Thank you Max Joumana Mourad Artistic Director Tel: 07930 378 639 joum...@ijaddancecompany.com IJAD Dance Company Registered Charity: 1080776 www.ijaddancecompany.com @IJADdance Facebook: IJAD Dance Company page Curator:http://www.openonlinetheatre.org
Support IJAD https://www.giveasyoulive.com/join/IJAD To join our mailing list please subscribe at: http://ijaddancecompany.com/contact/ > On 18 Mar 2020, at 17:28, Max Herman via NetBehaviour > <netbehaviour@lists.netbehaviour.org> wrote: > > > > Forwarding this from a physician friend. Hoping all are well today and > taking good care. > > +++++ > > Hi Everyone, > Wanted to give you all an update based on the latest stuff we're learning > about COVID-19 from Korea, China and Italy experience. This represents > information directly from clinicians evaluating disease course and outcomes > in these countries on the front lines. Also info from the CDC. Numbers > reflect status as of 4am PST, 3/18/2020. > > There are some slides that show this info visually. Please feel free to > share, in order to spread reliable information. > > First and foremost, social distancing remains the most important thing you > can do to protect you, your family and the nation. > > This is based on live data from early-infected countries, showing that the > most stringent and early isolation adherence has resulted in the lowest > mortality rate: > Korea 0.5% mortality reported thus far > China 2.3 - 3.8% > Italy 7.2% > Also, data from the 1918 Spanish flu, where tight social precautions in the > first 14d dramatically reduced mortality. (The peak is deaths in > Philadelphia, where distancing was ignored, and the low curve is St. Louis, > where distancing was immediately adopted). > > <image.png> > > The reason for early/immediate isolation comes from evidence that the highest > viral shedding happens in the early infection. Some data suggests shedding > may be occurring 1-2d before symptoms manifest - before you feel sick. > > We believe active shedding occurs for at least 10d and potentially up to > 20+days, from the time of infection. > > <image.png> > > It is becoming clearer that COVID-19 is spread by droplets. So, NOT touching > face, frequently washing hands and staying 6-ft apart is key - whether people > are visibly sick, or not. > > In all countries, the risk of death becomes most dramatic over age 50. > Nevertheless, in California we're seeing 64% of our infection in 18-64yo, so > the mortality/age numbers may change. > > In Italy, 37.5% of deaths are >80yo, but 37.5% are 50-79yo. So, it is not > just very elderly population that explains the effects in Italy. > > So far, <18yo seem very little effected, in all countries. > > <image.png> > Red bars are China, Blue numbers are Italy. > > The 'contagiousness' of COVID-19 appears to be 1 person --> 2-2.5 add'n > infections. To put this in perspective, the contagiousness number for ebola > =2, for measles = 15, for SARS =3. > > The most consistent and reliable symptom is a cough. Fever manifests in ~50%. > Other respiratory and GI symptoms are less frequent. > > THE MOST VALUABLE THING WE CAN DO RIGHT NOW IS SOCIAL ISOLATION to control > spread. Once again, it doesn't matter if you/your acquaintances don't appear > to be sick. Right now, we should all assume to be carriers and wait for > confirmation over the next 2 weeks. No one is an exception. > > <image.png> > > Finally, please remember that 80% of people infected get sick and then get > better. Without becoming critically ill. > So overall, there's lots to be hopeful about and thankful for - but make no > mistake that this requires everyone's adherence in order for it to work. > Adherence must happen now. In a week or two it's too late. > > As a last note on what you can do: my own research shows that meditation - > reducing stress through calming the mind - enhances the healthy anti-viral > response on a cellular level. It literally changes your immune response in a > way that promotes the ability to fight off viruses. > > So, WHAT CAN YOU DO? > Start today: > Reassure each other, > Take walks (6 ft apart from anyone not living in your home), > Meditate or calm your mind in other ways > Focus on ways to help (donate to wage workers, buy take-out to help > restaurants stay open), and > Discontinue any and all behaviors that separate us > stop divisive politics, blame, lashing out, negative forecasting, and fear > mongering. > Follow Canada's example and try "Care-Mongering" instead: > https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-51915723 > > (thanks to my mom for that last bit of info on Canada) > > We can get through this but only if we stick together. > > +++++ > > _______________________________________________ > NetBehaviour mailing list > NetBehaviour@lists.netbehaviour.org > https://lists.netbehaviour.org/mailman/listinfo/netbehaviour
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