Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Mike Leber


Patrick W. Gilmore wrote:
For the v6 'Net to be used, customers - you know the people who pay for 
those router things and that fiber stuff and all our salaries and such - 
need to feel some comfort around it actually working.  This did not help 
that comfort level.  And I believe it is valid to ask about it.


That is entirely correct and I'm glad you asked that question!  ;)

Let me explain:

(Lots of truisms here, bear with me!)

IPv6 is newer than IPv4.

As IPv6 is newer than IPv4, the equipment to support IPv6 natively is 
newer than legacy equipment already deployed that only supports IPv4.


As the equipment that supports native IPv6 is newer, there are fewer 
core networks that run native IPv6.


As these new IPv6 networks are deployed they are growing and developing.

(Like neurons forming connections, the IPv6 network is.)

Deployment of IPv6 in the core has been growing year to year, with that 
growth accelerating.  In fact, I'd tell trend watchers of business 
econometrics the accelerating growth curve both represents something 
important happening right now and something that is likely to have real 
world implications for Internet infrastructure companies in the future:


http://bgp.potaroo.net/cgi-bin/plot?file=%2fvar%2fdata%2fbgp%2fv6%2fas6447%2fbgp%2dactive%2etxtdescr=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29ylabel=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29with=step

(Short url: http://tiny.cc/An6fl )

If you are in the connectivity business, you can add a caption to this 
graph of your choosing:


Ignore at your own peril.

Or (I like this one):

I see opportunity.

However, the question still stands about the stability, and therefor, 
utility of the v6 'Net.  Is it still some bastard child, some beta test, 
some side project?  


As you know, the IPv4 Internet of today is a product of the hard work of 
people of yore (ok well, more seriously, a large number of the people on 
this list and at networks around the world).


The nature of things is that the coherent shared illusion of a single 
Internet routing table is the result of a rough consensus produced by 
years and years and years of accumulated business relationships and 
network engineer routing policy configurations.


IPv6 is going through that phase right now, at accelerated pace.

Perhaps geometric growth is not good enough for you as a business 
person.  Perhaps where we are on the curve is not good enough for you 
yet.  Perhaps you'd like to retire before working with another protocol.


I hereby apologize to you on behalf of IPv6 that it has not had the same 
three decades of deployment and experimentation as IPv4. ;)


IPv6 is not going to spring into existence as a fully complete global 
network to replace IPv4 on a specific flag day (December 21st 2012?).


IPv6 will grow in deployment at the same time the Internet continues to 
work, at what appears to be on a geometric growth curve, due to some 
reasons a business economist can write a paper about.  Network effect? 
Risk avoidance due to IPv4 run out?  Risk avoidance due to technology 
shift?  Yukon gold rush?  The after the fact result of careful planning 
by thoughtful people started years earlier?  Or perhaps, the projected 
functional economic value of IP addresses?


Or is it ready to have _revenue_producing_ traffic 
put on it?


IPv6 is production for some value of the word production.  We see 
traffic around 1.5 Gbps, peaks at 2 Gbps and growing...


Perhaps this says something about the amount of traffic that will be 
seen when it gets used widely.


1000 times as much?  (Our guess)  What's your guess?

Warning!  If you pick a low number you are saying that IPv6 is in 
widespread production use right now.  :-P


In summary, we have the standard Chicken  Egg problem.  No one cares 
about v6,


speak for yourself (introduce into evidence exhibit 1: the graph linked 
to above, exhibit 2: we note how part of the original poster's problem 
got fixed that day).



so no one puts anything important on v6,


speak for yourself (reference real traffic above).

Once upon a time, something called IPv4 was invented, and some people 
created hardware for it, wrote software for it, tried it out, wrote some 
papers, wrote some RFCs (after writing working code, the way it should 
be done LOL), and then experimented some more.  There were lots of 
problems that got solved, things that worked in real life in spite of 
theoretical problems, and bugs that got fixed.  Some companies got 
created... blah blah blah.


Sad times for the future of the Internet if we all need to use v6 
Real Soon Now.


Or, expect real freaking huge opportunity and dislocation ahead.

Of course, this dislocation may only affect some specific players and 
companies and industries.  For the regular user it could just happen 
transparently that by the time they get their next computer with 
Microsoft Windows 9 or Ubuntu Quick Quagga... it just works.


Imagine, what would it be like if all the core network operators 

Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Randy Bush
 I think you are stretching things to make a pithy post.  More  
 importantly, you are missing the point.

and hundreds of words do not cover that you accused HE of something for
which you had no basis in fact.  type less, analyse and think more.

randy



Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore

On Oct 14, 2009, at 9:32 AM, Randy Bush wrote:


I think you are stretching things to make a pithy post.  More
importantly, you are missing the point.


and hundreds of words do not cover that you accused HE of something  
for

which you had no basis in fact.  type less, analyse and think more.


I expanded to try and get you to see the point.  I obviously failed.   
I shall not bother to try again as I'm worried the failure was at  
least partially because you would rather be pithy than see the point  
not matter how fully explained.


As for facts, there is lots of basis.  HE has run a network for  
decades and has never let a v4 bifurcation happen so long.  Ever.   
They've run v6 for a few years yet it happened.  Asking the network in  
question's view on this perfectly reasonable - in fact the opposite  
would be unreasonable.


As for accusations, I challenge you to show where I accused them of  
anything.


Typing less does not mean you are actually thinking.  You should try  
the latter before your next pithy post.  Or at least read the post to  
which you are replying.


--
TTFN,
patrick




Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Randy Bush
 As for accusations, I challenge you to show where I accused them of  
 anything.

 From: patr...@ianai.net (Patrick W. Gilmore)
 Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 12:09:58 -0400
 Subject: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering
 In-Reply-To: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com
 References: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com
 Message-ID: 0a37fd5d-d9d1-4d89-ac8a-105612bb8...@ianai.net
 
 ...

 It is sad to see that networks which used to care about connectivity,  
 peering, latency, etc., when they are small change their mind when  
 they are big.  The most recent example is Cogent, an open peer who  
 decided to turn down peers when they reached transit free status.

 I never thought HE would be one of those networks.



Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore

You really can't read, can you?

And I spoke to Martin about it personally.  If he's OK with it,  
perhaps you should clam down?


--
TTFN,
patrick


On Oct 14, 2009, at 11:47 AM, Randy Bush wrote:


As for accusations, I challenge you to show where I accused them of
anything.



From: patr...@ianai.net (Patrick W. Gilmore)
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 12:09:58 -0400
Subject: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering
In-Reply-To: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com 

References: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com 


Message-ID: 0a37fd5d-d9d1-4d89-ac8a-105612bb8...@ianai.net

...

It is sad to see that networks which used to care about connectivity,
peering, latency, etc., when they are small change their mind when
they are big.  The most recent example is Cogent, an open peer who
decided to turn down peers when they reached transit free status.



I never thought HE would be one of those networks.



From: Patrick W. Gilmore patr...@ianai.net
Date: October 12, 2009 12:49:02 PM EDT
To: NANOG list nanog@nanog.org
Cc: Patrick W. Gilmore patr...@ianai.net
Subject: Re: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering


To be clear, I was not trying to imply that HE has a closed policy.   
But I can see how people might think that given my Cogent example.   
My apologies to HE.


And to be fair, I'm pounding on HE because they've always cared  
about their customers.  I expect Telia to care more about their own  
ego than their customers' connectivity.  So banging on them is  
nonproductive.



In summary: HE has worked tirelessly and mostly thanklessly to  
promote v6.  They have done more to bring v6 to the forefront than  
any other network.  But at the end of day, despite HE's valiant  
effort on v6, v6 has all the problems of v4 on the backbone, PLUS  
growing pains.  Which means it is difficult to rely on it, as v4 has  
enough dangers on its own.


Anyway, I have confidence HE is trying to fix this.  But I still  
think the fact that it happened - whatever the reason - is a black  
eye for the v6 Internet, whatever the hell that is.




Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Phil Regnauld
Patrick W. Gilmore (patrick) writes:
 You really can't read, can you?
 
 And I spoke to Martin about it personally.  If he's OK with it,
 perhaps you should clam down?

I know Randy to be a bit taciturn and hard to get through to sometimes,
but never of being a shellfish.

P.



Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Randy Bush
 You really can't read, can you?
 And I spoke to Martin about it personally.  If he's OK with it,
 perhaps you should clam down?
 I know Randy to be a bit taciturn and hard to get through to sometimes,
 but never of being a shellfish.

i am from the pacific northwest.  so shellfish is good.  it's endless
aggressive/defensive bs that is harder to let go by without calling it.

randy



Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Dave Temkin

Randy Bush wrote:
As for accusations, I challenge you to show where I accused them of  
anything.



  

From: patr...@ianai.net (Patrick W. Gilmore)
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 12:09:58 -0400
Subject: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering
In-Reply-To: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com
References: a05493650910120441i27550f17qaa7d3377824af...@mail.gmail.com
Message-ID: 0a37fd5d-d9d1-4d89-ac8a-105612bb8...@ianai.net

...

It is sad to see that networks which used to care about connectivity,  
peering, latency, etc., when they are small change their mind when  
they are big.  The most recent example is Cogent, an open peer who  
decided to turn down peers when they reached transit free status.



  

I never thought HE would be one of those networks.



  
The only thing Patrick is guilty of is not providing enough context. 

The party at fault here is Cogent.  If you re-read the entire thread and 
speak with Mike Leber, you'll find that HE offered peering and/or 
transit, for free, to Cogent - like they do to everyone else, and Cogent 
didn't take it, providing for the segmentation we saw.


-Dave



Re: Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-14 Thread Charles Wyble



On 10/14/09 8:11 AM, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote:


Typing less does not mean you are actually thinking. You should try the
latter before your next pithy post. Or at least read the post to which
you are replying.



Now now boys and girls. Settle down and be civil. :)



Is v6 as important as v4? Of course not [was: IPv6 internet broken, cogent/telia/hurricane not peering]

2009-10-13 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore

On Oct 12, 2009, at 5:23 PM, Randy Bush wrote:


sure would be nice if there was a diagnosis before the lynching

If this happened in v4, would customers care 'why' it happened?
Obviously not.
Why should v6 be any different?  It either is or is not production
ready.  I'm interested in HE's view on that.


many of us are interested in diagnosis.  few in your lynch rope.


I think you are stretching things to make a pithy post.  More  
importantly, you are missing the point.


For the v6 'Net to be used, customers - you know the people who pay  
for those router things and that fiber stuff and all our salaries and  
such - need to feel some comfort around it actually working.  This did  
not help that comfort level.  And I believe it is valid to ask about it.


Diagnosis is good.  Fortunately, anyone who cares knows exactly what  
happened on a technical level - HE has no v6 transit and does not peer  
with Telia; Telia had CW transit, then they didn't, now they do.   
Took less time to 'diagnose' than your one-liners took to write.  Were  
you actually interested in diagnostics, you would have spent some time  
looking as opposed to trying to be pithy to 10K of your not-so-closest  
buddies.


Unfortunately, and you damned well know this, we are not going to get  
a /real/ diagnosis out of a busted peering relationship.  Especially  
when one party is an incumbent telco.  HE typically - and properly -  
will not discuss such relationships (modulo Mike's Cogent post, which  
even he says is unusual).  And Telia won't discuss squat, full stop.   
So why it happened is a mystery, and will be for, well, ever.   
Diagnosis ends.


However, the question still stands about the stability, and therefor,  
utility of the v6 'Net.  Is it still some bastard child, some beta  
test, some side project?  Or is it ready to have _revenue_producing_  
traffic put on it?  When a network as solid and customer-oriented as  
HE can have a long outage to such a large network as Telia, I submit  
it is not.  I know, everyone is shocked.  But operationally speaking,  
this matters.  We can either say but it was just v6, or we can think  
about how to not have this happen again.  The former leads no where.   
Perhaps we should choose the latter instead of making pithy posts?


If that is a lynch rope, I will not bother arguing with you.  Pigs   
mud  all that.  But that doesn't make it wrong, or irrelevant.



In summary, we have the standard Chicken  Egg problem.  No one cares  
about v6, so no one puts anything important on v6, so no one cares  
about v6.  HE was trying harder to break that vicious cycle than  
anyone else, yet even they do not come close to supporting v6 as much  
as they support v4.  Sad times for the future of the Internet if we  
all need to use v6 Real Soon Now.


I asked for HE's view on that.  Would you mind explaining why you  
don't want to hear it?


--
TTFN,
patrick

P.S. Being a curmudgeon is useful from time to time.  But only if you  
are, well, being useful.