Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread William Warren

On 8/28/2009 6:11 PM, Peter Beckman wrote:

On Fri, 28 Aug 2009, Hiers, David wrote:


Governments already license stock brokers, pilots, commercial drivers,
accountants, engineers, all sorts of people whose mistakes can be
measured in the loss of hundreds of lives and millions of dollars.


 "'The power company allowed their network security to be comprimised 
by a

  single Windows computer connected to the Internet in the main control
  facility, so we unplugged the entire Internet to mitigate the attack,'
  said Senator Rockefeller, the author of the bill that enabled the
  President to take swift action after an unknown hacker used the 
Internet

  to break into Brominion Power's main control facility and turn off the
  power to the entire East Coast.  'It will remain unplugged and 
nobody in
  the US will be allowed to connect to the Internet until the power is 
back

  on and this hacker is brought to justice.'

  Authorities are having a difficult time locating the hacker due to the
  unavailability of the Internet and electricity, and cannot communicate
  with lawmakers via traditional means due to the outage.  A formal 
request

  to turn the power and Internet back on was sent on a pony earlier this
  afternoon to lawmakers in DC."

 Can't wait.

Beckman
--- 

Peter Beckman  
Internet Guy
beck...@angryox.com 
http://www.angryox.com/
--- 





ROFL!



RE: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Erik L
> > > If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity, 
> it's time to
> > > start planning the upgrade.
> > 
> > s/80/60/
> > 
> > the normal snmp and other averaging methods *really* miss 
> the bursts.
> 
> s/60/40/
> 
What is this "upgrade" thing you all speak of? When your links become 
saturated, shouldn't you solve the problem by deploying DPI-based 
application-discriminatory throttling and start double-dipping your customers? 
After all, it's their fault for using up more bandwidth than your flawed 
business model told you they will use.

(If you're not familiar with Bell Canada, it's OK if you don't get the joke).



Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Sun, 30 Aug 2009 22:20:55 -0400
Eric Brunner-Williams  wrote:

> randy,
> 
> moveon is a maine-based org. it is an effective, fund raising,
> partisan organization. it is much more than a click-and-opine
> vehicle, it puts hundreds of thousands of dollars into competitive
> races, and has a competent political director.
> 
> to create a "NagOn" we would have to hire or appoint a political 
> director, and a financial director, and charge each with framing the 
> issue, and executing a seven figure plan, and a communications
> director, to put the message with the money in targeted media
> markets, and finally, to show teeth, drop the margin of error, or on
> the order of high five, low six figures, in targeted congressional
> races, for challengers and incumbants.
> 
> in about a year after starting down this path, the "Congressman, its 
> NagOn on line one" conversation would be slightly different from
> today, and in several years time, more so.
>
"A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step."

I don't know that a NagOn is the best way or the only way to make
progress.  I do know that the most likely source of that kind of
funding is (many of) our employers, who may not have technical
excellence on the top of their lists.  But I'm even more certain that
if technical people never speak up, their message will never be heard,
except perhaps by accident.

--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb



Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Eric Brunner-Williams

randy,

moveon is a maine-based org. it is an effective, fund raising, partisan 
organization. it is much more than a click-and-opine vehicle, it puts 
hundreds of thousands of dollars into competitive races, and has a 
competent political director.


to create a "NagOn" we would have to hire or appoint a political 
director, and a financial director, and charge each with framing the 
issue, and executing a seven figure plan, and a communications director, 
to put the message with the money in targeted media markets, and 
finally, to show teeth, drop the margin of error, or on the order of 
high five, low six figures, in targeted congressional races, for 
challengers and incumbants.


in about a year after starting down this path, the "Congressman, its 
NagOn on line one" conversation would be slightly different from today, 
and in several years time, more so.


eric



Randy Bush wrote:

I strongly second this.  To quote a bumper sticker/slogan I've seen,
"if you didn't vote, you shouldn't complain".  Some prominent
politicians have proposed something that we -- including me -- believe
to be a bad idea, not just on ideological grounds but because we think
that it won't accomplish its purported goals and may even be
counterproductive.  I don't see a lot of network operators in Congress
-- if you know better, you really need to tell them.



we need an easy way to click and opine, a la moveon.org, and other
social and political orgs.  maybe forwardon.org?

randy



  





Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Eric Brunner-Williams

+1

I operate a Maine ISP/ASP, and Senator Snowe is my lobbying target.


Steven M. Bellovin wrote:

On Sun, 30 Aug 2009 19:46:19 -0400 (EDT)
Sean Donelan  wrote:

  

On Sun, 30 Aug 2009, Jeff Young wrote:


The more troubling parts of this bill had to do with the President,
at his discretion, classifying parts of public networks as "critical
infrastructure" and so on.
  

Whatever your opinion, get involved.  Let your representatives know
about your better ideas.



I strongly second this.  To quote a bumper sticker/slogan I've seen,
"if you didn't vote, you shouldn't complain".  Some prominent
politicians have proposed something that we -- including me -- believe
to be a bad idea, not just on ideological grounds but because we think
that it won't accomplish its purported goals and may even be
counterproductive.  I don't see a lot of network operators in Congress
-- if you know better, you really need to tell them.

Some folks on this list -- and I know there are a few, very
specifically including myself -- spend more than a little bit of time
not just worrying about public policy issues, but actually spending
time and effort on the subject.  (I'm in D.C. right now, largely
because of a policy-related meeting on Tuesday.)  I'll misuses a
security slogan I've seen on mass transit facilities in the New York
area: if you see something, say something.  If no one tells Congress
that this is a bad idea, how should they know?
  

currently living overseas and finding all of this very amusing...
  

If any other country has solved the problem of protecting
Internet/data/cyber/critical/etc infrastructures and have some great 
ideas, it would be great to hear what those ideas are and how they

did it.



Indeed.

--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb



  





Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Randy Bush
> I strongly second this.  To quote a bumper sticker/slogan I've seen,
> "if you didn't vote, you shouldn't complain".  Some prominent
> politicians have proposed something that we -- including me -- believe
> to be a bad idea, not just on ideological grounds but because we think
> that it won't accomplish its purported goals and may even be
> counterproductive.  I don't see a lot of network operators in Congress
> -- if you know better, you really need to tell them.

we need an easy way to click and opine, a la moveon.org, and other
social and political orgs.  maybe forwardon.org?

randy



Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Sun, 30 Aug 2009 19:46:19 -0400 (EDT)
Sean Donelan  wrote:

> On Sun, 30 Aug 2009, Jeff Young wrote:
> > The more troubling parts of this bill had to do with the President,
> > at his discretion, classifying parts of public networks as "critical
> > infrastructure" and so on.
> 
> Whatever your opinion, get involved.  Let your representatives know
> about your better ideas.

I strongly second this.  To quote a bumper sticker/slogan I've seen,
"if you didn't vote, you shouldn't complain".  Some prominent
politicians have proposed something that we -- including me -- believe
to be a bad idea, not just on ideological grounds but because we think
that it won't accomplish its purported goals and may even be
counterproductive.  I don't see a lot of network operators in Congress
-- if you know better, you really need to tell them.

Some folks on this list -- and I know there are a few, very
specifically including myself -- spend more than a little bit of time
not just worrying about public policy issues, but actually spending
time and effort on the subject.  (I'm in D.C. right now, largely
because of a policy-related meeting on Tuesday.)  I'll misuses a
security slogan I've seen on mass transit facilities in the New York
area: if you see something, say something.  If no one tells Congress
that this is a bad idea, how should they know?
> 
> > currently living overseas and finding all of this very amusing...
> 
> If any other country has solved the problem of protecting
> Internet/data/cyber/critical/etc infrastructures and have some great 
> ideas, it would be great to hear what those ideas are and how they
> did it.
> 
Indeed.

--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb



Re: Ready to get your federal computer license?

2009-08-30 Thread Sean Donelan

On Sun, 30 Aug 2009, Jeff Young wrote:

The more troubling parts of this bill had to do with the President,
at his discretion, classifying parts of public networks as "critical
infrastructure" and so on.


Whatever your opinion, get involved.  Let your representatives know about 
your better ideas.



currently living overseas and finding all of this very amusing...


If any other country has solved the problem of protecting
Internet/data/cyber/critical/etc infrastructures and have some great 
ideas, it would be great to hear what those ideas are and how they did it.





Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Richard A Steenbergen
On Sun, Aug 30, 2009 at 01:03:35PM -0400, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote:
> >Also, a gig link on a Cisco will do approx 93-94% of imix of a gig  
> >in the values presented via SNMP (around 930-940 megabit/s as seen  
> >in "show int") before it's full, because of IFG, ethernet header  
> >overhead etc.
> 
> I've heard this said many times.  I've also seen 'sho int' say  
> 950,000,000 bits/sec and not see packets get dropped.  I was under the  
> impression "show int" showed -every- byte leaving the interface.  I  
> could make an argument that IFG would not be included, but things like  
> ethernet headers better be.
> 
> Does this change between IOS revisions, or hardware, or is it old  
> info, or ... what?

Actually Cisco does count layer 2 header overhead in its snmp and show
int results, it is Juniper who does not (for most platforms at any rate)
due to their hw architecture. I did some tests regarding this a while
back on j-nsp, you'll see different results for different platforms and
depending on whether you're looking at the tx or rx. Also you'll see
different results for vlan overhead and the like, which can further
complicate things.

That said, "show int" is an epic disaster for a significantly large 
percentage of the time. I've seen more bugs and false readings on that 
thing than I can possibly count, so you really shouldn't rely on it for 
rate readings. The problem is extra special bad on SVIs, where you might 
see a reading that is 20% high or low from reality at any given second, 
even on modern code. I'm not aware of any major issues detecting drops 
though, so you should at least be able to detect them when they happen 
(which isn't always at line rate). If you're on a 6500/7600 platform 
running anything SXF+ try "show platform hardware capacity interface" to 
look for interfaces with lots of drops globally.

-- 
Richard A Steenbergenhttp://www.e-gerbil.net/ras
GPG Key ID: 0xF8B12CBC (7535 7F59 8204 ED1F CC1C 53AF 4C41 5ECA F8B1 2CBC)



Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Bill Woodcock



If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity...

s/80/60/

s/60/40/


I would suggest that the reason each of you have a different number is
because there's a different best number for each case.  Looking for any
single number to fit all cases, rather than understanding the underlying
process, is unlikely to yield good results.

First, different people have different requirements.  Some people need
lowest possible cost, some people need lowest cost per volume of bits
delivered, some people need lowest cost per burst capacity, some need  
low
latency, some need low jitter, some want good customer service, some  
want

flexible payment terms, and undoubtedly there are a thousand other
possible qualities.

Second, this is a binary digital network.  It's never 80% full, it's  
never

60% full, and it's never 40% full.  It's always exactly 100% full or
exactly 0% full.  If SNMP tells you that you've moved 800 megabits in a
second on a one-gigabit pipe, then, modulo any bad implementations of
SNMP, your pipe was 100% full for eight-tenths of that second.  SNMP  
does

not "hide" anything.  Applying any percentile function to your data, on
the other hand, does hide data. Specifically, it discards all of your
data except a single point, irreversibly. So if you want to know
anything about your network, you won't be looking at percentiles.

Having your circuit be 100% full is a good thing, presuming you're  
paying

for it and the traffic has some value to you.  Having it be 100% full as
much of the time as possible is a good thing, because that gives you a
high ratio of value to cost.  Dropping packets, on the other hand, is
likely to be a bad thing, both because each packet putatively had value,
and because many dropped packets are likely to be resent, and a resent
packet is one you've paid for twice, and that's precluded the sending of
another new, paid-for packet in that timeframe. The cost of not dropping
packets is not having buffers overflow, and the cost of not having  
buffers
overflow is either having deep buffers, which means high latency, or  
having

customers with a predictable flow of traffic.

Which brings me to item three.  In my experience, the single biggest
contributor to buffer overflow is having in-feeding (or downstream
customer) circuits which are of burst capacity too close to that of the
out-feeding (or upstream transit) circuits.  Let's say that your  
outbound

circuit is a gigabit, you have two inbound circuits that are a gigabit
and run at 100% utilization 10% of the time each, and you have a megabit
of buffer memory allocated to the outbound circuit.  1% of the time,  
both
of the inbound circuits will be at 100% utilization simultaneously.   
When
that's happening, you'll have data flowing in at the rate of two  
gigabits
per second, which will fill the buffer in one twentieth of a second,  
if it

persists.  And, just like Rosencrantz and Guildenstern flipping coins,
such a run will inevitably persist longer than you'd desire, frequently
enough.  On the other hand, if you have twenty inbound circuits of 100
megabits each, which are transmitting at 100% of capacity 10% of the  
time

each, you're looking at exactly the same amount of data, however it
arrives _much more predictably_, since the 2-gigabit inflow would only
occur 0.001% of the time, rather than 1% of the time.   
And
it would also be proportionally unlikely to persist for the longer  
periods

of time necessary to overflow the buffer.

Thus Kevin's ESnet customers, who are much more likely to be 10gb or  
40gb
downstream circuits feeding into his 40gb upstream circuits, are much  
more

likely to overflow buffers, than a consumer Internet provider who's
feeding 1mb circuits into a gigabit circuit, even if the aggregation  
ratio

of the latter is hundreds of times higher.

So, in summary: Your dropped packet counters are the ones to be  
looking at
as a measure of goodput, more than your utilization counters.  And  
keep the
size of your aggregation pipes as much bigger than the size of the  
pipes you

aggregate into them as you can afford to.

As always, my apologies to those of you for whom this is unnecessarily
remedial, for using NANOG bandwidth and a portion of your Sunday  
morning.


-Bill






PGP.sig
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Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore

On Aug 30, 2009, at 1:23 AM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:

On Sun, 30 Aug 2009, William Herrin wrote:

If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity, it's time  
to start planning the upgrade. If your 95th percentile utilization  
is at 95% it's time to finish the upgrade.


I now see why people at the IETF spoke in a way that "core network  
congestion" was something natural.


If your MRTG graph is showing 95% load in 5 minute average, you're  
most likely congesting/buffering at some time during that 5 minute  
interval. If this is acceptable or not in your network (it's not in  
mine) that's up to you.


Also, a gig link on a Cisco will do approx 93-94% of imix of a gig  
in the values presented via SNMP (around 930-940 megabit/s as seen  
in "show int") before it's full, because of IFG, ethernet header  
overhead etc.


I've heard this said many times.  I've also seen 'sho int' say  
950,000,000 bits/sec and not see packets get dropped.  I was under the  
impression "show int" showed -every- byte leaving the interface.  I  
could make an argument that IFG would not be included, but things like  
ethernet headers better be.


Does this change between IOS revisions, or hardware, or is it old  
info, or ... what?


--
TTFN,
patrick

P.S. I agree that without perfect conditions (e.g. using an Ixia to  
test link speeds), you should upgrade WAY before 90-something  
percent.  microbursts are real, and buffer space is small these days.   
I'm just asking what the counters -actually- show.



So personally, I consider a gig link "in desperate need of upgrade"  
when it's showing around 850-880 megs of traffic in mrtg.


--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se






Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Nick Hilliard

On 30/08/2009 17:53, Shane Ronan wrote:

What system were you using to monitor link usage?


yrtg

Nick



Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Shane Ronan

What system were you using to monitor link usage?

Shane
On Aug 30, 2009, at 8:26 AM, Nick Hilliard wrote:


On 30/08/2009 13:04, Randy Bush wrote:

the normal snmp and other averaging methods *really* miss the bursts.


Definitely.  For fun and giggles, I recently turned on 30 second  
polling on some kit and it turned up all sorts of interesting  
peculiarities that were completely blotted out in a 5 minute average.


In order to get a really good idea of what's going on at a  
microburst level, you would need to poll as often as it takes to  
fill the buffer of the port in question.  This is not feasible in  
the general case, which is why we resort to hacks like QoS to make  
sure that when there is congestion, it is handled semi-sensibly.


There's a lot to the saying that QoS really means "Quantity of  
Service", because quality of service only ever becomes a problem if  
there is a shortfall in quantity.


Nick






Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Kevin Oberman
> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 2009 21:04:15 +0900
> From: Randy Bush 
> 
> > If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity, it's time to
> > start planning the upgrade.
> 
> s/80/60/
> 
> the normal snmp and other averaging methods *really* miss the bursts.

s/60/40/

If you need to carry large TCP flows, say 2Gbps on a 10GE, dropping
even a single packet due to congestion is unacceptable. Even with fast
recovery, the average transmission rate will take a noticeable dip on
every drop and even a drop rate under 1% will slow the flow
dramatically. 

The point is, what is acceptable for one traffic profile may be
unacceptable for another. Mail and web browsing are generally unaffected
by light congestion. Other applications are not so forgiving.
-- 
R. Kevin Oberman, Network Engineer
Energy Sciences Network (ESnet)
Ernest O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab)
E-mail: ober...@es.net  Phone: +1 510 486-8634
Key fingerprint:059B 2DDF 031C 9BA3 14A4  EADA 927D EBB3 987B 3751



Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Tom Sands
If talking about just max capacity, I would agree with most of the 
statements of 80+% being in the right range, likely with a very fine 
line of when you actually start seeing a performance impact.


Operationally, at least in our network, I'd never run anything at that 
level. Providers that are redundant for each other don't normally 
operate above 40-45%, in order to accommodate a failure.  Other links 
that have a backup, but don't actively load share, normally run up to 
about 60-70% before being upgraded.  By the time the upgrade is 
complete, it could be close to 80%.





Tom Sands   
Rackspace Hosting   


William Herrin wrote:

On Sat, Aug 29, 2009 at 11:50 PM, devang patel wrote:

I just wanted to know what is Link capacity upgrade threshold in terms of %
of link utilization? Just to get an idea...


If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity, it's time to
start planning the upgrade. If your 95th percentile utilization is at
95% it's time to finish the upgrade.

If you average or median utilizations are at 80% capacity then as
often as not it's time for your boss to fire you and replace you with
someone who can do the job.

Slight variations depending on the resource. Use absolute peak instead
of 95th percentile for modem bank utilization -- under normal
circumstances a modem bank should never ring busy. And a gig-e can run
a little closer to the edge (percentage-wise) before folks notice
slowness than a T1 can.

Regards,
Bill Herrin





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Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Peter Hicks

Nick Hilliard wrote:

Definitely.  For fun and giggles, I recently turned on 30 second polling 
on some kit and it turned up all sorts of interesting peculiarities that 
were completely blotted out in a 5 minute average.


Would RMON History and Alarms help?  I've always considered rolling them 
out to some of my kit to catch microbursts.



Poggs



Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Nick Hilliard

On 30/08/2009 13:04, Randy Bush wrote:

the normal snmp and other averaging methods *really* miss the bursts.


Definitely.  For fun and giggles, I recently turned on 30 second polling on 
some kit and it turned up all sorts of interesting peculiarities that were 
completely blotted out in a 5 minute average.


In order to get a really good idea of what's going on at a microburst 
level, you would need to poll as often as it takes to fill the buffer of 
the port in question.  This is not feasible in the general case, which is 
why we resort to hacks like QoS to make sure that when there is congestion, 
it is handled semi-sensibly.


There's a lot to the saying that QoS really means "Quantity of Service", 
because quality of service only ever becomes a problem if there is a 
shortfall in quantity.


Nick



Re: Link capacity upgrade threshold

2009-08-30 Thread Randy Bush
> If your 95th percentile utilization is at 80% capacity, it's time to
> start planning the upgrade.

s/80/60/

the normal snmp and other averaging methods *really* miss the bursts.

randy