Re: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to thebudget...

2003-01-13 Thread David Brauer
 Dyna Sluyter wrote:
 
 NRP has been one of the city's most successful programs-
 perhaps instead of being gored it should be the model of how city
 services are delivered.
 
 How can the NRP be a successful program when it failed
 to meet its budget target for housing expenditures and
 is susceptible to racial bias?

The housing target was over the life of the program...which is only half
over (there were no interim targets), even if the second half is minimal. As
I recall, the housing expenditures didn't miss by much in the first 10
years.

Second, the allegation of racial bias is far from proven. The one
statistical summary alleging has not presented a detailed view of its
methods to be able to peer review, which, as Michael often asserts, is a
necessary component for judging validity.

(A side point: even if certain groups received more than their share of
expenditures, that does not inherently connote bias. Or, as many a stat prof
has said, correlation does not equal causation.)

I would argue that opinion polls showing Minneapolis residents consistently,
overwhelming supporting NRP, plus the success of many candidates supporting
NRP in the last election, are a good evidence that the program has
succeeded. Of course, that may be a problem for those same politicians now.
;) 

David Brauer
King Field

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RE: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to thebudget...

2003-01-13 Thread Michael Atherton
David Brauer wrote:

 The housing target was over the life of the program...which 
 is only half over (there were no interim targets), even if 
 the second half is minimal. As I recall, the housing expenditures 
 didn't miss by much in the first 10 years.

40.2% vs. the 52% target is not much? And, it is unlikely that
the program will ever meet its intended goal. I think this
just shows how inefficiently the NRP has been managed. Even when we
are so far behind, a reallocation procedure in my neighborhood 
has no explicit directions to correct this problem. I believe
that it's because there never was any intention of meeting
the housing goal (at least that's the impression that I got
from Bob Miller). 

 Second, the allegation of racial bias is far from proven. The one
 statistical summary alleging has not presented a detailed view of its
 methods to be able to peer review, which, as Michael often 
 asserts, is a necessary component for judging validity.

Great, let's hear the statistics from the NRP! My hunch is
that they don't exist. From my personal observation, in a 
neighborhood with approximately 8% African Americans, it is 
extremely rare to see any Black faces at our meetings.  The
one African American I know who use to attend meetings
left in disgust.

 (A side point: even if certain groups received more than 
 their share of expenditures, that does not inherently connote 
 bias. Or, as many a stat proof has said, correlation does not 
 equal causation.)

If the purpose of the NRP was to provide neighborhood 
involvement in tax revenue decisions and if African American
do not participate, then the decision making process may
not representative.  An inherent flaw and continual 
problem with the NRP.  

 I would argue that opinion polls showing Minneapolis 
 residents consistently, overwhelming supporting NRP, 
 plus the success of many candidates supporting
 NRP in the last election, are a good evidence that 
 the program has succeeded. Of course, that may be a 
 problem for those same politicians now.

What polls showing that residents overwhelming support
for the NRP?  Even though it appears that many residents
think that they have heard of the NRP, I have not
seen any evidence that people actually known or understand 
what the NRP does.

I thought that you just mentioned that correlation
does not imply causation, so why do you claim that
the success of candidates is linked to their support
of the NRP?  It could have nothing to do with it. It
didn't seem to do much for Cherryhomes and Campbell
Politically that is, Cherryhomes did get a home
improvement loan from the NRP and Biernat applied for
one. I don't know if he ever got it.

The NRP has succeeded in creating, what I think, is the
biggest pork trough in the city's history. In a time
when were are considering cutting basic services, I don't
see how people have the nerve to suggest moving
funds away from the basics to fund superfluous projects.
It might be wiser to decommissioning the NRP until we have
a budget surplus again and concentrate on correcting the city's 
financial woes in the meantime.  I think that the only reason 
the NRP has the support that it does is that the people who run
and implement it are politically active and well connected.
I can see no other reason for supporting an organization
that does not understand representative government, due
process, or minority rights (and shows no inclination in
learning).

Michael Atherton
Prospect Park

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Re: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to thebudget...

2003-01-13 Thread Anne McCandless
Perhaps one's perspective of NRP depends upon from where it is being viewed.
Living in Jordan, I can assure you that NRP has been a most valued tool in
fighting urban blight.  We used 98 % of our funds on housing.  And yes, we
had minorities working on the process.  We did not get as much involvement
from minority and renters as we wanted, but it wasn't because we didn't try
or that they were not welcomed.

NRP funds helped us get rid of and rehab many substandard housing units in
our neighborhood.  As a result, we have many new homeowners who are
participating in the neighborhood.  That's the good news.  The bad news is
that the city seems to be putting less emphasis on listening to the
neighborhoods and more emphasis on making changing that could be detrimental
to our poorer neighborhoods.  This is not giving much hope to our new
residents, or to those of us who have lived through the hard times and were
looking forward to some progress and innovation.

Anne McCandless
Jordan



- Original Message -
From: Michael Atherton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, January 13, 2003 4:38 PM
Subject: RE: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to
thebudget...


 David Brauer wrote:

  The housing target was over the life of the program...which
  is only half over (there were no interim targets), even if
  the second half is minimal. As I recall, the housing expenditures
  didn't miss by much in the first 10 years.

 40.2% vs. the 52% target is not much? And, it is unlikely that
 the program will ever meet its intended goal. I think this
 just shows how inefficiently the NRP has been managed. Even when we
 are so far behind, a reallocation procedure in my neighborhood
 has no explicit directions to correct this problem. I believe
 that it's because there never was any intention of meeting
 the housing goal (at least that's the impression that I got
 from Bob Miller).

  Second, the allegation of racial bias is far from proven. The one
  statistical summary alleging has not presented a detailed view of its
  methods to be able to peer review, which, as Michael often
  asserts, is a necessary component for judging validity.

 Great, let's hear the statistics from the NRP! My hunch is
 that they don't exist. From my personal observation, in a
 neighborhood with approximately 8% African Americans, it is
 extremely rare to see any Black faces at our meetings.  The
 one African American I know who use to attend meetings
 left in disgust.

  (A side point: even if certain groups received more than
  their share of expenditures, that does not inherently connote
  bias. Or, as many a stat proof has said, correlation does not
  equal causation.)

 If the purpose of the NRP was to provide neighborhood
 involvement in tax revenue decisions and if African American
 do not participate, then the decision making process may
 not representative.  An inherent flaw and continual
 problem with the NRP.

  I would argue that opinion polls showing Minneapolis
  residents consistently, overwhelming supporting NRP,
  plus the success of many candidates supporting
  NRP in the last election, are a good evidence that
  the program has succeeded. Of course, that may be a
  problem for those same politicians now.

 What polls showing that residents overwhelming support
 for the NRP?  Even though it appears that many residents
 think that they have heard of the NRP, I have not
 seen any evidence that people actually known or understand
 what the NRP does.

 I thought that you just mentioned that correlation
 does not imply causation, so why do you claim that
 the success of candidates is linked to their support
 of the NRP?  It could have nothing to do with it. It
 didn't seem to do much for Cherryhomes and Campbell
 Politically that is, Cherryhomes did get a home
 improvement loan from the NRP and Biernat applied for
 one. I don't know if he ever got it.

 The NRP has succeeded in creating, what I think, is the
 biggest pork trough in the city's history. In a time
 when were are considering cutting basic services, I don't
 see how people have the nerve to suggest moving
 funds away from the basics to fund superfluous projects.
 It might be wiser to decommissioning the NRP until we have
 a budget surplus again and concentrate on correcting the city's
 financial woes in the meantime.  I think that the only reason
 the NRP has the support that it does is that the people who run
 and implement it are politically active and well connected.
 I can see no other reason for supporting an organization
 that does not understand representative government, due
 process, or minority rights (and shows no inclination in
 learning).

 Michael Atherton
 Prospect Park

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E-Democracy
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RE: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to thebudget...

2003-01-13 Thread David Brauer
Just to respond to a couple of Michael's points. I'll let others carry on
the debate. 

 David Brauer wrote:
 
  The housing target was over the life of the program...which
  is only half over (there were no interim targets), even if
  the second half is minimal. As I recall, the housing expenditures
  didn't miss by much in the first 10 years.
 
 40.2% vs. the 52% target is not much?

No, it's not.

It's all relative, but housing was still by far the biggest chunk of NRP
spending...to within 80% of the target. And everyone - thanks in part to the
press doing its job - knows that the first half fell short. City leaders and
neighborhood leaders all know the 52 percent must be hit - it's state law.
I'd say even if NRP is mortally wounded, the money must be found to meet the
housing goal.

Certainly, the falloff (from majority to plurality) is not enough to
pronounce the program a failure. 

 From my personal observation, in a
 neighborhood with approximately 8% African Americans, it is
 extremely rare to see any Black faces at our meetings.  The
 one African American I know who use to attend meetings
 left in disgust.

Hey, so did one conservative grad student, but I'm not sure that's
statistically significant. 

Seriously, I do think that the hurdle for NRP involvement is huge. There's
no doubt that the time requirements needed to sit on any board -
neighborhood, NRP, or elective office - are tougher on the poor, who are
disproportionately minority.

HOWEVER, this is a problem throughout society. The Minneapolis City Council,
elected by the people, is disproportionately white. Voting is
disproportionately white - but is voting (except in Florida) biased? I'd say
not - there are no racist barriers to entry, no poll tax, no lack of
registration drives, no unequal treatment whatever.

I think in other contexts, Michael would oppose a quota system, since it
denies individual initiative. Yet he appears to be advocating this here.

What's your preferred system of decision-making, Michael? What would have
all groups equally represented?

 What polls showing that residents overwhelming support
 for the NRP?  

From the Star Tribune pre-election poll, 9/23/01, page 1a:

Voters were overwhelmingly supportive of continued funding for the
Neighborhood Revitalization Program (NRP), with 77 percent saying it should
be continued and only 15 percent saying the money could be better spent
elsewhere.

 Even though it appears that many residents
 think that they have heard of the NRP, I have not
 seen any evidence that people actually known or understand
 what the NRP does.

I'm sorry, I think this statement is yours to prove.

The rest of the pro-versus-anti NRP debate has happened many times on the
list before, so I'll listen to others.

David Brauer
King Field
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Re: [Mpls] Saturday NRP session- Sly Di takes her sawzall to thebudget...

2003-01-13 Thread ABerget
In a message dated 1/13/03 6:07:23 PM Central Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:


City leaders and
neighborhood leaders all know the 52 percent must be hit - it's state law.
I'd say even if NRP is mortally wounded, the money must be found to meet the
housing goal.

For information only:
The housing % is a target, not a mandate inasmuch as there is no consequence defined for not hitting the target. This is not my opinion, but is actually the formal legal opinion of the city attorney.

Concerning hitting the 52% target or not: the legislation that established the housing target did not define what "housing and housing-related expenditures" were - for the purpose of NRP. A working definition of acceptable "housing etc." expenditures was established a couple of years later by the NRP Policy Board. The Policy Board could modify the definition of qualifying expences and the compliance/non-compliance level would change - not that I'm suggesting this. 

Ann Berget
Kingfield (Past Policy Board Chair)