Re: Out-of-band paging (was: Web expert ...)

2010-07-28 Thread Brandon Ross

On Wed, 28 Jul 2010, Joel M Snyder wrote:

It's completely out-of-band, even more so than our old 
touch-tone-phone-paging system was, so I'm actually happier with the total 
performance.  Given that GSM coverage is increasing while pager coverage 
seems static or decreasing, SMS via out-of-band GSM looks like a great 
solution.


Be wary, there is a fast growing trend amongst mobile operators to 
outsource backhaul from their towers to IP network operators.  So far 
there are only a few that are using the same network as for other IP 
traffic, but the economy of scale motivations to combine onto a single IP 
network are strong and will not be resisted for long.


--
Brandon Ross  AIM:  BrandonNRoss
   ICQ:  2269442
   Skype:  brandonross  Yahoo:  BrandonNRoss



Re: Out-of-band paging (was: Web expert ...)

2010-07-28 Thread Joe Greco
 On Wed, 28 Jul 2010, Joel M Snyder wrote:
  It's completely out-of-band, even more so than our old 
  touch-tone-phone-paging system was, so I'm actually happier with the total 
  performance.  Given that GSM coverage is increasing while pager coverage 
  seems static or decreasing, SMS via out-of-band GSM looks like a great 
  solution.
 
 Be wary, there is a fast growing trend amongst mobile operators to 
 outsource backhaul from their towers to IP network operators.  So far 
 there are only a few that are using the same network as for other IP 
 traffic, but the economy of scale motivations to combine onto a single IP 
 network are strong and will not be resisted for long.

I would definitely consider the direction that cell and SMS is moving to
be at-risk and probably effectively in-band during a communications
crisis.  As I pointed out to someone else last night in private e-mail:

: [...] but TDM as a backhaul
: technology for cellular will eventually give way to all-IP based
: backhaul.  The pressures in the cellular space are particularly intense
: with the advanced(*) IP services that networks such as att wireless
: are selling to customers.  In some areas, data traffic already exceeds
: voice loads, and maintaining both TDM and IP backhaul for wildly varying
: loads effectively means ensuring excess capacity available on two
: different networks.  TDM in particular may be viewed as wasteful; it's
: possible to get better network efficiencies out of SIP/IMS based voice
: processing.
: 
: And then consider landlines.
: 
: TDM is an expensive and inefficient technology, when you look at it from
: the point of view of cost to implement and maintain.  If you're att and
: you're selling Uverse, for example, you're already encoding the POTS
: line as data to haul it over the copper/fiber to the customer.  Does it
: make a lot of sense to maintain a local central office switch that's
: essentially a dinosaur, converting TDM to VoIP at the CO, just to justify
: the continued existence of a switch at the CO?
: 
: Point is, TDM's goose is cooked.  Your cell phone's going to wind up on
: the same IP network that your landline's going to be on, and that's also
: likely to have overlap with consumer Internet connectivity.  It may not
: be that way today, or tomorrow, or next year, but let's be realistic, as
: efforts to cut costs are made, telcos are not going to see value for
: their dollar in maintaining completely separate networks, and they're
: going to touch.
: 
: (*) advanced == Internet access, we NANOG'ers consider it basic.

Please remember before anyone tries to correct me that I'm making
forward-looking statements about where things are likely to go, and not
just looking at the current state of the technology.  I see mobile data
as being strong growth, and mobile devices becoming plentiful, but the
demand for mobile voice is not going to grow in the same ways.  Just as
the early days of the Internet were dialup and low bandwidth sites, but
we transitioned to broadband and bandwidth-hungry sites that were made
possible as a result, we'll see a lot of that happen with wireless data
too.

What that really implies is that voice demand is going to remain more
or less constant when compared to the explosive growth of data; data 
demand is going to grow, and carriers will get to the point where 
they're running gigE to a cell tower.  Right now, maybe voice is of
sufficient importance and data is sufficiently new and problematic 
that there is some segregation internally of that traffic within the
carrier's networks, but even in the most optimistic case for network
segregation, I see it getting to the point where someone looks at the
picture in a few years and says, we've already got 1Gbps data pipes 
to our cell sites, why are we running voice over a separate 45Mbps 
pipe?

And as far as I can tell, that's happening a lot more quickly than many
people have expected.

I strongly agree with your conclusions about economy of scale motivations.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Joel M Snyder

On 7/28/10 3:40 PM, Joe Greco wrote:


I would definitely consider the direction that cell and SMS is moving to
be at-risk and probably effectively in-band during a communications
crisis.  As I pointed out to someone else last night in private e-mail:

 [summary: TDM will run over same infrastructure too]

I agree with you  Brandon in terms of the directions: yes, your local 
access (and your tower access for GSM) will likely all be backhauled 
over the same unexpectedly attenuated piece of fiber, causing your 
alerts to be as silent as your dial tone.


But... you can take this sort of 'single point of failure' argument 
almost as far as you want.  In the security business (where I spend most 
of my time), I see people do this a lot--they get deep into the 
ultra-ultra-ultra marginal risk, which takes then an enormous amount of 
money to mitigate.  It's an easy rat hole to explore, and often fun.


Obviously, using SMTP-to-SMS-over-the-Internet to tell yourself that 
your SMTP infrastructure is hosed is the wrong answer.


On the other hand, triply-redundantly engineering things to deal with 
the outage of the fiber that connects your building, POTS, GSM, and 
everything else may not be the right answer.  To some extent, there's 
the practical question of if my entire city is disconnected, do I 
really need to know about it since I probably can't do anything about 
it?  (Yes, I know your help desk would want to know, but 
realistically...)


I guess my point is: yeah, Brandon, Joe, you're right.  But, I've built 
the alerting solution that minimizes the risk I will miss an alert I 
care about while also minimizing my overall cost and minimizing the 
complexity of the alerting system.  I'm happy to make it better, 
cheaper, more robust, etc., but I think it's important to balance these 
things.  (I should also note, if anyone had any doubts, that I'm also 
one of those mom-and-pop ISPs, not Time-Warner or Verizon, so my concept 
of alerting is a bit different from someone who is trying to keep tabs 
on 1300 POPs in 40 countries...)


jms


--
Joel M Snyder, 1404 East Lind Road, Tucson, AZ, 85719
Senior Partner, Opus One   Phone: +1 520 324 0494
j...@opus1.comhttp://www.opus1.com/jms



Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Leo Bicknell
In a message written on Wed, Jul 28, 2010 at 04:38:25PM +0200, Joel M Snyder 
wrote:
 But... you can take this sort of 'single point of failure' argument 
 almost as far as you want.  In the security business (where I spend most 
 of my time), I see people do this a lot--they get deep into the 
 ultra-ultra-ultra marginal risk, which takes then an enormous amount of 
 money to mitigate.  It's an easy rat hole to explore, and often fun.

I agree worring about the cell site is not the worry.

However I suspect many of the folks relying on SMS have no idea how
it works inside the carrier.  There are in fact other points of
failure that may be much more single point.  For instance your
SMS likely passes through a database in the carrier network (in
case your phone is off).  That's redundant, right? Fully RAID'ed
and a hot standby spare and all that, after all it probably handles
SMS's for a few million customers.

Not always.

-- 
   Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/


pgpLJb4HXynlU.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Martin Hepworth
On 28 July 2010 15:42, Leo Bicknell bickn...@ufp.org wrote:

 In a message written on Wed, Jul 28, 2010 at 04:38:25PM +0200, Joel M
 Snyder wrote:
  But... you can take this sort of 'single point of failure' argument
  almost as far as you want.  In the security business (where I spend most
  of my time), I see people do this a lot--they get deep into the
  ultra-ultra-ultra marginal risk, which takes then an enormous amount of
  money to mitigate.  It's an easy rat hole to explore, and often fun.

 I agree worring about the cell site is not the worry.

 However I suspect many of the folks relying on SMS have no idea how
 it works inside the carrier.  There are in fact other points of
 failure that may be much more single point.  For instance your
 SMS likely passes through a database in the carrier network (in
 case your phone is off).  That's redundant, right? Fully RAID'ed
 and a hot standby spare and all that, after all it probably handles
 SMS's for a few million customers.

 Not always.

 --
   Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at 
 http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/http://www.ufp.org/%7Ebicknell/


(view from the UK where SMS is very very prevalent)

TXT's can take ages to deliver (hours days not uncommon).

GSM networks can get put to emergency access only so they don't get swamped
when a civil emergency occurs and emergency workers  need priority access to
mobile network.  eg 7 July 2005 in London

-- 
Martin Hepworth
Oxford, UK


Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Chris Adams
Once upon a time, Joel M Snyder joel.sny...@opus1.com said:
 Obviously, using SMTP-to-SMS-over-the-Internet to tell yourself that 
 your SMTP infrastructure is hosed is the wrong answer.

We even ran into this with paging and direct submission via TAP.  We had
a POTS line not provisioned over fiber (so not the same physical layer
as our regular connectivity), used a modem on a computer with a
dedicated UPS, etc.

Then we realized that our local paging provider was connected to us for
Internet access and sent pages to towers outside the immediate area over
the Internet.  Oops.

Now we use SMS and a GSM modem.  Since the cell carriers don't buy any
access from us, we're at least somewhat better off.

-- 
Chris Adams cmad...@hiwaay.net
Systems and Network Administrator - HiWAAY Internet Services
I don't speak for anybody but myself - that's enough trouble.



Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Joe Greco
 I guess my point is: yeah, Brandon, Joe, you're right.  But, I've built 
 the alerting solution that minimizes the risk I will miss an alert I 
 care about while also minimizing my overall cost and minimizing the 
 complexity of the alerting system.  I'm happy to make it better, 
 cheaper, more robust, etc., but I think it's important to balance these 
 things.  (I should also note, if anyone had any doubts, that I'm also 
 one of those mom-and-pop ISPs, not Time-Warner or Verizon, so my concept 
 of alerting is a bit different from someone who is trying to keep tabs 
 on 1300 POPs in 40 countries...)

I think my point's more along the lines of: don't expect to be able to
magically hand off a message to a service provider and expect that it
will be delivered; they have the same sorts of problems that you do, 
and the way things are going, they may even be using the same
infrastructure that you are.  That last bit in particular is worth
thinking about.

From my point of view, my ideal alerting system is probably something
like a smartphone running an app that's connected to the network
monitoring system, and can tell me:

1) when it has lost that connection, and

2) whatever problems the network monitoring system chooses to let me
   know about.

The old-timers would recognize this as one form of supervised circuit.

I don't really care about the possibility of lost messages so long as
I'm aware that I may not be in touch.  I'm perfectly capable of 
sorting that situation out myself.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Jack Bates

Joe Greco wrote:

From my point of view, my ideal alerting system is probably something

like a smartphone running an app that's connected to the network
monitoring system, and can tell me:

1) when it has lost that connection, and

2) whatever problems the network monitoring system chooses to let me
   know about.



I use the triple approach myself. Old fashioned TAP line, helpdesk 
notifications (they have plenty of methods of contacting me), and an out 
of band hard relay alarm that goes to the telco operators.


Some methods use direct circuits to neighboring town's fiber node, some 
things use the local town's fiber node, both taking different paths. 
It's extremely hard to get fully isolated. Monitoring server even has 
it's own separate UPS, though I really need to just throw an offsite 
redundant monitoring server up.


The app solution is one I actually believe to be the best method, but 
I'm a poor country folk and smart isn't exactly what I'd call this 
little phone.


Jack



Re: Out-of-band paging

2010-07-28 Thread Steve Gibbard

On Wed, 28 Jul 2010, Joel M Snyder wrote:

But... you can take this sort of 'single point of failure' argument almost as 
far as you want.  In the security business (where I spend most of my time), I 
see people do this a lot--they get deep into the ultra-ultra-ultra marginal 
risk, which takes then an enormous amount of money to mitigate.  It's an easy 
rat hole to explore, and often fun.


I think people are getting lost in the weeds here, and confusing 
technologies with paths.


My current employer has been upgrading its transit circuits, and spent 
time in the last few months worrying about diversity of the transit paths. 
But we didn't insist that one provider come in via metro ethernet, one via 
SONET, and one via a GRE tunnel.  What we did was have them bring in 
network maps, and make them sell us circuits that weren't running down the 
same streets as our other providers.


The same goes for your paging network.  If it's running over IP, that's 
not a huge problem.  If anything, if you're an IP engineer, it probably 
makes it easier for you to audit the setup.  Where you do have a problem 
is if it's running over YOUR IP network, but that's just a more accute 
version of the problem you'd have if your paging company were using fiber 
along the same path as somebody you were buying fiber from.


So, for paging, or out of band management, or redundant capacity, the 
rules seem pretty simple.  Buy from somebody who's not your customer. 
Audit whatever information you can get about their network paths to verify 
that they're not sharing segments with you.  And, for good measure, have 
some backup plans in case the notifications don't work.


You probably are better off if you have humans in a NOC, rather than a 
purely automated alerting system.  Those people can notice if you're not 
responding, and be creative.  Maybe they can figure out how to fix 
problems themselves.  If all else fails, they may be able to dispatch 
somebody to your house.  Remember, organizations have been tracking down 
critical personnel for far longer than there have been telephones.


Or are people here worried about a scenario in which the entire world is 
run off of one big interconnected IP network, and that when it fails it's 
not only not possible to make a phone call, but also not possible to get 
across town to alert the people who could fix it?  It seems to me that if 
things really got that bad, it might be pretty hard for even the most 
oblivious on-call person to miss.


-Steve