Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread David Coulson
Dragos Ruiu wrote:
> Bet you a beer it won't happen. :) 
I will let you know next February when my rabbit ears stop working :)

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Scott Weeks

--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
From: "Scott Francis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
they even had a basis at all)?



From:   Bill Nash <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was an element of multi-pronged 
lobbying approaches...




Look at who is saying it and it's quite obvious...


"Jim Cicconi, vice president of legislative affairs for AT&T, warned...

scott"

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Re: [Nanog] Cogent Router dropping packets

2008-04-18 Thread Mike Fedyk
(Crossed Fingers)

Cogent's network seems "OK", for now.

I've received several responses asking for details on how I would avoid
Cogent.  It looks like getting a connection to the AT&T network will allow
us to serve our customers on their DSLS and use their direct peering to the
Time Warner network for our customers with cable Internet.

If anyone has any ideas on how this will work, please let me know.  For
instance, do most networks prefer to keep packets on their network until
closest to the end point or might a network just send the traffic through
cogent in another part of their network a few hops away?

-Original Message-
From: Mike Fedyk 
Sent: Thursday, April 17, 2008 2:59 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Cogent Router dropping packets


I spoke too soon:

 Host  Loss%   Snt   Last   Avg
Best  Wrst StDev
 1. adsl-63-194-XXX-XXX.dsl.lsan03.pacbell.net  0.0%   1099.2  19.2
8.4  57.9  11.0
 2. dist3-vlan60.irvnca.sbcglobal.net   0.9%   1098.4  16.7
8.3  45.6   9.6
 3. bb1-p6-7.emhril.ameritech.net   0.0%   1098.6  36.3
8.5 256.6  44.2
 4. ex2-p14-0.eqlaca.sbcglobal.net  0.0%   109   10.3  39.4
9.3 209.3  46.2
 5. te8-1.mpd01.lax05.atlas.cogentco.com0.0%   108   32.4  34.3
9.3 238.6  45.1
 6. vl3491.ccr02.lax01.atlas.cogentco.com   3.7%   108   17.0  23.4
12.9  98.9  13.4
 7. te3-4.ccr01.lax04.atlas.cogentco.com   17.6%   108   39.1  28.8
16.4 198.9  22.1
 8. vl3805.na21.b002695-2.lax04.atlas.cogentco.com 12.0%   108   34.1  27.6
17.0  68.7  11.2
 9. PAETEC_Communications_Inc.demarc.cogentco.com  10.2%   108   22.4  35.3
17.0 168.7  27.8
10. gi-4-0-1-3.core01.lsajca01.paetec.net  18.5%   108   21.2  34.2
21.0 188.6  20.6
11. po-5-0-0.core01.anhmca01.paetec.net10.3%   108   35.7  33.9
20.5 232.7  23.9
12. gi-3-0-0.edge03.anhmca01.paetec.net13.0%   108   21.0  31.6
20.2 157.9  16.6
13. 74.10.xxx.xxx   11.1%   108   25.7  33.9
25.2  55.2   8.9
14. 74.10.xxx.xxx   15.7%   108   26.7  35.7
25.0  70.8  11.7


-Original Message-
From: Mike Fedyk 
Sent: Thursday, April 17, 2008 2:15 PM
To: Ryan Harden
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Cogent Router dropping packets


Thank you, the issue seems to be fixed now at Cogent.


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[Nanog] [admin] Re: ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Alex Pilosov
On Fri, 18 Apr 2008, Jeff Shultz wrote:

> Mike Lieman wrote:
> > On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 6:20 PM, Kevin Oberman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >>> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 18:06:48 -0400
> >>  > From: "Mike Lieman" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> >>  >
> >>  > On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
> >> wrote:
> >>  > > http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
> >>  > >
> >>  >
> >>  > It's a FUD  attempt to get people to forget about how AT&T owes
> >>  > everyone in the US with a telephone a check for $150,000.00 in
> >>  > statutory penalties for their unlawful spying.
> > 
> > If it's impossible to hold AT&T accountable for violating the Law in
> > such a blatant, wholesale manner, how could anyone believe that they
> > could be held accountable to whatever Network Neutrality standards
> > would be ensconced in Law?
> > 
> 
> Are we really going to get into politics here? I smell trolls.
Yes, this is getting very offtopic very fast. Politics, philosophy and 
legal are explicitly forbidden on the list, and this hits all 3. 

Could y'all knock it off, please?

Please see this for NANOG AUP: http://www.nanog.org/aup.html

Off-topic: 

* Whining as in, "so-and-so are terrible lawbreakers and they owe 
us". 

* Network neutrality (this has been discussed to death here) - unless you
have something poignant to add and you've read in detail what has been
said previously.

* Anything political that does not have operational impact.

* Anything legal that does not have operational impact.

On-topic: 

* Operational impact of legal/political/financial external constraints.

-alex


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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Dragos Ruiu

On 18-Apr-08, at 1:45 PM, David Coulson wrote:

> Stephen John Smoogen wrote:
>> I think that is based off the all American TV going to HDD that is
>> supposed to happen in 2009. ( I think I read that currently only 40%
>> of Americans have HDD TV's and the 60% were not going to buy one  
>> until
>> it became too late. )
> This is not accurate. In 2009 the US is terminating analog (NTSC)
> transmission of 'over the air' broadcasts. It has nothing to do with
> 'high definition' broadcasts. OTA broadcasts will just be done using
> ATSC, rather than NTSC. It will continue to provide SD programming.

Bet you a beer it won't happen. :)

Just like the mandated HD broadcasts in top markets by 1997 or else  
they lose license.

cheers,
--dr

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Jeff Shultz
Mike Lieman wrote:
> On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 6:20 PM, Kevin Oberman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 18:06:48 -0400
>>  > From: "Mike Lieman" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>>  >
>>  > On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>  > > http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>>  > >
>>  >
>>  > It's a FUD  attempt to get people to forget about how AT&T owes
>>  > everyone in the US with a telephone a check for $150,000.00 in
>>  > statutory penalties for their unlawful spying.
> 
> If it's impossible to hold AT&T accountable for violating the Law in
> such a blatant, wholesale manner, how could anyone believe that they
> could be held accountable to whatever Network Neutrality standards
> would be ensconced in Law?
> 

Are we really going to get into politics here? I smell trolls.

-- 
Jeff Shultz

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Mike Lieman
On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 6:20 PM, Kevin Oberman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 18:06:48 -0400
>  > From: "Mike Lieman" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>  >
>  > On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>  > > http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>  > >
>  >
>  > It's a FUD  attempt to get people to forget about how AT&T owes
>  > everyone in the US with a telephone a check for $150,000.00 in
>  > statutory penalties for their unlawful spying.

If it's impossible to hold AT&T accountable for violating the Law in
such a blatant, wholesale manner, how could anyone believe that they
could be held accountable to whatever Network Neutrality standards
would be ensconced in Law?

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Mike Lieman
On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>

It's a FUD  attempt to get people to forget about how AT&T owes
everyone in the US with a telephone a check for $150,000.00 in
statutory penalties for their unlawful spying.

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Marc Manthey
>
> If the cable operators put their broadcast content onto an access
> network multicast . . . Then how could they resell the same content to
> europe?

hello,

my biggest problem in understanding the ip6 / multicast concept is
" if  the whole internet were multicast enabled "  and there is no
unicast stream  would´nt this not   
decrease_the_traffic_to_a_reasonable amount ??!!

regards

marc

-
Too often we enjoy the comfort of opinion
without the discomfort of thought.
 -- John F. Kennedy, 35th US president

Les enfants teribbles - research and deployment
Marc Manthey -  Hildeboldplatz 1a
D - 50672 Köln - Germany
Tel.:0049-221-3558032
Mobil:0049-1577-3329231
jabber :[EMAIL PROTECTED]
blog : http://www.let.de
ipv6 http://stattfernsehen.com/matrix




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Re: [Nanog] List Change [was Re: [OT] Fwd: Photo]

2008-04-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
Despite the chatter, I think we should all congratulate Merit on a  
very smooth and orderly transition to the new server.

No, it was not perfect, but given all the possible outcomes, we are  
definitely in the top quartile.

IMHO, of course.

-- 
TTFN,
patrick


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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Gregory Hicks

> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 13:51:59 -0700
> From: Jacob Appelbaum <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo
> 
> Megaera wrote:
> > I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the list for
> > years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've 
subscribed
> > to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list settings had been
> > dumped too.
> > 
> 
> This has happened to me as well. I was a digest subscriber and now I'm
> getting each message. Did someone tamper with the settings or was there
> an administrative mistake?

I don't have the message, but, a few days ago, there was a message from
Betty that basically said that the list was moving and that we would
have to recreate any individual settings...  And that would be a good
time to set a password.

Regards,
Gregory Hicks
> 
> Regards,
> Jacob
> 
> ___
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---
Gregory Hicks| Principal Systems Engineer
Cadence Design Systems   | Direct:   408.576.3609
2655 Seely Ave M/S 9A1
San Jose, CA 95134

I am perfectly capable of learning from my mistakes.  I will surely
learn a great deal today.

"A democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding on what to have for
lunch.  Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the results of the
decision."

"The best we can hope for concerning the people at large is that they
be properly armed." --Alexander Hamilton



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Re: [Nanog] NANOG list changes

2008-04-18 Thread becker
Seems to have forgotten I subscribed to the digest as well. 


Sent from my BlackBerry® wireless device

-Original Message-
From: Matthew Black <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 13:22:49 
To:NANOG 
Subject: [Nanog] NANOG list changes


OK, looks like they changed servers recently. I haven't
been following the list for a few months. They also
changed the message headers and they no longer include
the Sender: header that my filter uses on incoming e-mail.

Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

matthew black
network services
california state university, long beach
1250 bellflower boulevard
long beach, ca 90840-0101



On Fri, 18 Apr 2008 12:00:02 +
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Welcome to the NANOG@nanog.org mailing list!
> 
> To post to this list, send your email to:
> 
>  nanog@nanog.org
> 
> General information about the mailing list is at:
[...snip]

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Re: [Nanog] NANOG list changes

2008-04-18 Thread Rob Windsor
Matthew Black wrote:
> OK, looks like they changed servers recently. I haven't
> been following the list for a few months. They also
> changed the message headers and they no longer include
> the Sender: header that my filter uses on incoming e-mail.
> 
> Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

looks like you can use:
X-BeenThere: nanog@nanog.org

Rob++
-- 
|
|Internet: [EMAIL PROTECTED] __o
|Life: [EMAIL PROTECTED]_`\<,_
|   (_)/ (_)
|"They couldn't hit an elephant at this distance."
|  -- Major General John Sedgwick

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[Nanog] List Change [was Re: [OT] Fwd: Photo]

2008-04-18 Thread stega (lc boros)
It was an announced change.

List moved to new platform.  Check your archives for:

Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2008 09:05:56 -0400
From: "Betty J. Burke" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: List Transistion

/lc

On Apr 18, 2008, at 1:31 PM, Megaera wrote:
> I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the  
> list for
> years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've  
> subscribed
> to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list settings  
> had been
> dumped too.
>
> Any ideas?
>
>
> -- 
> God grant me the senility to forget the people that I never
> liked anyway, the good fortune to run into the ones that I do,
> and the eyesight to tell the difference.
>
> ___
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> NANOG@nanog.org
> http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog


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Re: [Nanog] NANOG list changes

2008-04-18 Thread Gregory Hicks

> From: Matthew Black <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> To: NANOG 
> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 13:22:49 -0700
> Subject: [Nanog] NANOG list changes
> 
> OK, looks like they changed servers recently. I haven't
> been following the list for a few months. They also
> changed the message headers and they no longer include
> the Sender: header that my filter uses on incoming e-mail.
> 
> Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Try this:
X-BeenThere: nanog@nanog.org

> 
> matthew black
> network services
> california state university, long beach
> 1250 bellflower boulevard
> long beach, ca 90840-0101
> 
> 
> 
> On Fri, 18 Apr 2008 12:00:02 +
>   [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> > Welcome to the NANOG@nanog.org mailing list!
> > 
> > To post to this list, send your email to:
> > 
> >  nanog@nanog.org
> > 
> > General information about the mailing list is at:
> [...snip]
> 
> ___
> NANOG mailing list
> NANOG@nanog.org
> http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog

---
Gregory Hicks| Principal Systems Engineer
Cadence Design Systems   | Direct:   408.576.3609
2655 Seely Ave M/S 9A1
San Jose, CA 95134

I am perfectly capable of learning from my mistakes.  I will surely
learn a great deal today.

"A democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding on what to have for
lunch.  Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the results of the
decision."

"The best we can hope for concerning the people at large is that they
be properly armed." --Alexander Hamilton



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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Williams, Marc
If the cable operators put their broadcast content onto an access
network multicast . . . Then how could they resell the same content to
europe?



> -Original Message-
> From: Scott Francis [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Sent: Friday, April 18, 2008 4:15 PM
> To: nanog@nanog.org
> Subject: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010
> 
> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
> 
> I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat 
> dubious (working for a company that produces video for online 
> distribution) - although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as 
> "in 3 years' time, 20 typical households will generate more 
> traffic than the entire Internet today". Is there some secret 
> plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical households" in the next 
> 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't have accurate 
> figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
> generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be 
> generated by any single household regardless of equipment 
> installed, torrents traded or videos downloaded. Even given a 
> liberal application of Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the 
> case in 2010 either.
> 
> Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims 
> were (if they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from 
> ATT engineering?
> Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers 
> were tossed into the air without any mention of how they were 
> derived. A cynical person might be tempted to think it was 
> all a scare tactic to soften up legislators for the next wave 
> of "reasonable network management" practices that just happen 
> to have significant revenue streams attached to them ...
> --
> [EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527  
> http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key
> 
> ___
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> NANOG@nanog.org
> http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog
> 

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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Jacob Appelbaum
Megaera wrote:
> I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the list for
> years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've subscribed
> to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list settings had been
> dumped too.
> 

This has happened to me as well. I was a digest subscriber and now I'm
getting each message. Did someone tamper with the settings or was there
an administrative mistake?

Regards,
Jacob

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Jeff Shultz
Stephen John Smoogen wrote:
> On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 2:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>>
>>  I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
>>  (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
> 
> I think that is based off the all American TV going to HDD that is
> supposed to happen in 2009. ( I think I read that currently only 40%
> of Americans have HDD TV's and the 60% were not going to buy one until
> it became too late. )

I'm part of the 60%... since I'm on satellite I believe I don't need to 
switch... in fact it would cost me more to get service in HD now if I 
did switch.

I suspect there are a lot of me's out there.

-- 
Jeff Shultz

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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread John Moser
> I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the list
> for
> years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've
> subscribed
> to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list settings had
> been
> dumped too.
>
> Any ideas?

http://www.merit.edu/mail.archives/nanog/msg07543.html

See the message from Betty Burke from Thursday April 17th.  New server,
new list.  I'm guessing the virus notifications were accidentally missed
during the migration.

-John


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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Alex Pilosov
On Fri, 18 Apr 2008, Megaera wrote:

> I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the list
> for years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've
> subscribed to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list
> settings had been dumped too.
Yes, there was an email prior regarding list transition from Majordomo to 
mailman.

If you missed the email, it is here:

http://www.merit.edu/mail.archives/nanog/msg07543.html

Sorry about virus notices. Merit needs to change mailman (or MTA) settings
to drop virus-infected emails instead of stripping/bouncing/whatever.

If you'd like to discuss mailing list operations, you should do it on 
[EMAIL PROTECTED], not here.

Thanks

-alex [MLC chair]



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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread David Coulson
Stephen John Smoogen wrote:
> I think that is based off the all American TV going to HDD that is
> supposed to happen in 2009. ( I think I read that currently only 40%
> of Americans have HDD TV's and the 60% were not going to buy one until
> it became too late. )
This is not accurate. In 2009 the US is terminating analog (NTSC) 
transmission of 'over the air' broadcasts. It has nothing to do with 
'high definition' broadcasts. OTA broadcasts will just be done using 
ATSC, rather than NTSC. It will continue to provide SD programming.

David

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Apr 18, 2008, at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis wrote:

> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>
> I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
> (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
> although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
> typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
> today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
> households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
> have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
> generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
> by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
> traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
> Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.

40 Gbps?  Does anyone think the Internet has fewer than twenty 40 Gbps  
links' worth of traffic?  I know individual networks that have more  
traffic.

Could we get 100 Gbps to the home by 2010?  Hell, we're having trouble  
getting 100 Gbps to the CORE by 2010 thanx to companies like Sun  
forcing 40 Gbps ethernet down the IEEE's throat.

Not that 100 Gbps would be enough anyway to make his statement true.


> Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
> they even had a basis at all)?

His answers are so far off, they're not even wrong.

Basis?  You don't need a basis for such blatantly and objectively  
false information that even the most newbie neophyte laughs their ass  
off while reading it.

Good thing C|Net asked "vice president of legislative affairs" about  
traffic statistics.  Or maybe they didn't ask, but they sure  
listened.  Perhaps they should ask the Network Architect about the  
legislative implications around NN laws.  Actually, they would  
probably get more useful answers than asking a lawyer about bandwidth.

C|Net--

I'd say the same about at&t, but 

-- 
TTFN,
patrick



> Internal reports from ATT engineering?
> Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were
> tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
> cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
> soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
> management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
> streams attached to them ...
> -- 
> [EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
> http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key
>
> ___
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>


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Re: [Nanog] NANOG list changes

2008-04-18 Thread Bill McGonigle

On Apr 18, 2008, at 16:22, Matthew Black wrote:

> They also
> changed the message headers and they no longer include
> the Sender: header that my filter uses on incoming e-mail.
>
> Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

This seems to work (for procmail):

:0:
* ^List-Id:.*nanog\.nanog\.org
.Mailing\ Lists.nanog/

I can't complain about the list moving to nanog.org, it seems quite  
appropriate.

-Bill
-
Bill McGonigle, Owner   Work: 603.448.4440
BFC Computing, LLC  Home: 603.448.1668
[EMAIL PROTECTED]   Cell: 603.252.2606
http://www.bfccomputing.com/Page: 603.442.1833
Blog: http://blog.bfccomputing.com/
VCard: http://bfccomputing.com/vcard/bill.vcf



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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Marshall Eubanks

On Apr 18, 2008, at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis wrote:

> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>
> I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
> (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
> although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
> typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet

Maybe if "typical household" is defined as "close relatives of Peter  
Lothberg."

Either that, or he meant 30 instead of 3.

Regards
Marshall

>
> today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
> households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
> have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
> generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
> by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
> traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
> Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.
>
> Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
> they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering?
> Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were
> tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
> cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
> soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
> management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
> streams attached to them ...
> -- 
> [EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
> http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key
>
> ___
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> NANOG@nanog.org
> http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog


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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Bill Nash

I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was an element of multi-pronged 
lobbying approaches, reminiscent of the 'fiber to the home' tax break 
series that hit a handful of years back that got us pretty much nothing.

Given trivial tech milestones like these:
http://www.thelocal.se/7869/20070712/ (2007)
http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=82315 (2005)

I call bullshit.

Besides, by 2010 we'll be staring down a global economy collapse and 
people will be too busy trying to find food to get online and download 
movies.

- billn

On Fri, 18 Apr 2008, Scott Francis wrote:

> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>
> I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
> (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
> although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
> typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
> today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
> households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
> have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
> generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
> by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
> traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
> Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.
>
> Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
> they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering?
> Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were
> tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
> cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
> soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
> management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
> streams attached to them ...
>

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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Megaera
I was wondering what was going on myself. I've been a member of the list for
years now (non-posting) and this afternoon I get a notice that I've subscribed
to NANOG followed by two quick virus notices - and my list settings had been
dumped too.

Any ideas?


-- 
God grant me the senility to forget the people that I never
liked anyway, the good fortune to run into the ones that I do, 
and the eyesight to tell the difference.

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Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Stephen John Smoogen
On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 2:15 PM, Scott Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
>
>  I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
>  (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -

I think that is based off the all American TV going to HDD that is
supposed to happen in 2009. ( I think I read that currently only 40%
of Americans have HDD TV's and the 60% were not going to buy one until
it became too late. )

>  although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
>  typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
>  today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
>  households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
>  have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
>  generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
>  by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
>  traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
>  Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.
>
>  Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
>  they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering?
>  Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were

Maybe he has been trading on "the Internet is going to die" since 1981
and his shorts on the Internet are coming due in 2010? I mean this
sounds as much like all the other pump and dump things I have read :).

>  tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
>  cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
>  soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
>  management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
>  streams attached to them ...
>  --
>  [EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
>   http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key
>
>  ___
>  NANOG mailing list
>  NANOG@nanog.org
>  http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog
>



-- 
Stephen J Smoogen. -- CSIRT/Linux System Administrator
How far that little candle throws his beams! So shines a good deed
in a naughty world. = Shakespeare. "The Merchant of Venice"

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[Nanog] unsubscribe

2008-04-18 Thread Blake.Gillman
unsubscribe

 

 Cox Communications, Inc.

--
Blake Gillman  Sr. IP Architect   Office: 623.328.2994   Mobile:
602.694.2085 
1550 West Deer Valley Road Phoenix, AZ 85027

 

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[Nanog] 1275k st. DC

2008-04-18 Thread Matt Liotta
Anyone else seeing issues there?

-Matt

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[Nanog] NANOG list changes

2008-04-18 Thread Matthew Black
OK, looks like they changed servers recently. I haven't
been following the list for a few months. They also
changed the message headers and they no longer include
the Sender: header that my filter uses on incoming e-mail.

Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

matthew black
network services
california state university, long beach
1250 bellflower boulevard
long beach, ca 90840-0101



On Fri, 18 Apr 2008 12:00:02 +
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Welcome to the NANOG@nanog.org mailing list!
> 
> To post to this list, send your email to:
> 
>  nanog@nanog.org
> 
> General information about the mailing list is at:
[...snip]

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Re: [Nanog] [OT] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Edward A. Trdina III
The viruses, or the virus emails?
 

-Original Message-
From: Patrick W. Gilmore [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Friday, April 18, 2008 4:12 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [Nanog] Fwd: Photo

On Apr 18, 2008, at 4:08 PM, sean wrote:

> WARNING!!! (from chopin.merit.edu)
>
> The following message attachments were flagged by the antivirus
> scanner:
>
> Attachment [2.2] Video_part.mim, virus infected: W32/Parite-B.   
> Action taken: deleted
> VIRUS WARNING Message (from chopin.merit.edu)
>
> The virus W32/Parite-B was detected in email attachment [2.2] 
> Video_part.mim.  The infected attachment has been deleted.

Impressive.  I didn't know the new server had a virus scanner on it.   
Perhaps we should just delete these instead of forwarding them to the list?

I'm also impressed that Sean moved to India:

   Received: from ibm-ii (121.247.233-225.kol-bb-dynamic.vsnl.net.in
[121.247.233.225] (may be forged)) by chopin.merit.edu (MOS 3.8.2-GA)
with SMTP id AQD07945; Fri, 18 Apr 2008 16:08:32 -0400 (EDT)

:)

--
TTFN,
patrick


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[Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

2008-04-18 Thread Scott Francis
http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html

I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
(working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.

Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering?
Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were
tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
streams attached to them ...
-- 
[EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
 http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key

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Re: [Nanog] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Apr 18, 2008, at 4:08 PM, sean wrote:

> WARNING!!! (from chopin.merit.edu)
>
> The following message attachments were flagged by the antivirus  
> scanner:
>
> Attachment [2.2] Video_part.mim, virus infected: W32/Parite-B.   
> Action taken: deleted
> VIRUS WARNING Message (from chopin.merit.edu)
>
> The virus W32/Parite-B was detected in email attachment [2.2]  
> Video_part.mim.  The infected attachment has been deleted.

Impressive.  I didn't know the new server had a virus scanner on it.   
Perhaps we should just delete these instead of forwarding them to the  
list?

I'm also impressed that Sean moved to India:

   Received: from ibm-ii (121.247.233-225.kol-bb-dynamic.vsnl.net.in
[121.247.233.225] (may be forged)) by chopin.merit.edu (MOS 3.8.2-GA)
with SMTP id AQD07945; Fri, 18 Apr 2008 16:08:32 -0400 (EDT)

:)

-- 
TTFN,
patrick


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[Nanog] Fwd: Photo

2008-04-18 Thread sean
WARNING!!! (from chopin.merit.edu)

The following message attachments were flagged by the antivirus scanner:

Attachment [2.2] Video_part.mim, virus infected: W32/Parite-B.  Action taken: 
deleted
VIRUS WARNING Message (from chopin.merit.edu)

The virus W32/Parite-B was detected in email attachment [2.2] Video_part.mim.  
The infected attachment has been deleted.
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