Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-17 Thread Roland Perry
In article <4ee6e7d2.8060...@bogus.com>, Joel jaeggli  
writes

So now we will reap the consequences and it will be at the cost of
new market entrants (which I am sure will please some people) and
perhaps cold hard cash for those who cannot expand their business or
have to 'buy' address space.


New market entrants are the customers of existing operators, so their
plight and the feasibility of being a new market entrant  impacts our
bottom lines.


On the three occasions where I've been involved in running a new market 
entrant they were not previously a customer of an existing operator 
(other than the founders having an earlier personal online account with 
someone or other).


So it's not always a case of an entrant getting started using someone 
else's IP transit (and IP addressing), then bringing that in-house.

--
Roland Perry



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On Wednesday, December 14, 2011 02:36:49 PM Don Gould wrote:

> I've been researching solutions with NAT and double NAT
> in mind because it's obvious that v4 space is going to
> become a growing problem.

We've started playing with Stateful NAT64 on a couple of 
Cisco ASR1006's. 

In general, it works okay, save for issues with applications 
that have no IPv6 support, e.g., Skype, e.t.c. We hope to 
find more issues as more customers sign up to be guinea 
pigs.

> The only thing that is really clear is the lack of 
> clarity.

Indeed. We're doing what we can to be part of the solution, 
by picking technologies we think will be useful for us and 
going out and testing them at scale, with a goal to start 
rolling out v6 in droves as well provide usable operator 
feedback re: our deployment to vendors and other operators 
alike.

As much as we'd like to see how the market unravels re: v4, 
e.t.c., the fact remains that v6 is the inevitable solution. 
So best to get cracking now with real deployments.

Mark.


signature.asc
Description: This is a digitally signed message part.


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-13 Thread Don Gould
I really didn't follow to much of this thread, it's all a bit weird with 
some obvious industry under currents running that I don't follow.


What I will say is that I'm currently involved with exactly this issue 
and would have to say that it's all just getting sillier by the day.


I've been researching solutions with NAT and double NAT in mind because 
it's obvious that v4 space is going to become a growing problem.


It's interesting to see the things that break when you use double NAT.

What's also interesting is the growing competitive market place with 
incumbent providers, who have enough v4 space for their entire market, 
contracting their retail operations while their retail competitors are 
growing in size.


I've been working on some very basic projections for my country and 
expect over the next decade we will see at least 30%, or more, movement 
in our market.


So where is this going to leave v4 allocations?  Will the incumbents 
protect their retail operations by locking up their v4 space so that 
smaller competitors can't grow?


Will we all move to v6 to make the problem go away?  (Not likely, the 
level of edge understanding of v6 isn't there, and you lot already had a 
rant about CPE this week, so I won't go there!)


Will we develop smarter v4 technology and just NAT on NAT... and on NAT?

The only thing that is really clear is the lack of clarity.

D

On 10/12/2011 7:37 a.m., Franck Martin wrote:

I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
they would like…

This is just a data point.



--
Don Gould
31 Acheson Ave
Mairehau
Christchurch, New Zealand
Ph: + 64 3 348 7235
Mobile: + 64 21 114 0699




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-13 Thread Jared Mauch

On Dec 11, 2011, at 6:52 AM, John Curran wrote:

>  The sooner we get the content on IPv6 in addition to IPv4, the sooner 
>  that connecting new customers up via IPv6 without additional unique 
>  IPv4 address space becomes viable (and obviously if we had the vast
>  majority of content already on IPv6, then connecting new customers 
>  via IPv6 would be simple indeed.)

Google and other content providers will whitelist you if you coordinate
with them.  Some may not like the social-political implications of this
as it will create what some see as IPv6 islands that are overlays on the
global IPv6 network.

This is nothing new, there have always been private and policy based 
decisions that lead to reachability.

We have seen great success (IMHO) in IPv6 day.  We need to see this happen
again with a broader number of networks having IPv6 connectivity.  I look
forward to seeing the continued broadband deployment of IPv6 to make the
data far more interesting.  I'm glad to see the major carriers doing IPv6
work in this space.  It appears that the traditional/incumbent telcos in
the US are behind the curve, but I'm not entirely convinced their business
model is relevant in the future decades.

- Jared



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-12 Thread Joel jaeggli
On 12/12/11 02:05 , Leigh Porter wrote:
>> -Original Message- From: Vitkovsky, Adam
>> [mailto:avitkov...@emea.att.com] Sent: 12 December 2011 09:19 To:
>> Eric Parsonage; valdis.kletni...@vt.edu Cc: nanog@nanog.org 
>> Subject: RE: Sad IPv4 story?
>> 
>>> and models that doesn't take "we may not get IPv4 space" into
>>> account
>> and have
>>> a contingency plan for that *deserves* to be soundly mocked and
>> ridiculed in
>>> public.
>> 
>> That's right
>> 
>> However the original post was concerning a fresh new ISP that can't
>> run their business the way they would like Maybe they'd like to
>> build an mpls core which right now is not possible with only ipv6
>> at hand I'd like to see the business model to build an mpls network
>> with all the features we're used to -but solely on ipv6 -I guess
>> the plan would be let's wait a couple years till it gets
>> implemented and mature enough
> 
> Well really this is pretty much our fault. IPv6 has been on peoples
> 'back burner' for far too long. Additional vendor pressure and
> pressure at the IETF would have pushed things forward far faster had
> people actually been interested in doing so.
> 
> As per an earlier post, I am shocked at how I still have vendors
> coming to me with equipment that is nowhere near ready for commercial
> IPv6 deployment, it either just does not work, is half baked or is
> "on the roadmap".
> 
> So now we will reap the consequences and it will be at the cost of
> new market entrants (which I am sure will please some people) and
> perhaps cold hard cash for those who cannot expand their business or
> have to 'buy' address space.

New market entrants are the customers of existing operators, so their
plight and the feasibility of being a new market entrant  impacts our
bottom lines.

> I know a lot of people have been working hard to move IPv6 along both
> here, at NANOG and other events and with their vendors. It's because
> of those people, like Randy perhaps that we actually have what we do
> now else most people would still be stuck with their heads in the
> sand.
> 
> Well, I am sure it'll all be OK in the end...
> 
> -- Leigh
> 
> 
> 
> __
>
> 
This email has been scanned by the Symantec Email Security.cloud service.
> For more information please visit http://www.symanteccloud.com 
> __
>
> 
> 




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-12 Thread Mark Tinka
On Monday, December 12, 2011 05:17:08 PM Vitkovsky, Adam 
wrote:

> However the original post was concerning a fresh new ISP
> that can't run their business the way they would like
> Maybe they'd like to build an mpls core which right now
> is not possible with only ipv6 at hand I'd like to see
> the business model to build an mpls network with all the
> features we're used to -but solely on ipv6 -I guess the
> plan would be let's wait a couple years till it gets
> implemented and mature enough

I've been pushing Cisco and Juniper since 2007 for LDPv6 and 
RSVPv6 since 2007. I kept getting non-commital "end of this 
year, end of this year".

After catching up with Cisco during an update of the ASR9000 
a couple of weeks back, I'm meant to understand support will 
be coming around Q1'13 on this platform (which, by 
association, might mean other IOS XR platforms like the 
CRS). It's not clear about other Cisco systems, but I'll be 
pleasantly surprised if they maintain the time lines.

All this despite the fact that drafts have been out for 
years.

Mark.


signature.asc
Description: This is a digitally signed message part.


RE: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-12 Thread Leigh Porter
> -Original Message-
> From: Vitkovsky, Adam [mailto:avitkov...@emea.att.com]
> Sent: 12 December 2011 09:19
> To: Eric Parsonage; valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
> Cc: nanog@nanog.org
> Subject: RE: Sad IPv4 story?
> 
> > and models that doesn't take "we may not get IPv4 space" into account
> and have
> > a contingency plan for that *deserves* to be soundly mocked and
> ridiculed in
> > public.
> 
> That's right
> 
> However the original post was concerning a fresh new ISP that can't run
> their business the way they would like
> Maybe they'd like to build an mpls core which right now is not possible
> with only ipv6 at hand
> I'd like to see the business model to build an mpls network with all
> the features we're used to -but solely on ipv6 -I guess the plan would
> be let's wait a couple years till it gets implemented and mature enough

Well really this is pretty much our fault. IPv6 has been on peoples 'back 
burner' for far too long. Additional vendor pressure and pressure at the IETF 
would have pushed things forward far faster had people actually been interested 
in doing so.

As per an earlier post, I am shocked at how I still have vendors coming to me 
with equipment that is nowhere near ready for commercial IPv6 deployment, it 
either just does not work, is half baked or is "on the roadmap".

So now we will reap the consequences and it will be at the cost of new market 
entrants (which I am sure will please some people) and perhaps cold hard cash 
for those who cannot expand their business or have to 'buy' address space.

I know a lot of people have been working hard to move IPv6 along both here, at 
NANOG and other events and with their vendors. It's because of those people, 
like Randy perhaps that we actually have what we do now else most people would 
still be stuck with their heads in the sand.

Well, I am sure it'll all be OK in the end...

--
Leigh



__
This email has been scanned by the Symantec Email Security.cloud service.
For more information please visit http://www.symanteccloud.com
__



RE: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-12 Thread Vitkovsky, Adam
> and models that doesn't take "we may not get IPv4 space" into account and have
> a contingency plan for that *deserves* to be soundly mocked and ridiculed in
> public.

That's right

However the original post was concerning a fresh new ISP that can't run their 
business the way they would like
Maybe they'd like to build an mpls core which right now is not possible with 
only ipv6 at hand
I'd like to see the business model to build an mpls network with all the 
features we're used to -but solely on ipv6 -I guess the plan would be let's 
wait a couple years till it gets implemented and mature enough





Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-11 Thread Eric Parsonage

On 11/12/2011, at 2:37 PM, valdis.kletni...@vt.edu wrote:

> On Sat, 10 Dec 2011 20:48:45 EST, Barry Shein said:
 I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
 area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
 business the way they would like?
>> 
>> This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
>> unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
>> elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.
> 
> No Barry, I respectfully disagree.  It's almost 2012.  The first predictions 
> of
> IPv4 exhaustion were made *last century*.  We've been predicting it to the
> month level for like 5 years now.  Any business that is making business plans
> and models that doesn't take "we may not get IPv4 space" into account and have
> a contingency plan for that *deserves* to be soundly mocked and ridiculed in
> public.


You could take this one step further and say any industry that has had this 
much warning and hasn’t taken it into account *deserves* to be soundly mocked 
and ridiculed in public. 


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-11 Thread John Curran
On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:37 PM, Franck Martin wrote:

> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
> desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
> they would like…
> 
> This is just a data point.

Franck - 
 
  Thanks for the data point - I'm certain there are others folks
  out there with similar experiences that we're not hearing about.

  Of course, the theory was that at this point they'd be able to 
  use IPv6 to connect customers up to the Internet. Such theory 
  was predicated on a presumed strong motivation for everyone already
  connected via IPv4 to deploy IPv6 in parallel (i.e. dual-stack) and 
  some elusive TBD transition mechanisms which were to make IPv6 
  customers interoperate with those that hadn't yet deployed IPv6  
  in parallel.  

  Reality looks very different, in that existing organizations
  find it difficult to understand why to add IPv6 connectivity to 
  their existing public-facing servers, and the state of the art in 
  achieving transparent operation for IPv6 connected systems to the 
  rest of the Internet running only IPv4 is still effectively a 
  work-in-progress...

  While your data point may be from the Asia-Pacific region, that
  same story is going to repeated in every region (RIPE NCC will
  be running out shortly, and ARIN has 1 to 2 years depending on
  the actual request rate that materializes)  Service providers in
  the ARIN region need to carefully consider their answer to that
  same situation, because it will be occurring here soon enough.

  There is one thing that everyone can do to reduce the impact of
  this transition, and this is getting in front of their business
  customers (and small business/power users who have public-facing
  content) to explain that the Internet is going be running IPv4
  and IPv6 for quite some time in parallel and that getting their
  public-facing servers connected up also via IPv6 is a very good
  idea (if anyone wants help doing this sort of customer education 
  ARIN's https://www.arin.net/knowledge, NRO's http://www.nro.net/ipv6, 
  and APNIC's IPv6 Act Now http://www.ipv6actnow.org web sites are all 
  good sources on materials for this sort of effort.)

  The sooner we get the content on IPv6 in addition to IPv4, the sooner 
  that connecting new customers up via IPv6 without additional unique 
  IPv4 address space becomes viable (and obviously if we had the vast
  majority of content already on IPv6, then connecting new customers 
  via IPv6 would be simple indeed.)

FYI,
/John

John Curran
President and CEO
ARIN





Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Randy Bush
> So far the IPv6 party's been pretty small due to the expense of the
> rocket ship upgrades required to reach the planet that party is going
> to be held on.

for those of us who have been here on B-612 nuturing the rose for over
a decade, you 'adult' geographers seem to live on a very grey and
depressing asteroid.

randy



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Joel jaeggli
On 12/10/11 21:42 , Joel jaeggli wrote:
> On 12/10/11 17:48 , Barry Shein wrote:
>>
 I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
 area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
 business the way they would like?
>>
>> This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
>> unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
>> elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.
> 
> engineering solutions work with the constraints at hand.
> 
> The maximum ipv4 delegation size to be issued in apnic is a /22. one has
> to assume that when it's gone it's gone.
> 
> given that constraint, I know how I'd build it.

Setting aside the sad story part for the moment, Would this be a good
subject for a BOF? Are there others who would be willing to participate
(residendential,transit or dc operators, and potentially vendors of
equipment or address transfer brokers).

I'd call it something like:

IPV4 runout - Doing more with less.

* IPV4 runout means new entrants will from the outset deploy techniques
  the present operators consider undesirable.

* IPV6 should be appearing as part and parcel of new greenfield projects
I would think.

* On the vendor side CGN hardware is becoming a mature product space.

* Datacenter/ICP operators confront a similar set of problems both
supporting outgoing connections for large pools and incoming termination.



> 




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Jimmy Hess
On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 11:43 PM, Philip Dorr  wrote:
> On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 8:38 PM, Randy Bush  wrote:
>> mocking someone who shows up when the party is already over is not
>> overly kind or useful.  making clear to the world that the part is over

> The party is not over, it is just moving from a house to a stadium,
> with a large drive between.

That's a different party. It doesn't really get started until
people arrive at it.

So far the IPv6 party's been pretty small due to the expense of the rocket ship
upgrades required to reach the planet that party is going to be held on.

-- 
-JH



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Philip Dorr
On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 8:38 PM, Randy Bush  wrote:
>> No Barry, I respectfully disagree.  It's almost 2012.  The first
>> predictions of IPv4 exhaustion were made *last century*.  We've been
>> predicting it to the month level for like 5 years now.  Any business
>> that is making business plans and models that doesn't take "we may not
>> get IPv4 space" into account and have a contingency plan for that
>> *deserves* to be soundly mocked and ridiculed in public.
>
> mocking someone who shows up when the party is already over is not
> overly kind or useful.  making clear to the world that the part is over
> is more useful.

The party is not over, it is just moving from a house to a stadium,
with a large drive between.



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Joel jaeggli
On 12/10/11 17:48 , Barry Shein wrote:
> 
>>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
>>> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
>>> business the way they would like?
> 
> This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
> unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
> elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.

engineering solutions work with the constraints at hand.

The maximum ipv4 delegation size to be issued in apnic is a /22. one has
to assume that when it's gone it's gone.

given that constraint, I know how I'd build it.




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Randy Bush
> No Barry, I respectfully disagree.  It's almost 2012.  The first
> predictions of IPv4 exhaustion were made *last century*.  We've been
> predicting it to the month level for like 5 years now.  Any business
> that is making business plans and models that doesn't take "we may not
> get IPv4 space" into account and have a contingency plan for that
> *deserves* to be soundly mocked and ridiculed in public.

mocking someone who shows up when the party is already over is not
overly kind or useful.  making clear to the world that the part is over
is more useful.  i could not decide between a number of very appropriate
floyd songs, but i think 'time' says it well

Ticking away the moments that make up a dull day 
Fritter and waste the hours in an offhand way
Kicking around on a piece of ground in your home town
Waiting for someone or something to show you the way

Tired of lying in the sunshine staying home to watch the rain
And you are young and life is long and there is time to kill today
And then one day you find ten years have got behind you
No one told you when to run, you missed the starting gun

And you run and you run to catch up with the sun, but it's sinking
Racing around to come up behind you again
The sun is the same in a relative way, but you're older
Shorter of breath and one day closer to death

Every year is getting shorter, never seem to find the time
Plans that either come to naught or half a page of scribbled lines
Hanging on quiet desperation is the English way
The time is gone, the song is over, thought I'd something more to say

randy



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Randy Bush
>>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
>>> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
>>> business the way they would like?
> 
> This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
> unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
> elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.

i am sure they look forward to your generous offer.

randy



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Sat, 10 Dec 2011 20:48:45 EST, Barry Shein said:
> >> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
> >> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
> >> business the way they would like?
>
> This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
> unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
> elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.

No Barry, I respectfully disagree.  It's almost 2012.  The first predictions of
IPv4 exhaustion were made *last century*.  We've been predicting it to the
month level for like 5 years now.  Any business that is making business plans
and models that doesn't take "we may not get IPv4 space" into account and have
a contingency plan for that *deserves* to be soundly mocked and ridiculed in
public.


pgpCUjJRKyj5B.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Barry Shein

>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
>> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
>> business the way they would like?

This sniping elicited by the above seems inappropriate and
unprofessional, the request/anecdote seemed reasonable and could
elicit solutions such as partnerships, etc.

-- 
-Barry Shein

The World  | b...@theworld.com   | http://www.TheWorld.com
Purveyors to the Trade | Voice: 800-THE-WRLD| Dial-Up: US, PR, Canada
Software Tool & Die| Public Access Internet | SINCE 1989 *oo*



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread bmanning
On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 11:17:32AM -0500, Keegan Holley wrote:
> 2011/12/10 
> 
> > On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 03:15:01AM -0500, Keegan Holley wrote:
> > >
> > >
> > > Sent from my iPhone
> > >
> > > On Dec 10, 2011, at 2:58 AM, Randy Bush  wrote:
> > >
> > > >> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
> > > >> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
> > > >> business the way they would likeb &
> > > >
> > > > and we are supposed to be surprised or feel sorry?  you're kidding,
> > > > right?  they're lucky to be in a/p.  at least they can get a /22.
> > > >
> > > > i especially like the "the way they would like" part.  the way i would
> > > > like to run my business is to go into the office every friday and scoop
> > > > up the cash that fell from the sky all week.
> > > >
> > > > reality is such a pain in the ass.
> > > >
> > > > randy
> > > >
> > > +1 aren't we way past all of the predicted exhaustion dates.  There are
> > slot of as's that have ignored this.
> > > >
> > >
> >
> > predictions are ... predictions!  guesses.  swag.   nothing
> > more/less.
> >
> >i will say this however.  after fifteen years, I am exhausted
> > listening to
> >
> >ipv6 v. ipv4  bickering.   (and after five years of running native
> > ipv6-only
> >
> >networks - i've re-introduced ipv4 to the mix... go figure)
> >
> > /bill
> >
> > I see your point.  The world was supposed to end dozens of times as well.
>  Sorry to hear you had to reintroduce v4.  I suppose if dinosaurs were
> still around we'd have to capitulate to them too.  The people who see a
> T-rex and say "hey I thought they were extinct?!" would just get eaten. but
> I digress. I'm not sure I'd open a new ISP at this point and expect to get
> any respectable amount of IP space from the RIR right now.

funny thing about tools.  good ones are around and used for years, 
decades,
centuries, while others have a much shorter shelf life.

the craftsman 3/16" and the 1/4" phillips I got from my grandfather and 
will
likely end up w/ one of my grandsons.  the pocket fisherman and the 
87blade
pocket knife are ebay fodder...  

its not about capitulation, its about usefullness.  the only concern 
about
IPv4 these days is one of global uniqueness.  the big win, if you can 
call it
a big win is that there is much less potential pressure on the global 
routing
table if you stick w/ IPv4. (*)

* in both v4/v6 families, the prospect of fully routing /32s scares to socks 
off most
  sane engineers.  the horror of v6 is fully routing /48s

/bill



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Keegan Holley
2011/12/10 

> On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 03:15:01AM -0500, Keegan Holley wrote:
> >
> >
> > Sent from my iPhone
> >
> > On Dec 10, 2011, at 2:58 AM, Randy Bush  wrote:
> >
> > >> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
> > >> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
> > >> business the way they would likeb &
> > >
> > > and we are supposed to be surprised or feel sorry?  you're kidding,
> > > right?  they're lucky to be in a/p.  at least they can get a /22.
> > >
> > > i especially like the "the way they would like" part.  the way i would
> > > like to run my business is to go into the office every friday and scoop
> > > up the cash that fell from the sky all week.
> > >
> > > reality is such a pain in the ass.
> > >
> > > randy
> > >
> > +1 aren't we way past all of the predicted exhaustion dates.  There are
> slot of as's that have ignored this.
> > >
> >
>
> predictions are ... predictions!  guesses.  swag.   nothing
> more/less.
>
>i will say this however.  after fifteen years, I am exhausted
> listening to
>
>ipv6 v. ipv4  bickering.   (and after five years of running native
> ipv6-only
>
>networks - i've re-introduced ipv4 to the mix... go figure)
>
> /bill
>
> I see your point.  The world was supposed to end dozens of times as well.
 Sorry to hear you had to reintroduce v4.  I suppose if dinosaurs were
still around we'd have to capitulate to them too.  The people who see a
T-rex and say "hey I thought they were extinct?!" would just get eaten. but
I digress. I'm not sure I'd open a new ISP at this point and expect to get
any respectable amount of IP space from the RIR right now.


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread bmanning
On Sat, Dec 10, 2011 at 03:15:01AM -0500, Keegan Holley wrote:
> 
> 
> Sent from my iPhone
> 
> On Dec 10, 2011, at 2:58 AM, Randy Bush  wrote:
> 
> >> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
> >> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
> >> business the way they would likebally like the "the way they would like" 
> >> part.  the way i would
> > like to run my business is to go into the office every friday and scoop
> > up the cash that fell from the sky all week.
> > 
> > reality is such a pain in the ass.
> > 
> > randy
> > 
> +1 aren't we way past all of the predicted exhaustion dates.  There are slot 
> of as's that have ignored this.
> > 
> 

predictions are ... predictions!  guesses.  swag.   nothing more/less.

i will say this however.  after fifteen years, I am exhausted listening 
to

ipv6 v. ipv4  bickering.   (and after five years of running native 
ipv6-only

networks - i've re-introduced ipv4 to the mix... go figure)

/bill



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-10 Thread Keegan Holley


Sent from my iPhone

On Dec 10, 2011, at 2:58 AM, Randy Bush  wrote:

>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
>> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
>> business the way they would like…
> 
> and we are supposed to be surprised or feel sorry?  you're kidding,
> right?  they're lucky to be in a/p.  at least they can get a /22.
> 
> i especially like the "the way they would like" part.  the way i would
> like to run my business is to go into the office every friday and scoop
> up the cash that fell from the sky all week.
> 
> reality is such a pain in the ass.
> 
> randy
> 
+1 aren't we way past all of the predicted exhaustion dates.  There are slot of 
as's that have ignored this.
> 



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Randy Bush
> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
> area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
> business the way they would like…

and we are supposed to be surprised or feel sorry?  you're kidding,
right?  they're lucky to be in a/p.  at least they can get a /22.

i especially like the "the way they would like" part.  the way i would
like to run my business is to go into the office every friday and scoop
up the cash that fell from the sky all week.

reality is such a pain in the ass.

randy



Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Jared Mauch

On Dec 9, 2011, at 4:38 PM, Deepak Jain wrote:

> I can tell you that (as of Dec 2011) *lots and lots* of networks (big ones, 
> even some of the biggest) are in no real position to support nearly universal 
> customer IPv6 service yet. There are networks that have IPv6 "somewhere".. 
> but even where we've been requesting IPv6 turned up alongside existing IPv4 
> sessions sometimes the turnaround is months and months with lots of repeated 
> banging -- even where the gear and the uplinks support it.

I think you are working with the wrong carriers in that case perhaps?  As part 
of a turn-up this year, IPv6 was a standard question, including the IP/BGP 
request form that had separate tabs for IPv6 and address space requests 
along-side the IPv4 BGP/space request.  The cases were with Cogent and Abovenet 
for connections in the US.  I know that NTT can also do IPv6 as well.  I think 
that some of what you may be terming the big-guys such as at&t and 
verizon/uunet are still behind the curve but they are largely in the managed 
services and not internet space from what I can tell.  Internet is a side thing 
they sell and not a primary line of business.

> Some of this is that (esp internal) tools still aren't where they need to be. 
> Some of this is that once we IPv6 becomes the "standard"... well, security 
> and other concerns will challenge all the infrastructure in place.

I do agree that most tools seem to be IPv4 centric these days at least for 
management of the device (Eg: no SNMP over IPv6 only).

You can do much of the monitoring over IPv6.
 
> And this is all before you get into issues of inconsistent views of the IPv6 
> RIB, and the rest.

While this still exists, this is something that will resolve itself with 
increased adoption.

> 
> Just my opinion, hopefully someone else has a better experience.

My experience as well.

- Jared


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Owen DeLong
> 
> 
> 
> If you are an ARIN member, you can get your block of IPv6 address by 
> submitting a simple
> form as long as you already have IPv4 space.
> 

Not exactly...

1. You don't have to be an ARIN member.
2. Even if you don't have IPv4 space, you can still use a simple form. You just 
need to put a little more information on that form.

Owen

Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Deepak Jain



If you haven't IPv6 enabled your capable devices yet, get on it.  Most providers
will give you IPv6 for free now, and will allocate you space from their blocks.

If you are an ARIN member, you can get your block of IPv6 address by submitting 
a simple
form as long as you already have IPv4 space.

Get on it, make them work this month and have your space already allocated 
prior to the
start of 2012.



I can tell you that (as of Dec 2011) *lots and lots* of networks (big 
ones, even some of the biggest) are in no real position to support 
nearly universal customer IPv6 service yet. There are networks that have 
IPv6 "somewhere".. but even where we've been requesting IPv6 turned up 
alongside existing IPv4 sessions sometimes the turnaround is months and 
months with lots of repeated banging -- even where the gear and the 
uplinks support it.


Some of this is that (esp internal) tools still aren't where they need 
to be. Some of this is that once we IPv6 becomes the "standard"... well, 
security and other concerns will challenge all the infrastructure in place.


And this is all before you get into issues of inconsistent views of the 
IPv6 RIB, and the rest.


Just my opinion, hopefully someone else has a better experience.

DJ





Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Doug Barton
On 12/09/2011 13:16, Jared Mauch wrote:
> I've had recruiters calling me about IPv6 related jobs for at least 2 years 
> now.
> 
> Some are full-time, others contract work.

+1, mostly contract stuff that I've had to turn down because my travel
capacity is limited nowadays. From the standpoint of IPv6, it's already
"next quarter."


Doug

-- 

[^L]

Breadth of IT experience, and depth of knowledge in the DNS.
Yours for the right price.  :)  http://SupersetSolutions.com/




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Jared Mauch

On Dec 9, 2011, at 4:12 PM, valdis.kletni...@vt.edu wrote:

> I suspect the opposite is in fact true - if there is an open market, many 
> sites
> will continue deluding themselves and make the end game that much more 
> painful.
> If you haven't been able to sell the CFO types on the need to deploy IPv6 
> *yet*
> (consider that you *should* have been specifying "Ipv6-ready" on capex for at
> least 4-5 years already, so most of the gear on the floor should be ready to
> go), you're going to be *screwed* when you finally get moving.  Among other
> things, all the *good* IPv6 experts will already have found good gigs, and 
> it's
> gonna either take a bigger paycheck to headhunt one, or you'll be stuck with
> the dregs of the market (either way, it will cost you more).

I've had recruiters calling me about IPv6 related jobs for at least 2 years now.

Some are full-time, others contract work.

If you haven't IPv6 enabled your capable devices yet, get on it.  Most providers
will give you IPv6 for free now, and will allocate you space from their blocks.

If you are an ARIN member, you can get your block of IPv6 address by submitting 
a simple
form as long as you already have IPv4 space.

Get on it, make them work this month and have your space already allocated 
prior to the
start of 2012.

- jared




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Fri, 09 Dec 2011 14:47:06 CST, Benson Schliesser said:

> +1 to Fred's comments.  Hopefully, the existence of an open IPv4 address
> market will help avoid some of the worst.  (At least for a while, until
> the rising prices get too high for a competitive environment.  And maybe
> by then the price of IPv4 addresses will have made IPv6 deployment a
> much more obvious choice to reluctant CFO-types.)

I suspect the opposite is in fact true - if there is an open market, many sites
will continue deluding themselves and make the end game that much more painful.
If you haven't been able to sell the CFO types on the need to deploy IPv6 *yet*
(consider that you *should* have been specifying "Ipv6-ready" on capex for at
least 4-5 years already, so most of the gear on the floor should be ready to
go), you're going to be *screwed* when you finally get moving.  Among other
things, all the *good* IPv6 experts will already have found good gigs, and it's
gonna either take a bigger paycheck to headhunt one, or you'll be stuck with
the dregs of the market (either way, it will cost you more).



pgpd15Wz9wNFe.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Mark Blackman
On 9 Dec 2011, at 21:05, Benson Schliesser  wrote:

> 
> On Dec 9, 2011, at 2:57 PM, Mark Blackman wrote:
>>> On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:07 PM, Fred Baker wrote:
 We're going to be hearing a lot more of these. It's the nature of finite 
 resources, and of human nature when faced with them. At some point, this 
 will find its way into courtrooms under the rubric of a barrier to entry. 
 It already has in terms of antitrust when a company wanted to move its PA 
 prefix to different upstream.
>> 
>> I've had transit service pulled, so the provider can reclaim the /21 that 
>> was bundled with the transit.
> 
> I'm sorry to hear about that...  Do you know why they reclaimed the block?  
> E.g. was it used to support a "higher margin" service for another customer?
> 
> -Benson

Leased line customers.


Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Benson Schliesser

On Dec 9, 2011, at 2:57 PM, Mark Blackman wrote:
>> On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:07 PM, Fred Baker wrote:
>>> We're going to be hearing a lot more of these. It's the nature of finite 
>>> resources, and of human nature when faced with them. At some point, this 
>>> will find its way into courtrooms under the rubric of a barrier to entry. 
>>> It already has in terms of antitrust when a company wanted to move its PA 
>>> prefix to different upstream.
> 
> I've had transit service pulled, so the provider can reclaim the /21 that was 
> bundled with the transit.

I'm sorry to hear about that...  Do you know why they reclaimed the block?  
E.g. was it used to support a "higher margin" service for another customer?

-Benson




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Mark Blackman

On 9 Dec 2011, at 20:47, Benson Schliesser wrote:

> 
> On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:07 PM, Fred Baker wrote:
> 
>> On Dec 9, 2011, at 10:37 AM, Franck Martin wrote:
>> 
>>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
>>> desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the 
>>> way they would like…
>>> 
>>> This is just a data point.
>> 
>> We're going to be hearing a lot more of these. It's the nature of finite 
>> resources, and of human nature when faced with them. At some point, this 
>> will find its way into courtrooms under the rubric of a barrier to entry. It 
>> already has in terms of antitrust when a company wanted to move its PA 
>> prefix to different upstream.

I've had transit service pulled, so the provider can reclaim the /21 that was 
bundled with the transit.

- Mark




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Benson Schliesser

On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:07 PM, Fred Baker wrote:

> On Dec 9, 2011, at 10:37 AM, Franck Martin wrote:
> 
>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
>> desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
>> they would like…
>> 
>> This is just a data point.
> 
> We're going to be hearing a lot more of these. It's the nature of finite 
> resources, and of human nature when faced with them. At some point, this will 
> find its way into courtrooms under the rubric of a barrier to entry. It 
> already has in terms of antitrust when a company wanted to move its PA prefix 
> to different upstream.

+1 to Fred's comments.  Hopefully, the existence of an open IPv4 address market 
will help avoid some of the worst.  (At least for a while, until the rising 
prices get too high for a competitive environment.  And maybe by then the price 
of IPv4 addresses will have made IPv6 deployment a much more obvious choice to 
reluctant CFO-types.)

Cheers,
-Benson

---
Disclaimers:
1. I am not a lawyer, and nothing in this message should be construed as advice.
2. I, Benson Schliesser, am an employee of Cisco Systems; however, opinions 
expressed in this email are my own views and not those of Cisco Systems or 
anybody else.






Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Franck Martin
Option 2) and think country wide ISP growing very fast.

On 12/9/11 10:39 , "Patrick W. Gilmore"  wrote:

>On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:37 PM, Franck Martin wrote:
>
>> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific
>>area desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their
>>business the way they would likeŠ
>> 
>> This is just a data point.
>
>Interesting data point.
>
>Would be more interesting to find out "the way they would like".  For
>instance, is it a "bullet-proof" hoster who promises each spammer 1K IP
>addresses across dozens of discontiguous /24s?
>
>Or is it a DSL provider with 10K subs, and APNIC would only give them a
>/22 until next year?
>
>-- 
>TTFN,
>patrick
>
>




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Fred Baker

On Dec 9, 2011, at 10:37 AM, Franck Martin wrote:

> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
> desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
> they would like…
> 
> This is just a data point.

We're going to be hearing a lot more of these. It's the nature of finite 
resources, and of human nature when faced with them. At some point, this will 
find its way into courtrooms under the rubric of a barrier to entry. It already 
has in terms of antitrust when a company wanted to move its PA prefix to 
different upstream.





Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Dec 9, 2011, at 1:37 PM, Franck Martin wrote:

> I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
> desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
> they would like…
> 
> This is just a data point.

Interesting data point.

Would be more interesting to find out "the way they would like".  For instance, 
is it a "bullet-proof" hoster who promises each spammer 1K IP addresses across 
dozens of discontiguous /24s?

Or is it a DSL provider with 10K subs, and APNIC would only give them a /22 
until next year?

-- 
TTFN,
patrick




Re: Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Matthew Kaufman

On 12/9/2011 10:37 AM, Franck Martin wrote:

I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
they would like…

This is just a data point.


I hear those are $12/each.

How much do they have in the budget for this?

Matthew Kaufman



Sad IPv4 story?

2011-12-09 Thread Franck Martin
I just had a personal email from a brand new ISP in the Asia-Pacific area 
desperately looking for enough IPv4 to be able to run their business the way 
they would like…

This is just a data point.