical demand on the mainframe
 is
 impacting IT and the entire business.

 --
 TOM MARCHANT  |  Abend-AID and CSS Development Team  |  Compuware
 thomas.march...@compuware.com  |  O: +1 313 227 5647

 --
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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Charles Mills
That's what my notes say. Mainframe 68% of the work; 6% of the budget (Linux 
19%; Windows 11%). Don't have work numbers for the other platforms.

Charles

-Original Message-
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] On Behalf 
Of Art Gutowski
Sent: Tuesday, March 10, 2015 1:37 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Subject: Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees in 
Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but only 6% of IT 
spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across platforms).  Given the armies 
of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta believe labor costs 
on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.

--
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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Anne Lynn Wheeler
arthur.gutow...@gm.com (Art Gutowski) writes:
 If my notes are accurate from Ross' Keynote address to SHARE attendees
 in Seattle, mainframes account for 68% of production workloads, but
 only 6% of IT spend (exclusive of aggregate labor costs across
 platforms).  Given the armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze
 platforms, I gotta believe labor costs on these platforms eclipse
 those of the mainframe.

at industry level ... one of the industries that didn't migrate off
mainframe was financial ... which tends to have much higher profit
margin than others. in the 90s, there was big effort in the financial
industry to migrate to killer micros as lots of other industries were
doing ... that failed. those failures had much higher consequences in
financial ... and so they've tended to retrench and minimize their risks
for some period.

at datacenter level ... a large cloud megadatacenter will have hundreds
of thousands of systems (more processoring than the aggregate of all
mainframes in the world today), massively automated with staff of 80-120
people. large cloud operators have claimed for a decade or more that
they assemble their own systems for 1/3rd the cost of brand name vendors
... along with news about server chip vendors starting to ship more
chips to cloud operations than to brand name vendors (possibly
motivation for IBM to sell off their server chip business).

there have been rumors that some of the brand name server vendors have
been doing side cloud business ... for large volume order they will
price close to that of the costs that the large cloud operators claim
(where the massive automation is migrating out into corporations running
their own clouds).


-- 
virtualization experience starting Jan1968, online at home since Mar1970

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Re: Economics of Mainframe Technology

2015-03-10 Thread Shane Ginnane
On Tue, 10 Mar 2015 15:36:30 -0500, Art Gutowski wrote:

Given the armies of sysadmins to support *nix and windoze platforms, I gotta 
believe labor costs on these platforms eclipse those of the mainframe.

As Lynn mentions, the move to cloud affects them too - maybe most of all.
The time of the Elves is over ...

Shane ...

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