Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990. not so much. that kink came in later randy
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
I'm forced to peer with certain African providers in London and Amsterdam because they don't want to peer in Africa, where we are literally are an x-connect away from each other. And the reasons are not even because either of us is larger or smaller than the other... it's just legacy thinking and we're the new guy that has grown rapidly. Now we both have to pay for traffic to get sent to Europe and back. How nice... which is amusing given you have massive east coast to europe fiber capacity. randy
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Sunday, May 18, 2014 11:57:51 AM Randy Bush wrote: which is amusing given you have massive east coast to europe fiber capacity. My point exactly - as an operator, it costs me close to nothing given all the capacity we have (and can further light) on this path, but the other guys do not necessarily have that advantage. But that is beside the point - I'm willing to spend the money intra-Africa to avoid the silliness of switching in Europe. It's 2014... Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On May 16, 2014, at 10:06 AM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Blake, I might agree with your premise if weren't for a couple of items. 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. Not true. Most cell phones have HD cameras. Most CCD video cameras sold in the last 5 years are HD capable. 2) Most consumers who want to share video wouldn't know how to host it themselves, which isn't an insurmountable issue but is a big barrier to entry especially given the number of NAT'ed connections. I think this is much more of a problem than available bandwidth. Yes, but NAT is a temporary problem that is already gone for ~40% of the subscribers on the largest CMTS networks in the US and is disappearing for everyone else fairly quickly. It’s disappearing even faster for anyone who buys an X-Box One or gets an IPv6 Tunnel. An application on an X-Box One could literally solve the video hosting problem overnight. This is an example of the limitations on innovation posed by NAT which is one of the reasons it’s becoming more and more important to move forward with IPv6. Since there are enough drivers and that transition is already in progress, treating it like it’s a bigger problem than available bandwidth really doesn’t make sense to me. Available bandwidth is the much more insurmountable barrier at this point. 3) Most consumers who want to share videos seem to be satisfied with sharing via one of the cloud services whether that be YouTube (which was created originally for that use), Vimeo, or one of the other legions of services like DropBox. Sure, but there are other more interactive services that are under greater and greater demand and realistically, people will come to expect multi-party HD video chat as a given over time. The reason they accept it not working so far is because they haven’t seen it actually working. As it becomes more ubiquitous in other parts of the world, demand will grow in the US. Shared gaming experiences will be another driver. While games are engineered today to deal with the limited bandwidth available, developers are seeking ways to deliver a richer, more immersive interactive experience and that’s going to require more bandwidth. Once NAT can no longer be blamed as the primary barrier, bandwidth will be their next target. 4) Finally, upstream bandwidth has increased on many/most operators. I just ran the FCC's speedtest (mLab not Ookla) and got 22 mbps on my residential cable internet service. I subscribe to one of the major MSOs for a normal residential package. Good for you. I’m paying for business service at the middle tier in my area and get 27Mbps down and only 7Mbps up, both in what my provider tells me they are selling me and in most of my mLab _AND_ Ookla tests. If I went with DSL, the most I could get would be 1.5Mbps down and only 384Kbps up. I’ve been getting those same levels of service for more than 5 years now. Upstream bandwidth is definitely a limitation and it definitely hasn’t improved for many customers. Owen
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Traffic Symmetry is a distraction that the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS would like us to focus on. The reality is that $ACCESS_PROVIDERS want us to focus on that so that we don’t see what is really going on which is a battle to deeper (or avoid increasing peering capacity with) networks they think they can force to pay them more money. This is an age old tactic and it isn’t unique to $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. The larger $BACKBONE_PROVIDERS did it in the past, too. The first one was a railroad company turned telecom. Then came the remnants of PSI. Today, it’s the largest $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. Usually, this just results in harm to both sides and eventually a loss of subscribers. The $ACCESS_PROVIDERS have an advantage in the latter as they mostly avoid loss of subscribers through the fact that the subscribers don’t have anywhere else that they can usefully go. Owen On May 16, 2014, at 12:15 PM, Matthew Petach mpet...@netflight.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:52 AM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Traffic asymmetry across peering connections was what lit the fuse on this whole powder keg, if I understand correctly; at the point the traffic went asymmetric, the refusals to augment capacity kicked in, and congestion became a problem. I've seen the same thing; pretty much every rejection is based on ratio issues, even when offering to cold-potato haul the traffic to the home market for the users. If the refusals hinged on any other clause of the peering requirements, you'd be right; but at the moment, that's the flag networks are waving around as their speedbump-du-jour. So, it may be very 1990, but unfortunately that seems to be the year many people in the industry are mentally stuck in. :( Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On May 16, 2014, at 1:06 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes? 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a tiny group for long. Mike Yes… Scott is making what I consider a classic mistake. Attempting to define the future in terms of the limitations that users have adapted to from the past. Eventually, users do realize that the limitations are no longer necessary and then they won’t accept them. Unfortunately, this takes far longer than is desirable. Fortunately, this gives proactive and innovative service providers the opportunity to adapt the technology and remove those limitations before the users care. Unfortunately, it also gives other service providers the opportunity to try and hold users back even after they care. IIRC, there are awards in both categories. Owen
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Jason, In your first reply you mention a lot of we're all good, we comply, we don't do x etc However you seem to have forgotten to reply to question #1 that Arvinder asked. (#2 you were able to reply) http://comcrust.com/ is already four years old it would seem enough time to get an upgrade in place. Our tata upgrades are usually in place after a couple of weeks. Thanks, Bas On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:58 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/16/14, 7:56 AM, Vinny Abello vi...@abellohome.net wrote: I think he's questioning why packets from speedtest.comcast.net have CS1 if everything is supposedly equal, and what that is used for. A quick Wireshark shows that to be true right now running to your Plainfield, NJ speedtest site, and my network peers directly with Comcast. I'm kind of curious too. What is the purpose of this? Is it the traditional purpose of CS1 to be less than best effort or something else? If this is the case it seems Comcast would be purposely putting themselves at a disadvantage in speed tests when congestion is involved... or is this possibly on purpose to make peering problems look even worse during congestion? Ah! That makes sense now. CS1 is used internally to mark best effort Internet traffic. This has often caused confusion when folks see our markings. If folks want to send me any data off-list that you think merits further investigation, let me know (never know if something someplace is an honest config error). Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Sun, May 18, 2014 at 11:40 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Traffic Symmetry is a distraction that the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS would like us to focus on. The reality is that $ACCESS_PROVIDERS want us to focus on that so that we don’t see what is really going on which is a battle to deeper (or avoid increasing peering capacity with) networks they think they can force to pay them more money. This is an age old tactic and it isn’t unique to $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. The larger $BACKBONE_PROVIDERS did it in the past, too. The first one was a railroad company turned telecom. Then came the remnants of PSI. Today, it’s the largest $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. Usually, this just results in harm to both sides and eventually a loss of subscribers. The $ACCESS_PROVIDERS have an advantage in the latter as they mostly avoid loss of subscribers through the fact that the subscribers don’t have anywhere else that they can usefully go. Owen I agree it's a distraction from the primary reason behind it; today, networks using traffic ratios as the excuse why peering 'doesn't make sense'; even if the traffic ratios are balanced, though, I'm sure there would be another requirement, such as minimum number of prefixes announced (mass deaggregation should meet that one), minimum number of downstream ASNs announced (a 4-byte ASN for every rack switch cluster should handle that one), minimum backbone size (isn't everyone already doing 100G at this point?), present on multiple continents (isn't everyone?). When you get right down to it, though, it's all just hand waving around the age-old question of how many entities can I push to pay, without going too far, and alienating the entire rest of the internet? In years gone by, that line was relatively conservative; hosting spammers, for example, was thought to be a sure kiss of death that would lead all other networks to shun you, effectively cutting you off from the internet community. However, I think we've all seen that our notion of the power of the community was overstated; internet-wide shunning didn't materialize, we failed at being able to cut spammers off to a level that would make it unprofitable, and we still have thread after thread about BCP 38 compliance. Seeing that, it's really not surprising that networks would become bolder, no longer fearing widespread disapproval or community disaffection for actions that might have seemed more extreme in years past. I mean, at this point we can't even seem to effectively shame people into not leaking deaggregated prefixes, in spite of the weekly email to the list naming names, and in spite of Patrick's exhortations. Given all that, it really isn't all that suprising that a certain 3-digit ASN is trying to pull games like this, refusing to augment capacity in the hopes they can use their customer base as leverage. They've realized the internet has no teeth, so they can act with impunity. It's sad to see, but somehow, it's not all that surprising. So yes, Owen--I agree with you; it's not a new tactic, it's just being carried out more brazenly and with less and less fear of community opprobrium. Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 08:47:53 PM Blake Hudson wrote: How residential ISPs recoup costs (or simply increase revenue/profit) is another question entirely. I think the most insightful comment in this discussion was made by Mr. Rick Astley (I assume a pseudonym), when he states that ISPs have several options to increase revenue A) Increase price of their product, B) Implement usage restrictions, or C) Charge someone else/Make someone else your customer. I think he successfully argues that option C may be the best. As we've seen, the wireless market in the US went for option B. We've yet to see where the wireline market will go. Some of the operators, here in Africa, who are venturing into FTTH, are continuing on with their data caps. I suppose if you're primarily a mobile carrier who uses data caps to charge for access (and makes lots of money in the process for, pretty much, selling nothing), the model becomes attractive regardless of the medium. New providers who are not encumbered by this type of thinking, obviously, have a more flexible and forward- thinking business model. Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 08:52:31 PM Christopher Morrow wrote: is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Agree. We don't have a ratio requirement, for example. We have a if it makes sense requirement. I'm forced to peer with certain African providers in London and Amsterdam because they don't want to peer in Africa, where we are literally are an x-connect away from each other. And the reasons are not even because either of us is larger or smaller than the other... it's just legacy thinking and we're the new guy that has grown rapidly. Now we both have to pay for traffic to get sent to Europe and back. How nice... Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 09:11:56 PM Blake Hudson wrote: But hey, why peer at little or no cost if they can instead hold out and possibly peer at a negative cost? Because they hope that, one day, you'll cave and become a customer. Isn't that more prestigious :-)? Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 09:44:55 PM Scott Helms wrote: I don't think that anyone disputes that when you improve the upstream you do get an uptick in usage in that direction. What I take issue with is the notion that the upstream is anything like downstream even when the capacity is there. Certainly not - what I'm saying is that there can be a lot more upstream utilization than we are typically seeing today, if that stopper is unblocked. We can, then, take it from there... Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On 14-05-15 16:17, Keenan Tims wrote: As primarily an eyeball network with a token (8000 quoted) number of transit customers it does not seem reasonable for them to expect balanced ratios on peering links. Pardon my ignorance here, but isn't there a massive difference between settlement-free peering between large transit providers at the core which happens with balanced traffic, and some free peering at local exchanges at the edge where there is no expectation of balanced traffic, just an oppportunity to exchange traffic without using transit capacity. (isn't that how CDN nodes in a exchange works ? Lets ISPs connect to it and bypass transit links to save money ? Seems to me like the word peering shouldn't have been used to denote relationships at the core between the big guys if it is also used at the edge for a fairly different purpose.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Thursday, May 15, 2014 09:05:57 PM Joe Greco wrote: Hi I'm an Internet company. I don't actually know what the next big thing next year will be but I promise that I won't host it on my network and cause our traffic to become lopsided. You mean like almost every other mobile carrier the world over, and their data-capped services? Want to guess how many mobile carrier executives converge around a table on a daily basis to discuss how to stem growth in demand for traffic by their customers? Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality (was: Wow its been quiet here...
What you're missing is that the transit provider is selling full routes. The access network is selling paid peering, which is a tiny fraction of the routes. Considering they charge on a $per/mb basis I don't think its just routes they are selling. It looks a lot like they are selling bits. From the perspective of a content provider it looks like they swivel chair most those bits to access networks for delivery. That tiny fraction of routes on the access networks make up most delivered content. In total network size the access networks are larger although less spread out globally. Being globally connected is useful but it doesn't make a legitimate case for having exclusive rights to charge for content being delivered in North America. If you are planning to serve large scale data over oceanic fiber it's a strong selling point but that's not the case here. If instead of $per/mb traffic delivery you want to get into arbitrary justifications access networks have more directly assigned IP addresses than transit networks. I'm not making the case that a middle man should never be used, I'm making the case that they shouldn't be used where there isn't a requirement for one. Bypassing the middleman is generally better for everyone but the middle man. So, at the end of the week, I *had* been paying $10/mb to send traffic through transit to reach the whole rest of the internet. Now, I'm paying $5+$4+$4+$5+$2, or $30, and I don't have a full set of routes, so I've still got to keep paying the transit provider as well at $10. If this is the math you are using to justify your stance it's probably worth reconsidering. You ignore that each of those if sent through transit would have been $10 so the cost of $5, $4, and $2/Mb represent a savings of $5, $6,and $8. Why would you add them? Sure there are factors you have to evaluate like putting yourself under a minimum commit with $transit or if the amount of traffic is worth peering over but you would generally have to make those evaluations for peering anyway. The real difference is the volume of traffic needed before a $2/mb savings is worth peering directly for is higher than if the savings were the full $10 but that doesn't mean its never worth it. There is a difference between saying I did the math and transit remains the cheaper option and saying Paid peering would save us both money and improve performance at the same time but we refuse to do it anyway on principal. The concept of fair gets brought up a lot when talking about the ability of a startup to come in to compete against bigger players in the content space but really what do you think the impact is if the largest established content providers peer freely and smaller newcomers only have paid options available for traffic? Some other things I also want to get to: On Vi's analogy vs Amazon prime One major different I think people overlook is overusing Amazon prime would mean buying too many things from Amazon. Even when you purchase through companies selling through Amazon they get a cut of the sale and some of that I assume gets applied to covering any additional shipping costs not covered by Prime. If Internet traffic used the same model would ISP's receive a portion of proceeds for ad revenue on places like Youtube or a percentage of Netflix subscription fees? I'm not making the case that thats the model that should be used I'm only pointing out that analogies are best to break things down into simple terms for people but have diminishing returns in usefulness when getting into details. The other problem with Vi's analogy is the shipping company delivers to the driveway of the customer where a more real life scenario would be something closer to Amazon having a distribution center in that city, and both Comcast and FedEx are already both sitting idle in the parking lot. Amazon pays FedEx to give the package to Comcast in the next parking space, who then drives it to the customers house. Comcast says to Netflix, since I am the one driving this from the parking lot to the customers house, why not just pay me instead of paying FedEx more money to just put it on my truck? Amazon says, but FedEx will deliver the package to France if I tell them to. Comcast says, but you don't even serve france out of this distribution center, and I am not asking to be charged for all packages, only the ones I deliver instead of FedEx. Amazon says, you are right, we have technology to give your packages directly to you and stuff going to France to Fedex, and it would be best for both of us to do it, but unless you'll deliver my packages for free I'm going to keep paying FedEx to just keep loading them on your truck. Comcast says have at it, there are 5 trucks for FedEx to load freely now but if you need more you have to compromise with us on a deal that works better for both of us. Amazon says, when we are done with you in the media we won't need to compromise. Government regulation of interconnects I agree with
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On 5/15/14, 12:49 PM, arvindersi...@mail2tor.com arvindersi...@mail2tor.com wrote: I have two issues with the comments: 2. You mention that all packets treated equally - no games. Why does AS7922 assign the speed test different DSCP from regular internet connection? I have no idea what you are talking about. Our Internet traffic, including to speedtest web sites, is all best effort class data. Do you have more specific information? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On , Livingood, Jason wrote: On 5/15/14, 12:49 PM, arvindersi...@mail2tor.com arvindersi...@mail2tor.com wrote: I have two issues with the comments: 2. You mention that all packets treated equally - no games. Why does AS7922 assign the speed test different DSCP from regular internet connection? I have no idea what you are talking about. Our Internet traffic, including to speedtest web sites, is all best effort class data. Do you have more specific information? Jason I think he's questioning why packets from speedtest.comcast.net have CS1 if everything is supposedly equal, and what that is used for. A quick Wireshark shows that to be true right now running to your Plainfield, NJ speedtest site, and my network peers directly with Comcast. I'm kind of curious too. What is the purpose of this? Is it the traditional purpose of CS1 to be less than best effort or something else? If this is the case it seems Comcast would be purposely putting themselves at a disadvantage in speed tests when congestion is involved... or is this possibly on purpose to make peering problems look even worse during congestion? -Vinny
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
All the talk about ratios is a red herring… The real issue boils down to this: 1. The access (eyeball) networks don’t want to bear the cost of delivering what they promised to their customers. 2. This is because when they built their business models, they didn’t expect their customers to use nearly as much of their promised bandwidth as they are now using. Most of the models were constructed around the idea that a customer receiving, say 27mbps down/7mbps up would use all of that bandwidth in short bursts and mostly use less than a megabit. 3. New services have been developed (streaming video, et al.) which have created an increasing demand from customers for more of the bandwidth they were sold. 4. Instead of raising the prices to the access network customers or accepting that the lavish profits that they eyeball networks had been pocketing were no more, the access networks are trying to slough off the costs of delivering that higher fraction of what they sold onto someone else. 5. The content providers looked like an easy target with the advantage that: A. Some of them appear to have deep pockets. B. They are the competition for many of the access network’s other lines of business, so increasing their costs helps make them less competitive. C. Consumers are emotional about price increases. Content providers look at it as a business problem and perform a mathematical analysis. If their customer satisfaction impact costs more than paying the extortion from the access networks, they’ll pay it. In reality, if the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS wanted to satisfy their customers, they’d be aggressively seeking to peer with content providers in as many locations as possible. They might (reasonably) require content providers to build out to additional locations to keep their long-haul costs down (It’s reasonable, IMHO, for a content provider not to want to carry multiple gigabits of traffic from a content provider clear across the country for free. If $CONTENT_PROVIDER wants to access California customers of $ACCESS_PROVIDER, then it’s reasonable for $ACCESS_PROVIDER to insist that $CONTENT_PROVIDER peer in California for delivering those bits.) Neither side of this issue has completely clean hands. Both have been trying to take as much of the money on the table for themselves with limited regard for serving the consumer. The Access Networks have done a far worse job of serving the consumer than the content providers and that’s a big part of what is driving the current backlash. As a general rule, access customers don’t select the provider they love the most, they select the one they think sucks the least. I think the recent FCC NPRM is a bit optimistic in that it expects the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS to act in good faith. If they do, it will likely turn out to be a limited victory for the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. However, I don’t expect the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS to live within that limited victory. Assuming the NRPM becomes rule and then withstands the likely legal challenges, I expect they will, as usual, play in the gray areas of the ruling as much as they think they legally can and push the edges as far as possible to try and extort every dollar they can from $CONTENT_PROVIDERS with this so-called fast-lane (which we all know is just preferential peering and/or QoS[1] tuning). I suspect they will likely push this far enough that over the next several years, things will get progressively worse until the FCC finally decides that they have to move from section 706 to Title II. OTOH, if I’m wrong and the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS suddenly start behaving like civilized companies, develop a sudden concern for their customers’ experiences, and start unimaginably acting in good faith, the proposed rule wouldn’t be so bad for $CONTENT_PROVIDERS, $CONSUMERS, or $ACCESS_PROVIDERS. Of course, you can already see the $ACCESS_PROVIDERS laying the groundwork to try and mount a legal challenge against the FCC’s authority to use rule 706. Sadly, some of this groundwork is being laid by FCC commissioners. Said commissioners clearly have no interest in representing the people’s interest and are strictly there as mouth-pieces for some of the big players in the industry. Owen [1] QoS — A deceptive name if ever there was one. QoS is not about Quality of Service, it’s about screwing over network users by choice rather than by chance when you haven’t built an adequate network.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 7:56 AM, Vinny Abello vi...@abellohome.net wrote: I think he's questioning why packets from speedtest.comcast.net have CS1 if everything is supposedly equal, and what that is used for. A quick Wireshark shows that to be true right now running to your Plainfield, NJ speedtest site, and my network peers directly with Comcast. are you measuring inside the (for this) comcast network or after your cable-modem? I recall that the cable-modem(s) often (by docsis config) impose some qos markings on the lan-side of the connection. I think they can do the same on the WAN side for traffic leaving your site to the tubes... but you probably can't measure that as easily as with wireshark on your pc. -chris (also, is there some other equipment between your wiresharker and the cable-modem? could that equipment be re-marking/marking as well?)
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality (was: Wow its been quiet here...
On May 16, 2014, at 3:25 AM, Rick Astley jna...@gmail.com wrote: Broadband is too expensive in the US compared to other places I have seen this repeated so many times that I assume it's true but I have never seen anything objective as to why. I can tell you if you look at population density by country the US is 182nd in the world and the average broadband speed (based on OOKLA: http://www.netindex.com/download/allcountries/) is 30th in the world. South Korea that is well known for its fast broadband speeds has a density of 505/km vs the US at 32/km. We have about 1/15 of the population density and about 1/2 the average broadband speed. Hong Kong, Singapore, Netherlands, Japan, Macau etc. all have more than 10x the population density in the US so definitely not all countries with fast broadband make for a fair comparison and there are likely fewer that do. The UK is only beating the US by 2Mbps but has a population density of 262/km. So while its a fair assessment that broadband in the US is very bias to ignore some of the other factors involved. Another mistake I see people keep making is in comparing the cost of broadband in the US in $USD to other countries around the world. The cost of broadband in Estonia is only about $30/month. OMG, I can't believe broadband is cheaper in Estonia! What people ignore is everything is cheaper in Estonia, the average household income in Estonia is $14k vs $55k here. By that measure broadband is more expensive for families there than it is in the US. This is another point people repeat without bothering to qualify. This would be like my grandfather comparing the costs of a candy bar from back when he was a kid to today but ignoring inflation. I might be willing to accept this argument if it weren’t for the fact that rural locations in the US are far more likely to have FTTH than higher density areas because the whole USF thing has inverted the priorities. I live in the largest city in the bay area, yet there is only one facilities based provider in my area that can deliver 2mbps or more and that’s over HFC. Twisted pair is abysmal and there is no fiber. The situation is not significantly better in the densest city in the bay area, either. South Korea averages 4x US Speed for an average $28.50/month. US averages 1x US Speed for an average $45.50/month. (http://edition.cnn.com/2010/TECH/03/31/broadband.south.korea/) Korean average annual wage: $36,757 @ 21% tax = $29,038 take-home. US Average annual wage: $55,048 @ 29.6% tax = $38,753 take-home. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_average_wage) So that says KR take-home wage = ~75% of US wage. 75% of $45.50 is $34.125 So 4x speed is still approximately $5 cheaper per month in KR than in the US. Owen
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On 5/16/14, 7:56 AM, Vinny Abello vi...@abellohome.net wrote: I think he's questioning why packets from speedtest.comcast.net have CS1 if everything is supposedly equal, and what that is used for. A quick Wireshark shows that to be true right now running to your Plainfield, NJ speedtest site, and my network peers directly with Comcast. I'm kind of curious too. What is the purpose of this? Is it the traditional purpose of CS1 to be less than best effort or something else? If this is the case it seems Comcast would be purposely putting themselves at a disadvantage in speed tests when congestion is involved... or is this possibly on purpose to make peering problems look even worse during congestion? Ah! That makes sense now. CS1 is used internally to mark best effort Internet traffic. This has often caused confusion when folks see our markings. If folks want to send me any data off-list that you think merits further investigation, let me know (never know if something someplace is an honest config error). Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 03:54:33 PM Owen DeLong wrote: customers. 2. This is because when they built their business models, they didn’t expect their customers to use nearly as much of their promised bandwidth as they are now using. Most of the models were constructed around the idea that a customer receiving, say 27mbps down/7mbps up would use all of that bandwidth in short bursts and mostly use less than a megabit. And in general, models have assumed, for a long time, that customer demand patterns are largely asymmetric. While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, and making the gist of this thread an even bigger issue, if you discount the fact, of course, that Broadband in the U.S. currently sucks for a developed market. Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Social media is not a big driver of symmetrical traffic here in the US or internationally. Broadband suffers here for a number of reasons, mainly topological and population density, in comparison to places like Japan, parts (but certainly not all) of Europe, and South Korea. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:02 AM, Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu wrote: On Friday, May 16, 2014 03:54:33 PM Owen DeLong wrote: customers. 2. This is because when they built their business models, they didn’t expect their customers to use nearly as much of their promised bandwidth as they are now using. Most of the models were constructed around the idea that a customer receiving, say 27mbps down/7mbps up would use all of that bandwidth in short bursts and mostly use less than a megabit. And in general, models have assumed, for a long time, that customer demand patterns are largely asymmetric. While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, and making the gist of this thread an even bigger issue, if you discount the fact, of course, that Broadband in the U.S. currently sucks for a developed market. Mark.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 05:08:33 PM Scott Helms wrote: Social media is not a big driver of symmetrical traffic here in the US or internationally. Broadband suffers here for a number of reasons, mainly topological and population density, in comparison to places like Japan, parts (but certainly not all) of Europe, and South Korea. It might not be (now), but if symmetrical bandwidth will go in on the back of teenagers wanting to upload videos about their lives, the meer fact that the bandwidth is there means someone will find bigger and better use for it, than social media. We saw this when we deployed FTTH in Malaysia, back in '09. Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
- Original Message - From: Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, Oh yes; clearly, Twitter will be the end of L3. :-) Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? Cheers, -- jra -- Jay R. Ashworth Baylink j...@baylink.com Designer The Things I Think RFC 2100 Ashworth Associates http://www.bcp38.info 2000 Land Rover DII St Petersburg FL USA BCP38: Ask For It By Name! +1 727 647 1274
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Mark, Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Social media, even with video uploading, simply doesn't generate that much traffic per session. During peak period, Real-Time Entertainment traffic is by far the most dominant traffic category, accounting for almost half of the downstream bytes on the network. As observed in past reports, Social Networking applications continue to be very well represented on the mobile network. This speaks to their popularity with subscribers as these applications typically generate far less traffic than those that stream audio and video. https://www.sandvine.com/downloads/general/global-internet-phenomena/2013/sandvine-global-internet-phenomena-report-1h-2013.pdf Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:26 AM, Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu wrote: On Friday, May 16, 2014 05:08:33 PM Scott Helms wrote: Social media is not a big driver of symmetrical traffic here in the US or internationally. Broadband suffers here for a number of reasons, mainly topological and population density, in comparison to places like Japan, parts (but certainly not all) of Europe, and South Korea. It might not be (now), but if symmetrical bandwidth will go in on the back of teenagers wanting to upload videos about their lives, the meer fact that the bandwidth is there means someone will find bigger and better use for it, than social media. We saw this when we deployed FTTH in Malaysia, back in '09. Mark.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Jay Ashworth wrote the following on 5/16/2014 10:35 AM: - Original Message - From: Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, Oh yes; clearly, Twitter will be the end of L3. :-) Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? Cheers, -- jra Applications like Skype and Facetime (especially conference calls) would be one example where an application benefits from symmetric (or asymmetric in favor of higher upload speed) connectivity. Cloud office applications like storage of documents, email, and IVR telephony also benefit from symmetrical connectivity. Off-site backup software is another great example. Most residential connections are ill suited for this. I believe these applications (and derivatives) would be more popular today if the connectivity was available. --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Blake, None of those applications come close to causing symmetrical traffic patterns and for many/most networks the upstream connectivity has greatly improved. Anything related to voice is no more than 80 kbps per line, even if the SIP traffic isn't trunked (less if it is because the signaling data is shared). Document sharing is not being impinged, on my residential account right now I've uploaded about 30 documents this morning including large PDFs and Power Point presentations. Off site back up is one use that could drive traffic, but I don't believe that the limiting factor is bandwidth. We looked at getting into that business and from what we saw the limiting factor was that most residential and SOHO accounts didn't want to pay enough to cover your storage management costs. In our analysis the impact of bandwidth on the consumer side adoption was basically zero. There is no expectation that back ups run instantly. Having said all of that, even if hosted back up became wildly popular would not change the balance of power because OTT video is both larger, especially for HD streams, and used much more frequently. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:53 AM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: Jay Ashworth wrote the following on 5/16/2014 10:35 AM: - Original Message - From: Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, Oh yes; clearly, Twitter will be the end of L3. :-) Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? Cheers, -- jra Applications like Skype and Facetime (especially conference calls) would be one example where an application benefits from symmetric (or asymmetric in favor of higher upload speed) connectivity. Cloud office applications like storage of documents, email, and IVR telephony also benefit from symmetrical connectivity. Off-site backup software is another great example. Most residential connections are ill suited for this. I believe these applications (and derivatives) would be more popular today if the connectivity was available. --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Certainly video is one of the most bandwidth intensive applications. I don't deny that a 1 Mbps video call is both less common and consumes less bandwidth than an 8Mbps HD stream. However, if Americans had access to symmetric connections capable of reliably making HD video calls (they don't, in my experience), we might be seeing video calls as a common occurrence and not a novelty. I think the state of usage is a reflection on the technology available. If the capability was available at an affordable price to residential consumers, we might see those consumers stream movies or send videos from their home or mobile devices via their internet connection directly to the recipient rather than through a centralized source like Disney, NetFlix, Youtube, etc. Video sharing sites (like youtube, vimeo, etc) primary reason for existence is due to the inability of the site's users to distribute content themselves. One of the hurdles to overcome in video sharing is the lack of availability in affordable internet connectivity that is capable of sending video at reasonable (greater than real time) speeds. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 11:02 AM: Blake, None of those applications come close to causing symmetrical traffic patterns and for many/most networks the upstream connectivity has greatly improved. Anything related to voice is no more than 80 kbps per line, even if the SIP traffic isn't trunked (less if it is because the signaling data is shared). Document sharing is not being impinged, on my residential account right now I've uploaded about 30 documents this morning including large PDFs and Power Point presentations. Off site back up is one use that could drive traffic, but I don't believe that the limiting factor is bandwidth. We looked at getting into that business and from what we saw the limiting factor was that most residential and SOHO accounts didn't want to pay enough to cover your storage management costs. In our analysis the impact of bandwidth on the consumer side adoption was basically zero. There is no expectation that back ups run instantly. Having said all of that, even if hosted back up became wildly popular would not change the balance of power because OTT video is both larger, especially for HD streams, and used much more frequently. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:53 AM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net mailto:bl...@ispn.net wrote: Jay Ashworth wrote the following on 5/16/2014 10:35 AM: - Original Message - From: Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu mailto:mark.ti...@seacom.mu While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, Oh yes; clearly, Twitter will be the end of L3. :-) Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? Cheers, -- jra Applications like Skype and Facetime (especially conference calls) would be one example where an application benefits from symmetric (or asymmetric in favor of higher upload speed) connectivity. Cloud office applications like storage of documents, email, and IVR telephony also benefit from symmetrical connectivity. Off-site backup software is another great example. Most residential connections are ill suited for this. I believe these applications (and derivatives) would be more popular today if the connectivity was available. --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Blake, I might agree with your premise if weren't for a couple of items. 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. 2) Most consumers who want to share video wouldn't know how to host it themselves, which isn't an insurmountable issue but is a big barrier to entry especially given the number of NAT'ed connections. I think this is much more of a problem than available bandwidth. 3) Most consumers who want to share videos seem to be satisfied with sharing via one of the cloud services whether that be YouTube (which was created originally for that use), Vimeo, or one of the other legions of services like DropBox. 4) Finally, upstream bandwidth has increased on many/most operators. I just ran the FCC's speedtest (mLab not Ookla) and got 22 mbps on my residential cable internet service. I subscribe to one of the major MSOs for a normal residential package. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 12:38 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: Certainly video is one of the most bandwidth intensive applications. I don't deny that a 1 Mbps video call is both less common and consumes less bandwidth than an 8Mbps HD stream. However, if Americans had access to symmetric connections capable of reliably making HD video calls (they don't, in my experience), we might be seeing video calls as a common occurrence and not a novelty. I think the state of usage is a reflection on the technology available. If the capability was available at an affordable price to residential consumers, we might see those consumers stream movies or send videos from their home or mobile devices via their internet connection directly to the recipient rather than through a centralized source like Disney, NetFlix, Youtube, etc. Video sharing sites (like youtube, vimeo, etc) primary reason for existence is due to the inability of the site's users to distribute content themselves. One of the hurdles to overcome in video sharing is the lack of availability in affordable internet connectivity that is capable of sending video at reasonable (greater than real time) speeds. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 11:02 AM: Blake, None of those applications come close to causing symmetrical traffic patterns and for many/most networks the upstream connectivity has greatly improved. Anything related to voice is no more than 80 kbps per line, even if the SIP traffic isn't trunked (less if it is because the signaling data is shared). Document sharing is not being impinged, on my residential account right now I've uploaded about 30 documents this morning including large PDFs and Power Point presentations. Off site back up is one use that could drive traffic, but I don't believe that the limiting factor is bandwidth. We looked at getting into that business and from what we saw the limiting factor was that most residential and SOHO accounts didn't want to pay enough to cover your storage management costs. In our analysis the impact of bandwidth on the consumer side adoption was basically zero. There is no expectation that back ups run instantly. Having said all of that, even if hosted back up became wildly popular would not change the balance of power because OTT video is both larger, especially for HD streams, and used much more frequently. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:53 AM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net mailto: bl...@ispn.net wrote: Jay Ashworth wrote the following on 5/16/2014 10:35 AM: - Original Message - From: Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu mailto:mark.ti...@seacom.mu While that is true a lot of the time (especially for eyeball networks), it is less so now due to social media. Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth (like FTTH), putting even more demand on the network, Oh yes; clearly, Twitter will be the end of L3. :-) Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? Cheers, -- jra Applications like Skype and Facetime (especially conference calls) would be one example where an application benefits from symmetric (or asymmetric in favor of higher upload speed) connectivity. Cloud office applications like storage of documents, email, and IVR telephony also benefit from symmetrical connectivity. Off-site backup software is another great example.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Scott Helms wrote: Mark, Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Until my other half decides to upload a video. Is it too much to ask for a bucket of bits that I can use in whichever direction happens to be needed at the moment? Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Thanks for the insight Scott. I appreciate the experience and point of view you're adding to this discussion (not just the responses to me). While I might be playing the devil's advocate here a bit, I think one could argue each of the points you've made below. I do feel that general usage patterns are a reflection of the technologies that have traditionally been available to consumers. New uses and applications would be available to overcome hurdles if the technologies had developed to be symmetrical. I'm not saying that the asymmetrical choice was a bad one, but it was not without consequences. If residential ISPs sell asymmetric connections for decades, how can the ISP expect that application developers would not take this into account when developing applications? I don't think my application would be very successful if it required X Mbps and half of my market did not meet this requirement. Of course content/service providers are going to tailor their services based around their market. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 12:06 PM: Blake, I might agree with your premise if weren't for a couple of items. 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. 2) Most consumers who want to share video wouldn't know how to host it themselves, which isn't an insurmountable issue but is a big barrier to entry especially given the number of NAT'ed connections. I think this is much more of a problem than available bandwidth. 3) Most consumers who want to share videos seem to be satisfied with sharing via one of the cloud services whether that be YouTube (which was created originally for that use), Vimeo, or one of the other legions of services like DropBox. 4) Finally, upstream bandwidth has increased on many/most operators. I just ran the FCC's speedtest (mLab not Ookla) and got 22 mbps on my residential cable internet service. I subscribe to one of the major MSOs for a normal residential package. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 12:38 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net mailto:bl...@ispn.net wrote: Certainly video is one of the most bandwidth intensive applications. I don't deny that a 1 Mbps video call is both less common and consumes less bandwidth than an 8Mbps HD stream. However, if Americans had access to symmetric connections capable of reliably making HD video calls (they don't, in my experience), we might be seeing video calls as a common occurrence and not a novelty. I think the state of usage is a reflection on the technology available. If the capability was available at an affordable price to residential consumers, we might see those consumers stream movies or send videos from their home or mobile devices via their internet connection directly to the recipient rather than through a centralized source like Disney, NetFlix, Youtube, etc. Video sharing sites (like youtube, vimeo, etc) primary reason for existence is due to the inability of the site's users to distribute content themselves. One of the hurdles to overcome in video sharing is the lack of availability in affordable internet connectivity that is capable of sending video at reasonable (greater than real time) speeds. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 11:02 AM: Blake, None of those applications come close to causing symmetrical traffic patterns and for many/most networks the upstream connectivity has greatly improved. Anything related to voice is no more than 80 kbps per line, even if the SIP traffic isn't trunked (less if it is because the signaling data is shared). Document sharing is not being impinged, on my residential account right now I've uploaded about 30 documents this morning including large PDFs and Power Point presentations. Off site back up is one use that could drive traffic, but I don't believe that the limiting factor is bandwidth. We looked at getting into that business and from what we saw the limiting factor was that most residential and SOHO accounts didn't want to pay enough to cover your storage management costs. In our analysis the impact of bandwidth on the consumer side adoption was basically zero. There is no expectation that back ups run instantly. Having said all of that, even if hosted back up became wildly popular would not change the balance of power because OTT video is both larger, especially for HD streams, and used much more frequently. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 tel:%28678%29%20507-5000
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Michael, No, its not too much to ask and any end user who has that kind of requirement can order a business service to get symmetrical service but the reality is that symmetrical service costs more and the vast majority of customers don't use the upstream capacity they have today. I have personal insight into about half a million devices and the percentage of people who bump up against their upstream rate is less than 0.2%. I have the ability to get data on another 10 million and the last time I checked their rates were similar. This kind of question has been asked of operators since long before cable companies could offer internet service. What happens if everyone in an area use their telephone (cellular or land line) at the same time? A fast busy or recorded All circuits are busy message. Over subscription is a fact of economics in virtually everything we do. By this logic restaurants should be massively over built so that there is never a waiting line, highways should always be a speed limit ride, and all of these things would cost much more money than they do today. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Sun, Apr 27, 2014 at 8:21 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mark, Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Until my other half decides to upload a video. Is it too much to ask for a bucket of bits that I can use in whichever direction happens to be needed at the moment? Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Sun, Apr 27, 2014 at 5:21 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mark, Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Until my other half decides to upload a video. Is it too much to ask for a bucket of bits that I can use in whichever direction happens to be needed at the moment? Mike Sure, I've got two of those; they're called T1 lines, and they work equally well in both directions, even when the other half wants to upload cat videos. Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Blake, You're absolutely correct. The world adapts to the reality that we find ourselves in via normal market mechanics. The problem with proposing that connectivity for residential customers should be more symmetrical is that its expensive, which is why we as operators didn't roll it out that way to start. We also don't see consumer demand for symmetrical connections and with the decline in peer to peer file sharing we've actually seen a decrease the ratio of used upstream bandwidth (though not a decrease in absolute terms). I would like to deliver symmetrical bandwidth to all consumers just so those few customers who need it today would have lower bills but trying to justify that to our CFO without being able to point to an increase in revenue either because of more revenue per sub or more subs is a very tough task. I don't believe my situation is uncommon. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 1:20 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: Thanks for the insight Scott. I appreciate the experience and point of view you're adding to this discussion (not just the responses to me). While I might be playing the devil's advocate here a bit, I think one could argue each of the points you've made below. I do feel that general usage patterns are a reflection of the technologies that have traditionally been available to consumers. New uses and applications would be available to overcome hurdles if the technologies had developed to be symmetrical. I'm not saying that the asymmetrical choice was a bad one, but it was not without consequences. If residential ISPs sell asymmetric connections for decades, how can the ISP expect that application developers would not take this into account when developing applications? I don't think my application would be very successful if it required X Mbps and half of my market did not meet this requirement. Of course content/service providers are going to tailor their services based around their market. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 12:06 PM: Blake, I might agree with your premise if weren't for a couple of items. 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. 2) Most consumers who want to share video wouldn't know how to host it themselves, which isn't an insurmountable issue but is a big barrier to entry especially given the number of NAT'ed connections. I think this is much more of a problem than available bandwidth. 3) Most consumers who want to share videos seem to be satisfied with sharing via one of the cloud services whether that be YouTube (which was created originally for that use), Vimeo, or one of the other legions of services like DropBox. 4) Finally, upstream bandwidth has increased on many/most operators. I just ran the FCC's speedtest (mLab not Ookla) and got 22 mbps on my residential cable internet service. I subscribe to one of the major MSOs for a normal residential package. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 12:38 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net mailto: bl...@ispn.net wrote: Certainly video is one of the most bandwidth intensive applications. I don't deny that a 1 Mbps video call is both less common and consumes less bandwidth than an 8Mbps HD stream. However, if Americans had access to symmetric connections capable of reliably making HD video calls (they don't, in my experience), we might be seeing video calls as a common occurrence and not a novelty. I think the state of usage is a reflection on the technology available. If the capability was available at an affordable price to residential consumers, we might see those consumers stream movies or send videos from their home or mobile devices via their internet connection directly to the recipient rather than through a centralized source like Disney, NetFlix, Youtube, etc. Video sharing sites (like youtube, vimeo, etc) primary reason for existence is due to the inability of the site's users to distribute content themselves. One of the hurdles to overcome in video sharing is the lack of availability in affordable internet connectivity that is capable of sending video at reasonable (greater than real time) speeds. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 11:02 AM: Blake, None of those applications come close to causing symmetrical traffic patterns and for many/most networks the upstream connectivity has greatly improved. Anything related to voice is no more than 80 kbps per line, even if the SIP traffic isn't trunked (less if it is
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
I'd just like to point out that a lot of people are in fact using their upstream capability, and the operators always throw a fit and try to cut off specific applications to force it back into the idle state. For example P2P things like torrents and most recently the open NTP and DNS servers. How about SMTP? Not sure about you guys but my local broadband ISP has cut me off and told me that my 'unlimited internet' is in fact limited. The reality is that those people who are not using it (99.8%?) are just being ripped off - paying for something they were told they need, thinking that it's there when they want it, then getting cut off when they actually try to use it. It's not like whining about it here will change anything, but the prices are severely distorted. Triple play packages are designed to force people to pay for stuff they don't need or want - distorting the price of a service hoping to recover it elsewhere, then if the gamble doesn't pan out, the customer loses again. The whole model is based on people buying stuff that they won't actually come to collect, so then you can sell it an infinite number of times. The people who do try to collect what was sold to them literally end up getting called names and cut off - terms like excessive bandwidth user and network abuser are used to describe paying customers. With regard to the peering disputes, it's hardly surprising that their business partners are treated with the same attitude as their customers. Besides, if you cut off the customers and peers who are causing that saturation, then the existing peering links can support an infinite number of idle subscribers. The next phase is usage-based-billing which is kind of like having to pay a fine for using it, so they can artificially push the price point lower and hopefully get some more idle customers. That will help get the demand down and keep the infrastructure nice and idle. When you're paying for every cat video maybe you realize you can live without it instead. Everyone has been trained so well, they don't even flinch anymore when they hear about over subscription, and they apologize for the people who are doing it to them. The restaurant analogy is incorrect - you can go to the restaurant next door if a place is busy, thus they have pressure to increase their capacity if they want to sell more meals. With broadband you can't go anywhere else, (for most people) there's only one restaurant, and there's a week long waiting list. If you don't like it, you're probably an abuser or excessive eater anyway. -Laszlo On May 16, 2014, at 5:34 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Michael, No, its not too much to ask and any end user who has that kind of requirement can order a business service to get symmetrical service but the reality is that symmetrical service costs more and the vast majority of customers don't use the upstream capacity they have today. I have personal insight into about half a million devices and the percentage of people who bump up against their upstream rate is less than 0.2%. I have the ability to get data on another 10 million and the last time I checked their rates were similar. This kind of question has been asked of operators since long before cable companies could offer internet service. What happens if everyone in an area use their telephone (cellular or land line) at the same time? A fast busy or recorded All circuits are busy message. Over subscription is a fact of economics in virtually everything we do. By this logic restaurants should be massively over built so that there is never a waiting line, highways should always be a speed limit ride, and all of these things would cost much more money than they do today. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Sun, Apr 27, 2014 at 8:21 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mark, Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Until my other half decides to upload a video. Is it too much to ask for a bucket of bits that I can use in whichever direction happens to be needed at the moment? Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Oh, I'm not proposing symmetrical connectivity at all. I'm just supporting the argument that in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric when the overwhelming majority of what they're selling (and have been selling for over a decade) is asymmetric connectivity. Their traffic imbalance is, arguably, their own doing. How residential ISPs recoup costs (or simply increase revenue/profit) is another question entirely. I think the most insightful comment in this discussion was made by Mr. Rick Astley (I assume a pseudonym), when he states that ISPs have several options to increase revenue A) Increase price of their product, B) Implement usage restrictions, or C) Charge someone else/Make someone else your customer. I think he successfully argues that option C may be the best. As we've seen, the wireless market in the US went for option B. We've yet to see where the wireline market will go. Of course, the market would ideally keep ISPs' demands for revenue/profit in check and we'd all reach a satisfactory solution. One of the arguments, one I happen to support, in this thread is that there is not a free market for internet connectivity in many parts of the US. If there was, I believe Comcast would be focusing on how to provide a balance between the best product at the lowest cost and not on how they can monetize their paying customers in order to increase profits. I appreciate honesty; When a service provider advertises X Mbps Internet speeds, I expect they can deliver on their claims (to the whole Internet, and not just the portions of it they've decided). I understand congestion, overselling, etc. But choosing which portions of the internet work well and which don't is a lot more like censorship than service. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 12:39 PM: Blake, You're absolutely correct. The world adapts to the reality that we find ourselves in via normal market mechanics. The problem with proposing that connectivity for residential customers should be more symmetrical is that its expensive, which is why we as operators didn't roll it out that way to start. We also don't see consumer demand for symmetrical connections and with the decline in peer to peer file sharing we've actually seen a decrease the ratio of used upstream bandwidth (though not a decrease in absolute terms). I would like to deliver symmetrical bandwidth to all consumers just so those few customers who need it today would have lower bills but trying to justify that to our CFO without being able to point to an increase in revenue either because of more revenue per sub or more subs is a very tough task. I don't believe my situation is uncommon. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 1:20 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net mailto:bl...@ispn.net wrote: Thanks for the insight Scott. I appreciate the experience and point of view you're adding to this discussion (not just the responses to me). While I might be playing the devil's advocate here a bit, I think one could argue each of the points you've made below. I do feel that general usage patterns are a reflection of the technologies that have traditionally been available to consumers. New uses and applications would be available to overcome hurdles if the technologies had developed to be symmetrical. I'm not saying that the asymmetrical choice was a bad one, but it was not without consequences. If residential ISPs sell asymmetric connections for decades, how can the ISP expect that application developers would not take this into account when developing applications? I don't think my application would be very successful if it required X Mbps and half of my market did not meet this requirement. Of course content/service providers are going to tailor their services based around their market. --Blake Scott Helms wrote the following on 5/16/2014 12:06 PM: Blake, I might agree with your premise if weren't for a couple of items. 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. 2) Most consumers who want to share video wouldn't know how to host it themselves, which isn't an insurmountable issue but is a big barrier to entry especially given the number of NAT'ed connections. I think this is much more of a problem than available bandwidth. 3) Most consumers who want to share videos seem to be satisfied with sharing via one of the cloud services whether that be YouTube (which was created originally for that use), Vimeo, or one of the other legions of
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Lazlo, You're correct that some applications are being restricted, but AFAIK in North America they are all being restricted for quite valid network management reasons. While back in the day I ran Sendmail and sometimes qmail on my home connection I was also responsible with my mail server and more importantly the world was different. The threat from an open relay or mail server with a compromise is much higher, in part because the speeds are higher, but also because the attackers are more sophisticated and the hardware the mail server is running on is much more powerful. P2P is _not_ being blocked legally anywhere and if you believe that it is then you should complain to the FCC in the US or the CRTC in Canada. Running a DNS or NTP server that's open to the Internet on a home connection should NOT be allowed. I'm sorry if you're one of the few people who can run those services effectively and safely (just like SMTP) but the vast majority of customers can't and in most cases they aren't running them intentionally. I won't get into marketing, that's not what I do and I agree that unlimited seems to mean something other than the way I understand it but that's no different from unlimited telephone service, all you can eat buffets, or just about anywhere else you can see the word unlimited or all in marketing. I'd also like to see much more competition in the market and that's one the things I work to accomplish. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:38 PM, Laszlo Hanyecz las...@heliacal.net wrote: I'd just like to point out that a lot of people are in fact using their upstream capability, and the operators always throw a fit and try to cut off specific applications to force it back into the idle state. For example P2P things like torrents and most recently the open NTP and DNS servers. How about SMTP? Not sure about you guys but my local broadband ISP has cut me off and told me that my 'unlimited internet' is in fact limited. The reality is that those people who are not using it (99.8%?) are just being ripped off - paying for something they were told they need, thinking that it's there when they want it, then getting cut off when they actually try to use it. It's not like whining about it here will change anything, but the prices are severely distorted. Triple play packages are designed to force people to pay for stuff they don't need or want - distorting the price of a service hoping to recover it elsewhere, then if the gamble doesn't pan out, the customer loses again. The whole model is based on people buying stuff that they won't actually come to collect, so then you can sell it an infinite number of times. The people who do try to collect what was sold to them literally end up getting called names and cut off - terms like excessive bandwidth user and network abuser are used to describe paying customers. With regard to the peering disputes, it's hardly surprising that their business partners are treated with the same attitude as their customers. Besides, if you cut off the customers and peers who are causing that saturation, then the existing peering links can support an infinite number of idle subscribers. The next phase is usage-based-billing which is kind of like having to pay a fine for using it, so they can artificially push the price point lower and hopefully get some more idle customers. That will help get the demand down and keep the infrastructure nice and idle. When you're paying for every cat video maybe you realize you can live without it instead. Everyone has been trained so well, they don't even flinch anymore when they hear about over subscription, and they apologize for the people who are doing it to them. The restaurant analogy is incorrect - you can go to the restaurant next door if a place is busy, thus they have pressure to increase their capacity if they want to sell more meals. With broadband you can't go anywhere else, (for most people) there's only one restaurant, and there's a week long waiting list. If you don't like it, you're probably an abuser or excessive eater anyway. -Laszlo On May 16, 2014, at 5:34 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Michael, No, its not too much to ask and any end user who has that kind of requirement can order a business service to get symmetrical service but the reality is that symmetrical service costs more and the vast majority of customers don't use the upstream capacity they have today. I have personal insight into about half a million devices and the percentage of people who bump up against their upstream rate is less than 0.2%. I have the ability to get data on another 10 million and the last time I checked their rates were similar. This kind of question has been asked of operators since long
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Blake, I'm not sure what the relationship between what an access network sells has to do with how their peering is done. I realize that everyone's favorite target is Comcast right now, but would anyone bat an eye over ATT making the same requirement since they have much more in the way of transit traffic? I don't think anyone forced Level 3 into their peering agreement with Comcast and it was (roughly) symmetrical for years before Level 3 was contracted by Netflix. Shouldn't Level 3 gone to Comcast and told them they needed to change their peering or get a different contract? Why was Cogent able to maintain (roughly) symmetrical traffic with Comcast when they were the primary path for Netflix to Comcast users? Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: Oh, I'm not proposing symmetrical connectivity at all. I'm just supporting the argument that in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric when the overwhelming majority of what they're selling (and have been selling for over a decade) is asymmetric connectivity. Their traffic imbalance is, arguably, their own doing. How residential ISPs recoup costs (or simply increase revenue/profit) is another question entirely. I think the most insightful comment in this discussion was made by Mr. Rick Astley (I assume a pseudonym), when he states that ISPs have several options to increase revenue A) Increase price of their product, B) Implement usage restrictions, or C) Charge someone else/Make someone else your customer. I think he successfully argues that option C may be the best. As we've seen, the wireless market in the US went for option B. We've yet to see where the wireline market will go. Of course, the market would ideally keep ISPs' demands for revenue/profit in check and we'd all reach a satisfactory solution. One of the arguments, one I happen to support, in this thread is that there is not a free market for internet connectivity in many parts of the US. If there was, I believe Comcast would be focusing on how to provide a balance between the best product at the lowest cost and not on how they can monetize their paying customers in order to increase profits. I appreciate honesty; When a service provider advertises X Mbps Internet speeds, I expect they can deliver on their claims (to the whole Internet, and not just the portions of it they've decided). I understand congestion, overselling, etc. But choosing which portions of the internet work well and which don't is a lot more like censorship than service. --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Christopher Morrow wrote the following on 5/16/2014 1:52 PM: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. I agree about the term being passe ...and that it never applied to ISPs ...and that peering is about cost reduction, reliability, and performance. It seems to me that many CDNs or content providers want to setup peering relationships and are willing to do so at a cost to them in order to bypass the internet middle men. But I mention traffic ratios because some folks in this discussion seem to be using it as justification for not peering. But hey, why peer at little or no cost if they can instead hold out and possibly peer at a negative cost? --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
All this talk about symmetry and asymmetry is interesting. Has anyone actually quantified how much congestion is due to buffer bloat which is, in turn, exacerbated by asymmetric connections? James R. Cutler james.cut...@consultant.com PGP keys at http://pgp.mit.edu signature.asc Description: Message signed with OpenPGP using GPGMail
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:52 AM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Traffic asymmetry across peering connections was what lit the fuse on this whole powder keg, if I understand correctly; at the point the traffic went asymmetric, the refusals to augment capacity kicked in, and congestion became a problem. I've seen the same thing; pretty much every rejection is based on ratio issues, even when offering to cold-potato haul the traffic to the home market for the users. If the refusals hinged on any other clause of the peering requirements, you'd be right; but at the moment, that's the flag networks are waving around as their speedbump-du-jour. So, it may be very 1990, but unfortunately that seems to be the year many people in the industry are mentally stuck in. :( Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 12:14 PM, James R Cutler james.cut...@consultant.com wrote: All this talk about symmetry and asymmetry is interesting. Has anyone actually quantified how much congestion is due to buffer bloat which is, in turn, exacerbated by asymmetric connections? James R. Cutler james.cut...@consultant.com PGP keys at http://pgp.mit.edu I think you might have the cart before the horse. If there's no congestion on a peering link, buffering doesn't come into play, at least not within the transport infrastructure. We're not talking congestion on the last mile side, we're looking at congestion on the interconnect links between networks, typically 10G or 100G ports. Unless you're running those links near or at capacity, buffering should be a complete non-issue. And if you're running those links at capacity, then the congestion is due to too much traffic, period, not to the size of buffers involved on either side of the link. ^_^; Thanks! Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Matthew, There is a difference between what should be philosophically and what happened with Level 3 which is a contractual issue. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 3:15 PM, Matthew Petach mpet...@netflight.comwrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:52 AM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Traffic asymmetry across peering connections was what lit the fuse on this whole powder keg, if I understand correctly; at the point the traffic went asymmetric, the refusals to augment capacity kicked in, and congestion became a problem. I've seen the same thing; pretty much every rejection is based on ratio issues, even when offering to cold-potato haul the traffic to the home market for the users. If the refusals hinged on any other clause of the peering requirements, you'd be right; but at the moment, that's the flag networks are waving around as their speedbump-du-jour. So, it may be very 1990, but unfortunately that seems to be the year many people in the industry are mentally stuck in. :( Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 05:35:39 PM Jay Ashworth wrote: Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? What we saw with FTTH deployments is that customers uploaded more videos and photos to Youtube, Facebook, MySpace, e.t.c. They didn't do this on ADSL as much (it's too frustrating). When that caught on, customers started buying online backup services - synchronizing backups of their home or office computers to remote backup infrastructure. Again, they never did this with ADSL. What we learned: don't take it for granted that you will always know what your customers (or the content providers who serve them) will do with the bandwidth. If they have it, expect the worst, and plan for it as best you can. Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 3:15 PM, Matthew Petach mpet...@netflight.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:52 AM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Traffic asymmetry across peering connections was what lit the fuse on this whole powder keg, if I understand correctly; at the point the traffic went asymmetric, the refusals to augment capacity kicked in, and congestion became a problem. Is it that? or is it that planning at some ISP pair had a '6 months to upgrade' regularly penciled in, then 'all of a sudden' their links were filling up faster than every 6months and... now they are 1x or 2x upgrade cycles behind? I imagine that up to a point upgrading a router that does only 'peering' (SFP) is 'easy', but at some step function of upgrades on the edge ports you need to provision more backhaul and more core and probably upgrade the link types and the chassis and ... At some ISPs this process involves more than 1 dude/group. So coordination and budget issues and scheduling ... become a bit harder. Adjusting to the new reality of 'you need to plan for pipe filling more often, increase upgrade cycle crank speed!' seems like at least one problem, to me at least. It's really hard to tell what's upsetting people about this whole topic :( There's a mix of 'my access link blows' to 'isps should peer better and for freer' and a bunch of other stuff all mixed in the middle :( I've seen the same thing; pretty much every rejection is based on ratio issues, even when offering to cold-potato haul the traffic to the home market for the users. yes, welp... it's often rough to get folk who want to think in terms of apples to suddenly thing in terms of the new best fruit 'acai berry'. Especially at large and entrenched organizations. If the refusals hinged on any other clause of the peering requirements, you'd be right; but at the moment, that's the flag networks are waving around as their speedbump-du-jour. sure, it's also super easy for them to do this, see entrenched org comment above. it seems to me that the point of peering is not stalin voice'ratio or bust'/stalin voice but 'mutual benefit'. If a skewed ratio of 100:1 in a local market still is cheaper than 'backhaul that traffic from LHR to SFO' there's mutual benefit and a reason to peer. I understand that this is a bit of a rosy landscape I'm painting, but... So, it may be very 1990, but unfortunately that seems to be the year many people in the industry are mentally stuck in. :( oh, entrenched. I see. thanks! -chris
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 3:11 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: Christopher Morrow wrote the following on 5/16/2014 1:52 PM: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. I agree about the term being passe ...and that it never applied to ISPs ...and that peering is about cost reduction, reliability, and performance. ok. It seems to me that many CDNs or content providers want to setup peering relationships and are willing to do so at a cost to them in order to bypass the internet middle men. But I mention traffic ratios because some folks 'the internet middle men' - is really, it seems to me, 'people I have no business relationship with'. There's also no way to control the capacity planning process with these middle-men, right? Some AS in the middle of my 3-AS-way conversation isn't someone I can capacity plan with :( -chris in this discussion seem to be using it as justification for not peering. But hey, why peer at little or no cost if they can instead hold out and possibly peer at a negative cost? --Blake
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On Friday, May 16, 2014 05:45:06 PM Scott Helms wrote: Bandwidth use trends are actually increasingly asymmetical because of the popularity of OTT video. Social media, even with video uploading, simply doesn't generate that much traffic per session. Our experience showed that there is a direct co-relation between the lack of traffic in the upstream direction and poor upload bandwidth (primarily, due to asymmetric tech. such as ADSL), e.g., because of the ADSL I have at home (512Kbps up, 4Mbps down), I generally do not send very large e-mails when working from home; nor do I use my laptop for remote router/switch updates as the software images are a nightmare to upload. And yes, there is a larger proportion of downstream traffic than there is upstream traffic pretty much most of the time (even with symmetric links). However, with symmetry, upstream traffic will increase significantly as customers realize it is now available. One of the use-cases we thought about when deploying an FTTH backbone was having remote PVR's. So rather than record and save linear Tv programming on the STB, record and save it in the network. This could only be done with symmetric bandwidth. Mark. signature.asc Description: This is a digitally signed message part.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Mark, I don't think that anyone disputes that when you improve the upstream you do get an uptick in usage in that direction. What I take issue with is the notion that the upstream is anything like downstream even when the capacity is there. Upstream on ADSL is horribad, especially the first generations (g.lite and g.dmt). Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 3:25 PM, Mark Tinka mark.ti...@seacom.mu wrote: On Friday, May 16, 2014 05:35:39 PM Jay Ashworth wrote: Could you expand a bit, Mark on Social media forces the use of symmetric bandwidth? Which social media platform is it that you think has a) symmetrical flows that b) are big enough to figure into transit symmetry? What we saw with FTTH deployments is that customers uploaded more videos and photos to Youtube, Facebook, MySpace, e.t.c. They didn't do this on ADSL as much (it's too frustrating). When that caught on, customers started buying online backup services - synchronizing backups of their home or office computers to remote backup infrastructure. Again, they never did this with ADSL. What we learned: don't take it for granted that you will always know what your customers (or the content providers who serve them) will do with the bandwidth. If they have it, expect the worst, and plan for it as best you can. Mark.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Scott Helms wrote: Michael, No, its not too much to ask and any end user who has that kind of requirement can order a business service to get symmetrical service but the reality is that symmetrical service costs more and the vast majority of customers don't use the upstream capacity they have today. I have personal insight into about half a million devices and the percentage of people who bump up against their upstream rate is less than 0.2%. I have the ability to get data on another 10 million and the last time I checked their rates were similar. I've just been on the losing end of yet another piece of why crappy upstream bandwidth sucks: Mavericks seems to have decided that my other half's imovie library really, really ought to be uploaded to iCloud (without asking, ftw). I can and should be pissed at Apple for doing such a wrongheaded thing, but the fact is that my upstream bandwidth was saturated for hours and days and it was extremely difficult to figure out why. I doubt I'm alone. Better upstream bandwidth would have at least made the pain period shorter. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Mark Tinka wrote: One of the use-cases we thought about when deploying an FTTH backbone was having remote PVR's. So rather than record and save linear Tv programming on the STB, record and save it in the network. This could only be done with symmetric bandwidth. Isn't this already the case with Dishtv and their partnership with Sling? I'm pretty sure it's streaming it direct from my home dvr. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 3:46 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Michael, No, its not too much to ask and any end user who has that kind of requirement can order a business service to get symmetrical service but the reality is that symmetrical service costs more and the vast majority of customers don't use the upstream capacity they have today. I have personal insight into about half a million devices and the percentage of people who bump up against their upstream rate is less than 0.2%. I have the ability to get data on another 10 million and the last time I checked their rates were similar. I've just been on the losing end of yet another piece of why crappy upstream bandwidth sucks: Mavericks seems to have decided that my other half's imovie library really, really ought to be uploaded to iCloud (without asking, ftw). I can and should be pissed at Apple for doing such a wrongheaded thing, but the fact is that my upstream bandwidth was saturated for hours and days and it was extremely difficult to figure out why. I doubt I'm alone. Better upstream bandwidth would have at least made the pain period shorter. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Scott Helms wrote: Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes? 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a tiny group for long. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
I think you will, all of those things have been around for a long time (well, except for pervasive video calls, which I think is vapor) and none generate the kind of traffic it takes to congest a decent link. Most of the DOCSIS systems I've worked with are running at least 6 mbps upstreams and many are well into the double digits. My current connection (tested this morning) is about 22 mbps. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:06 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes? 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a tiny group for long. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Scott Helms wrote: I think you will, all of those things have been around for a long time (well, except for pervasive video calls, which I think is vapor) and none generate the kind of traffic it takes to congest a decent link. Most of the DOCSIS systems I've worked with are running at least 6 mbps upstreams and many are well into the double digits. My current connection (tested this morning) is about 22 mbps. Um, no it's not vapor. Webrtc is quite real, and the barrier to implementation for any random web site is weeks, not years as was the case before. I just saw this that you wrote: 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. In the US, we just surpassed 1/2 of the population who have that capability, iirc. They call them phones nowadays. Mike Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:06 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com mailto:m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes? 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a tiny group for long. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Michael, I didn't claim Webrtc is vapor, I claim that pervasive video calling is vapor. Further, even if that prediction is wrong pervasive video calling isn't enough even if 100% of users adopt it to swing the need for symmetrical bandwidth. An average Skype/Google Hangout/Apple is less than 400 kbps at peak and averages something like 150 kbps. http://www.digitalsociety.org/2010/08/iphone-facetime-bandwidth-gets-measured/ Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:22 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: I think you will, all of those things have been around for a long time (well, except for pervasive video calls, which I think is vapor) and none generate the kind of traffic it takes to congest a decent link. Most of the DOCSIS systems I've worked with are running at least 6 mbps upstreams and many are well into the double digits. My current connection (tested this morning) is about 22 mbps. Um, no it's not vapor. Webrtc is quite real, and the barrier to implementation for any random web site is weeks, not years as was the case before. I just saw this that you wrote: 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera today. In the US, we just surpassed 1/2 of the population who have that capability, iirc. They call them phones nowadays. Mike Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:06 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com mailto: m...@mtcc.com wrote: Scott Helms wrote: Mike, In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes? 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a tiny group for long. Mike
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On May 16, 2014, at 4:22 PM, Michael Thomas m...@mtcc.com wrote: In the US, we just surpassed 1/2 of the population who have that capability, iirc. They call them phones nowadays. Many of them have native IPv6 as well, this also hasn't gotten significant number of legacy/incumbents to deploy yet either. It seems Facebook/LTE are the killer apps for v6. http://www.internetsociety.org/deploy360/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/WorldIPv6Congress-IPv6_LH-v2.pdf Like all things there are leaders and followers and the long-tail. - Jared
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On May 16, 2014 12:21 PM, Matthew Petach mpet...@netflight.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 11:52 AM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 2:47 PM, Blake Hudson bl...@ispn.net wrote: in the context of this discussion I think it's silly for a residential ISP to purport themselves to be a neutral carrier of traffic and expect peering ratios to be symmetric is 'symmetric traffic ratios' even relevant though? Peering is about offsetting costs, right? it might not be important that the ratio be 1:1 or 2:1... or even 10:1, if it's going to cost you 20x to get the traffic over longer/transit/etc paths... or if you have to build into some horrific location(s) to access the content in question. Harping on symmetric ratios seems very 1990... and not particularly germaine to the conversation at hand. Traffic asymmetry across peering connections was what lit the fuse on this whole powder keg, if I understand correctly; at the point the traffic went asymmetric, the refusals to augment capacity kicked in, and congestion became a problem. What lit this powder keg?: conspiracy theory Netflix bought transit from cogent and expected it to work. C'mon. This happens every month on this list and every month people tell others not to rely on cogent. Right? Netflix is smart, they know cogent is willing to burn down their network and blow up their customers for 15 minutes of fame $0.03 a meg. This makes me think the whole thing is a net neutrality strawman. They set the stage and all the players played their part. Now, what will be the result? I expect some concession from the comcast/twc deal. They made a big deal about net neutrality / netflix / strawman so they can trump up a meaningful concession to allow the merger. /conspiracy I've seen the same thing; pretty much every rejection is based on ratio issues, even when offering to cold-potato haul the traffic to the home market for the users. If the refusals hinged on any other clause of the peering requirements, you'd be right; but at the moment, that's the flag networks are waving around as their speedbump-du-jour. So, it may be very 1990, but unfortunately that seems to be the year many people in the industry are mentally stuck in. :( Matt
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart home offerings, but that seems to have never grown beyond a pilot. The current trend is to if you can't fight them, jon them where cablecos start to include the Netflix app into their proprietary set-top boxes. The idea is that you at least make the customer continue to use your box and your remote control which makes it easier for them to switch between netflix and legacy TV. True. I don't know why one of the cablecos hasn't licensed roku, added cable card and made that available as a hip/cool set top box offering and charge another 10.00 a month on top of the standard dvr rental. Would be interesting to see if those cable companies that are agreeing to add the Netflix app onto their proprietary STBs also play peering capacity games to degrade the service or not. So how is the content delivered? Is it over the internet? Or is it over the cable plant, from cable headends?
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
I don’t disagree. However, given the choice between Comcast and broadband services in NL, Chatanooga, or Seoul, just to name a few, Comcast loses badly. Choosing between Comcast and a legacy Telco is like choosing between legionnaire’s disease and SARS. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 5:15 PM, Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net wrote: Owen, I've seen a vast difference between Comcast and others in the marketplace. Right now, if I had the choice between Comcast and a legacy telco, I would pick Comcast hands-down for: a) performance b) IPv6 support c) willingness to work on issues - Jared On May 14, 2014, at 5:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart home offerings, but that seems to have never grown beyond a pilot. The current trend is to if you can't fight them, jon them where cablecos start to include the Netflix app into their proprietary set-top boxes. The idea is that you at least make the customer continue to use your box and your remote control which makes it easier for them to switch between netflix and legacy TV. True. I don't know why one of the cablecos hasn't licensed roku, added cable card and made that available as a hip/cool set top box offering and charge another 10.00 a month on top of the standard dvr rental. Would be interesting to see if those cable companies that are agreeing to add the Netflix app onto their proprietary STBs also play peering capacity games to degrade the service or not. So how is the content delivered? Is it over the internet? Or is it over the
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Having an actual free market would require having competition. So long as we have monopoly layer 1 providers being allowed to use that monopoly as leverage for higher layer service monopolies, (or oligopolies), an actual free market is virtually impossible. The result of deregulating the current environment would only be more pain and cost to the consumer than we currently have with no improvement in speeds or capabilities and no additional innovation. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 6:05 PM, Matt Palmer mpal...@hezmatt.org wrote: On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 07:01:36PM -0500, Larry Sheldon wrote: Maybe it is time to try a free market. Can't do that, it would be UnAmerican! - Matt -- I can only guess that the designer of the things had a major Toilet Duck habit and had managed to score a couple of industrial-sized bottles of the stuff the night before. -- Tanuki
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart home offerings, but that seems to have never grown beyond a pilot. The current trend is to if you can't fight them, jon them where cablecos start to include the Netflix app into their proprietary set-top boxes. The idea is that you at least make the customer continue to use your box and your remote control which makes it easier for them to switch between netflix and legacy TV. True. I don't know why one of the cablecos hasn't licensed roku, added cable card and made that available as a hip/cool set top box offering and charge another 10.00 a month on top of the standard dvr rental. Would be interesting to see if those cable companies that are agreeing to add the Netflix app onto their proprietary STBs also play peering capacity games to degrade the service or not. So how is the content delivered? Is it over the internet? Or is it over the cable
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Unfortunately these build-outs are primarily in subscriber facing bandwidth and number of headend locations (to add more customers to the network). These peering point/transit connection issues have been going on for a long time, evidenced by Level 3 coming out with this post. Comcast is also suspiciously absent from public exchanges (TelX's TIE would be one example) while many of their competitors participate for the benefit of the Internet as a whole and their customers. Measured broadband is also a game, because its very easy for large providers to give priority to (or otherwise help) known speed test and similar sites, giving customers a false impression of their available capacity or performance. We've all seen cases where customers have some amazing result on their favorite test site, and then real world performance can't even come close. That said, if Comcast does or is making efforts to finally resolve this, more power to them and congratulations to their customers. Unfortunately trying to brute-force the industry and external content providers tells a very different story. Where is Comcast's official blog post showing evidence as to where they do ensure their peering and or transit to the largest Tier 1 providers are not congested? Instead all we see are policy arguments about who should pay for what, while users continue to suffer. This is really similar to when TV providers have spats with content owners, and the result is the end users missing out on something they are paying for. It is good for related industries and the large players in each to keep working with each other in open ways to keep pricing reasonable (as opposed to working together in hiding to price fix), but it is not OK to do so by throwing tantrums and making everyone involved suffer. -Scott On 05/15/2014 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
There is no gaming on measurements and disputes are isolated and temporary with issues not unique over the history of the internet. I think all the same rhetorical quotes continue to be reused - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 11:43 AM, Scott Berkman sc...@sberkman.net wrote: Unfortunately these build-outs are primarily in subscriber facing bandwidth and number of headend locations (to add more customers to the network). These peering point/transit connection issues have been going on for a long time, evidenced by Level 3 coming out with this post. Comcast is also suspiciously absent from public exchanges (TelX's TIE would be one example) while many of their competitors participate for the benefit of the Internet as a whole and their customers. Measured broadband is also a game, because its very easy for large providers to give priority to (or otherwise help) known speed test and similar sites, giving customers a false impression of their available capacity or performance. We've all seen cases where customers have some amazing result on their favorite test site, and then real world performance can't even come close. That said, if Comcast does or is making efforts to finally resolve this, more power to them and congratulations to their customers. Unfortunately trying to brute-force the industry and external content providers tells a very different story. Where is Comcast's official blog post showing evidence as to where they do ensure their peering and or transit to the largest Tier 1 providers are not congested? Instead all we see are policy arguments about who should pay for what, while users continue to suffer. This is really similar to when TV providers have spats with content owners, and the result is the end users missing out on something they are paying for. It is good for related industries and the large players in each to keep working with each other in open ways to keep pricing reasonable (as opposed to working together in hiding to price fix), but it is not OK to do so by throwing tantrums and making everyone involved suffer. -Scott On 05/15/2014 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On May 15, 2014, at 11:50 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: There is no gaming on measurements and disputes are isolated and temporary with issues not unique over the history of the internet. I think all the same rhetorical quotes continue to be reused Kevin, in the past most issues were transient for a few months as both sides got complaints, but while at RIPE earlier this week someone commented to me: there's no one provider you can buy access from to get a packet-loss free connection to all their other business partners/customers. This hurts the entire marketplace when there is persistent congestion. Some of these issues are related to (as Craig called them) Hypergiants (OTT) but others are due to providers having poor capital models so they don't have budget for upgrading unless someone pays for that upgrade, vs seeing their existing customer base as that source for the capital. As an engineer, I'm hopeful that those responsible for budgeting will do the right thing. As a greedy capitalist, please pay me more $$$. It does feel a bit like tic-tac-toe with zero players in wargames though, the only way to win is to not play [games]. - Jared
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
This is a smart group. If if that was true I think every internet site / service one visits from home would be a negatively impacted. That is not the case As I said before, Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity. Wholesale $$ are very small, highly competitive and only skin in the game to promote efficiencies - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 12:01 PM, Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net wrote: On May 15, 2014, at 11:50 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: There is no gaming on measurements and disputes are isolated and temporary with issues not unique over the history of the internet. I think all the same rhetorical quotes continue to be reused Kevin, in the past most issues were transient for a few months as both sides got complaints, but while at RIPE earlier this week someone commented to me: there's no one provider you can buy access from to get a packet-loss free connection to all their other business partners/customers. This hurts the entire marketplace when there is persistent congestion. Some of these issues are related to (as Craig called them) Hypergiants (OTT) but others are due to providers having poor capital models so they don't have budget for upgrading unless someone pays for that upgrade, vs seeing their existing customer base as that source for the capital. As an engineer, I'm hopeful that those responsible for budgeting will do the right thing. As a greedy capitalist, please pay me more $$$. It does feel a bit like tic-tac-toe with zero players in wargames though, the only way to win is to not play [games]. - Jared
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers. Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart home offerings, but that seems to have never grown beyond a pilot. The current trend is to if you can't fight them, jon them where cablecos start to include the Netflix app into their proprietary set-top boxes. The idea is that you at least make the customer continue to use your box and your remote control which makes it easier for them to switch between netflix and legacy TV. True. I don't know why one of the cablecos hasn't licensed roku, added cable card and made that available
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Guys, I'm already pretty far off the reservation and will not respond to trolling. I think most ISPs are starting to avoid participation here for the same reason. I'm going to stop for a while. - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 12:42 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers. Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto:kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto:o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto:kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto:o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.commailto:h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.orgmailto:char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart home offerings, but that seems to have never grown beyond a pilot. The current trend is to if you can't
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. It's a shame the use of 'fast lane' is ubiquitous in this argument. If the local distribution networks would like to actually build something fast, then this would be a different story. -Ryan Brooks
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
To be fair, I have no evidence that Comcast demanded money in advance. As far as I can tell, Level 3, Cogent and Comcast all agree on the rest though, Comcast's peering filled up. Both Level 3 and Cogent offered/requested to upgrade. Then at least Cogent (IIRC?) offered to upgrade *and pay Comcast to upgrade*. All of these offers were ignored or rejected, and at this point I think all parties agree that ransom was demanded by Comcast. Then, just weeks after Verizon's successful litigation against Net Neutrality, Netflix agreed to pay Comcast directly. I'm not sure if the removal of Netflix is enough to resolve the congestion on the Level 3 and Cogent links, but I'm not sure how one could explain the above situation other than deliberate throttling in an attempt to extort money. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 12:51 PM, arvindersi...@mail2tor.com wrote: Yes Kevin, this is understood - but valid observation from Nick. Can you pls answer my question first? Very curious. Arvinder Guys, I'm already pretty far off the reservation and will not respond to trolling. I think most ISPs are starting to avoid participation here for the same reason. I'm going to stop for a while. - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 12:42 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers. Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto: kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto:o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto: kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto:o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.commailto:h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.orgmailto:char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. Peers that are balanced only due strong arm tactics used against smaller hosting and content providers. On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:46 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Guys, I'm already pretty far off the reservation and will not respond to trolling. I think most ISPs are starting to avoid participation here for the same reason. I'm going to stop for a while. - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 12:42 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto: n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers. Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 10:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto: kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto: o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.commailto: kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083tel:215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.commailto: o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.commailto: h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.orgmailto: char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
And the unbalanced peers / transit? -Blake On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:41 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: This is a smart group. If if that was true I think every internet site / service one visits from home would be a negatively impacted. That is not the case As I said before, Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity. Wholesale $$ are very small, highly competitive and only skin in the game to promote efficiencies - Kevin On May 15, 2014, at 12:01 PM, Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net wrote: On May 15, 2014, at 11:50 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: There is no gaming on measurements and disputes are isolated and temporary with issues not unique over the history of the internet. I think all the same rhetorical quotes continue to be reused Kevin, in the past most issues were transient for a few months as both sides got complaints, but while at RIPE earlier this week someone commented to me: there's no one provider you can buy access from to get a packet-loss free connection to all their other business partners/customers. This hurts the entire marketplace when there is persistent congestion. Some of these issues are related to (as Craig called them) Hypergiants (OTT) but others are due to providers having poor capital models so they don't have budget for upgrading unless someone pays for that upgrade, vs seeing their existing customer base as that source for the capital. As an engineer, I'm hopeful that those responsible for budgeting will do the right thing. As a greedy capitalist, please pay me more $$$. It does feel a bit like tic-tac-toe with zero players in wargames though, the only way to win is to not play [games]. - Jared
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
On 14-05-15 10:26, Owen DeLong wrote: Choosing between Comcast and a legacy Telco is like choosing between legionnaire’s disease and SARS. Twisted pair is certantly legacy. Is there a feeling that coax cable/DOSCIS is also legacy in terms of current capacity/speeds ? Or is that technology still considered viable against FTTH ? I realise that business practices make north american incumbents undesirable compared to the rest of the world, especially Comcast's dirty tricks with Netflix as an example. But in terms of the last mile technology and wiring (for instance, homes per HFC node) sre north american cavlecos up to par with the rest of the world ?
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
On May 15, 2014, at 7:57 AM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Upgrades/buildout are happening every day. They are continuous to keep ahead of demand and publicly measured by SamKnows (FCC measuring broadband), Akamai, Ookla, etc I didn’t say they weren’t doing any upgrades/buildouts. I will say that the copper capabilities in my neighborhood are so far behind demand(s) that it is abysmal. There hasn’t been significant maintenance to the $TELCO copper plant in my neighborhood since it was installed in 1960. What is not well known is that Comcast has been an existing commercial transit business for 15+ years (with over 8000 commercial fiber customers). Comcast also has over 40 balanced peers with plenty of capacity, and some of the largest Internet companies as customers. I’ve been asked by my employer to stop picking on specific large ISPs. However, my experiences with $CABLECO have been as described. The infrastructure in my neighborhood was horrible and did not improve at all until I ordered business class service from them. I’ve seen nothing to indicate that there is any significant effort to improve customer satisfaction, but lots of things to indicate that they are trying to leverage as much revenue out of as little investment as possible. Owen - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 10:19 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Oh, please do explicate on how this is inaccurate… Owen On May 14, 2014, at 2:14 PM, McElearney, Kevin kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: Respectfully, this is a highly inaccurate sound bite - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 14, 2014, at 3:05 PM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote: Yes, the more accurate statement would be aggressively seeking new ways to monetize the existing infrastructure without investing in upgrades or additional buildout any more than absolutely necessary. Owen On May 14, 2014, at 8:02 AM, Hugo Slabbert h...@slabnet.com wrote: So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). Sure they are (seeking new sources of revenue). They're not necessarily creating new products or services, i.e. actually adding any value, but they are finding ways to extract additional revenue from the same pipes, e.g. through paid peering with content providers. I'm not endorsing this; just pointing out that you two are actually in agreement here. -- Hugo On Wed, May 14, 2014 at 7:23 AM, char...@thefnf.org wrote: On 2014-05-14 02:04, Jean-Francois Mezei wrote: On 14-05-13 22:50, Daniel Staal wrote: They have the money. They have the ability to get more money. *They see no reason to spend money making customers happy.* They can make more profit without it. There is the issue of control over the market. But also the pressure from shareholders for continued growth. Yes. That is true. Except that it's not. How do service providers grow? Let's explore that: What is growth for a transit provider? More (new) access network(s) (connections). More bandwidth across backbone pipes. What is growth for access network? More subscribers. Except that the incumbent carriers have shown they have no interest in providing decent bandwidth to anywhere but the most profitable rate centers. I'd say about 2/3 of the USA is served with quite terrible access. The problem with the internet is that while it had promises of wild growth in the 90s and 00s, once penetration reaches a certain level, growth stabilizes. Penetration is ABYSMAL sir. Huge swaths of underserved americans exist. When you combine this with threath to large incumbents's media and media distribution endeavours by the likes of Netflix (and cat videos on Youtube), large incumbents start thinking about how they will be able to continue to grow revenus/profits when customers will shift spending to vspecialty channels/cableTV to Netflix and customer growth will not compensate. Except they aren't. Even in the most profitable rate centers, they've declined to really invest in the networks. They aren't a real business. You have to remember that. They have regulatory capture, natural/defacto monopoly etc etc. They don't operate in the real world of risk/reward/profit/loss/uncertainty like any other real business has to. So they seek new sources of revenues, and/or attempt to thwart competition any way they can. No to the first. Yes to the second. If they were seeking new sources of revenue, they'd be massively expanding into un/der served markets and aggressively growing over the top services (which are fat margin). They did a bit of an advertising campaign of smart
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA256 On 5/15/2014 10:06 AM, Ryan Brooks wrote: It's a shame the use of 'fast lane' is ubiquitous in this argument. If the local distribution networks would like to actually build something fast, then this would be a different story. Okay, then call it the faster lane or the uncongested lane or something that actually reflects bias and preferential treatment. It's a done deal now: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/05/15/fcc-approves-plan-to-allow-for-paid-priority-on-internet FYI, - - ferg - -- Paul Ferguson VP Threat Intelligence, IID PGP Public Key ID: 0x54DC85B2 -BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE- Version: GnuPG v2.0.22 (MingW32) Comment: Using GnuPG with Thunderbird - http://www.enigmail.net/ iF4EAREIAAYFAlN09roACgkQKJasdVTchbJPlgEAtBpp0TKNZcIdrDkVP75Tni7a O9PvcnKZdaPNuNUpOb0A/RQ5hvrqPAu/QLSp8dPbcDSO5Zad8Z3JG67UfI6yaeJH =DhnX -END PGP SIGNATURE-
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. customer-port to 'cableco' has 'qos' handling/queuing that will ensure '5mbps' of 'moviecompany' is always going to get down the link to the customer, regardless of the other traffic the customer is requesting. right? (presume that in the rest of the 'cableco' network is protecting 'moviecompany' traffic as well, of course) So, when there are 1 'moviecompany' things to prioritize and deliver that's cool... but what about when there are 10? 100? 1000? doesn't the queuing get complicated? what if the 'cableco' customer with 10mbps link has 3 people in the location all streaming from 3 different 'moviecompany' organizations which have paid for 'fastlane' services? 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all on top of: Gosh, does the new umnptyfart card from routerco actually work in old routerco routers? This looks, to me, like nuttiness... like mutually assured destruction that the cableco folk are driving both parties into intentionally. -chris BTW: I didn't use a particular 'cable company' name for 'cableco', nor did I use a particular streaming media company for 'moviecompany'... Also, 'cableco' is short-hand for 'lastmile-consumer-provider-network'. Less typing was better, for me, I thought.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
On 5/15/14, 12:43 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers². Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick That is categorically untrue, however nice a soundbite it may be. If you or anyone else truly believes we are throttling someone then I encourage you to file a formal complaint with the FCC. According to their Open Internet rules that we are bound to through at least 2018 (IIRC) we may not discriminate on traffic in that way, so there is a clear rule and a clear process for complaints. Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:26 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/15/14, 12:43 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, you've got some of the largest Internet companies as customers². Because you told them if you don't pay us, we'll throttle you. Then you throttled them. I'm sorry, not a winning argument. Nick That is categorically untrue, however nice a soundbite it may be. If you or anyone else truly believes we are throttling someone then I encourage you to file a formal complaint with the FCC. According to their Open Internet rules that we are bound to through at least 2018 (IIRC) we may not discriminate on traffic in that way, so there is a clear rule and a clear process for complaints. Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
On 5/15/14, 1:28 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain it to 1G, for example. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relationship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy – which is consistent with other networks – and ignore expectations for other peers? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
Yes, throttling an entire ISP by refusing to upgrade peering is clearly a way to avoid technically throttling. Interestingly enough only Comcast and Verizon are having this problem, though I'm sure now that you have set an example others will follow. Nick On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:34 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/15/14, 1:28 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.org wrote: By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain it to 1G, for example. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relationship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy – which is consistent with other networks – and ignore expectations for other peers? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Its not really that complex, if you think about it having 1s of 'movieco' with the same priority is the status quo. At the end of the day the QoS mechanics in DOCSIS are pretty straightforward and rely on service flows, while service flows can have equal priority I doubt most operators will sell more than a few (perhaps just one) top priority in a given a category. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:22 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. customer-port to 'cableco' has 'qos' handling/queuing that will ensure '5mbps' of 'moviecompany' is always going to get down the link to the customer, regardless of the other traffic the customer is requesting. right? (presume that in the rest of the 'cableco' network is protecting 'moviecompany' traffic as well, of course) So, when there are 1 'moviecompany' things to prioritize and deliver that's cool... but what about when there are 10? 100? 1000? doesn't the queuing get complicated? what if the 'cableco' customer with 10mbps link has 3 people in the location all streaming from 3 different 'moviecompany' organizations which have paid for 'fastlane' services? 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all on top of: Gosh, does the new umnptyfart card from routerco actually work in old routerco routers? This looks, to me, like nuttiness... like mutually assured destruction that the cableco folk are driving both parties into intentionally. -chris BTW: I didn't use a particular 'cable company' name for 'cableco', nor did I use a particular streaming media company for 'moviecompany'... Also, 'cableco' is short-hand for 'lastmile-consumer-provider-network'. Less typing was better, for me, I thought.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Blake Dunlap iki...@gmail.com wrote: And the unbalanced peers / transit? Surely it is too much to expect a service provider to actually provide service even if it is not entirely fair and balanced. It's not like, you know, anyone was paying them to provide a service ... [...rewind...] kevin_mcelear...@cable.comcast.com wrote: This is a smart group. Well, smart enough to at least try to see it for what it actually is. Telling us we're smart and then expecting us to swallow a load doesn't quite seem to work, judging from the last few responses you've had. Some of us are actually businesspeople, so we understand the issues from multiple dimensions. Including historical ones, where there are both examples of Monopolies Gone Wild! (Spring Break Edition!) and also Government Regulation Gone Overboard. If you'd like to say that you're trying to leverage as much revenue as possible by taking advantage of new trends (i.e. cord cutting) in a customer base that's at least partially without other reasonable options, while keeping investment costs as low as possible, well, then, we have the potential for an honest conversation. But if you're going to tell us about how you've managed to acquire transit customers, that feels like the start of a dishonest discussion because basically most of us here wouldn't buy transit from a cable company unless it was the only available option, or there was some other distorting reason - such as congestion - that caused such an arrangement to be needed. ... JG -- Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN) With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:48 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Its not really that complex, if you think about it having 1s of 'movieco' with the same priority is the status quo. At the end of the day the QoS mechanics in DOCSIS are pretty straightforward and rely on service flows, while service flows can have equal priority I doubt most operators will sell more than a few (perhaps just one) top priority in a given a category. yes, there will only ever be 5 computers. or you couldn't possibly need more than 640kb of ram. or more than 4billion 'ip addresses'. I don't think you have to get to more than 10 or 20 of the stated examples before things get dicey ... Once a set of customers experience (and can measure) the effect, they'll back their complaints up to 'moviecompany' and some set of contract penalties will kick in, I suspect. Sure, if there is only one it's not a problem, but there are already not just one... Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:22 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. customer-port to 'cableco' has 'qos' handling/queuing that will ensure '5mbps' of 'moviecompany' is always going to get down the link to the customer, regardless of the other traffic the customer is requesting. right? (presume that in the rest of the 'cableco' network is protecting 'moviecompany' traffic as well, of course) So, when there are 1 'moviecompany' things to prioritize and deliver that's cool... but what about when there are 10? 100? 1000? doesn't the queuing get complicated? what if the 'cableco' customer with 10mbps link has 3 people in the location all streaming from 3 different 'moviecompany' organizations which have paid for 'fastlane' services? 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all on top of: Gosh, does the new umnptyfart card from routerco actually work in old routerco routers? This looks, to me, like nuttiness... like mutually assured destruction that the cableco folk are driving both parties into intentionally. -chris BTW: I didn't use a particular 'cable company' name for 'cableco', nor did I use a particular streaming media company for 'moviecompany'... Also, 'cableco' is short-hand for 'lastmile-consumer-provider-network'. Less typing was better, for me, I thought.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
Chris, You're not reading what I said, nor did I make a statement anything like one of the silly things you referenced (640k ram etc). Prioritization isn't that complex and today we handle the maximum amount of complexity already since everything is the same priority right now. You're trying to make the statement that giving multiple content providers priority somehow makes connectivity unworkable for consumers as if we don't have this problem already. Consumers can easily starve themselves of bandwidth with video or any other content and almost no connections in the US have any sort of intelligent fair usage buffering provided by the service provider. This is true for both cable, telco, and other operators. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 2:01 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:48 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Its not really that complex, if you think about it having 1s of 'movieco' with the same priority is the status quo. At the end of the day the QoS mechanics in DOCSIS are pretty straightforward and rely on service flows, while service flows can have equal priority I doubt most operators will sell more than a few (perhaps just one) top priority in a given a category. yes, there will only ever be 5 computers. or you couldn't possibly need more than 640kb of ram. or more than 4billion 'ip addresses'. I don't think you have to get to more than 10 or 20 of the stated examples before things get dicey ... Once a set of customers experience (and can measure) the effect, they'll back their complaints up to 'moviecompany' and some set of contract penalties will kick in, I suspect. Sure, if there is only one it's not a problem, but there are already not just one... Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:22 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. customer-port to 'cableco' has 'qos' handling/queuing that will ensure '5mbps' of 'moviecompany' is always going to get down the link to the customer, regardless of the other traffic the customer is requesting. right? (presume that in the rest of the 'cableco' network is protecting 'moviecompany' traffic as well, of course) So, when there are 1 'moviecompany' things to prioritize and deliver that's cool... but what about when there are 10? 100? 1000? doesn't the queuing get complicated? what if the 'cableco' customer with 10mbps link has 3 people in the location all streaming from 3 different 'moviecompany' organizations which have paid for 'fastlane' services? 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all on top of: Gosh, does the new umnptyfart card from routerco actually work in old routerco routers? This looks, to me, like nuttiness... like mutually assured destruction that the cableco folk are driving both parties into intentionally. -chris BTW: I didn't use a particular 'cable company' name for 'cableco', nor did I use a particular streaming media company for 'moviecompany'... Also, 'cableco' is short-hand for 'lastmile-consumer-provider-network'. Less typing was better, for me, I thought.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
So by extension, if you enter an agreement and promise to remain balanced you can just willfully throw that out and abuse the heck out of it? Where does it end? Why even bother having peering policies at all then? To use an analogy, if you and I agree to buy a car together and agree to switch off who uses it every other day, can I just say forget our agreement – I’m just going to drive the car myself every single day – its all mine”? And as you say, “interestingly enough only Comcast and Verizon are having this problem” someone else might say “interestingly enough one content distributor is at the center of all of these issues.” I’m frankly surprised that no one is stepping back to try to understand what was and is driving those changes. Jason On 5/15/14, 1:43 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, throttling an entire ISP by refusing to upgrade peering is clearly a way to avoid technically throttling. Interestingly enough only Comcast and Verizon are having this problem, though I'm sure now that you have set an example others will follow. Nick
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
I said I would step away, but trying to keep some level of emotion out of this... We all need rational actor behavior in the ecosystem. We need our policies and agree to live up to those policies between players. Random and inconsistent behavior does not build a well functioning market and is the root of most disputes We can argue about what the policy should be, the impacts, etc and that is a fair discussion. - Kevin 215-313-1083 On May 15, 2014, at 2:11 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.commailto:jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: So by extension, if you enter an agreement and promise to remain balanced you can just willfully throw that out and abuse the heck out of it? Where does it end? Why even bother having peering policies at all then? To use an analogy, if you and I agree to buy a car together and agree to switch off who uses it every other day, can I just say forget our agreement – I’m just going to drive the car myself every single day – its all mine”? And as you say, “interestingly enough only Comcast and Verizon are having this problem” someone else might say “interestingly enough one content distributor is at the center of all of these issues.” I’m frankly surprised that no one is stepping back to try to understand what was and is driving those changes. Jason On 5/15/14, 1:43 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: Yes, throttling an entire ISP by refusing to upgrade peering is clearly a way to avoid technically throttling. Interestingly enough only Comcast and Verizon are having this problem, though I'm sure now that you have set an example others will follow. Nick
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. I think that's a possibility, but that we're actually talking at a less-technical level. [...] 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? #whocares You've made a technical implementation issue out of a mostly non-tech issue. This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all on top of: Gosh, does the new umnptyfart card from routerco actually work in old routerco routers? I certainly agree. This isn't a technical issue though. A majority of the people on this list should appreciate the costs associated with building and maintaining networks, and there are lots of them to be sure. This is about other aspects of the business. This looks, to me, like nuttiness... like mutually assured destruction that the cableco folk are driving both parties into intentionally. No. I don't actually believe that. Businesses are in the habit of making money. There's a reasonably strong desire to remain in business and hopefully make a profit. To that end, in the capitalist model, competition serves to lower prices and increase quality to levels that the average consumer finds acceptable. A monopoly or duopoly environment distorts that; in a market with a constrained number of providers, the conventional capitalistic model can perform poorly or even fail entirely - as an example, consider the LCD price fixing scandal last decade, where prices ended up artificially high. The current situation is worse; the telcos and cablecos have a bunch of incentives to prevent cannibalizing their existing profitable pay TV product lines... which are seeing competition from the likes of Netflix. And there's even some legitimacy there: if all of those customers suddenly dropped their pay TV service and went to Netflix, the whole economic underpinnings of a cable TV company could be thrown into disarray. Because those pay TV subscribers are in some way contributing to covering the opex and capex of the cable TV distribution network. That'd also be damaging to the last mile IP connectivity, heh. But it's hard to have an honest discussion about all of this when those involved are so busy trying to spin things in their favor, and to keep the status quo, etc. ... JG -- Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN) With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
I agree, and those peers should be then paid for the bits that your customers are requesting that they send through you if you cannot maintain a balanced peer relationship with them. It's shameful that access networks are attempting to not pay for their leeching of mass amounts of data in clear violation of standard expectations for balanced peering agreements. Oh... you meant something else? -Blake On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 12:34 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/15/14, 1:28 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto:n...@pelagiris.org wrote: By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain it to 1G, for example. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relationship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy – which is consistent with other networks – and ignore expectations for other peers? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
On May 15, 2014, at 10:18 AM, Jean-Francois Mezei jfmezei_na...@vaxination.ca wrote: On 14-05-15 10:26, Owen DeLong wrote: Choosing between Comcast and a legacy Telco is like choosing between legionnaire’s disease and SARS. Twisted pair is certantly legacy. Is there a feeling that coax cable/DOSCIS is also legacy in terms of current capacity/speeds ? Or is that technology still considered viable against FTTH ? I realise that business practices make north american incumbents undesirable compared to the rest of the world, especially Comcast's dirty tricks with Netflix as an example. But in terms of the last mile technology and wiring (for instance, homes per HFC node) sre north american cavlecos up to par with the rest of the world ? I am not speaking specifically about any one company here. In North America, very few places have any level of FTTH. If you are in a rural area with USF subsidies, you are more likely to have FTTH than many urban areas. Co-ax, or if you’re somewhat lucky, HFC is about the best last mile technology available to most US subscribers. In states where some city invested in municipal FTTH on an open-access basis, the incumbent $CABLECOS and $TELCOS have fought hard to push legislation making it illegal for other cities in the state to do the same. The state of broadband networks in the US in general can best be described as pathetic and/or apathetic when it comes to the consumer’s interest. Lilly Tomlin summed this up very well in a number of her early comedy sketches where she pretended to be a telephone company operator. Her catch phrase was “We don’t care. We don’t have to. We’re the phone company!” Further, it appears that several of the $CABLECOS and $TELCOS will actually attempt to quash their more vocal opponents by discussing public comments they make on a personal basis with said opponents employer and using them as a “negotiating tactic”. Personally, I think this is one of the most underhanded and lowest forms of an act of desperation to try and squash public debate. To be very clear… This statement is absolutely not targeted at any one company. There were several. Owen
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
That link is broken and insists that I install a windows upgrade for Flash on my Mac. Owen On May 15, 2014, at 10:17 AM, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote: -BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA256 On 5/15/2014 10:06 AM, Ryan Brooks wrote: It's a shame the use of 'fast lane' is ubiquitous in this argument. If the local distribution networks would like to actually build something fast, then this would be a different story. Okay, then call it the faster lane or the uncongested lane or something that actually reflects bias and preferential treatment. It's a done deal now: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/05/15/fcc-approves-plan-to-allow-for-paid-priority-on-internet FYI, - - ferg - -- Paul Ferguson VP Threat Intelligence, IID PGP Public Key ID: 0x54DC85B2 -BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE- Version: GnuPG v2.0.22 (MingW32) Comment: Using GnuPG with Thunderbird - http://www.enigmail.net/ iF4EAREIAAYFAlN09roACgkQKJasdVTchbJPlgEAtBpp0TKNZcIdrDkVP75Tni7a O9PvcnKZdaPNuNUpOb0A/RQ5hvrqPAu/QLSp8dPbcDSO5Zad8Z3JG67UfI6yaeJH =DhnX -END PGP SIGNATURE-
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA256 No idea -- I use NoScript and block Flash (as well as other dangerous annoying embedded content) and it works for me. - - ferg On 5/15/2014 11:31 AM, Owen DeLong wrote: That link is broken and insists that I install a windows upgrade for Flash on my Mac. Owen On May 15, 2014, at 10:17 AM, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote: On 5/15/2014 10:06 AM, Ryan Brooks wrote: It's a shame the use of 'fast lane' is ubiquitous in this argument. If the local distribution networks would like to actually build something fast, then this would be a different story. Okay, then call it the faster lane or the uncongested lane or something that actually reflects bias and preferential treatment. It's a done deal now: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/05/15/fcc-approves-plan-to-allow-for-paid-priority-on-internet FYI, - ferg - -- Paul Ferguson VP Threat Intelligence, IID PGP Public Key ID: 0x54DC85B2 -BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE- Version: GnuPG v2.0.22 (MingW32) Comment: Using GnuPG with Thunderbird - http://www.enigmail.net/ iF4EAREIAAYFAlN1CUMACgkQKJasdVTchbJ+qQEA1PVA2pd4UhdA8onBV/2v/XC/ /hVje/whDjYhLWXMZroA/RlUxhJqQgc5erlnLXz5S2blywH1+e0d6ZtQ96srChne =ychK -END PGP SIGNATURE-
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain= it to 1G, for example. Throttling is also trying to cram 20G of traffic through that same 10G link. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relation= ship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? What if you're running a 10G port at saturation in both directions and you decide to stop accepting announcements from the peer on that port? Now you have a 10,000:0 ratio. Then what? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy =96 which is consis= tent with other networks =96 and ignore expectations for other peers? What's your goal at the end of the day? You have customers who are paying you for connectivity to Teh Interwebz. Do you have an obligation to run a dedicated 100GbE to each and every host on the planet? No. Do you have an obligation to make a reasonable effort to move the traffic that your customer is paying you for? Yes. At the end of the day, if I'm your customer and I'm trying to pull 50Mbps of data on my 50Mbps connection that I am buying from you, then it seems like a reasonable thing to expect that you'll have the 50Mbps of capacity to actually fulfill the demand. That does not mean that I will actually GET 50Mbps - it just means that you should be making a reasonable effort and especially that you are not actively sabotaging it, by aggregating it through a congested 10Gbps port, or forcing the packets through a congested peer, or any of a number of other underhanded things. If you cannot figure out how to arrange your transit and peering affairs in a manner that allows you to deliver on what you've sold to customers in the current unregulated model, I think you'll find that the alternative of regulation is very much less palatable. So, to answer your question, yes, if you're unable to figure out that Netflix is always going to generate tons more traffic than it receives, and that your customers desperately want to get good connectivity to there, then that's dumb. Perhaps you should figure out how to arrange peering with sites where there's obviously going to be an unrectifiable traffic imbalance. You're a service provider. What should your goal be? I would have thought it obvious: Provide the service. ... JG -- Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN) With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
From: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com On 5/15/2014 10:06 AM, Ryan Brooks wrote: It's a shame the use of 'fast lane' is ubiquitous in this argument. If the local distribution networks would like to actually build something fast, then this would be a different story. Okay, then call it the faster lane or the uncongested lane or something that actually reflects bias and preferential treatment. It's a done deal now: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/05/15/fcc-approves-plan-to-allow-for-paid-priority-on-internet According to the doc it's not a done deal: The proposal is not a final rule, but the vote on Thursday is a significant step forward Agencies almost always change their rules from the initial proposal The next phase will be four months of public comments, after which the commissioners will vote again on redrafted rules that are meant to take into account public opinion. But, yeah. I don't believe for a minute that all/any this is above board when it's coming from a lobbyist. scott
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
AFAIK Comcast wasn't consuming, mass amounts of data from Level 3 (Netflix's transit to them). Are you implying that a retail customer has a similar expectation (or should) as a tier 1 ISP has for peering? I hope not, that would be hyperbole verging on the silly. Retail customer agreement spell out, in every example I've seen, realistic terms and expectations for service and those are very different from peering arrangements. Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 2:28 PM, Blake Dunlap iki...@gmail.com wrote: I agree, and those peers should be then paid for the bits that your customers are requesting that they send through you if you cannot maintain a balanced peer relationship with them. It's shameful that access networks are attempting to not pay for their leeching of mass amounts of data in clear violation of standard expectations for balanced peering agreements. Oh... you meant something else? -Blake On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 12:34 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/15/14, 1:28 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto: n...@pelagiris.org wrote: By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain it to 1G, for example. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relationship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy – which is consistent with other networks – and ignore expectations for other peers? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP Network Neutrality
If traffic is unbalanced, what determines who is the payer and who is the payee? Apparently whoever can hold on to their customers better while performance is shit. On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:28 PM, Blake Dunlap iki...@gmail.com wrote: I agree, and those peers should be then paid for the bits that your customers are requesting that they send through you if you cannot maintain a balanced peer relationship with them. It's shameful that access networks are attempting to not pay for their leeching of mass amounts of data in clear violation of standard expectations for balanced peering agreements. Oh... you meant something else? -Blake On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 12:34 PM, Livingood, Jason jason_living...@cable.comcast.com wrote: On 5/15/14, 1:28 PM, Nick B n...@pelagiris.orgmailto: n...@pelagiris.org wrote: By categorically untrue do you mean FCC's open internet rules allow us to refuse to upgrade full peers? Throttling is taking, say, a link from 10G and applying policy to constrain it to 1G, for example. What if a peer wants to go from a balanced relationship to 10,000:1, well outside of the policy binding the relationship? Should we just unquestionably toss out our published policy – which is consistent with other networks – and ignore expectations for other peers? Jason
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 2:06 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Chris, You're not reading what I said, nor did I make a statement anything like one of the silly things you referenced (640k ram etc). Prioritization isn't yes I made a joke. (*three of them actually) that complex and today we handle the maximum amount of complexity already since everything is the same priority right now. sure... simple networking, no priorities. You're trying to make the statement that giving multiple content providers priority somehow makes connectivity unworkable for consumers as if we don't have this problem already. Consumers can easily starve themselves of not unworkable for the consumer, per say. it makes guaranteeing that 'fast-lane' for those folk that do pay for it harder. The cableco/etc will potentially have to provide the equivalent 'fast-lane' bandwidth for each consumer, or risk contract breach with some of their paying 'fast-lane' purchasers. or that's sort of what it looks like to me... of course statistical multiplexing and 'long tail' and other things probably mean this isn't a 'happens to all households' problem, but it could happen to a goodly portion if enough services become popular in an example household. bandwidth with video or any other content and almost no connections in the US have any sort of intelligent fair usage buffering provided by the service provider. This is true for both cable, telco, and other operators. sure, but there's no contractual problem with lost bits/streams today... because 'moviecompany' didn't pay for a 'premium service' (or priority or...) from 'cableco'. -chris Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 2:01 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:48 PM, Scott Helms khe...@zcorum.com wrote: Its not really that complex, if you think about it having 1s of 'movieco' with the same priority is the status quo. At the end of the day the QoS mechanics in DOCSIS are pretty straightforward and rely on service flows, while service flows can have equal priority I doubt most operators will sell more than a few (perhaps just one) top priority in a given a category. yes, there will only ever be 5 computers. or you couldn't possibly need more than 640kb of ram. or more than 4billion 'ip addresses'. I don't think you have to get to more than 10 or 20 of the stated examples before things get dicey ... Once a set of customers experience (and can measure) the effect, they'll back their complaints up to 'moviecompany' and some set of contract penalties will kick in, I suspect. Sure, if there is only one it's not a problem, but there are already not just one... Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 http://twitter.com/kscotthelms On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:22 PM, Christopher Morrow morrowc.li...@gmail.com wrote: On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Ryan Brooks r...@hack.net wrote: On 5/15/14, 11:58 AM, Joe Greco wrote: 2) Netflix purchases 5Mbps fast lane I appreciate Joe's use of quotation marks here.A lot of the dialog has included this 'fast lane' terminology, yet all of us know there's no 'fast lane' being constructed, rather just varying degrees of _slow_ applied to existing traffic. please correct me if I'm wrong, but 'fast lane' really is (in this example): 'cableco' port from 'moviecompany' has 'qos' marking configuration to set all 'moviecompany' traffic (from this port!) to some priority level. customer-port to 'cableco' has 'qos' handling/queuing that will ensure '5mbps' of 'moviecompany' is always going to get down the link to the customer, regardless of the other traffic the customer is requesting. right? (presume that in the rest of the 'cableco' network is protecting 'moviecompany' traffic as well, of course) So, when there are 1 'moviecompany' things to prioritize and deliver that's cool... but what about when there are 10? 100? 1000? doesn't the queuing get complicated? what if the 'cableco' customer with 10mbps link has 3 people in the location all streaming from 3 different 'moviecompany' organizations which have paid for 'fastlane' services? 3 x 5 == 15 ... not 10. How will 'cableco' manage this when their 100gbps inter-metro links are seeing +100gbps if 'fastlane' traffic and 'fastlane' traffic can't make it to the local metro from the remote one? This all seems much, much more complicated and expensive than just building out networking, which they will have to do in the end anyway, right? Only with 'fastlanes' there's extra capacity management and configuration and testing and ... all
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
So by extension, if you enter an agreement and promise to remain balanced y= ou can just willfully throw that out and abuse the heck out of it? Where do= es it end? Why even bother having peering policies at all then? It doesn't strike you as a ridiculous promise to extract from someone? Hi I'm an Internet company. I don't actually know what the next big thing next year will be but I promise that I won't host it on my network and cause our traffic to become lopsided. Wow. Is that what you're saying? To use an analogy, if you and I agree to buy a car together and agree to sw= itch off who uses it every other day, can I just say forget our agreement = =96 I=92m just going to drive the car myself every single day =96 its all m= ine=94? Seems like a poor analogy since I'm pretty sure both parties on a peering can use the port at the same time. ... JG -- Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN) With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)
That link is broken and insists that I install a windows upgrade for = Flash on my Mac. Try http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/05/fcc-votes-for-internet-fast-lanes-but-could-change-its-mind-later/ ... JG -- Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN) With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.
Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3) (was: RIP
On 5/15/14, 3:05 PM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote: Hi I'm an Internet company. I don't actually know what the next big thing next year will be but I promise that I won't host it on my network and cause our traffic to become lopsided. Wow. Is that what you're saying? Of course not. JL