Dear MARMAM community,

On behalf of my co-authors, I am pleased to share with you our recent 
publication published in Frontiers in Marine Science.

Kylie Owen, Anita Gilles, Matthieu Authier, Julia Carlström, Mathieu Genu, Line 
Anker Kyhn, Dominik A. Nachtsheim, Nadya C. Ramírez-Martínez, Ursula Siebert, 
Martin Sköld, Jonas Teilmann, Bianca Unger, Signe Sveegaard. A negative trend 
in abundance and an exceeded mortality limit call for conservation action for 
the Vulnerable Belt Sea harbour porpoise population. Frontiers in Marine 
Science, 2024; 11 DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2024.1289808

Abstract
The management and conservation of biodiversity relies on information on both 
the abundance of species and the potential impact of threats. Globally, one of 
the largest threats towards marine biodiversity is bycatch in fisheries. Under 
the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), EU Member States are required 
to assess the status of species, such as the harbour porpoise (Phocoena 
phocoena), in relation to their abundance and mortality due to bycatch every 
six years. The Vulnerable (HELCOM) Belt Sea population of harbour porpoise has 
been surveyed to determine its abundance six times using dedicated aerial or 
ship-based line-transect distance sampling surveys. Here, we estimated the 
first trend in population abundance over an 18 year period (2005-2022). Using 
the most recent abundance estimate, we computed a mortality limit applying the 
modified Potential Biological Removal (mPBR) method based on the regionally 
agreed conservation objective to restore or maintain 80% of carrying capacity 
over 100 years with an 80% probability. Over the past 18 years there has been a 
strong negative trend (-2.7% p.a.; 95% CI: -4.1%; + 1.3%) in abundance, with a 
90.5% probability. The mortality limit was estimated to be 24 animals, which 
the current bycatch estimates (~900 porpoises/year from the commercial Danish 
and Swedish set net fishery fleets, with no data from Germany and other fishery 
types) exceed by far. The frequency and quality of data available on abundance 
for this population are higher than those available for the majority of marine 
species. Given the observed population decline and likely unsustainable levels 
of bycatch, the results presented here provide a strong basis to make informed, 
evidence-based management decisions for action for this population. Such action 
is needed urgently, before the dire situation of other porpoise species and 
populations around the globe is repeated.

The publication is open access, but please feel free to get in touch if you 
have any questions.

Kind Regards


Dr Kylie Owen

Intendent
Populationanalys och -övervakning
Naturhistoriska riksmuseet
Box 50007 | 104 05 Stockholm

+46 (0) 761 701 594

[Logotyp för Naturhistoriska Riksmuseet]
[Naturhistoriska riksmuseet, Forskar, Bevarar och Förklarar, NRM.SE]

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