Re: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?

2007-03-13 Thread E.P. Grondine
Hi Larry, all - 

I will be reading Don and Lindley's report today. Don
has always spent the publics' money wisely, so it will
be interesting to see his reasoning for this detector.

The Russians proposed telescopes in Earth orbit, one
leading the Earth, another following. 

Asd you point out, heat in Venus orbit is a real
problem. The Moon would make a great cooling sink for
IR detectors, and there is a convenient site in the
current proposal which could be used. Detection radars
on the Moon could also be used for SETI.

Assuming that the collisions with fragments of Comet
Encke over tha lawt 10,000 years are the norm, and not
a one off, then the way to go is with a Moon based
lidar system with a 1 AU detection radius.  That's
where China is heading.

with this bum left hamd, I have really got to get a
spell checker - sorry for the typos.

Ed
E.P. Grondine
Man and Impact in the Americas

 
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 Hello List:
 
 I have observer a few asteroids in my life and have
 some problems with
 this article. I am away from home, so I am going
 mostly on memory and so
 these are only estimates;
 
 1. If you are to put a telescope at the orbit of
 Venus, it would have to
 be in the same orbit as Venus, but not near Venus.
 If you are planning to
 observe in the infrared, you would want a
 Spitzer-type telescope. The
 Earth is hot and Venus would be hotter (so is the
 Sun)! Spitzer has a
 lifetime of about 5 years thanks to shielding from
 the Sun and Earth. I am
 not sure how much more of a problem there would be
 at the distance of
 Venus. HST with it CCDs is much easier to cool so
 does not have the limits
 of an infrared telescope.
 
 2. Yes, asteroids are brighter in the infrared: but
 this is sunlight
 absorbed and re-emitted (heat). So, yes, you could
 observe asteroids at
 these wavelengths, but as stated about would need a
 cooled telescope.
 
 3. While the idea of an asteroid coming at us out
 of the sunlight
 (worked in war movies), statistically, there are
 fewer of these asteroid
 (at least known). There are over 2000 known Apollo
 asteroids (cross Earth
 orbit, but mean solar distance greater than Earth's)
 and less than 400
 Aten asteroids (cross Earth's orbit, but mean
 distance less than Earth's).
 There are known known asteroids with orbits wholly
 within Earth's orbit
 (at least none discovered). So, there are more
 things coming in from
 outside in than inside out. Yes, it would be
 better to look from closer
 to the Sun, but would have the bigger, brighter,
 hotter Sun to deal with
 (visible or infrared).
 
 4. You would also be better off with more than one
 telescope. There is
 always the chance that the asteroid with our name on
 it would hit us at
 its first close pass (might not be able to do
 anything about it). But if
 that is so, you would want a telescope that is
 looking in the direction of
 the Earth at any given time.
 
 5. Now, something that I just thought about that I
 cannot calculate here
 in my hotel room (in Disney World). How many
 asteroids have perihelion
 (closest distance to the Sun) that get anywhere near
 Venus? Most near
 Earth asteroids (NEOs) can only be detected when
 they are close to Earth
 (they are very small). These may never be detected
 from far away Venus.
 
 That is all I can think of at the moment.
 
 Larry
 
 
 
  -Ursprüngliche Nachricht-
  Von: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Im Auftrag von Ron
  Baalke
  Gesendet: Freitag, 9. März 2007 22:50
  An: Meteorite Mailing List
  Betreff: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For
 Earth-Bound Asteroids?
 
 
 
 

http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn11356-could-venus-watch-for-earth
  bou nd-asteroids.html
 
  Could Venus watch for Earth-bound asteroids?
  David L Chandler
  New Scientist
  09 March 2007
 
 
  A dedicated space-based telescope is needed to
 achieve a congressionally
  mandated goal of discovering 90% of all near-Earth
 asteroids down to a size
  of 140 metres by the year 2020, says a report NASA
 sent to the US Congress
  on Thursday. Asteroids of that size are large
 enough to destroy a major
  city or region if they strike the planet - but
 NASA says it does not have
  the money to pay for the project.
 
  The study says Venus is the best place for the
 telescope. That is
  because space rocks within Earth's orbit - where
 Venus lies - are most
  likely to be lost in the Sun's glare, potentially
 catching astronomers off
  guard. The telescope could be placed either behind
 or ahead of Venus in
  its orbit by about 60° - the stable Lagrange
 points, known as L4 or L5,
  where the gravity of the Sun and Venus are in
 balance.
 
  There are quite a few [objects] that are interior
 to Earth's orbit,
  NASA's Lindley Johnson told New Scientist. Those
 are really hard to
  detect [from Earth]; the opportunities to see them
 are very limited.
 
  From the orbit of Venus, however, you're always
 looking away from the
 
  Sun, always looking out, he says

Re: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?

2007-03-12 Thread lebofsky

Hello List:

I have observer a few asteroids in my life and have some problems with
this article. I am away from home, so I am going mostly on memory and so
these are only estimates;

1. If you are to put a telescope at the orbit of Venus, it would have to
be in the same orbit as Venus, but not near Venus. If you are planning to
observe in the infrared, you would want a Spitzer-type telescope. The
Earth is hot and Venus would be hotter (so is the Sun)! Spitzer has a
lifetime of about 5 years thanks to shielding from the Sun and Earth. I am
not sure how much more of a problem there would be at the distance of
Venus. HST with it CCDs is much easier to cool so does not have the limits
of an infrared telescope.

2. Yes, asteroids are brighter in the infrared: but this is sunlight
absorbed and re-emitted (heat). So, yes, you could observe asteroids at
these wavelengths, but as stated about would need a cooled telescope.

3. While the idea of an asteroid coming at us out of the sunlight
(worked in war movies), statistically, there are fewer of these asteroid
(at least known). There are over 2000 known Apollo asteroids (cross Earth
orbit, but mean solar distance greater than Earth's) and less than 400
Aten asteroids (cross Earth's orbit, but mean distance less than Earth's).
There are known known asteroids with orbits wholly within Earth's orbit
(at least none discovered). So, there are more things coming in from
outside in than inside out. Yes, it would be better to look from closer
to the Sun, but would have the bigger, brighter, hotter Sun to deal with
(visible or infrared).

4. You would also be better off with more than one telescope. There is
always the chance that the asteroid with our name on it would hit us at
its first close pass (might not be able to do anything about it). But if
that is so, you would want a telescope that is looking in the direction of
the Earth at any given time.

5. Now, something that I just thought about that I cannot calculate here
in my hotel room (in Disney World). How many asteroids have perihelion
(closest distance to the Sun) that get anywhere near Venus? Most near
Earth asteroids (NEOs) can only be detected when they are close to Earth
(they are very small). These may never be detected from far away Venus.

That is all I can think of at the moment.

Larry



 -Ursprüngliche Nachricht-
 Von: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Im Auftrag von Ron
 Baalke
 Gesendet: Freitag, 9. März 2007 22:50
 An: Meteorite Mailing List
 Betreff: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?



 http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn11356-could-venus-watch-for-earth
 bou nd-asteroids.html

 Could Venus watch for Earth-bound asteroids?
 David L Chandler
 New Scientist
 09 March 2007


 A dedicated space-based telescope is needed to achieve a congressionally
 mandated goal of discovering 90% of all near-Earth asteroids down to a size
 of 140 metres by the year 2020, says a report NASA sent to the US Congress
 on Thursday. Asteroids of that size are large enough to destroy a major
 city or region if they strike the planet - but NASA says it does not have
 the money to pay for the project.

 The study says Venus is the best place for the telescope. That is
 because space rocks within Earth's orbit - where Venus lies - are most
 likely to be lost in the Sun's glare, potentially catching astronomers off
 guard. The telescope could be placed either behind or ahead of Venus in
 its orbit by about 60° - the stable Lagrange points, known as L4 or L5,
 where the gravity of the Sun and Venus are in balance.

 There are quite a few [objects] that are interior to Earth's orbit,
 NASA's Lindley Johnson told New Scientist. Those are really hard to
 detect [from Earth]; the opportunities to see them are very limited.

 From the orbit of Venus, however, you're always looking away from the

 Sun, always looking out, he says. And, of course, you can observe 24
 hours a day - you don't have to worry about night and day. Even from Earth
 orbit, a telescope's view of any given part of the sky is blocked about
 half the time by the Earth itself.

 In addition, because Venus orbits the Sun in about two-thirds the time
 the Earth does, a telescope in that orbit would catch up with any
 near-Earth asteroids in their orbits more frequently than Earth does,
 offering more opportunities for discovery. You're able to sample that
 population more rapidly in the same amount of time, Johnson says.

 Missed deadline


 An infrared telescope would be more effective than one that studies
 visible light, because asteroids reflect sunlight more strongly at infrared
 wavelengths. The background sky is also much less bright in the infrared,
 providing better contrast for discovering even small, faint asteroids.

 With the Venus-orbit IR telescope, NASA could exceed its goal by three
 years, finding 90% of the most dangerous space rocks by 2017. But the space
 telescope is estimated to cost $1.1

Re: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?

2007-03-10 Thread Martin Altmann
But the space telescope is estimated to cost $1.1 billion for 15 years of
operation

Hmm, what does cost a F-22 and a B2 Spirit?


-Ursprüngliche Nachricht-
Von: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Im Auftrag von Ron
Baalke
Gesendet: Freitag, 9. März 2007 22:50
An: Meteorite Mailing List
Betreff: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?


http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn11356-could-venus-watch-for-earthbou
nd-asteroids.html

Could Venus watch for Earth-bound asteroids?
David L Chandler
New Scientist
09 March 2007

A dedicated space-based telescope is needed to achieve a congressionally
mandated goal of discovering 90% of all near-Earth asteroids down to a
size of 140 metres by the year 2020, says a report NASA sent to the US
Congress on Thursday. Asteroids of that size are large enough to destroy
a major city or region if they strike the planet - but NASA says it does
not have the money to pay for the project.

The study says Venus is the best place for the telescope. That is
because space rocks within Earth's orbit - where Venus lies - are most
likely to be lost in the Sun's glare, potentially catching astronomers
off guard. The telescope could be placed either behind or ahead of Venus
in its orbit by about 60° - the stable Lagrange points, known as L4 or
L5, where the gravity of the Sun and Venus are in balance.

There are quite a few [objects] that are interior to Earth's orbit,
NASA's Lindley Johnson told New Scientist. Those are really hard to
detect [from Earth]; the opportunities to see them are very limited.

From the orbit of Venus, however, you're always looking away from the
Sun, always looking out, he says. And, of course, you can observe 24
hours a day - you don't have to worry about night and day. Even from
Earth orbit, a telescope's view of any given part of the sky is blocked
about half the time by the Earth itself.

In addition, because Venus orbits the Sun in about two-thirds the time
the Earth does, a telescope in that orbit would catch up with any
near-Earth asteroids in their orbits more frequently than Earth does,
offering more opportunities for discovery. You're able to sample that
population more rapidly in the same amount of time, Johnson says.

Missed deadline

An infrared telescope would be more effective than one that studies
visible light, because asteroids reflect sunlight more strongly at
infrared wavelengths. The background sky is also much less bright in the
infrared, providing better contrast for discovering even small, faint
asteroids.

With the Venus-orbit IR telescope, NASA could exceed its goal by three
years, finding 90% of the most dangerous space rocks by 2017. But the
space telescope is estimated to cost $1.1 billion for 15 years of
operation, and NASA says there is currently no money in its budget to
pursue any of the search proposals it studied.

That means it would take until at least 2026 to achieve its goal - and
that is assuming a large telescope in Chile called the LSST (Large
Synoptic Survey Telescope) is completed. But the LSST, which would be
funded through the National Science Foundation, itself has not had final
approval (see Unique wide-field telescope will make 'sky movies'
http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn9200-unique-widefield-telescope-wil
l-make-sky-movies.html).
Without the LSST, as well, the goal would slip beyond 2030.

Former Apollo astronaut Rusty Schweickart says NASA's analysis was a
good examination of the options, and showed that the space option ...
is most effective in dealing with the danger of an unexpected impact.

But Schweickart says NASA failed to deliver on an additional analysis
that Congress had asked for, which included an examination of the
relative merits of different proposals for deflecting an asteroid found
to be on a collision course with Earth. [NASA] did nothing, they
declined to respond. That's pretty disappointing, Schweickart told New
Scientist.

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Re: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?

2007-03-10 Thread Sterling K. Webb
Hi, Martin!

The cost of a series production item includes
on the cost of development and depends on how
many copies you have made. Based on the current
planned production of F-22 Raptors, the cost is
$380 to $390 million apiece. Had the originally
planned number of planes been built the cost would
have been about $130 million each.

However, it's never that simple. The follow-on
F-35 Lightning II will use much of the technology
developed for the F-22, but the F-35 will have a
much lower cost per plane than the F-22 could ever
have. Without that technological development, the
cost of the F-35 would be much greater.

The B-2 Spirit, built in the numbers presently
contemplated, will cost $2,200 million per copy!
Again, and to an even greater degree, the cost of
developing the technology in the first is staggering.

The actual material and man-hour manufacturing
cost of building one B-2 bomber is about $120 million,
one heck of a bargain. Conceived of in the 1970's,
developed in the 1980's, then completely re-designed
to change it from a high altitude penetrating bomber to
a low altitude penetrating bomber (will you make up
your mind?), it was first displayed about the instant
the Cold War sublimated

Instead of the 136 that were planned, even without
a Cold War, we decided to settle for 75 and more
recently our Defender and Decider, Mr. Bush, decided
that twenty were plenty, which raises the cost/plane to
about $2.2 billion a bump. It is now said to be fully
operational, but I cannot find out exactly how many
planes have been built. (Why are you following me
and where is your warrant?)

However, you may live to see more B-2's or at least
B-2-lookalikes, as the design engineer in charge of the
propulsion system was arrested on October 2005 for
selling classified information to China and possibly
other countries as well. Those B-2 copies would cost
considerably less, I imagine, and have a different in-flight
menu.

So, one B-2 equals TWO space telescopes, but
it takes about three F-22's to pay for one space telescope.
Of course, IF the B-2 could fly to and destroy an incoming
asteroid, it would be worth $22 billion, or $22 trillion ---
name your price.


Sterling K. Webb
--
- Original Message - 
From: Martin Altmann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, March 10, 2007 6:31 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?


But the space telescope is estimated to cost $1.1 billion for 15 years of
operation

Hmm, what does cost a F-22 and a B2 Spirit?


-Ursprüngliche Nachricht-
Von: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Im Auftrag von Ron
Baalke
Gesendet: Freitag, 9. März 2007 22:50
An: Meteorite Mailing List
Betreff: [meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?


http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn11356-could-venus-watch-for-earthbou
nd-asteroids.html

Could Venus watch for Earth-bound asteroids?
David L Chandler
New Scientist
09 March 2007

A dedicated space-based telescope is needed to achieve a congressionally
mandated goal of discovering 90% of all near-Earth asteroids down to a
size of 140 metres by the year 2020, says a report NASA sent to the US
Congress on Thursday. Asteroids of that size are large enough to destroy
a major city or region if they strike the planet - but NASA says it does
not have the money to pay for the project.

The study says Venus is the best place for the telescope. That is
because space rocks within Earth's orbit - where Venus lies - are most
likely to be lost in the Sun's glare, potentially catching astronomers
off guard. The telescope could be placed either behind or ahead of Venus
in its orbit by about 60° - the stable Lagrange points, known as L4 or
L5, where the gravity of the Sun and Venus are in balance.

There are quite a few [objects] that are interior to Earth's orbit,
NASA's Lindley Johnson told New Scientist. Those are really hard to
detect [from Earth]; the opportunities to see them are very limited.

From the orbit of Venus, however, you're always looking away from the
Sun, always looking out, he says. And, of course, you can observe 24
hours a day - you don't have to worry about night and day. Even from
Earth orbit, a telescope's view of any given part of the sky is blocked
about half the time by the Earth itself.

In addition, because Venus orbits the Sun in about two-thirds the time
the Earth does, a telescope in that orbit would catch up with any
near-Earth asteroids in their orbits more frequently than Earth does,
offering more opportunities for discovery. You're able to sample that
population more rapidly in the same amount of time, Johnson says.

Missed deadline

An infrared telescope would be more effective than one that studies
visible light, because asteroids reflect sunlight more strongly at
infrared wavelengths. The background sky is also much less bright

[meteorite-list] Could Venus Watch For Earth-Bound Asteroids?

2007-03-09 Thread Ron Baalke

http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn11356-could-venus-watch-for-earthbound-asteroids.html

Could Venus watch for Earth-bound asteroids?
David L Chandler
New Scientist
09 March 2007

A dedicated space-based telescope is needed to achieve a congressionally
mandated goal of discovering 90% of all near-Earth asteroids down to a
size of 140 metres by the year 2020, says a report NASA sent to the US
Congress on Thursday. Asteroids of that size are large enough to destroy
a major city or region if they strike the planet - but NASA says it does
not have the money to pay for the project.

The study says Venus is the best place for the telescope. That is
because space rocks within Earth's orbit - where Venus lies - are most
likely to be lost in the Sun's glare, potentially catching astronomers
off guard. The telescope could be placed either behind or ahead of Venus
in its orbit by about 60° - the stable Lagrange points, known as L4 or
L5, where the gravity of the Sun and Venus are in balance.

There are quite a few [objects] that are interior to Earth's orbit,
NASA's Lindley Johnson told New Scientist. Those are really hard to
detect [from Earth]; the opportunities to see them are very limited.

From the orbit of Venus, however, you're always looking away from the
Sun, always looking out, he says. And, of course, you can observe 24
hours a day - you don't have to worry about night and day. Even from
Earth orbit, a telescope's view of any given part of the sky is blocked
about half the time by the Earth itself.

In addition, because Venus orbits the Sun in about two-thirds the time
the Earth does, a telescope in that orbit would catch up with any
near-Earth asteroids in their orbits more frequently than Earth does,
offering more opportunities for discovery. You're able to sample that
population more rapidly in the same amount of time, Johnson says.

Missed deadline

An infrared telescope would be more effective than one that studies
visible light, because asteroids reflect sunlight more strongly at
infrared wavelengths. The background sky is also much less bright in the
infrared, providing better contrast for discovering even small, faint
asteroids.

With the Venus-orbit IR telescope, NASA could exceed its goal by three
years, finding 90% of the most dangerous space rocks by 2017. But the
space telescope is estimated to cost $1.1 billion for 15 years of
operation, and NASA says there is currently no money in its budget to
pursue any of the search proposals it studied.

That means it would take until at least 2026 to achieve its goal - and
that is assuming a large telescope in Chile called the LSST (Large
Synoptic Survey Telescope) is completed. But the LSST, which would be
funded through the National Science Foundation, itself has not had final
approval (see Unique wide-field telescope will make 'sky movies'
http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn9200-unique-widefield-telescope-will-make-sky-movies.html).
Without the LSST, as well, the goal would slip beyond 2030.

Former Apollo astronaut Rusty Schweickart says NASA's analysis was a
good examination of the options, and showed that the space option ...
is most effective in dealing with the danger of an unexpected impact.

But Schweickart says NASA failed to deliver on an additional analysis
that Congress had asked for, which included an examination of the
relative merits of different proposals for deflecting an asteroid found
to be on a collision course with Earth. [NASA] did nothing, they
declined to respond. That's pretty disappointing, Schweickart told New
Scientist.

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